Overbought & OversoldIf you can identify overbought or oversold conditions, as a trader, this can be highly profitable. In particular, these are two definitions that refer to the extreme values of the price in addition to their intrinsic value. So, when these conditions appear, a reversal of the direction of the price is highly expected.
What is Overbought?
When something is ‘overbought’, it means that the price is thriving for a long peri. Because of this, it’s trading at a higher price than it actually should be. In other words, the asset is overly expensive and a sell-off is about to happen.
What is Oversold?
When something is ‘oversold’, it means the price is in a negative momentum for an extended period. Because of this, it’s trading at a lower price than it actually should be. In other words, the asset is overly cheap and an upward rise is about to happen.
Indicators
Moreover, there’re plenty of technical indicators which you could use in technical analysis. To confirm the Overbought and Oversold conditions the three indicators commonly used are:
Bollinger Bands,
Relative Strength Index and
Stochastics
Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands appear as a channel. Specifically, the middle line is often a twenty-period moving average. On the other hand, the upper band is the moving average plus two times its standard deviation. Furthermore, the lower band is the moving average minus two times its standard deviation. As a result, the price seems to fluctuate in this channel and normally doesn’t move out of the bands. However, when the price tends to move out of the upper band the price can be considered as overbought. Likewise, the same thing happens when the price moves out of the lower band, the price can be considered oversold.
Relative Strength Index
The Relative Strength Index is a momentum oscillator where the horizontal axis appears as a function of time and the vertical axis as on a scale of 0 to 100. In addition, the standard amount of periods used for this indicator is 14.
So, the Relative Strength Index measures the magnitude and the speed of recent price action. The indicator compares a security strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down. Yet when the Relative Strength Index has a value higher than 70 the price can be considered as overbought. When the opposite happens and the price drops down a value of 30 the price can be considered as oversold.
Stochastics
Stochastics is like the Relative Strength Index, a momentum oscillator where the horizontal axis appears as a function of time and the vertical axis is displayed on a scale of 0 to 100. However, the stochastic oscillator is predicated on the assumption that closing prices should move in the same direction as the current trend.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index is measuring the magnitude and the speed of the current price action. The Stochastic oscillator does calculate this value and expresses this value into a %K.
In addition, the standard amount of periods used for this indicator is 14. When the %K crosses a value of 80 the price can be considered as overbought. When the opposite happens and the price drops down a value of 20 the price can be considered as oversold.
Combined
One indicator that matches the criteria for being ‘overbought’ or ‘oversold’ can suggest a small trend reversal. But once all 3 indicators combined are matching the criteria, the assumption of a trend reversal is very likely to happen. Therefore, for trading in general this can be a profitable and low-risk strategy.
Bollingersband
TRXUSD - Oversold - Small bounceOn the chart, we can see TRXUSD is currently oversold.
This oversold condition is suggesting that the price will bounce up. This is a short-term setup and the profits could be taken at the target. The three indicators used are Bollinger Bands , RSI and Stochastic .
See all further details on the chart.
Goodluck!
How Bollinger Bands work and their best parametersJust a reminder...
A Bollinger Band resembles a moving cylinder with three lines.
A top, middle and bottom line.
These three lines are plotted on any chart and you’ll see the price of the markets moving in-between these levels.
When the price crossed above the middle line, the trend is up.
When price moves and stays below the middle line, the trend is down.
There are three parts to the Bollinger Bands. Upper, Middle and Lower Bollinger Band.
Here are my parameters…
The length (20) , shows you the Moving Average of the Middle Bollinger Band. Which in this case is 20 MA and is shown in the chart as the orange line…
The Source tells us we are using closing prices in the chart…
That means, when the JSE All Share Index closes for the day – that is the closing price that will be used for the BB.
StdDev is 2… Bollinger Bands are envelopes that base a Standard Deviation above and below a simple moving average of the price.
Because the distance of the bands is based on standard deviation, that’s why we are able to see a symmetrical envelope around the price…
Most Bollinger Bands parameters are set to 20MA and 2 Standard Deviations on most charting platforms.
But now you know what to set it to, to maximise your usage...
