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Bollingersband

Volatility within a rangeHere’s one if you like drama. Barely averting a strike in Norway, ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, the Saudis cutting supply to China, oil is in the middle of it all. With so much uncertainty, oil has been suffering bouts of volatility recently which presents an opportunity for trading. Over the past month, crude oil futures seem to be trading within an ascending wedge. A bollinger band marks out the upper and lower range that prices have bounced off previously. When coupling this with Relative Strength Index (RSI), we see a recurring pattern where prices bounce off the lower bollinger band as RSI reaches the oversold levels. With current prices trading near oversold levels and the bottom bollinger band just a touch away, we see a bounce on the horizon. Let’s stay patient and wait for confirmation from prices touching either the support of the ascending wedge or breaking the lower bollinger band before committing to the position. Entry at 117.8, stop below 114.5. Target at 125. Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by inspirante
BTC bottom in or more blood?BTC looks like it hit a bottom after LFG cleared out its $BTC reserves to defend its stability. The momentum indicator if continues to curl up may produce a bullish momentum div, not yet confirmed. BBWP reading about to top out, no confirmation yet either upon crossover of its MA. EWT corrective target hit ~$30.7k from 1.272 fibs measured from late Jan. bottom to late March top. Not to mention we've hit the bottom of a fork There are risk factors of this idea not playing such as: BTC continues to correlate with trades/sp500 and drops alongside it as QT continues, and interest rates get risen from the fed. BTC has not retested the 200W MA Cyber security risks w/ regard to complete shutdown of power grids mining BTC and hosting/running many DeFi/L1/L2 services, with nations like RU/CN engaging in non-kinetic warfare. We've already seen RU disconnect intercontinental cables in the Atlantic. As the EU holds out on gas during winter, we could see more desperate measures/retaliation through new avenues in 5th Gen. warfare . Shanghai lockdown fails to prevent the spread of bird flu , potentially inducing another global lockdown If the trade does get stopped out, the next areas of interest for entry would be 23k if we close under $29.2k on the daily, invalidating bull impulsive Elliott wave since late June. The on-chain bottom is ~$27k, and 200W MA is ~$21K, both are also entries in the event of an invalidation. Trade: Entry:$30.7k SL: $26.6K TP: Hull MA ~$36k, ABC PoC ~$39k
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by linebands
Bitcoin price leveling outUsing Bollinger bands with momentum on the 1 hour and 4 hour time frames for dollar cost averaging, it seems that Bitcoin is beginning to level out and stabilize in price action. This could be the bottom of this downward trend we have seen since the middle of November of 2021, however, I believe caution needs to be used and careful planning. Based upon the market's recent events of unpredictability and unstable volatility, I believe dollar cost averaging is the best approach over the long term in dealing with this unusual market while protecting your investment. Whether or not this trend continues, it really doesn't matter as this is a good middle range point to pick up a few more positions in it for either a nice little profit if the market does rise, or a stable accumulation point for a continued downtrend. The only thing that is really clear at the moment, is that the market is at a pivotal point. Risk mitigation and budget management skills are a requirement as this really could go either way.
by RobertD7723
3
VET/USD - UpdateAs I mentioned in my previous VET post in March, there was always a possibility that VET would drop out of the Bottom Trend-line of its Ascending Wedge and Invalidate that Ascending Wedge Pattern, which has happened. VET also failed to get back above its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib extension Level on that previous chart so we know that $0.087 is the price that VET needs to close a daily candle above solidified with a successful re-test as support. So let’s move on. Using a longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), you can see that VET is still below its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern Median Line. At the moment VET has found some support from its Lower Green Pitchfork Support Line. Let’s take a closer look at this 1 day VET USD chart with the Bollinger Bands, LSMA and VPFR POC. At the moment VET is fighting to stay back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Not that the Upper and Lower Bands are moving sideways at the moment. Using the VPVR, you can see that the Upper and Lower Bands are located roughly above and below an area of large volume. At the moment VET has found some support from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level. A daily close ABOVE the LSMA is crucial for continued upwards momentum. At the moment VET is trying to stay back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 22x daily candles i have selected. For your viewing pleasure i have added various support and resistance lines (Black Solid Lines and Black Dotted Line) as well as various support areas as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. As you can see, VET is now in a Descending Triangle Pattern (Bearish) as well as a Descending Wedge Pattern (Bullish). Note that the APEX of the Descending Triangle is located around Nov 2022 and the APEX of the Descending Wedge is located around March 2023. Note that a pattern can easily become invalidated with the price drop below and successful re-test as resistance of the bottom trendlines. