USDJPY - Broken Support Becomes Resistance !Hello Traders 💖
On the Weekly time frame, the USDJPY Has Rejected a Major Key Level.
Currently, The Price Breaks the daily Support Level, the old support becomes new resistance level ✔️
So, i Expect a Bearish Move 📉
i'm waiting for a Retest...
-----------
TARGET: 131.500🎯
...
if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
BOS
How to trade Smart Money Concepts:Smart Money Concepts is a more sophisticated way of trading price action, while taking advantage of where institutions are likely to place their orders. This makes Smart Money Concepts a usable tool whenever you are dealing with hedge funds. What you are about to read is an elaborate tutorial explaining a lot about this trading strategy, including some trading strategies (NOTE: there are many SMC indicators and the one I’ll be using is the one by LuxAlgo since I believe is the most “complete” out of all). Let's start.
1) Order Blocks:
Order Blocks are, in my opinion, the most important feature in SMC trading, as it shows where these institutions are likely to place their orders. In order for an order block to form, look at where the market is consolidating, creating an area of volume price is likely to be attracted to (some order blocks are formed due to imbalances in the market). In this image, you can see how order blocks are formed right after a ranging market has been broken. Because of this unique feature, order blocks are not the same as support/resistance zones.
In order for us to trade using order blocks, look for where an order block has been formed recently, as the longer an order block survives, the weaker it becomes. Buy when the candle that hit the order block closes and set your stop loss under that order block. In this example it worked since the volume wasn’t too high and the order block had formed a few candles before the retest. You can do this for shorts as well (NOTE: the more retests the order block gets, the weaker it becomes)
2) BOS & CHoCH:
Supports and resistances usually apply on Price Action, but they can be applied in Smart Money Concepts as well. The difference is that in Smart Money Concepts, you these supports and resistances when the price breaks through them. However, in many occasions these signals can be false and it’s only a retest of the support/resistance. In order to understand what BOS/CHoCH means, we need to look at the graph:
This is an example I made.
From the graph, a BOS or a Break of Structure is whenever the price breaks the most recent support/resistance in the direction of the trend direction(bullish/bearish). A CHoCH or a Change of Character is whenever the price breaks the most recent support/resistance in the direction opposite of the trend direction. What I mean by this is that in the example I have shown, the trend was bullish until it was not. Normally a bullish trend breaks the resistances instead of the supports, and vice-versa. This is why the name Break of Structure since the price continues going the direction it wants while solving any “issue” in its path. If this “issue” is big enough to break the support/resistance maintaining the trend intact, then it’s known as a Change of Character , since it changes the character of the trend. When this happens, there is a chance for a trend reversal to happen, which is the case for the example I’ve shown. Now I’ll show how to trade BOS/CHoCH in a real graph.
As you can see from the chart, there are a lot of Breakthroughs of Structure and Changes of Character, but this indicator actually shows which of these BOS/CHoCH are major. The trick is that if the indicator shows a BOS/CHoCH marked by a straight line instead of a bunch of lines, this means that it is more accurate. In this example, we ignore the smaller BOS/CHoCH and just look at the 2 important ones. We know they are important because they are marked by a straight line. You buy after the CHoCH/BOS label appears and when the candle that retested the broken resistance/new support closes and the volume doesn’t increase before that (unless the market is ranging after it broke). Same thing with shorts. You short after the BOS/CHoCH label appears when the candle that retested the broken support/new resistance and the volume doesn’t increase from the candle before that.
3) EQH/EQL:
In Price Action , there are chart patterns. One of the most known ones are the double top and the double bottom . Smart Money Concepts refers to these double tops/bottoms as Equal Highs and Equal Lows (EQH/EQL for short). Here’s an example:
As you can see, there is a double top (EQH) which came after an uptrend, meaning that there is a chance that the price will break the necklace (the support line made in the middle of the double tops), causing a change of character, which it did. Due to the nature of double tops and bottoms, this rarely happens. You should use this tool in confluence with other SMC tools like Order Blocks and BOS/CHoCH. Personally, I don’t use them much. I just use them to identify strong supports and resistances, as well as double tops and bottoms. They could also be used to identify trend reversals on major areas of support and resistance.