If you have any questions about indicators feel free to ask. I've been in the markets since 2003 and enjoy sharing information...
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
A probable correction swing in NIFTY*NIFTY*, This one is the third time when Nifty on daily candle kept it's low above upper range of Bollinger band. And last two times it didn't corrected, so if it break yesterday's low then it has *higher probability of a correction or consolidation* move ahead. Stoploss will be high of yesterday's candle also keep 30-50 pt buffer. If it get corrected then 18440, 18175, 18100 are important support levels.
Bitcoin ₿ollinger ₿and Expansion update🚨🚨🚨Bitcoin ₿ollinger ₿and Expansion update🚨🚨🚨
It was not a BTC direction prediction
No we see compression after expansion again🔵
Recognize on ₿ollinger ₿and Width:
🔴lower lows
🟠Expansion
🟢higher lows - when to expect❓🤔
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
⬇️⬇️⬇️
Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗
Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
SCWB- Sustained Uptrend Curently in a Momentum SqueezeSCHW has done well in a bad year for the market. the earnings release in October looked good.
The stock has gained 25% in the past 4 months very consistentl which shows relative strengh
compared with SPY which has descended badly.
On the daily chart it is sitting above an ascending Ichimoku cloud. This has been trading above
VWAP since Late October showing an overall bullish bias.
The Momentum indicator shows a current squeeze with the Bollinger Bands constricting around
the price action. I am looking to trade this as a call option with a one-month expiration.
Fundamentally, SCWB will be busy this December as the number of tax loss sales to
book capital losses will likely be astronomical.
DASHUSD - Short - Retrace possibleOn the chart we can see the price is currently overbought. The three indicators are suggesting the price is in overbought condition and is likely to go down.
This is a short-term setup and the profits could be taken at the target. The three indicators used are Bollinger Bands, RSI and Stochastic.
See all further details on the chart.
Goodluck!
ETHUSD - 7% Increase possible - LongOn the ETHUSD 4h timeframe chart we can see that on this day the price became oversold. When looking at the Bollinger Bands, RSI, and the stochastics we can see all the indicators are matching the criteria for being oversold.
In our opinion the price will dropp a little bit lower today towards the support line. After this has happend you can take a short-term long position.
All further details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck
ETCUSD - Long - Small bounceOn the chart we can see the price is currently in oversold condition. As we can see all the three indicator are suggesting the oversold condition. So this can be an shortt-erm oppurtunity to get approximately 7% profit if this plays out.
The indicators used are Bollinger Bands, RSI and Stochastics.
See further details on the chart.
Goodluck!
LTCUSD - Short - Small drop comingOn the chart we can see the price is currently overbought. As we can see all the three indicators are suggesting the overbought condition. So this can be a short-term oppurtunity to get some profit if this plays out.
The indicators used are Bollinger Bands, RSI, Stochastic.
See all the details on the chart.
Goodluck!
Bitcoin ₿ollinger ₿and Expansion as predicted 🚨🚨🚨Bitcoin ₿ollinger ₿and Expansion as predicted 2nd half of November🚨🚨🚨
It was not a BTC direction prediction
No we see huge expansion after compression
Recognize on ₿ollinger ₿and Width:
🔴lower lows
🟠Expansion
🟢higher lows
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
⬇️⬇️⬇️
Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗
Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
BTC/USD - Will we see a Death Cross on the Bitcoin 1 week chart?Looking at the BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA (Yellow Line) is now getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). A crossover would signal a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the entire history and available data on this BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA has never crossed under the 200MA on this 1w timeframe. Note that the 50MA did come very close to crossing under the 200MA around the week of the 30th Nov 2015 but in the end, it didn’t happen.
Other notes:
BTC is still in a Massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern.
BTC is also still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still under all 3 of its major unique Ichimoku Kumo (Cloud) patterns.
BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow, we can see that we are still in the Distribution Zone traveling slightly upwards but would say more like 'sideways within a range' on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is a sign of continued weakness on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but has starting to slope downwards. Note that both the MACD Line and Signal Line are still deep in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the last green histogram had also decreased in size and this weekly one looks like it will also close smaller than the last indicating upwards momentum is weakening on this 1w timeframe.