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum is still downwards with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 14.17. Note that Negative Momentum is also down with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 20.00. Note that the Trend Strength is still strong but has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 30.52 and the ADX is also back under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 33.84 which is further confirmation of a weakening of Trend Strength at the moment. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment with the MACD Line (Blue Line) pointing upwards and is still back above its Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still BELOW the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. Looking at the bottom Volume indicator we can see that overall traded volume is still low especially compared to what VeChain was getting from around October 2019 to May 2021. This is similar to Bitcoin’s daily chart which possibly means that while big money might actually be accumulating crypto assets like BTC, but there hasn’t been a constant inflow of big money actually trading crypto like BTC on a regular basis since around May 2021. Using the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator, you can see where the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is for this VeChain Chart is. Using the entire charts range we can indicate at what price range was the most volume was traded at. At the moment the Crypto market is following BTC so if BTC drops to $20k or $12,400 then we may see a wick down to around $0.009 which would offer a real great buying opportunity for most crypto. If BTC doesn’t drop to $20K then we will see VeChain eventually break back above its Descending Triangle, its Descending Wedge and eventually back above its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. I hope this post is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
3
TREX continues range-bound TREK The weekly chart for TREX shows that price appears to remain bounded by the upper band (red) and basis (white) of the Fibonacci Bollinger Bands as it has since the Great Recession. The price is looking ready for a bounce. The oscillators are too oversold on the monthly chart to support a high probability that TREX will drop sharply below the white level. Therefore this price area represents a rather low-risk buying setup. Not financial advice. As always anything can happen and trends can end.
NYSE:TREXLong
by SpyMasterTrades
2
ADA/USDA quick look at the ADA/USD 1 day chart: ADA is still below its Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is also below its smaller descending Pitchfork (Black A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Lower Band is till pointing downwards and the Upper Band is now moving downwards. At the moment of typing this, ADA is trying to get back and stay above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts entire Visible Range. Looking at this range gives us a sense of potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest that may offer good buying opportunities if ADA drops lower. ADA is also still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x Daily Candles that i have Selected. Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Short-term Momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Mid-term momentum is also sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment for this 1 day candle. Note that The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the Price from 30 Periods ago. Note that both the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) are moving sideways at the moment indicating a decrease in volatility at the moment. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 40.249 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 37.203. Negative momentum is still dominant with the -DI (Red Line) at 29.750 but note it has dropped from 37.0. Positive Momentum has increased slightly with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 10.83. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that momentum is sideways with a slight upwards trajectory. Note that the MACD Lien (Blue Line) is still under its Signal Line (Orange Line) and still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Potential areas of previous Volume interest to look out for if you want to go long on ADA if ADA drops further are potentially: $0.411 to $0.298, $0.179 - $0.128, $0.111 - $0.082, $0.049 - $0.033. Using the indicators on this chart, for confirmation of a renewed mid to longterm uptrend on this 1 day timeframe, we need to see: 1: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and stay above it. 2: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and stay above it. 3: ADA to cross back into the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and for the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) to cross back ABOVE the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a Kumo (Cloud) Twist creating a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1 day timeframe. 4: The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) to cross back ABOVE the Price from 30 Periods ago and stay above the price below it. 5: The +DI (Green Line) to cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) 6: the MACD Line (Blue Line to cross back ABOVE its Signal Line (Orange Line) and back ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1 day timeframe. 7: ADA to cross back ABOVE both Pitchfork Median Lines especially the Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C). Apologies for the lack of posting, i have been busy filming a new feature film. I'm sure there's more things i could post and I've probably missed a few things but this hopefully gives people enough for to ponder. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
