Dark Pools Accumulating Biotech: STOKDark Pools are accumulating some biotechnology stocks for mutual funds and ETFs based on this new technology. HFTs are chasing this accumulation.
NASDAQ:STOK is now near the price when more professional traders are likely to swing trade. It has a very high Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions and the bottom is completed. It may be a potential candidate for a watchlist for this industry, IF the industry fits your needs for short-term trading or long-term investing. It may also turn into a position trade if platforms develop.
This is a Weekly Chart so all the history of recent price is visible. The peaks of bounces upward within the downtrend are where the stock may stall and go sideways as it moves up.
Bottoms
Swing Trading Setups: TWSTThis is a stock that went on my students' watchlists this week for potential swing trading.
NASDAQ:TWST is coming out of a long-term down-trending correction and has completed the bottom. Accumulation ended and a HFT gap and run up followed on May 3rd. The stock retested the sideways trend highs which are now support for the current price.
Pro traders are swing trading in these patterns. There are fewer wicks and tails and the stock has a very high Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions.
LTCUSD - Huge Long OpportunityThis is a pretty straight-forward chart, CRYPTOCAP:LTC seems to have bottomed and sitting on a 5 years long support.
LTC hasnt been talked about much lately but it seems to be actually still being used for payments and more than we all think; according to a report by Bitpay, LTC was the most used cryptocurrency to make payments on Bitpay, with 34% of the payments being done through them, and apperently it wasnt the first time. The second crypto is Bitcoin, if you were wondering.
Lets look at some data;
- There are 7.8m LTC addresses with a balance.
- approx. 800k daily active addresses.
- On December 18 2023, there was an ATH of 980k txs and averaged a 700k txs per day for over a week. Looking at the previous ATHs, there was always a surge in price during these times.
The above data is super bullish for a coin that only has 4.8bn market cap with incredible tract record and traction.
Considering there is no centralised management for this coin, just like BTC, I wouldn't rule out a surprise ETF application for LTC as well, of course after BTC ETF narrative.
The fundamentals are just right, the chart looks great. Worth taking a risk here.
Let me know if you agree or disagree with this idea in the comments. I would love to see some other ideas that prove or disprove this analysis.
SNOW: Positive Technical Patterns Ahead of EarningsNYSE:SNOW is completing a long-term bottom formation that is only visible on a weekly chart. The company was highly touted at IPO but has struggled since then.
Candlestick patterns indicate pro traders in the mix right now. The stock reports earnings Feb 28th, next week. Candlestick patterns and Pro trader influence imply a possible good report this time around.
How to trade Double Tops to the Short Side using 1 hour barsI always ask myself: What's my favorite chart pattern for finding high probability entries? I look at my stats, I look at my various strategies, and I always find I like one type of trade best: Trend Continuation trades using double tops for shorts and double bottoms for longs.
The strategy is simple: Using 1 hour wickless bars, (I'll show you how in the video), identify a trending stock by seeing where price is clearly up or down, then identify a double top or double bottom occurring along the trend. When you have two confirmed tops or bottoms, get short or long, as the case may be. The patterns really do come in all shapes and sizes, but they are best when they occur along a resistance line, be it VWAP, a 20 EMA, or some other. They also can be confirmed by looking at your RSI chart which will indicate clearly two v bottoms for a long entry or two peaks for a shorty entry. Seeing where on the RSI chart these double patterns are forming is also instructive. Longs should show up on the RSI chart as a pair of v bottoms occuring at the bottom of the upper half of the chart, above the 50% line. Shorts should show up on the RSI chart as a pair of peaks at the top of lower half of the chart, just below the 50% line. Because you're using 1 hour bars to find entries, it naturally stands to reason that your setups will trigger at the top of the hour, when there is typically a burst of volume. If your analysis is correct, that volume burst will push your trade in the proper direction within seconds, so if you like instant gratificatrion like I do, you'll enjoy that aspect of trading this way.
How to See Fundamental Improvement in Technicals, $VRNT ExampleStocks that are forming bottoms right now are completing faster due to the improvement of their fundamentals in the current quarter.
For example, NASDAQ:VRNT is moving out of the extreme dump by HFTs and retail groups. This is a common pattern that indicates shifting sentiment in a bottom formation.
The candlesticks stairstep upward as Pro Traders get in the mix of Dark Pools buying at bargain prices.
The largest Institutional investors who use Dark Pools to accumulate huge positions over time are the first to buy in a long-term uptrend, at bargain prices. It can be a very early signal, but these are the savviest fundamentals-driven investors in the market, so it pays to learn their footprints in stock charts.