Interesting times and potential opportunities ahead once this World Recession bottoms.
I hope this quick chart is helpful.
ADA/USD - still in its Falling Wedge PatternHere is a closer look at this ADA/USD 1d chart.
Just like BTC, ADA is still in its massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
Here is a closer look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI).
Once this world wide Recession has fully bottomed, for those that are prepared, there will be truly amazing opportunities to acquire your crypto of choice at a real bargain price ready to ride the next cycle upwards.
BTC/USD - 1D Chart Update with Triple Ichimoku CloudsQuick BTC/USD 1D chart update.
A range of $12K to bottom $9K price target for BTC/USD is still in play. $9K will probably be hit with just a quick wick downwards from $12K.
V Calculation (Negative)
V= B-(C-B) = D
C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622
B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,622 = $9,916
Note that the above calculation is from the 1M Chart but i have added it onto this 1D chart.
Note that BTC is still under our 3 unique Ichimoku Clouds.
Here is a closer look at this 1d chart:
If we look at our main Ichimoku Cloud we can see that:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is sideways at the moment on this 1d timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment on this 1d timefram.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment is sideways. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the past price.
End of the Bear Market will be signified when the price crosses back above our Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) of our third largest Kumo (Cloud) and all 3 Kumo Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) create a Kumo Twist turning all 3 green. Note that the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is near the trope of the Descending Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still in its downwards Pitchfork Pattern and is getting very close the its Pitchfork Median Line. Note that the Price found Resistance from its Upper Light Green Pitchfork Resistance Line.
BTC is still in a Descending Wedge Pattern and a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that both the Middle Band and the Lower Band are still pointing downwards and the Upper Band is starting to curve downwards. So we could see some consolidation before the next big move downwards.
Looking At the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 39.04 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has increased slightly but is still low with the +DI (Green Line) at 9.47. Negative Momentum has dropped but is still dominant with the -DI (Red Line) at 29.95.
For your viewing pleasure, here is a look at the amazing accuracy of all 3 of these unique Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) Clouds (Kumo) as support and resistance levels.
This is all my opinion so i hope this has been helpful.
VET/USD - 1w chart Update and my opinionLet’s have another quick look at the VET/USD 1w chart.
Here is a closer look at this 1w chart.
VeChain is still in its Descending Wedge Pattern on this 1w chart. Note that VET failed to close a weekly candle above its upper descending trend line of its Descending Wedge Pattern at around $0.0286. $0.0286 was also the previous high from Mon 23rd Jul 2018.
VeChain is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1w chart.
VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1w chart. Note that the Lower Band has started to curve downwards indicating volatility for the downside on this 1w chart.
Note that the 50MA (Orange Line) is getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). If the 50MA crosses under the 200MA on this 1w chart that will create a death cross on this 1 week timeframe.
VET is now fighting to stay above its support area located at $0.01978 and $0.0181. If VET closes a weekly candle below $0.0181 then we should drop to around $0.0120.
VET is below its 1 ($0.01845) Trend Based Fib Extension Level. Failure to close a weekly candle above this level will lead to further drops.
Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see the area i which the most Volume was traded on VET/USD.
Note that VET is close to dropping under its 78.60% Fib Retracement Level at $0.01811.
I have added a Modified Schiff Pitchfork pattern and you can clearly see that VET has a long way togo before crossing back above its Median Line.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 16.34 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.39. Negative Momentum has Increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 24.32.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that there is still plenty of room for VET to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1w chart. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of downwards strength on this 1w timeframe.
So what does all this tell me:
This is all just my opinion but this tells me that there is plenty of room for VET to drop further on this 1w timeframe especially if it closes a weekly candle below its 78.60% Fib Retracement level.
Once this world wide recession fully bottoms be it in a 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then opportunities will arise for those who are ready. My crypto of choice is obviously VET and a few others that have use cases but this goes for all Crypto’s so soon your crypto of choice will be available at an even lower bargain price. Especially if/when BTC drops to the $12k-$9k range. Please see the chart below.
