Good news for stocks, bonds are bottoming $JNKAMEX:JNK is an ETF that tracks rated high-yield bonds or "junk bonds". These are the bonds rated Ba1 & BB+ by Moody's Investors Service, Inc., & Fitch Inc. respectively.
The bullish divergence with the ROC is pointing out that a bottom is near.
Bonds bottoming is a good sign for the market and breakout to the upside should confirm a healthy uptrend for stocks.
This ETF has a high correlation with the AMEX:SPY ; 0.7021 for the last 3 years, so, let's wait and see.
Bottom
April 2023 - $5600 Bottom, Start of A New CycleOk so basically Dollar Milkshake Theory + Central Bank Incompetence + Monthly PA + Sep/Oct 2018 PA = bottom not in. Oh and also a giant global debt bubble (good luck using credit or cash when this pops).
BoE bond buying will accelerate GBP collapse along with other currencies since its inflationary. Also, Fed won't pivot and will only neutralize the market up until elections are over. They will not care about UN requests and whether it crashes at this point since they don't represent you and are not held accountable. Also they would love a world where they are the buyers and lenders of last resort.
I'm predicting a $5600 bottom around April of 2023, assuming things start collapsing soon, and then from there we moon to new ATH in about 3 years to around $120,000. This is assuming debt bubble collapse which would force money to start looking for alternative paths. Crypto being the big one and it will start to be seen as a safer asset. Also, people love speculating and Millenials still have Trillions of Dollars to inherit (and they love crypto). Ultimately, these hedge funds/institutions work for these families with money.
If you draw the trendlines as I have, with log scaling, it looks like BTC is in an upward channel. It would make sense to touch the key level marked in green around $5600. This is a key level as you can see on the graph and respecting this level would legitimize the 2019 - 2021 cycle. Below this level would be another $3k retest but it just seems very unlikely accounting for where adoption is now.
Taking the trendline of the cycle from 2019 bottom to 2021 top and extrapolating it on a bottom around April 2023 actually ends up nicely touching the top of the channel. 100k will be a strong psychological barrier and therefore, it could result in a nice short squeeze and run up to the $120ks (top of channel).
This is the first time crypto has actually been in a bear market and calling bottom now around this 20k range is naive at best. Also macro is on the cusp of the typical 100 year depressive debt cycle. Don't take it from me though -- I listen to Dalio.
$10k will be a nice bounce back up to right before $20k only to be rejected for another low to my bottom target. Enjoy and may the odds be ever in your favor!
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Re-Test of Cycle Lows?This monthly chart of Bitcoin shows we're either setting up for a Bull-Flag breakout, or potential breakdown to re-test the $15k-$16.5 lows.
Either way, I think the bottom is in or almost in.
The big questions is whether we see the re-test like in the 2015-2016 bottom, or push through and never look back like in 2019.
If we push higher here and have a daily close above $25,300 then it's likely a quick push higher to the $30k zone, where we'll see profit taking and a pull back to the new higher support.
Our proprietary ERI indicator (Green Arrow) is showing that the bottom is in (which also signaled Green in all 3 prior market cycle bottoms).
So we're waiting to see what happens in the coming weeks.
Our TSI indicator has also turned Green and heading higher. The confirmation will be the break above the 20% line on the monthly chart.
The third confirmation will be our Signal line turning from Red to Green, and crossing the mid-line (Olive).
These have been accurate in all prior market cycle bottoms, but as we all know, 'this time could be different'..
That being said, I trust our indicators and analysis... So we'll see.
Also waiting for the monthly MACD to break above the center line and turn Green.
Thoughts, comments, feedback? Please share below.
$BLUR long enteredLooking for a retest of some higher volume nodes higher. I like the formation here with yesterdays drop into a roll over with bounce again. Much healthier formation and potential base to move higher from.
Have some high volume areas that may be resistance on the way up. Orange lines are weekly POC's and yellow are daily POC's.
I'm long at 0.775
Natural Gas prints an RSI bullish divergence As you can see in the chart, natural gas had a big downside movement for the last months. Now It looks like the bottom is printed so I will consider entering a long here with targets 3.11$ and 4.69$ .
You can see apart from the Bullish Divergence that It is starting to show a lot of strength, you can observe a gap-up between 2.314$ and 2.415$.
For the buy setup I will enter now and set an stop loss order under the gap. If the position goes well, I will keep locking profits manually trailing the stop under key areas.
Don't forget to share your thoughts on the comments and happy emotionless trading.
"The Bottom is IN!" . . NOT | BTC BeatdownIf I hear "The bottom is in" one more time I'm gonna run my nails down the chalkboard before erasing the rest of Bitty's vaporous LT gains.
It's a BEAR MARKET and the carnage isn't over, but bulls never learn and the fundamentals mean nothing to speculative and pleb news craved junkies.
1. Long bottom wicks ENGULF, more times than not. So guess what? More down eventually even if the PPT steps in to protect the institutions (which need to be institutionalized obvi) at current level.