4) Premium and Discount zones:
Premium and Discount zones are ranges that form in the market when a recent major support and resistance has been established. In this example, you can see when did the premium and discount zones form. The price made a major support and resistance. The equilibrium zone is the 50% line in the Fibonacci Retracement tool if you pay close attention.
This means that price can react off of the Equilibrium zone, and if you pay close attention, you can see it was ranging for a while.
For a trading strategy, wait for the price to reach the Premium or Discount zones, and, if the market's volume decreases, enter a trade and set your take profit at the equilibrium zone. The reason why you should set your take profit at the equilibrium zone is because there is a chance the price rejects off of the equilibrium zone.
5) Fair Value Gaps:
Fair Value Gaps are imbalances that form in the market and can be good support/resistance areas. They usually form when the market is volatile and when a breakout or retest just happened.
In order to identify what a fair value gap is, look for a huge candle body like the one shown in the picture, then, draw a rectangle with its base being at the highest point of the previous candle's upper wick and with its top being the lowest point of the following candle's lower wick. Now, extend the rectangle to the right and now you have a fair value gap.
For a trading strategy, look for the line in the middle which is shown in the fair value gap. This line acts as a support, and the price can bounce off of it. For an entry point, wait for the price to react to the fair value gap, and, if the volume decreases while the reaction is happening, enter.
6) Liquidity Grabs:
Even if you think your trading strategy is amazing, you will always have to deal with scams. No matter how good your trading strategy is, all trading strategies fail to deal with hedge funds and whales. They sometimes act when the price is very close to a support or resistance, and when the people expect a bounce, they place their stop losses under the area of confluence. These hedge funds then act, and end up manipulating the market, forcing the people to panic buy or panic sell, depending on the area of confluence. One major example of market manipulation is in the Crypto Exchange. Trading Crypto is almost like gambling. Liquidity grabs perfectly reference the scam. You can spot them if, on a ranging market, there is a sudden increase or decrease in price. Always pay attention to traps like the ones in these examples shown below:
For a trading strategy, wait for the scam pump or dump to stagnate and then enter your trade in the opposite direction that the candle was going to.
In conclusion, Smart Money Concepts is a fascinating trading strategy for me, and it could be for you too. There are many aspects of it, and it is another way of trading Price Action, which itself is already fantastic.
This tutorial took me 3 hours to make, so please make sure to heart and comment your opinion on this. Thank you for reading through all of this.
AUDUSD bias 12th febAs shown in our markup, we've tapped into a supply on the daily time frame. After tapping into this supply, we've broken the structure to the downside on a four-hour basis.
This leads me to believe that coming this week we may see further downside for the Australian to U.S. dollar.
We have the CPI news this week, as well as a couple of other news events, These could be the catalyst to push this pair further to the downside.
We will be looking on a smaller time frame for possible entries lower... As always, we will monitor this to see if any entries are given, but as an overall bias we are expecting bearish movements for this pair.
P2P | Backtesting - EURO/USDWelcome ladies and gents to another backtesting segment! In this clip I wanted to show more of the knowledge I've been learning through ICT and how effective its been.
Here in this video I'm (doing my best) to go over trades, time of day, price action, and why I did or didn't take the trade.
(Note: these are just backtest trade concepts, I did not actually take the trades)
I'm usually looking to scalp the markets because I tend to be somewhat impatient but after I started getting more followers asking about certain pairs (that I didn't trade) I felt it was necessary to develop more of my weakness toward swing trading.
I don't necessarily have a weakness in trading, it's more of what I'm comfortable trading.
So here's a bit of insight to what I was seeing and some of the knowledge I picked up from a few ICT videos.
As always gang, happy trading, trade well, and lets run it up from 2023 til infinity!
You can help continue to grow the page by liking and following the channel, and if you get any value from this to boost it too!
DISCLAIMER
***This page is for educational purposes only and is not intended for any financial arise. I am not a financial advisor nor do I manage any other accounts for users. Any trades you take will be of your own doing and P2P will not be held responsible.***
📊 Market Structure: BOS VS CHOCH📊What is market structure?
Market structure is the levels that are created by the price of any currency as it moves up and down.
Price never moves in a single direction for too long. It always takes a few steps in one direction, then moves a few steps back, then a few more steps, then a few steps back.
Over time, these steps form distinct structures in the market: zones of consolidation, zones of support, zones of resistance, and zones where price impulses up and down.
Market structures that form in the past are often respected in the future, and analyzing previous market structure can form a basis for a trading plan.
BoS carries on in the same direction it was initially heading in where as a CHoCH can be viewed as the Markets turning point
🔷BOS - Break of structure forms in the direction of the trend creating continuation patterns.
Break of recent Lower Low when bearish or break of recent Higher High when bullish.
🔶CHOCH - Change of character form at the end of a trend. For example, if we see an uptrend in the market, characterized by higher highs and higher lows,
this means that the overall trend remains bullish. However, when a new high is formed and then impulsively broken to the downside,
this could signal that the bullish trend might be coming to an end, and that a possible choch transition may be happening.
👤 @algobuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Volume rising for nasdaqchart breakdown for nas (bank holiday)price is currently absorbing supply from a moderate bear trend,in an event like this we should be cautious of bear orders being used to funnel more buys in the market GLOBALPRIME:NAS100
XAUUSD POTENTIAL FORECAST | TUESDAY | 20/12/2022A break of bearish trendline signify a shift in direction for gold. A minor retest whereby we can see another BOS in line with a minor fib retracement with entries taken on the lower timeframe. Looking at intraday high to be taken out. Potential intraday / swing trade on gold to the upside.
ETH SHORT TERM BEARISH BIAS4hr bearish trendline has broken with many confluences leading towards a bearish ETH for the short term.
Price has been melting after making a new highs trapping buyers and long positions before melting straight down last week during FOMC which was the catalyst for the downside on ETH and other crypto currencies. I am looking at 1070$ ETH or even a 1000$ ETH in the weeks to come.
Price is currently consolidating on the 4hr timeframe in a tight range where i am not comfortable taking a buy or a sell just yet and will only look for buys and sells based off the given SnR marked on the charts. My overall bias for ETH is shorts as there is 0 confirmations for longs just yet and will only look for long scalps to the upside upon breaks of key levels.
10 Minutes Learn BOS & ChochBOS and Choch
Break Of Structure and Choch is next level of market structure.So, if you want to learn this, you need to learn market structure first
it will goes easy to find BOS and Choch when you understand or master at market structure
If you want to trend following, market structure is enough,but if you want to find reversal pattern, Choch and BOS is Usefull
What is BOS?
Break Of Structure forms in the direction of the trend creating continuation patterns for you to joint the trend
Break of recent Lower Low when bearish or Break of recent Higher High when bullish
Example:
What is Choch?
Change Of Character for at the end of a trend forming reversal patterns to give you a chance to join the new change of bias in the market.
will usually form a head and shoulders pattern also reverse head and shoulders when bearish
How to indicate, you need to find the last Lower High ( when bearish ) and Higher Low ( when bullish ).so,when the price close above
the last Lower High or Lower Low, this pattern has formed
Below, is step by step how to using Choch
1. Determine the market structure first
2. Determine the BOS correctly
3. Determine the Choch, i change the color to green because
of bullish trend require break of Choch
Note : be careful, this part is often wrong! you should watch the last BOS
to determine the Choch
4. Look! We got it
Note : The higher timeframe close above the choch,then the confirmation is getting stronger
Easy to learn ya, thanks for reading my page!
Hope it usefull!
Key to unlock the true market structure!!!Have you been struggling with marking market structure? You may have come across many Youtubers who aim to teach the market structure, but in a very wrong manner either by taking fibonacci tool or by discretion. This Video can be an eye opener for you all who are struggling in marking valid market structure.
Market structure is the backbone for every other SMC concepts. Without market structure there will be no orderblocks, breakers etc. Even if you are a beginner in market structure, that is much better since you won't be acquiring the wrong knowledge in the 1st hand.
So are you ready to uncover the real mechanical market structure?
Video will be uploaded on YT at 6:30AM GMT on 25th November 2022
Subscribe our YT channel to never miss any content from Lamda Trading.
Happy Trading!!!
-Team Lamda