IT'S NOT OVER YETWith this chart I would like to show you, why we potentially haven’t seen the "real" bottom of the market yet.
So today is an important day for the markets. After all the new help programs and emergency cuts by several central banks and governments from all country’s in the world, we will see jobless claims numbers released today.
And I think this number will drive the market for the next few days/weeks. We will see in which shape the labour market is in the US for the moment.
If we see a number above 1.000.000 in jobless claims the market could go even lower and break the new lows from Monday.
On the other hand we're standing in front of a turning point from bearish to bullish if you look for the MACD in the daily at the S&P500.
My intuition still says me that we will go lower. Strong days with more than 10 percent per day in bullish direction are a significant signs of a bear market, where these things happen over and over again as a part of a short term correction in a longer term bearish trend.
So stay tuned, I'm looking for the numbers release today before making any new steps in any asset class.
Bottom
Comparing Bitcoin's Decrease To January 2015Please leave a LIKE if you enjoy the analysis.
I am seeing a lot of fractals comparing these two movements, so decided to take a closer look.
January 2015 - The decrease began on Nov. 13, 2014, when the price reached a high of $453.92.The decrease culminated with a low of $152.4, which was the capitulation wick. The entire daily candlestick was below the lower Bollinger band, suggestive that the move had gone way below the regular deviation from its trading range. A 11-day upward trend followed with a high of $309.1 being reached on Jan. 26. This wick went above the upper Bollinger band. Afterward, the price stabilized before gradually beginning an upward trend.
March 2020 - The decrease began on Feb. 13, 2020 when a high of $10,500 was reached. The wick low of March 13 that reached a low of $3,850 was the capitulation wick, in which the entire daily candlestick went below the lower Bollinger band.The price has been increasing since, having done so by 78% in 11 days.
The main difference between the two moves, which is the recovery rate, since it is smaller in the current movement. Just looking at the downward move, the opposite should have occurred, since the downward trend in 2020 was much more rapid. In addition, the price is nowhere close to the upper Bollinger band or the opening price of the bearish engulfing candlestick which began the current decrease.
Therefore, the recent BTC price decrease shares numerous similarities to that of January 2015, which marked a long-term bottom before a several year upward trend began. However, the recovery since the March 13 low has been much weaker than what transpired in 2015, allowing for the possibility that the price is not actually following the fractal but will eventually make another low.
A like & comment is greatly appreciated.
LONG - EVX - Trading OpportunityAfter a very harsh fall, BINANCE:EVXBTC seems to be making a rounded bottom with a very bullsih MA cross on the hourly chart.
Entry: 0.00002173
Target : 0.00002401
SL: 0.00002908
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NYA Buy SignalTiming the bottom is almost impossible. Instead, look for buy signals. When the ROC indicator goes from mega oversold (-20) to mega overbought (+20), along with the KST either showing a positive divergence or weekly MA crossover and a McClellan Oscillator (measure of market breadth) mega oversold (-70) to mega overbought (70) is the signal I would look up for!
$VIX leaving logarithmic channelThe volatility index, which was recently at 2008's levels. Is starting to go lower, as the S&P is trying to make a bottom.
We are also trying to move out of a logarithmic moving channel (400%+ in less than a month).
The 10 Simple-Moving-Average, is becoming increasingly important; as we are testing it as support and resistance, for the $VIX and the $SPX respectively.
For more information on the $VIX, click on the related ideas.
LUN/BTC Sits on 9 Month Low. Great Buy OppurtunityHi my friends. BINANCE:LUNBTC sits on its 9 Month low price ( Strong Support Level ) it seems a good buy opportunity.
be careful it is not a trade signal.
buy between 0.0000820 - 0.0000880
tp1: 0.0000978
tp2: 0.0001028
tp3: 0.0001124
tp4: 0.0001259
tp5: 0.0001362
tp6: 0.0001462
stoploss : 0.0000790
Inshallah we will reach all targets in 30 - 60 days.
Push like button.
XBC , Ready to bounce?Trend line well respected for over a year. Even considering the volatility of the recent week, it closed on the trend line. Keep in mind company got a 9$ price target a couple of weeks ago because the management is executing very well
BITCOIN - WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOWHey there,
Thank you for supporting this idea with likes and make sure you follow me here on TV.
so I think everyone in this space saw what happend yesterday. The biggest percentage and point drop in Bitcoin in all of its history.
A rounded 40%decline in 1 day. An incredible number for any trader.
There are now some key questions to be asked:
What really valuable asset is able to drop 40% in one day?
What could have caused this spike and will it happen again?
Is this the end of Bitcoin?
To all of these questions, I sadly cannot anwser. You have to decide for yourself wether or not you still see value in Bitcoin.
It is very significant that Bitcoin broke the bottom growth of curve of the data science models and has not yet managed to come
back up to those.
While I do think that this is the final capitulation some people like Tone Vays have been waiting for and that the bottom is now in,
I too am troubled and have doubts in the real value of Bitcoin, if it is able to be manipulated by this degree.
Of course no fundementals have changed and Bitcoin is still the same as yesterday and the day befor, I do have doubts, wether
or not people will accept it as a store of value, if even after 10 years of existence, Bitcoin just now had its sharpest and steepest decline in 1 day.
So there you go. Technicals are not really applying here imo, since this is beyond any comprehensible movement.
Now is the time to BUY THE DIP. Even if I have doubts now, I have learned that it often is best to buy BTC when everyone is doubtful.
Oh and btw, there is now a 3DAY 9 buy of the TI Indicator Sequential, so this could be your time to buy.
Cheers,
Konrad
Start of new bull cycle for Bitcoin?Yesterday's crash strengthens the great similarities between current and previous Bitcoin cycle. A sharp sell off made an end to the bear market with only upside seen from thereon. Besides these similarities, looking at the weekly BLX chart (Chart has yet to be updated as of today) with the 200 MA shows a bounce from this moving average, even more so indicating a potential long term bottom.