BOIL
$BOIL #NG Buy the dipI've been bullish and trading natural gas (BOIL EQT RRC) for a while now and recently sold on the last pump to 2.6
I'm reloading now, as I'm looking at a few things technically I like
-Price appears to have found support on a flattening 20DMA , and will next watch to see if we start trending up
- The low in May was higher than April , and almost forming a rounded base if we can sustain higher than May's low , it will be a good sign
- Strong support at 2 putting in a triple bottom now - even if we go lower, in the longer term as long as we stay above 2 , your entry of say 2.15 won't really matter when we're at 5 !
- EQT and RRC are both flagging and keeping their gains so far, looking for more upside , which of course depends on NG but is providing bullish confluence .
KOLD drops with Natural Gas RisesOn the daily chart KOLD has been testing resistance since February with a single touch in
February , a head and shoulders in April and a double top in early May. It is now retracing
due to the rise in natural gas prices in the past 10 days. A support line from a prior
retracement in early March is drawn at 41.45. This analysis is further supported by the zero-lag
MACD oscillator. I will take a trade of put options but short selling is another alternative.
Once in the trade, a signal to close will be the red zone outside the bands as was the case
in late February. The actual sell signal being the thick MACD black line inflecting from moving
downward to upward. KOLD could drop 80% from the present price down to the POC line of
the volume profile at about $ 12.50. If leveraged with put options this could represent
a 5X profit or better. Any sustained rebound in natural gas prices will lend heavy support to
this idea. IF a trader wants to capture smaller moves albeit at the risk of getting into a chop
zone, a smaller time fram such as 30-120 minutes could be used.
UNG retracement complete- to uptrend again.UNG as shown on the 15-minute chart had an untrend for a week culminated by the very steep
finish to the uptrend into resistance followed by a very rapid bounce down and retracement.
A standard 50% Fibonacci retracement is now complete. UNG appears to be bounding off
the POC line of the volume profile which coincides with the 0.5 Fib level.
UNG tracks the natural gas futures, especially the leading month. It appears now ready to
resume an uptrend. This is a directional bearing on the trend for any instrument based on
natural gas prices including XNGUSD on forex.
BOIL Megaphone PatternBOIL on the 15-minute chart is currently in an upward facing megaphone pattern. I have drawn
in the upper and lower trendlines which are a form of static support and resistance. The
megaphone pattern is one of increasing volatility between buyers and sellers and indecision
It is the opposite of consolidation in a narrow channel. The anchored VWAP
shows BOIL to be between the mean VWAP and the first standard deviation band below it.
This is generally considered the lower part of the fair value zone. The volume profile has a
high volume area of in the price range of 3 to 3.7 while the POC line is confluent with the
VWAP. The "better" RSI oscillator/ indicator shows values above 75 at swing highs
and values below 25 at swing lows. My goal in this trade is to buy at the lower ( support )
trendline and sell at the higher ( resistance) trendline. I will be watchful for any fibonnaci
retracements of a prior trend. At present, BOIL is at that lower trendline and RSI is showing
weakness. I will add to my position now as I did in the whipsaw action some hours ago at the
location of the bearish engulfing candles in the premarket and the opening.
XNGUSD Bull Pennant Pattern Short then LongXNG has had a big week with a big bullish momentum move into a symmetrical triangle
and then a breakout into a bull flag pattern to finish out the trading week. A Bollinger Band
squeeze as the symmetrical triangle was underway preceded the breakout. PRice crossed the
POC line of the volume profile where trading volume , liquidity and volatility all are the
highest Equities and equity funds like BOIL, KOLD, UNG, UNL, LNG had corresponding moves.
The Luxalgo ECHO indicator, a predictive AI tool, suggests that from here XNGUSD will retrace
5% or so perhaps targeting the mid/basis line of the Bollinger Bands and then resume its
upward trend. the retracement would be 50% of the uptrend which started the morning of
5/18 which was a 10% move. The indicator is predicting the uptrend resumption for
5/22. By extension, equity instruments that mirror natural gas prices presumably will have
similar moves. I conclude that my profits achieved in BOIL options after the big move
should be prtially taken off the table to buy some KOLD calls or BOIL puts instead to hedge
for the prediction of the algorithm tool.