2. Core Scientific : Google it. At one point they provided roughly 10% of BTC's hashrate according to Coin Bureau Guy.
3. Bitty just sucks, it still too slow, too expensive and uses too much power.
* * * Not investment advice, and DYOR, or don't, and listen to the fools in cryptochat * * *
Box owt
Has the US Dollar just Bottomed?Hey Traders so today it looks like on the charts the US Dollar could be forming a bottom. It's funny because in the last video I said crude and commodities could be bottoming. But in trading you should never get too bullish or bearish. Never look at the market from only one side because history shows markets are always changing. When we take a risk in my opinion the key is to try and find the right side of the market to be on. Well as of today I am no longer bullish on crude but I am now a US Dollar Bull because of what I have now just seen on the chart!
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
FSLY - Could betTurning the cornerFSLY is reporting earnings today AMC (After Market Close).
In the last 2 days, it gapped and short up a whopping 36% from 9.87 (last Friday's close) to 13.43 yesterday. Could it be accumulation by those who might already 'know" that earnings could surprise to the upside? However, at current price, whether FSLY continue to run up after earnings or "sell upon news" remains to be seen.
What is more important is that the longer term price recovery is likely to be underway owing to how the stock has been behaving:
1. Rounding base has been forming in the last 9 months with its 200 day MA slowly flattening out
2. Went above its 200 days Moving Average since above 2 weeks ago (dipped back below only briefly )
3. Golden Cross approaching
4. The huge volume and gap up on 13 Feb could be a potential breakaway gap (though we can only confirm on hindsight).
Unless earnings disappoint greatly and send the stock crashing badly again, it could be time time to accummulate on near term dips, especially if it can hold above yesterday's candle low @ 12.16.
(sign of strength if it it does not dip below here, no go it dips sharply below)
However, being a penny stock, % movement can be huge (both ways) hence suggest not to not oversize in order to withstand volatility with trailing stops catering to least 10% - 12% pullbacks.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Inverse head & shoulder bottom for SPX???Has SP500 really bottomed? This could be inverse head and shoulders chart pattern if I'm seeing it right. :-) There are set ups, market sentiment has improved, FTD day - check, net highs and lows positive, some stock got clobbered during this correction, no one believes this is beginning of new bull market (me neither, but technicals point that we might just have bottomed). What are your thoughts?
Bitcoin surprise moveIt might not make much sense in the current mood because the majority of market participants expect either more downside or sideways price action for the next 12/18 months, but I feel the real surprise would be an upside move.
A strong move, forcing the many in disbelief to rush in mid-to-late on the way to an early top somewhere in the low 6 figures range.
I give this idea a 60% confidence rate.
CRWD ~ Inverse H&S built, ready to pop higherHere's a 30m chart to highlight detail of the inverse head and shoulders built on CRWD.
Green line weekly support goes back to the lows of August 2020. Purple box is a large daily gap left from late last year up to $138 area. If looking from peak to trough of the head and shoulders, it's roughly $16 from neckline to low of the head, in a breakout of neckline it could be considered within an expected move to move a similar distance to the upside. That's around the 124.00 area.
If looking at the daily chart, LBR momentum indicator is showing a slowing of downside momentum, further adding that a short term bottom may be put in here. Daily RSI is right around 50 as well so there is room to go higher without hitting "overbought" levels.
Earnings are a bit away still. No position currently, but will be looking to open one soon depending on price action.
TLMUSDT inverse head and shouldersThe price is testing the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders.
The price created the rounded bottom pattern as well.
How to approach it?
the price needs to create a breakout from the neckline with volume and retest it as new support, so According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
US30 double bottomBuy US30, extremely oversold, couldnt break lows, formed double bottom, im in from 33035
US 30 will go up, 4hr analysisUS30 should continue its move up, as analysed beginning of this week, As you can see price pushed up above the 200ema reisistance to make it a support. Price then made a double bottom to continue the uptrend, when current stick ends bullish, we should see more buys, because this will be the retest entry on the double bottom formation
PROSBUSD - Bump and Run Reversal Bottom Pattern?Bump and Run Reversal Bottom Pattern
The bump-and-run reversal bottom is a chart pattern that is a surprisingly good performer in both bull (ranking best for performance) and bear markets (ranking second best). It has a low break even failure rate and high average rise after the breakout. Discovered by Thomas Bulkowski in 1999.
Bitcoin Bottom In? Weekly ChartHey everyone
Today i show you an idea about the Bitcoin weekly chart. The bearmarket bottom might was in already with all the bad news we had.
I hope everyone was buying in parts while we had cheap prices for a few months. Even if im wrong with this bottom and we go lower
its just a better buying opportunity. All you need is patience and you will get rewarded.
Of course we can have some random bad news or events that change the market directly but thats not predictable.
Important moves i am looking for is an retest of the WMA20 at 19k area. If that level holds it looks very good for pump towards 30k.
Another important level is the WMA50 which is at 26k right now. Once that breaks it confirms new ATH in my opinion.
If you dont know what coins to buy for the upcoming bullrun in 2023/2024 here is my portfolio.
Bitcoin / BTC
Ethereum / ETH
Quant / QNT
Fetch ai / FET
Chiliz / CHZ
Chainlink / LINK
Ocean Protocol / OCEAN
XRP Ripple / XRP
Dogecoin / DOGE
Some other positions aswell but this is the main focus and im very confident in these.
I expect this portfolio to 10x during the next bullrun.
Leave a like and follow if you like this idea or comment your idea of this.
No financial advice! Do your own research.