Is this a new type of divergence? (widths of top looking structures seen in chart, but are they? could they be hiding their true identity and transgendering into bottoms right before your very eyes?
Using an MRI Scan on the RSI, we can see it actually might be a WEAKER TOP, why does it look so small in the RSI?
I think this might be a new type of divergence I discovered.
The red marker indicates what looks like a "top" in the chart, but actually looks possibly more like a bottom-looking-structure, in the RSI. You can back test this yourself, look for dumps in the past, and compare, I can bet the Bottoms in the RSI will appear to be getting more narrow, and the tops becoming much wider and more pronounced before a dump. Just IMO & as always, HAPPY TRADING! :)
Resistance Analysis in Bottoming Stocks: IDXX, OKTAResistance Analysis in Bottoming Stocks: Looking Ahead to Q1 2023 Earnings
Stocks that are slowly crawling their way out of the correction of 2022 are now moving up to challenge the more difficult resistance levels from the intermediate-term downtrend. These resistance levels are sideways trends that developed during the downtrend of 2022 to the bottom low.
Most stocks that are showing improvement quarter over quarter have completed bottoms, such as IDXX.
Those that do not, such as OKTA, are often stocks that had anomalies in their revenue/earnings growth during the pandemic due to stimulus checks artificially inflating their sales to the point there was no possible way that the company could maintain such high revenues that were way off the normal growth levels annually.
IDXX has been trending up out of a bottom with sideways trends 2 times now. This is best seen on a weekly or 4 day chart. The stock has not reached the next strong resistance level yet but is probably going there during the next month as it reports in early May. If it continues sideways during the month of April, then the report is not likely to show a significant improvement over the financial data from last quarter.
The All-Time High will be Very Strong Resistance as it occurred at the peak of the pandemic's speculative gains.
The Moderate Resistance is one tier down from the top's all-time high. It can be more easily overcome as it is not a longer sideways trend and there was no sideways trend at that level on the way up to the top in the final months of 2021.
The Strong Resistance lowest red line is stronger because of the sideways trend from 2020 - 2021 and the sideways trend during the 2022 downtrend.
OKTA has an entirely different trend moving upward. The stock has not completed the bottom and first resistance level to complete the bottom is Very Strong Resistance. The next tier up is Moderate Resistance. The next Very Strong Resistance is the rounding top highs of 2021.
VGXUSDT: Has it reached it's bottom?This is my 3rd publishment.
I had received a signal from my indicator that suggests that VGX / TETHERUS has potentially reached a bottom, and it may have room to move up. Even with the recent catalysts, it may be a bold prediction, but I suppose we shall see in the coming days/and weeks.
Long Term DXY Trend [Possible bottom for Crypto and the stocks?]This long term channel on DXY on the monthly channel shows DXY at key resistance and currently struggling on resistance and the top of the channel. Usually when DXY goes down, cryptocurrencies and stocks will do the opposite since traders are risking more and not being in cash, this can potentially be a good bull market for 2024.
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Contraction Plotter Indicator:
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ETCUSD Potential BottomThis is my 2nd publishment, so hopefully this is helpful.
My tops/bottoms indicator had given a bottom signal a few bars ago for ETCUSD on the 30 minute chart indicating a potential increase may be coming. I don't suspect this is inherently the lowest the price may go, or perhaps it could be? I suppose we'll see.
ETHUSD - Shapes of a Bottom Feat. The CMF & RSI"Ah, freak out! Le freak, c'est Chic Freak out!"
I made this chart in an attempt to counteract the various freak-out fests I have seen on Twitter and Telegram these last few months. I am not sure what charts the Freak-Out Crew (FOC) are watching, but they can't be the same ones as I am looking at today. The cycle low is in and the bottom is being made, what's the problem, bois? A good, solid foundation takes months, not weeks to build so what is left to do, other than appreciate the shape and movement of it all? But, oh the macro! Right, the macro narrative is what made me sell everything during the Covid Crash March 2020; never again, my friends...never again. I have learned to trust the weekly and monthly charts.
I hope the heavily labelled chart is easy enough to understand, if not shoot me a comment down below and I will do my best to help you understand. Also any counter-arguments are very welcome. Enjoy your day. Cheers.
Horn Tops & Bottoms Pattern - How To Find and Trade ThemHorn patterns are reversal patterns introduced by Bulkowski in his book "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". These reversal patterns are not the most commonly used by traders but have very interesting characteristics.
In this post, we will cover details about these interesting patterns, such as identification rules and measure rules.
