Natural Gas Full Bear Control. Short term 15m EMA 12 Guide- NG UNG is on a downtrend in every time frame, bears are in full control.
- Bulls would hope we hold the 52 week low
- need an hourly trend change back to the bulls for we to potentially get a 4h and daily bounce going and shape up an Equilibrium pattern.
- short term intra-day 15m 12 EMA is our guide for full bear control.
- I definitely wouldn't be shorting all the way down here but also there's no signs for me to be interested long as well atm unless bulls can start to shape up some hourly trend change.
BOIL
Natural gas is almost done consolidating On the 4th hour chart , natural gas looks to be forming a minor bullish divergence on the MACD. It has also formed a falling wedge , which has a higher probability of breaking to the upside. The current sell off was obvious when natural gas rallied to the upper trend line and couldn't break it. A move to the lower trendline is almost finished , a grind lower to tag it is very possible , and a move to 2.22 is not to be ruled out. The zone that natural gas has entered will , in my opinion, yield a reaction very soon.
$NG $UNG $BOIL Where Price would be for the Next couple weeks- UNG NG BOIL have retraced over 50% fib of the A to B move from the bottom, that's a clear sign that we will likely get an equilibrium base on how significant these swings are.
- NG has a tendency to break a resistance and have no follow through vice versa breaking a support and have no follow through so im looking for a equilibrium tightening up price action the next couple weeks.
- Short term bears still in full control
Natural gas is prepping for a big moveNatural gas is prepping for a big move to the upside after the gap fill that's marked on the chart (2.35 vicinity). The gap coincidently lines up with the lower trend line of a falling wedge , making this area a magnet. The move in Natural gas in the previous weeks was very large , which subsequently required some consolidation before another leg. Assuming the general markets can sustain some footing or stall , despite the Silicone Valley bank debacle, natural gas can make a move to the $4 mark.
BOIL: Piercing Line Bullish Reversal Visible on Weekly at 1.618BOIL; The 3x Bullish proxy for Natural Gas is showing Bullish Divergence at a 1.618 Fibonacci Extension after confirming a Piercing Line on the Weekly Timeframe at said level.
If it plays out i think BOIL could come back up to fill some gaps, meet the moving averages, and see anywhere from a 200%-700% rise.
I do however think USOIL will see a decline and that the two will move in opposing directions for awhile as that is something that they they tend to do.
As a side note we also have a Daily Bullish 3 White Soldiers on Natural Gas itself as well as a Bullish Shark that can be seen here:
BOIL hit the boiling point FridayInvesting, investing,
Let's put our money to work!
Buying stocks and bonds and funds,
For our future we will perk!
BOIL, and natural gas in general spent what seems like forever capitulating. There was just too much supply but I expected demand will increase which would drive up the price of natural gas. Supply and demand are the main drivers of commodity prices as they determine the amount of a commodity available and the level of desire for it. When supply is low or demand is high, prices tend to rise, while excess supply or low demand can lead to price drops.
When news broke this morning, the price dropped 20% and we landed -20%+ at EOD Monday. If you look at the daily wave master (not pictured), you will see that there is significant chance that this little trooper will drop more. What is more important is that the move looked like it finished after a 60%+ move from the lows backon Frbruary 21st. Now, we wait. Lets see if BOIL and Natural Gas make new lows or if we'll find some support. Need patience on this one.
Natural Gas $NG $UNG $BOIL Tips for Riding your Profit- 4H 12EMALast weeks NG video i mentioned that this is likely a climax bottom and we are heading higher with potential inverse H&S pattern, it ended up playing out in the hourly time frame and bulls were a lot stronger than i expected.
- Looking at the 4h time frame 12 EMA as full bull control support if we don't lose it then we wont be getting 4h and daily consolidation yet.
- im still holding my $BOIL position (it 2x leverage of UNG) its a small position so i'm letting it ride at least 20~30% of course ill still be watching how we consolidate on 4h and daily time frame will tell me a lot if the bull move will continue.
Natural gas is overextended Natural gas looks to be forming a near-term top in what I think is an ABC move up. Bearish divergences are building on the hourly and 4 hr chart. Although,
these divergences can continue to build while Natural gas grinds up , the risk-reward ratio warrants caution. Where does the B wave look to target? The $2.40 vicinity looks plausible, being there was a lot of price action there, a gap , and an attractive fib extension zone. The subsequent C wave will be spectacular, with the potentional of having a 3 or 4 handle.
bull flag set up hidden inside bullish cypher patternand you'll also notice that previous resistances is currently acting as support. There are two bullish set ups.. the bull flag, which you can clearly see if you remove the bullish cypher pattern. Looking for price action to breakout out the triangle and retest the highs
NATURALGAS: 3 White Soldiers at Bullish Shark PCZAt the start of the year Natural Gas had a potential Bullish Shark setup at the minimum .886 PCZ and it ultimately failed to pivot from there but now we are significantly lower at the 1.13/1.618 Confluence zone of this Shark and are showing Bullish Divergence on the MACD as well as a 3 White Soldiers pattern on the daily. The bullish Target for Natural Gas remains to be $4.5 but it could go as high as $9.00. As for stops i'd put it below the second candle of the 3 White Soldiers Pattern which should be below the PCZ.
Natural gas is stuck, but nearing a move Natural gas has been oscillating in a wide range between $2.34 and $2.60, give or take a few cents. $2.50 support/resistance has been the decision level for a sharp move in either direction. At this point, both extremities have been tested multiple times , weakening both support and resistance. I believe that if natural gas bounces here and tests the higher extremity, it will be broken with ease. However , the longer it stays near the bottom of the range, a break of $2.34 becomes likely and a fall to the $2.20 level materializes. $2.20 is roughly the top of the resistance channel that natural gas has been stuck in since December of last year (highlighted by the green box). That flush might wipe out the remaining stops and a big portion of the bulls that are remaining in natural gas, which could yield a nice bounce and trigger a short squeeze.
Natural Gas: on watch for a breakout!We discuss the latest daily and intra day price action.
Some education about basing formation and what we need to see to gain likely more upside.
Natural gas long setupHi traders.
Look my previous idea about natural gas. We were disciplined and did not try to cath a falling knife.
But now we believ the time is right for a trade. Cycles short term and long term point out a low this week
for a good entry.
We have a stoploss at 7.30 and target of 29-30 range. Trading symbol BOIL.
Hopefully our patience last few weeks will be rewarded.
I dont trade often, since i am only waiting and being patience, so the entrys are medium to long term.
And once we are inn we wait again for the profitt target to get hit. Being a good trader is having alot of patience,
and never chasing price, never trade if your emotions are out of whack, we need zen state.
Natural Gas looks interestingTake a look at this Nat Gas chart. It looks poised for a rotation of capital to come out of the SPY and buy it at these depressed levels.
Natural Gas: The Widow MakerNatural Gas is on pace for it greatest & fastest fall in price history.
Nat Gas is hitting technical support in one of the most oversold conditions ever.
We discuss some Nat Gas cycle history that may be useful in knowing how to trade Nat Gas.