Natural Gas Update: BreakoutNat Gas had an epic move to the upside today.
will the bullish momentum continue?
BOIL LONG a 3x leverage Natural Gas ETF Natural Gas prices have finally reversed on the FOREX markets
after significant downtrends from a historical high.
BOIL on the hourly chart has reversed a two-week downtrend
and today has an increasing volume. Ir bounced off the lower
Fibonacci levels and is looking to revert to the mean. Price
was undervalued below the green fair value zone at the VWAP
+/- one standard deviation but is now heading back into it
from the buying pressure.
As a 3x leveraged ETF is prone to more volatility than the
unleveraged UNG counterpart. I will play this with a call
option contract expiring 3/31 striking $4.00 and expecting
at least a 50% return in the upcoming 8 trading days.
The risk here is that this is just a short pullback on the
downtrend but getting in early on a long and watching carefully
is the approach I have taken.
Natural Gas Short squeeze!Natural Gas had a bullish close today up over 4% despite weakening economic data.
We could be entering the next stage where Nat gas starts moving higher off these lows.
Clear Accumulation has been occurring and this move off the lows matches the seasonality period of Nat gas.
Natural Gas & Energy UpdateNatural Gas is on watch for a technical Breakout
We got a bullish daily close on Natural gas today.
Its the first time Nat gas has had 2 daily closes above the 50 day moving average since it started the nasty downtrend.
The Hard Boiled BOIL Bulls could catch a breakWho says you can't chart 3X leverage?
Got a nice down channel here and about to hit the bottom of the channel.
4.20 at the end of next week would be a nice price.
That would be over a 96% drop from the top. Interestingly, the previous peaks in Nov 2018 and Feb 2014 dropped just over 96% before touching the channel bottom.
Could overshoot below since it overshot out at the top.
Also could bounce early like that small bounce in Dec 2015, before tanking lower and tapping the channel.
Lots of breakout potential in the RSI.
Feeling like there's going to be some crazy times ahead... if things aren't crazy enough.
Natural Gas Support and Resistance Guide | Price Outlook- AMEX:UNG AMEX:BOIL VANTAGE:NG Still trading within my falling wedge pattern is getting tight so likely breaking soon
- Bounced off of quadrupole support Friday
- couple of resistance level right above us may test the upper falling wedge resistance next week
BOIL: Boiling up and down 🥘Still a bit tentatively but visibly, ProShares Bloomberg Natural Gas (aka BOIL) is starting to boil up, quite in accordance with our expectations. As the first part of a three-part counter movement, the ETF should climb further upwards to finish wave a in magenta, before wave b in magenta should return it to its current level. From there, BOIL should rise into the yellow zone between $7.11 and $19.05 to complete wave c in magenta as well as wave (4) in yellow, whose high should then initiate the overarching downwards trend’s final step: wave (II) in white.
Natural Gas Detail Trading Plan |Long term| Support & Resistance- AMEX:NG AMEX:UNG AMEX:BOIL : if i were to add today, I laid out a detailed game plan in the video of how to trade it with SL and target.
- 4 hour currently in neutral trend
- potentially shaping up daily higher low and trend change to uptrend need to break above prior high
- still trading within the equilibrium range likely breaking in early May
Natural Gas Future Outlook Weekly /Daily S&R Technical Analysis - AMEX:NG Finally got a 4 hour uptrend need more follow through tomorrow to confirm
- likely heading to $2.5 if 4 hour uptrend confirm follow through tomorrow
- tradeable ticker AMEX:UNG and AMEX:BOIL still use the NG chart if you are trading natural gas.
NATURALGAS Long Natural gas is packed in a tight falling wedge pattern. It is at historic support too, going back to August of 2019. Another point worth mentioning is that the price of natural gas defended this support on February 22nd of this year and produced a >40% rally, peaking on March 3rd. Virtually every timescale from the minutes to the weekly show positive divergences and oversold readings. The targets for this trade are the gaps above, marked in purple. Use UNG or BOIL (x2) for this trade.
Natural gas - bottom callers will be dead before risingMajority of traders are loading up on their AMEX:BOIL longs and natural gas futures long positions.
This is why SSL will be grabbed first between $1.5 to $1.7 before price can increase.