1. Origin
Bulkowski discovered horn patterns by studying double tops/bottoms patterns. In his study, he noticed that narrower double bottoms performed better than widely spaced ones, and as such wondered how would perform double bottoms spaced by a single week on a weekly chart.
The usage of the weekly timeframe is based on ease of selection and performance considerations, but horn patterns are also visible on the daily timeframe.
2. Identification
Horn patterns are relatively easy to identify. The identification of both horns' tops/bottoms should be done on the weekly timeframe.
2.1 Horn Tops
The horn tops pattern is characterized by two price highs situated at a similar level, both separated by a candle whose price high is lower than the two adjacent. These can occur in an uptrend but also on the top of downtrend retracements.
In an uptrend, this pattern should be clearly visible with prior highest highs inferior to the pattern high.
2.2 Horn Bottoms
The horn bottoms, also referred to as "inverted horns" pattern is characterized by two price lows situated at a similar level, both separated by a candle whose price low is higher than the two adjacent. These can occur in a downtrend but also on the bottom of uptrend retracements.
In a downtrend this pattern should be clearly visible with prior lowest lows superior to the pattern low.
3. Trading
Because of the usage of the weekly timeframe, we can see that trading horn patterns can be more suited to longer term investors.
Two approaches can be used when trading horn patterns, trading on identification, that is when the pattern is clearly identified, or trading on confirmation, the latter is the one covered by Bulkowski.
A horn top pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the minimum of the pattern formation, while a horn bottom pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the maximum of the pattern formation.
3.1 Measure Rule
The measure rule for horn patterns allows traders to set stop losses and take profit according to the pattern.
For horn bottoms patterns the target price is found by adding the formation height (maximum - minimum) to the formation maximum.
For horn top patterns the target price is found by subtracting the formation height (maximum - minimum) to the formation minimum.
$FB Top/BottomUsing KioseffTrading's Tops/Bottoms indicator and it looks like it is setting up nicely with a 78.57% correct ratio. The data tables there show the % correct, which backs the data tested & provided. Due to bad earnings back in Feb. we saw a huge sell off and a bouncing range of 169-237 with an average of 217.
Position & Swing Trading: Weekly ChartsIf you're position or swing trading, it is a MUST to study weekly charts to confirm:
1. IF a bottom is developing
2. WHERE the bottom will complete
...to plan trades with strong reward/risk ratios.
For example, let's take a look at EGLX, which had a gap up at open on its earnings release:
1. Note that today's gap up is from a lower low in the downtrend. This particular bottom is not confirmed just yet. When it makes a higher low is when there will be lower risk for an entry.
2. The first resistance is at 3.27, but there's stronger resistance at 4.44--once the stock's price sustains that level, then the bottom will be complete, which is the best time to consider position trade entries.
Both resistance levels should be considered for swing trading potential...
First ask: "Are there enough points to gain from your entry point to warrant the risk of the trade?" If no, then move on to the next opportunity; maybe put an alert at the next resistance level to revisit. If yes, then which resistance levels are likely to cause profit-taking?
A step-by-step checklist that looks further than the entry is important for not giving back profits just as soon as you make them. Learn more at my website.
Dark Pool Buy Zones in Bottom FormationsIt may be difficult to be optimistic about the future at this time, but it's the BEST time to be on the lookout for Dark Pool Buy Zones in bottom formations.
When it's all doom and gloom is when the largest buy-side institutions are accumulating bargain-priced stocks, acquiring their huge lots of shares as the last of the small-lot sellers capitulate.
Therefore, divergences are important to think about for identifying where the Dark Pools are accumulating. For example, FIZZ was still moving down when the Accumulation/Distribution indicator started rising. This is a very likely Dark Pool buy zone.
Entry requires confirmation that the bottom is likely to complete soon, but this early divergence pattern gives both traders and investors lead time on a good entry at some point down the road.
I'm teaching more about how to identify Dark Pool Buy Zones TODAY at the MetaStock Traders Conference. It's a FREE event with many other trainers. I'll be on at 3 pm ET. Hope to see you there!
Where is the bottom of Bitcoin? BTC clearly moves along a logarithmic channel and it doesn't require deep analysis.
In my chart, I indicated the possible price level and time of entry before the next "to the moon":
Previous minimum points were reached twice before the next step of the logarithmic growth:
in 300-400 days and 600-800 days after price highs.
So the next minimum prices are expected to be at the beginning of 2023 and at the beginning of 2024 in the range of $ 15,000-25,000 (based on logarithmic resistance).
CEI so oversoldThis stock has to push up again, no doupt. It is oversold on the bigger time frame and at the bottom rioght now.
Only question is when!
Based on Fibonacci I set the targets like in the chart labeled.