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BOIL

BOIL: One more climb to go 🏔️BOIL's price has successfully wrapped up the magenta wave (b). Looking ahead, we foresee an ascent in the fourth leg of the yellow five-part wave, targeting the yellow Target Zone between $116.87 and $334.93. Following this ascent, a substantial decline is expected, bringing the price down to around $23, signaling the conclusion of the white wave (II). This yellow Target Zone presents an opportune moment for initiating short positions to capitalize on the anticipated bearish movement.
AMEX:BOIL
by MarketIntel
4
NatGas - No Moon Until DoomIn mid June, I had made a call that Natural Gas was about to rally, because price action and timing supported a move upwards. Natural Gas - The Girl Who Hopes You Remember Her But that call became abandoned as I enlightened and improved further, and began to note that rallies were sold off and lows kept being taken. The trade degenerated into looking at a sweep over $3 and then a sweep over $2.9, and turned into abandonment. Before we go far, I want to tell you that you need to keep your eyes on the situation with China. The first thing you notice is that the propaganda machine and politicians are rarely going after "the Chinese Communist Party" but are always going after "China." This is very strange. China is the world's only 5,000 year country and holds the largest population. If you think about it even a little bit, the CCP would be so easy to topple, wouldn't it? Considering the Party has killed a magnitude more of its own people in its century of murder than Hitler did among all races during his years of insanity. And the CCP and former Chairman Jiang Zemin have the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against the Falun Dafa spiritual practice hanging over their head like the blade of a guillotine. You have to keep this in mind and go study it. A really crucial part of the puzzle is that Xi Jinping, for all the criticism and targeting he gets/deserves, has never persecuted Falun Gong. Instead, Xi's Anti-Corruption Campaign has been killing and ruining the Jiang Faction minions who have conducted and operated the persecution. Xi has even protected Falun Gong in Hong Kong after fortifying his rule there with the National Security Law following the 2019 Heaven Will Eliminate the CCP protests. All of this matters very much to the fossil fuels industry because there's a relationship between China and Russia, both in terms of production and demand, that changes greatly if something like the Ukraine War ends or drama over Taiwan suddenly enters nuclear brinkmanship. Looking at current monthly bars, Natural Gas shows some kind of "Bear Flag." What you're seeing, really, is an extended consolidation. This is actually potentially really bullish, to the upside, but we need price action to confirm it's time to go. Unfortunately, July did not show us this. The sweep of the $2 point and the lows in April was not enough to springboard the move, and that's really telling. While many may tell you that natural gas is obviously going to a zero-handle, a look at the yearly bars shows such a thesis really does not make sense. To the contrary, the 2020 pivot should, actually, hold. A classic super long term breakout and retrace. Moreover, $10 was printed for literally one day in 2022, and that's very strange. The problem with the moon turning full right now, is shown on 3 month candles, where this current little red blip only has one month left. This is not a bullish continuation. It's important, in a bullish scenario, to see volume come in and price action to correspondingly reflect that producers want to sell at higher prices and will orca the waves for us normal people. Moreover, in terms of the overall markets, as I post in this week's SPX call, we may be watching the equities/indexes bear market rally top for real. SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg As for what might be the news driver that harbingers the correction, it may very well be one of the 10 largest banks in America dumping for whatever reason emerges (watch out for commercial real estate): Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis? I also posted last week that it seems to me oil is about to head for a literal 3-handle. Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins And because we have problems with "Taiwan," which is to say the International Rules Based Order's desire to take over China via Taiwan while the Chinese Communist Party falls, I also believe that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is set up as a probable long hedge through to the end of the year and into 2024: TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge Now, in terms of natural gas ranging like it has, sharply dumping, and then beginning a new and major bull impulse, this is not without grounds, for this would be a fractal of the 2020 COVID dump-to-recovery play that saw a doubling into year end: If this were to play out, we'd see something like $1.60 natural gas into $4.8 by the end of the year or Q1 2024. After that, we may really see prices that exceed $10 and begin to flirt with all time highs at $15. The fundamental factors that would cause a 10 bagger on a commodity that literally equates to most of the world's electricity production are fairly significant. Especially considering "climate change" (lol "climate boiling") is attempting to be used as the pretext/excuse to export the Jiang-CCP Zero COVID social credit system worldwide in a way that far exceeds what was done during the pandemic. And so for the call, I would say the "short signal" with the markets hanging out in thin air at present, while we're about to begin a new quarterly shift, is a break of the $2.4 level. You'd want to short that break with a target meaningfully under $1.8 and then cover it without getting greedy. At that point, it's time to look for longs, and if you're a long term position trader, this may be one of the best opportunities you'll come across. But it may not really unfold until next year. And this assumes that my analysis is correct. Right now, daily price action is just showing failure swings, but nobody has stepped in yet to give it the push down the stairs it really needs.