BTC/USD 1WLooking at the Trend-Base Fib Extension we can see that BTC found some support from its 0.5 Fib Level at $30,329. If this support level fails then the next Fib Levels are 0.618 at $26,100 and 0.786 at $20,077. Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe. Note that at the moment BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Lower Band. Looking at the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) we can see that BTC closed a weekly candle below its LSMA. A close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal. A key area of support is the area from around £31,075 to $28,666 as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. Note that BTC has found support from this Support Zone 9 times previous since the 4th Jan 2021. Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), you can see potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest if the support at around $28,666 and the 0.618 Fib Level at $26,100 both fail. Note that for the timeframe starting Sept 2020 to the present day, BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note that BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 7 weekly candles i have selected. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a sharp rise in Negative Momentum on this 1 week timeframe with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 30.54 and the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.27. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.39 and crossing above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.37. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) still has room to drop further before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is still below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating negative momentum strength. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF line (Green Line) is still under the 0.0 Basel Line in the Distribution Zone and has been since the week of the 21st Feb 2022 on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is also below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicating strength for distribution. If we use the area from around $31,075 to $28,666 as our base and the Descending Trend-line then we can clearly see that BTC is also in a Descending Triangle Pattern on this 1 week timeframe. In any case, if the support area fails then there will be some good opportunities to acquire BTC or your crypto of choice at a bargain price before the next bull cycle upwards. Never say never. I hope this quick and dirty post is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
BTC pullback to 39kBTC has hit expected resistance around 47k from the PoC of the volume profile of the drawdown since the ATH to the Jan. 24 low of 33k. If BTC breaks the recent retest of the 55D HMA it will increase the probability of at least retesting 39k. The BBWP indicator below confirmed the end of the recent uptrend, suggesting BTC will at least consolidate for a while I have doubt that we'll revisit sub 39k in one candle given how long BTC's bearish sentiment has been since the ATH. But if we do break down 39k, these are the support levels to look out for: 33k-35k, 30k, 27k, and 23k. I have my EW targets set there as I believe the range is a bearish triangle pattern ending on the 47k PoC. Nonetheless, it is a bit worrisome to see coins distributed recently from whales. Short trade: Entry:45.8k SL: 49k TP:39K Support and Resistance Levels are noted on the chart. Green levels are support, and red is resistance. All other colors are areas of interest that could signify a major price reaction.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by linebands
ETHUSD, We migth have uptrend, Intraday Strategy PP target R1-R2Hello traders, we might have some long position, working with Intraday Strategy Pivot Points Levels Important take a note about this. Check the trend, confirm the uptrend when the prices cross the Pivot Point over up, and then R1, MA200, and R2. Controlling that the market doesn't reject those levels, we might get some profits with it. Indicator MA 200, 20-8 RSI 8 MA8 Bolliger 20. Frame 1 hour R3 3,176.43 R2 3,076.56 R1 3,019.99 PP 2,976.69 S1 2,920.12 S2 2,876.82 S3 2,776.95
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Bekapc
EOS / ETH ↗️Buy Signals: - Bullish Divergence BB%B - Fibonacci Confluence matches div ( 3rd Fib cluster ) - Potentially bottomed in large channel Other Signals - Bollinger Band Squeeze ( potential large move in either direction ) - BBW all time high( existing trend is ending ) - Pending price action when price approaches the cloud. Invalidation: - Increased Volume and rejection in or before the cloud. ( strong resistance ) - BB%B fails to make a higher high and double tops. - Rejection of the first Fibonacci price cluster. Target Price: - 1rst target: 0.0017-0.0018 ETH - 2nd target: pending price / volume action in 1rst cluster. - 3rd target: pending price / volume action in 1rst cluster. - Ultimate target: 0.0065 ETH ( anticipate price to touch the beginning of the div ) Stop Loss: 0.0006712 ETH Strategy: - Dollar cost averaging while under first target. Type of Trade: - Long Swing Trade - Ongoing purchase for contract deployment as insurance for increased contract costs. Why buy: - Ideal trade for any developer planning to migrate from ETH to EOS, potentially saving on EOS smart contract deployment costs. Fundamental - Unpopular opinion: Despite its controversial beginnings, EOS is a genuine blockchain with a unique resource model allowing feeless transactions, it only lacks a larger following, development of more trendy products, and is often overshadowed by its genesis. - EOS EVM is being launched. Long term outlook: - EOS is highly inflationary and unlikely to create a long term bullish trend against ETH, however in the short term is likely to outpace ETH. - EOS/USD is a different assessment.
