US INTEREST RATES - To Go Through The Roof. Here's The Evidence.Using the very latest advances in my AriasWave analysis I bring to you the breakdown of the US Bond Yields AKA INTEREST RATES.
What do you think higher interest rates will do to the global economy? Leave your comments below.
My analysis using the AriasWave methodology is improving at a rapid rate.
Once you learn how to do proper research you will no longer rely on indicators or hunches.
Get ready because things are about to get messy in the debt market.
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Bondyields
US Government Bond 30 Year Yield Price ActionUS30 yr yield price action
W bullish patterns is being completed , if the price can cross the red line and stay above it for a enough time , then this pattern will work
Properly and it can reach to the green line , which this is not a good news for stocks , because usually the correlation between the stocks and the bond yield is opposite .
BOND YIELDS - 870 Year Zig Zag In Bond Yields Looks CompleteThe Red Wave A Zig Zag since 1150AD looks complete. The (C) Wave was an expanding ending diagonal.
I have clearly marked the impulsive 3 Wave moves (1,3,& 5) and the corrective move (2 & 4)
Down below there is a 1-2 pattern forming which also looks complete, I will touch on that in a separate idea.
Higher Interest Rates Anyone?
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DOW VS NASDAQ VS 10YR BONDS VS ARIASWAVE - The Final VerdictThe world is changing faster than we can adjust and this is the reason.
In this video I give you the conclusion of years of research finally coming together, just in time.
To understand these markets without AriasWave is like driving in pitch black darkness with no lights on.
Let the show begin.
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$EURUSD Weekly Outlook - To Summarize - ShortCoT has the commercial banks shorting the EURUSD still. Yeah, they added a few long positions this weel, but that was to get back to a level they wanted to add more shorts. They/ve been shorting since the height of the Pandemic swing. so for the Central banks to start being profitable, the price will have to be below 1.13500. If you draw a fib from the start of the EURUSD commercial shorts to the height of the commercial shorts, you can see it unfold in the fib extensions where price wants to reach.
I personally like to see a bit of a larger retracement to the green box notated in this chart during the London/NY session before aggressively going short.
Plus theirs divergence in the 10 year bonds between the currencies. As most are going up, the EUR is taking a dip as of recent.
DIVERGENCE IN 10 YEAR BONDS
Strong Bear tendencies this week. It will be London op and NY open to find the best setups to go short.
GBP STILL BULLISHlooking at the chart we have marked out key levels with active Options strike prices supported with high volume and open interest. We plan to observe how price reacts at 1.3300 and 1.2500 levels prior the the expiration of these contracts. In terms of price action , Cable still maintains an upward trajectory in line with non-commercial sentiments and seasonal outlook. UK bond price maybe trending downwards in line with its inverse relationship with the GBPUSD. However, the Brexit fears may invalidate this move if the trend line is broken and prices fall below 1.2500
Correlation between SG Bond Yields and TLTIn an interesting comparison, Singapore Bond Yields precede the TLT (blue line) slightly, especially in the recent year. See the elllipses marking out the break points, and SG Bond Yields are leading.
Noted that the SG Bond Yield has been strongly downtrending, ahead of the TLT bullishess (inversely indicative of the US Bond Yields).
I think it signals the undercurrents that something is not as rosy as it appears. The SG bond Yields are telling...
US 10 Year yield looks to be heading lower soonThe 10 year treasury yield looks ready to resolve its multi-month consolidation triangle to the downside. There's room for another run up to the .70% area over the next couple weeks, but I ultimately believe we are heading for lower yields. Note the fairly swift rejection from the rally above the 50MA at the end of May / start of June.
I'm not making any plays directly on treasuries, but watching closely because a definitive break lower in yields would signal that stock markets may be heading for a major risk-off move.
10 yrConclusion is:
Bond market seems to think this pump in the stock market is suspect. 10yr should rally up to .80 zone if investors were actually risk on.
I am just keeping an eye on DXY, 10yr, WTI at this point as they r all showing mixed conflicting signals.
DXY looks to have slightly more downside B4 reversing up (only question is how strong)
10 yr looks to be showing me that bond investors don't feel that this pump in stocks are worth the follow thru.
WTI RSI looks destroyed and could get a bounce but the shale stocks OAS WLL not showing any signs of buying pressure & also have lost bottom TL or are loosing the bottom TL. When the bounce comes to WTI if there is no volume or follow thru on the bounce I would expect that to be a scam.
I think that the markets have entered bear market territory late June into July & we are at early stages of the new trend. Unless WTIC can get the mentioned volume buyers I think we are better off watching for now.