I hope this is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LTD - Bollinger Band + MACD📊 Script: HINDALCO (HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: YES
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY 500 / NIFTY METAL
📊 Sector: Commodities - Metals & Mining
📊 Industry: Non - Ferrous Metals - Aluminum
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it.
📈 MACD is already giving crossover.
📈 Double Moving Averages also giving crossover.
📈 Current RSI is around 66.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 455.55
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 502
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 435
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
⚠️ Purely technical based pick.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Time for Change?The past two weeks have been another two weeks of low volatility, making October the month with the lowest volatility for some time. However, in the past few days, the upper and lower Bollinger Bands have begun to diverge, implying volatility is starting to pick up. Many active traders will be happy to see a change from the sideways market we have experienced in recent weeks.
From a technical point of view, the bulls will rejoice at the fact that we finally flipped the $20,500 resistance to support and have since retested that level. Bulls will now have their eyes on the $22,800 level which they will be hoping to flip in order to light the way towards $24,000. However, a fall below the $20,500 level would see a return to the range we previously escaped from. The bears will be hoping to see a break below the $18,200 support level which would likely result in new yearly lows. Another important indicator to keep an eye on is the MACD. At present, there is a very small spread between the MACD line and the signal line. If the MACD crosses below the signal line, this would provide support to the idea that we are heading back towards the $18,000-$20,500 range.
In other news, the resignation of UK Prime Minister Liz Truss seems to have restored some confidence in the markets. Consequently, the Pound has gained some serious ground back against the dollar. It now trades at around $1.16, the highest level since the disastrous ‘mini-budget’ was announced. With the newly elected Prime Minister Rishi Sunak having a background in banking and finance, bulls will be hoping he has a firm grasp on the importance of stabilising inflation and the economy. If his government can do this, we could be poised for a more bullish market outlook in the coming months.
Additionally, UK regulators have been urged to ease collateral requirements to avoid a pension-fund blow-up. Market participants will be keeping a close eye on this as the collapse of a large UK pension fund would send shock waves throughout the entire financial system and would signify a bleak short-term outlook for the economy.
Either way, it’s likely that in the coming weeks and months, the outcome of key macro events will dictate the direction of the market. Whether it's a return to up-only or more chaos, things are really starting to heat up.
LTCUSDT - Short Position - OverboughtLTCUSDT is currently in an oversold condition. It´s likely for the price to go down.
The bollinger bands, RSI and stochastic they tell us the price will go down soon. The price is approaching a previous resistance. So wait for the price to retest this resistance if it does the resistance line becomes your entry point.
Further details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck!
$ETH | Little Pocket ETHUSD with a small pocket of opportunity here. Simple pull back from the lower Bollinger Band break (with over sold RSI levels extremely) and the first candle succeeding it and then a retrace back. Resting on the support line and has done this previously with a bounce. Stop loss placed below the nearest swing low with the take profit clearing the 20 MA and 50 EMA.
$XRP | How Far Can We Go?!?$XRPUSD has gone parabolic amidst positivities in the SEC trial and has rocketed to levels not seen since April 2022. It has cleared the 20MA and 50EMA on the daily with ease. The 200EMA is still in question but is looking good BUT $XRPUSD is coming in another major resistance zone that has been tested multiple times so I am awaiting on the 4hr chart to see how the trend reacts before shorting. But a great sight to see indeed. If $XRPUSD closes above this $0.51-$0.53 resistance zone and successfully above the 200EMA expect a run up to the $0.90 area. Giddy up!
Fed decisions boost the USD trendThe Fed raised its funds rate by 75 basis point to a target range of 3.00% - 3.25%, its highest since 2008.
DXY remains bullish, even technically, supported by a rising trendline, 20 and 50 SMA on D1.
Even if the RSI starts showing overbought signal with bearish divergence, and Bollinger bands upper limit reached, it isn't in this case a sell signal: strong momentum brings traders into this trap.
Wait for RSI to cross below the 14 SMA as described on the chart to start looking for a correction.
Measuring the corrections shows us strength recently in the momentum ( smaller corrective waves ).
Measuring the impulsive wave shows us that the uptrend hasn't reached yet it's logical goal.
With the good news on the USD, the index can reach the 114 level.
Goodluck,
Joe.