ELong
by LCessa
HOOD ↗️Buy Signals: - Bullish Divergence - Fibonacci Cluster ( matches beginning of div ) Other Signals: - Greater than average volume breaking above the Cloud ( this would validate a trend change) Invalidation: - BB%B: A significant drop below the bullish div trend line - Cloud: Greater than average volume with drop in price in within or below. Target Price: - $38.20 Stop Loss: - fluid ( * lack of stop loss is not advisable * ) Strategy: - Dollar Cost Average while price is below $16 Type of Trade: - Long Swing Trade
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by LCessa
2
TSLA at Critical Level - Could Go Either WayTSLA is at a critical point with the volume shelf and other factors that could mean either direction. Bull Case: Retesting Breakout Level Falling Wedge on Daily/65m Bullish Divergence on 65m Some Bollinger Band squeezing on 65m Bear Case: Net Premium flow favors puts heavily Bearish Engulfing Candle on Weekly MACD crossing down on Daily Hidden Bearish Divergence on Daily that may not have completely played out May be slightly below volume shelf - next shelf at $912 Diminishing Volume on Daily So: If Bulls Win... (price breaks $1,037) PT1 - $1,045 PT2 - $1,065 PT3 - $1,087 If Bears Win... (price breaks $1,021) PT1 - $1,011 PT2 - $1,000 PT3 - $1,090
NASDAQ:TSLA
by cloud9futures
2
ADA/USDAt the moment of typing this, ADA is still below its longterm Pitchfork Median Line and has been below it since the 3rd March 2022. ADA is also in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern (Black A,B,C). At the moment, ADA is still above its Descending pitchfork Median Line. At the moment, ADA has found some support from its Descending Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line. At the moment ADA is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe. At the moment, ADA is also back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Not that we have yet to get expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands Using the Ichimoku settings of 20,60,120,30, we can see that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and ADA has not made an attempt to break back into the Equilibrium Zone since the 18th Jan 2022 when ADA failed to close a daily candle within the Cloud. At the moment, ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 20x daily candles that i have selected. At the moment, ADA is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. At the moment, Volume on this Binance Chart for ADA is still relatively low compared to what ADA was getting around May 2021. Looking at the Average Directional index (ADX DI), Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (green Line) dropping to 22.56 and note that Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 18.89. The Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.57 and still below the 20 Threshold and also below its 9 Period EMS (Black Line) at 20.82. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and it is above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 20th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe. Here is a wider look at this ADA 1 day chart with its Longterm Pitchfork Pattern: Looking at this ADA 1 day chart, i personally wouldn’t get excited until ADA gets back above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line and also starts making a Hight Highs and Higher Lows above $1.63. So depending on what BTC does and what your Trading plan, Hodl-ing Plan or DCA plan is, it looks like there will still be good opportunities to acquire more ADA or your crypto of choice at a discount price. On another note, if ADA drops below its Descending pitchfork Median Line then we can expect to hit $0.622 but that is if support of the Descending Pitchfork Median Line fails as support. I would keep an eye on whether or not both the LSMA and Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA continues to be Support or become Resistance on this 1 day timeframe. I hope this post is helpful for your Trading or Hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
2
BTC\USDA quick BTC/USD update: At the moment, BTC is testing its crucial Descending Resistance Line of its Triangle Pattern as well as testing its crucial Resistance Area. Note that BTC has found resistance from this Descending Resistance Line 3 times previous and you can clearly see the interactions of the previous Daily Candles with this Resistance/Support area. Note that the APEX of the Triangle Pattern is located around the 23rd April 2022. At the moment of typing this, BTC is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as well as back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart's visible range. At the Moment of typing this, BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Note that Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) Resistance Line is located in the same spot as the Resistance Area that BTC is testing. Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension, we can see that the 0.236 level is also located at BTC’s crucial Resistance Area. Note that this is the first time since the 10th March that the daily Volume Bar has been above its Volume 20 Period MA. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a spike in Positive Momentum with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 22.04. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.89. Note that the +DI (Green line) is now back above the -DI (Red Line) indicating Positive Momentum is stronger than Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. Note that we have to be careful because the overall Trend Strength is still very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 15.39 way below the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and is still also below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.64. Tonight’s daily candle close will be a very interesting one to watch. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
BTC/USD - 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension levelThe Trend-Based Fib Extension level 0.236 at $42,492.75 is the level BTC needs to close above and successfully re-test as support for continued upwards momentum on this 1 day timeframe. This level is also where its descending trend-line is located exactly on the 0.236 level. At the moment, BTC is also back above its Least Squares Moving Average, its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as well as its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 14x daily candles that i have selected. Note that BTC is also back inside the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone at the moment. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI), it looks like we are very close to potentially seeing the +DI (Green Line) cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) which would indicate that Positive Momentum has become dominant over Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. If this crossover happens and the +DI (Green Line) is on top, we then need the +DI (Green Line) and the -DI (Red Line) to keep expanding further away from each other for continued Positive Momentum dominance on this 1 day timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC has found resistance from its Trend-Based Fib Extension 0.236 level as well as from its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. It will be very interesting to see where and how BTC closes this daily candle. I hope this brief post is helpful with trading and hold-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1