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Bond-yields

US Dollar Index ForecastDemand for the dollar is usually high as it is the world's reserve currency. Other factors that influence whether or not the dollar rises in value in comparison to another currency include inflation rates, trade deficits, and political stability. The dollar has been gaining strength against the currencies of other major economies. The dollar is strong because the US economy is healthier than those of many other countries and because the Federal Reserve keeps raising interest rates. Does the dollar get stronger with higher interest rates? But the overriding reason for the strong dollar is the fight against inflation. The Federal Reserve is ratcheting up interest rates to attack the current near-constant rise in prices and said last week it expects more hikes this year. As it continues to raise rates, the dollar will strengthen. <-- https:// tradingeconomics.com/ united-states/ interest-rate ---> How do bond yields affect the dollar? Bond yields actually serve as an excellent indicator of the strength of a nation's stock market, which increases the demand for the nation's currency. For example, U.S. bond yields gauge the performance of the U.S. stock market, thereby reflecting the demand for the U.S. dollar. <--- https:// ycharts.com/indicators/ 10_2_year_treasury_yield_spread --->
TVC:DXYLong
by domotswiri
Reverse Head and Shoulders Breakout in 30 Year Bond YieldVery clear reverse head and shoulders, a very strong chart pattern indicator for long term tops and bottoms, target is 3.6% yield on the 30 year bond. A retest of the neckline will confirm a very strong possibility of the target being reached. On the macro side, I think yields will be forced lower over the next 1-5 years. I'm looking to go all in on leveraged bonds if and when the the 3.6% yield is reached, or if CPI starts showing significant weakening.
TVC:TYX
by RPM3231342
Short NASDAQ and Gold!!As per the proven academic hypothesis by Ilmanen(2003), it has been established that in times of growth uncertainty, low inflation and stable discount rates, there is an inverse relationship between Bond Yields and Equity Markets. The simple logic behind it is that, investors are looking for risk free return and if the dividend yield of index which is on average 1.74% for Nasdaq with risk (In Feb 2021 it was 1.34%), is lower than risk free investments i.e. bond then why invest in Equities? This is the reason why the equities have started to fall now as bond yields are rising. Bond yields have been rising since August 2020 but their yields were not high enough as compared to Equities. Now when the yields are higher than the dividend yield on equities, people have started to invest in bonds. The same is the case with Gold. Holding gold does not give any return but bonds do and being risk free, offering a higher return than equities, ergo, people have again started to invest in bonds by shorting Gold.
TVC:NDQShort
by wajahatid