NYMEX:NG1!
by LordWrymouth
32
BOIL rises into reversal territory SHORTBOIL as a triple leveraged ETF of natural gas futures- has high volatility which can translated to high profits for traders who can accurately harness that energy .On the 2H chart in the time since the reverse split, the price has mostly ranged up and down between the first upper and lower VWAP lines of the VWAP anchored to the high in May. Occasionally it has ranged outside those bounds and then reverts to the mean VWAP. Price is presently at or near the first upper derivation line where it typically pivots down. The zero lag MACD is suggestive of an impending pivot down before any signs of it and thus showing bearish divergence. The mass index is not yet suggesting a reversal. The shorter HMA 56 rising significantly above the HMA210 is suggestive of overextension into the overbought overvalued zones of the chart. Overall, I will put BOIL on watch. Once a reversal is confirmed I will either short BOIL or long KOLD. Leveraged funds being what they are and mathematics fixed and hard, shorting a levearged ETF is a faster fall than its rise so the short position will be my first choice.
AMEX:BOILShort
by AwesomeAvani
10
BOIL (3X Natural Gas ) Overnight Trade RecapAs a triple leveraged ETF BOIL is highly volatility and typically has a good range even if the overall price changes only a small amount from one day to the next. While these overnight day trades are typically conducted on the 3 or 5 minute time frame, here a 15- minute chart is shown. Because BOIL is tracking natural gas futures and the futures markets are around the clock , BOIL often has movement after-hours and in the pre-market while futures markets are active. In this example, the chart is dressed with double Bollinger band setup with deviations of 1.618 and 2 618 which are Fibonacci numbers. Relative volatility and relative volumes are indicated as well to be better attentive to reversals or trending amplitudes. In this example at about 12N on yesterday 7/24, price dropped out of the bands volume and volatility went red to green and the candlesticks formed a morning star pattern. This is the entry. The stop loss is placed just below the lowest bottoming wick in the pattern. Today, in the premarket, when the price rose to outside the upper trade zone and green bars on the volatility and volume indicators fell quickly, the trade was closed for a realized profit of 4.7%. About 90 minutes later, another long trade was set up for a more than 4% five hour day trade. Rinse and repeat DYODD !
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL ( 3x Nat Gas ETF) Reverses to UpsideOn shown on the 15 minute chart with a VWAP band/line setup anchored to the July 1st pivot high. BOIL is in a VWAP breakout since bottoming mid-day July 17th. Confirming the reversal are the Price Volume Trend Oscillator printing a green histogram and an upgoing signal line as well as the zero-lag MACD with upgoing parallel lines crossing the zero-horizontal line. Price has crossed over the mean VWAP. On the dual time frame RSI indicator both the lower and higher RS lines ( blue and black) are above the 50 level and the lower time frame is higher highlighting bullish momentum. I will take a long trade targeting based on the VWAP lines first $65 and then $68. I will open equal amounts of call options striking the targets with expirations on July 28th. I seek a 100% ROI in the next 6-8 trading days. On an intraday basis, I may enter a low DTE call option at the low of day ( typically mid-morning) and exit at the high of day the same or next day.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani