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Understanding Gold Panic Selling Reactions BetterThis video is designed to help you better understand how Gold works as a hedge instrument and how to attempt to measure Panic Selling phases in Precious Metals. Metals offer an incredible opportunity when Panic Selling hits. But it can also present some very real risks because of price volatility. Panic selling in the markets is usually an event-driven sell-off in almost all markets (including metals). This type of selling is usually related to traders pulling assets (CASH) away from all market sectors because of some crisis or geopolitical event. It is a way for traders to react to the fear of the event while sometimes ignoring how metals will react to the future revaluation event. Yet, who wants to hold Gold when it may fall 8.5% to 15% throughout this panic selling process? If you learn how to spot the base/bottom efficiently (using my Excess Phase Peak patterns), you'll be able to pinpoint some incredible opportunities in metals. I hope this video helps you to understand exactly how these Panic Selling events unfold - and lear to spot/trade them more efficiently. The reality of the current market environment is that the Trump win is the event (call it a crisis or not - I don't care). This event is causing markets to revalue current asset classes (notice the strength of the US Dollar since Election Day). I believe this revaluation event is nearly over and prices will begin to adjust into what I'm calling my "Anomaly Event" - where price levels settle back into a reversion (normal) type of contraction event before moving into a late-stage Santa Rally. If I'm right, we'll see a base/bottom in metals happen after November 15-19, 2024. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
XDC is looking great for trading in the short and mid-term.Although I'm not a big fan of the current version of XDC, version 2.0 is a badly needed and long-overdue step in the right direction. XDC, often snubbed due to its association with Mr. "Eat Zee Bugs" himself, has definitely had a negative impact on the XDC price and retail adoption, as very few people are interested in investing in a project associated with an individual who completely lacks honesty and credibility. But either way, as a trader, I like the potential of what I see in the charts and would absolutely exploit it in the short term, even though I would never be caught dead investing in this coin long term, since it's associated with people I consider completely untrustworthy. Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
CRYPTO:XDCUSD
by MetaShackle
4
BTC/USDT = Dominance Signals Bitcoin's Next Bullish MoveTL;DR for Busy Readers 95% confidence that Bitcoin has bottomed at $52.5k, with the worst possible scenario at $50.4k. The USDT Dominance Chart is showing resistance levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was around $27k. For Bitcoin to hit $44k, USDT dominance would need to enter bear market territory, which is highly unlikely. A 30%+ downside move in USDT dominance suggests more capital will flow into Bitcoin, signaling a bullish uptrend. The odds are heavily in favor of Bitcoin moving upward from here, and I expect it to play out over the rest of the month. I’m 95% confident that we’ve bottomed out at $52.5k, and the worst case scenario would be $50.4k. Additionally, I’m 95% certain we won’t see a drop to $44k or anywhere near it. Here’s why. The USDT Dominance Chart: A Key Indicator One of the most reliable charts for predicting Bitcoin tops and market reversals is the USDT Dominance chart. This chart tracks the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the market, and right now, it’s showing levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was trading around $27k. Currently, USDT Dominance is at critical resistance, touching levels that are typically only observed during bear markets. Historically, when USDT dominance hits these levels, it signals a bottom for Bitcoin and the beginning of an uptrend. Additionally, the USDT dominance chart indicates we could see over a 30%+ move to the downside in USDT dominance, meaning more capital will flow out of stablecoins and back into Bitcoin and other cryptos. This is a strong indicator that Bitcoin is bottoming out and preparing for a bullish move. Why $44k is Unlikely For Bitcoin to drop to $44k, USDT dominance would have to enter territory that we’ve only ever seen in true bear markets. If this happens, it could break the higher timeframe (HTF) structure on both the USDT dominance chart and the Bitcoin chart, and ultimately, we wouldn’t just stop at $44k—we’d probably end up around $30k. That’s why if you’re hoping for $44k , you’re really wishing for a major bear market that could pull Bitcoin down much further. This scenario would mean a shift in the current market structure, which doesn’t align with the probabilities we’re seeing. Upside Probability is Much Higher While there’s always a chance that USDT dominance could break higher and push the market lower, the probability of this happening is very small in my opinion. Investing is all about probabilities, and when we assess the entire market situation, it’s clear that the upside is heavily favored right now. Based on the data, the market structure, and the USDT dominance chart, the likelihood of Bitcoin continuing upward from here is very high. It’s important to monitor how the market behaves in the coming weeks, but all signs point toward a bullish move. My years of experience kind of Opinion In summary, the USDT dominance chart is signaling that we’ve likely seen the bottom at $52.5k, and the chances of Bitcoin falling to $44k or lower are extremely slim. If anything, this level of USDT dominance typically indicates that a Bitcoin rally is on the horizon. Stay cautious, but it looks like the market is gearing up for an uptrend. Let's see how the rest of the month plays out, but from where I stand, the upside looks very promising. DISCLAIMER: All though I predicted the market at 18K pump, this prediction is still for informational/documentation of my journey and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. As with all investments, there are risks involved, and probability-based analysis may not always result in accurate predictions. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by osodatsismoso
Identifying Key Support and Resistance Levels: Beginner’s GuideWelcome to the market’s game of zig-zag. On the one side, we’ve got the bulls pulling prices up (doing the zigging), and on the other, the bears dragging them down (doing the zagging). Somewhere in there lies a delicate balance—where prices pause, reverse, or break through. These are support and resistance levels, and if you want to play in the big league and run shoulders with big sho(r)ts, you need to know how to spot them. Let’s dive in. Support and Resistance: The Basics Imagine the market as a ping-pong ball bouncing between two invisible walls. These invisible walls are called support and resistance . The floor is support—where buyers step in to catch the fall. The ceiling? That’s resistance, where sellers say, “Not so fast,” and push the price back down. Your job? Figure out where these walls are and use them to your advantage. Support is the price level where a downtrend could pause due to strong enough demand, or buying momentum. Think of it as a safety net—a level where the price stops its freefall, cushioned by determined buyers. Resistance is the opposite. It’s the price level where an uptrend might stall because sellers step in, seeing the price as overbought. It’s the market’s ceiling, and breaking through it can be tough. How to Spot Support and Resistance Here’s the good news: spotting these levels is easier than you think. Start by zooming out on your chart and identifying where price reversals have occurred. Where has the market consistently bounced up from? That’s your support. Where has it been smacked down? That’s your resistance. That’s also when everyone becomes a chartist and technical analyst—draw horizontal lines at these levels. And boom, you’ve just identified key support and resistance zones. But there’s more to it than just connecting the dots. Horizontal Levels: The Classics The classic way to identify support and resistance is to look for horizontal levels. These are price levels where the market has historically reversed multiple times. If the price has bounced off $50 three times, you’ve got yourself a solid support level. Likewise, if $75 has been a brick wall for the price, it’s a clear resistance level. Trendlines: The Dynamic Duo Horizontal lines are great, but what if the market’s trending? That’s where trendlines come in. Draw a line connecting the higher lows in an uptrend or the lower highs in a downtrend. These lines can act as moving support or resistance levels. They’re not just lines—they’re the market’s roadmap. Want to get things even more heated up? Look for channels by identifying the higher lows in the uptrend coupled with the higher highs. Apply the same but in reverse for downtrending markets—lower highs and lower lows is what makes up a channel. The Role of Volume Here’s where it gets a little spicy. You have to add volume in the mix. When you see a support or resistance level holding up with high volume, it’s like getting a thumbs-up from the market. If the price breaks through a level with high volume, it’s more likely to keep moving in that direction. Low volume? Don’t get too excited—it could be a fake-out. Psychological Levels: The Round Numbers Game Ever noticed how prices tend to stall at round numbers? That’s no accident. Humans love round numbers and the market is no different. Levels like $100, $1,000, or even $100,000 (did someone say Bitcoin BTC/USD ?) often act as psychological support or resistance. It’s not science—it’s market psychology. How to Trade Support and Resistance Now that you know where the walls are, or inflection points, let’s talk strategy. Trading support and resistance isn’t about guessing where the market will go—it’s about stacking the odds in your favor. Buying at Support (DYOR, tho) : When the price pulls back to a support level, it’s a prime buying opportunity. Just remember, you’re not the only one watching this level—fellow retail traders, professional money spinners and lots of algorithms are trained to chase trends. Use additional confirmation, like a bunch of indicators stacked together , before you pull the trigger. Selling at Resistance (DYOR, tho) : If the price rallies to a known resistance level, it’s time to think about selling. Again, wait for some confirmation—a rejection, bearish pattern, or a volume spike—to avoid getting caught in a breakout. Breakout Trades (DYOR, tho) : If a price breaks through support or resistance with conviction (read: strong volume), it often leads to significant moves. You can trade these breakouts, but be cautious of false breakouts. Nobody likes getting trapped. Final Thoughts Support and resistance levels are like the market’s heartbeat. They reveal where the big players are making their moves and where the action is likely to heat up. Whether you’re looking to jump in or bail out, these levels are your go-to guide. So, the next time you’re analyzing a chart, remember—those lines aren’t just random. They’re the market’s battle lines, and now, you’ve got the intel to trade them. Let’s wrap this up with some inspiration from legendary trend follower Paul Tudor Jones: “I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.” Do you trade with support and resistance levels? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section!
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
5
$INJ setup for 50% gain on next days, 3D timeframeCRYPTOCAP:INJ setup for 50% gain on next days, 3D timeframe: We are on 3D timeframe here. Blue arrows number '1' and '2', were bottom pivots on Hodlfire Indicator (copyrighted) right over the Exponential Moving Average 200 (3D 200EMA) line (green), and we just got a 3rd, right over the 200EMA again (the last blue panel under late price movements) So, as we are pivotting the bottom here, we expect next target on the last reset of VWAP line (orange line) at 38.60 usd, bringing over 50% There was a first and second confirmation of trend, (1.) the support on all-time-high of the last cicle (pink line) and (2.) break of diagonal blue trendline; if you want to wait for another confirmation, the 3rd, just wait suport over the black VWAP quarter line around 27.00 usd
by CCCLopes
NOTHINGNOTCOIN formed a rounding bottom on weekly timeframe🤔 breakout it happened ✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart... - High potential areas are clear in the chart. - AB=CD - Rounding Bottom Stay awesome my friends. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
4
SPY Fibonacci Price Theory And BreakOut BarsThis instructional video teaches you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory in conjunction with Breakout Bars and how price is the ultimate indicator. Throughout this video, I try to provide instruction on key elements related to the Fibonacci Price Theory (Unique & Standout Highs/Lows). Additionally, I've also included Breakout Bars and Fibonacci Price Retracement concepts. What I really hope you learn from this video is to see price as the true ultimate indicator for your trading decisions. Using technical analysis techniques is fine, but use price as the key element when trying to confirm or reject your trading ideas. I hope this helps you understand that price, action, and reaction through trends, peaks, and troughs are the most important components of the chart. Everything else is peripheral.
Editors' picks
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
3
Momenth of truth for ETHBTCI'll try and be as brief as possible in this one. I believe this to be a pivotal month for ETHBTC. Either we see a full-fledged no-excuses breakdown confirmed with a weekly close below the last wick on said timeframe, or I will continue to think that a macro low is being formed here. There is everything you want to see here if you're going to take a bullish stance. 1) Confirmed triple bullish divergence on both 1D and 1W. 2) Fake break of structure with a dip down and then pop back up on the 1W. 3) Chance for a 55EMA and 200EMA death cross fakeout inbound on the 1W. 4) Stochastics ready to go back up on both 1W and 1M. 5) Six months and counting of price action hanging onto the lows without truly breaking down. 6) History of ETHBTC losing value after BTCUSD breaks all-time high, only to go back into an uptrend after a few weeks. 7) BTC.D painting a swing failure on the 1W with a confirmed bearish divergence and rejection of the RSI bullish control zone. This might get all thrown out of the window tomorrow, but as long as the aforementioned points stand, I'll keep believing that one should exercise maximum caution in being bearish at this time and place. A weekly close above the 55EMA before it crossed the 200EMA will make me even more of a believer of the bullish case. If that happens, and ETHBTC can also trade above 0.061, I would have no more reason whatsoever to fear a breakdown, thus absolutely confirming a macro low, and looking for a higher valuation.
Long
by Andewyl
📈Mastering Stock Selection:A Journey to Long-Term Wealth💰Part1Interested in selecting high-quality stocks and growing your wealth through long-term investing? Today, I'll guide you through effective stock selection methods, including the top-bottom and bottom-top approaches. Remember, as Warren Buffett famously said, "The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient." 💼📈 Let's start with the top-bottom approach. First, you choose an economy, such as Indian, US, or UK. Next, select a sector within that economy, like Financial Services, IT, or Pharma. From there, narrow down to an industry within the sector, such as AI, Clean-technology, or Hardware. Finally, choose a company within the industry. Don't worry if it seems complex – I'll provide examples and guidance throughout. 💡🔍 Conversely, the bottom-top approach flips this order. We start by selecting a company, then move up to its industry, sector, and finally, the economy. 💼🔄 Let's put theory into practice with the top-bottom approach: (a random example) 1. Choose India as the economy. 2.Select the IT sector for its promising future. 3. Opt for AI as the industry due to its potential. 4. Select Infosys as a company. Now, it's your turn! Share examples of top-bottom or bottom-top approaches in the comments for practice. 💬💡 In the upcoming discussions, we'll delve into the fundamentals of sector, industry, and company analysis. Don't worry—I'll explain everything from market cap and cash flow to return on equity (ROE). 📊✨ Target of likes (boosts): 25+ (if we achieve our target than I will make Part 2) 🎯🚀 Follow for more such ideas & learning content! 🔍
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by smarttrader012
1
Bitcoin Corrective Wave MetricsAnalysis of long-term corrective waves from ATH's of different historic periods Facts: The drop of 93.75% back in 2011 was the biggest correction of all time. With time the corrections after new established ATH's got gradually smaller. I'll use fibonacci retracement to measure those heavy drops as ATH - 1 and bottom as 0 to document how measurements of historic drops could define levels of forthcoming waves. -93.75% capture: 2.272 made next ATH of 2013 1.618 defined the 2015 bottom Similarly, -86.96% fib measurement defined: Next ATH of 2017 at between 2.272 and 2.414 Level of 1.414 called the bottom -84.22% drop: This time 1.618 called ATH of 2021 Level between 1 and 0.786 made 2022 bottom Logistic curve partially explains why forthcoming bottoms got close to the previous ATHs The question is, could that be a sign of already saturated market which would cause btc to sidetrend making a long-term diamond pattern. Despite of Bitcoin being deflationary asset, the rate of growth has been slowing down, as the % of bullrun waves got smaller. Knowing about positive correlation BTC and SP500, we can deduce that BTC wouldn't have grown if not for SP500. This dependence would be a venerability for Bitcoin, if AMEX:SPY drops in the nearest future. Nevertheless, many authors in TradingView are optimistic about further growth. The fact that current price still holds at previous ATH levels, could indicate that crowd could be actually right. So to estimate where it would stop, I'll use most frequent fib levels which defined both next bottoms and ATH's. Levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618 and 2.272
INDEX:BTCUSD
by fract
5
MJ ETF (cannabis) - Potential Double Bottom Pattern - MonthlyMJ ETF (cannabis) has potentially double-bottomed over the past 6 months (october 2023 to march 2024). Either a possible tradable bounce, or a long-term rally could occur over time as more countries partially legalize cannabis and marijuana. Long-term resistance price targets would be: $6, $9, $14, $18. Support price targets below would be $3, $2.50, $2, $1. Cannabis companies and stocks are highly sensitive to Government Laws & Regulation changes, Fundamental Catalysts, and Corporate Earnings.
AMEX:MJ
by NoFomoCharts