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Bounce

Bitcoin : Christmas Dead Cat Bounce over ? What's next ? Hello traders. Going to open a short position around this 4170 area at the next 4hr red candle for several reasons : - We are around a 0.786 Fib Retracement from the previous 4.4k top and 3.1 bottom which is a key level for reversal. - We are making a nasty bearish divergence on RSI, MACD and Stoch, they have proven their worth during this bear market. - It looks like we might be forming a falling wedge, which is a bearish pattern. - There is always a story of power in a trend which is most of the time defined by volume. As you can see, the volume on this last pump is really not significant compared to the overall volume of the move. It was a push that was showing that the current trend might be weakening, so we want to participate in the pullback. Looking to find 3541 as first target being the 0.618 Fib retracement of this upward move. Risk Reward ratio is 3, pretty safe. What's next for BTC ? From my experience, bottoms, real bottoms, never flatten out and then spring like the action we have seen this past week. Actual bottoms are violent formation with huge wicks in the candles, enormous % variation and very brutal action. I don't define the 3.1 low as bottom, therefore I think we will see lower levels in the beginning of Q1 or later this year. I don't want to hurt feelings of the newly found bulls on this platform but I think this is only a dead cat bounce that has had a violent spring fueled by FOMO and broken dreams. Now if this is a spring, we need to see if this was the end of the action or if there is more. Basically, the intensity and volume of the coming pullback should give us clues to whats next. If BTC manages to stand it's ground at the 0.618 Fib and look for higher prices, we might be able to make a medium term higher high before going to find the real bottom. If BTC fails to hold the 2 levels that are on the chart, things will probably turn pretty ugly. Stay Open-Minded and Trade Safe. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and beautiful end of the year celebrations ! CR.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Its_Gui
16
When to buy the dipSo, it seems that the bullmarket continuation scenario is getting more and more unlikely by the day. This scenario would have brought us to 100K sometime this year. However, due to the continued weakness of bitcoin, a bearmarket seems much more likely :( But how can you trade a bearmarket? Well, it seems that one has to wait for the right buying opportunity, when a dip occurs, which goes significantly below the weekly bollinger band. Historically, in the 2014-2015 bearmarket, every time btc dumped strongly below the lower weekly bollinger band, a very strong bounce took place, about 50-100% bounce, every single time. So, trading this market is pretty simple: wait till it dumps below weekly bband, buy, sell at the bounce, after 30-50% rebound, to be on the safe side. Rinse, repeat. Wait for the next dump. And then, in 2019, the low will be reached at some point, and one can start buying good old cheap coins at around 2K :) Because the next bullrun WILL come, starting in 2020 with the halving. The chances for the continuation of the bullmarket this year, are not zero however. They are small, but this scenario is also not completely off the table.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SebastianofMoon
6
AAPL: Sell Short Support levels for Bounces and ReboundsThis AAPL weekly chart shows all the support levels back down to where 2019 projected revenues will be in line with the previous Dark Pool Buy Zones of 2016. The 2016 support price range is strong, fundamental support for the stock. As you can see, AAPL doesn’t have precise technical support levels. Even on the weekly chart, the stock price does not stop falling cleanly at the highs or lows of each support range. This is because this stock is a favorite of RETAIL trading systems, Retail Gurus, Retail recommended stocks, etc. The inconsistent price action suggests that retail investors and traders are mostly day trading AAPL. If the large-lot professionals dominated the trading activity, each support level would cause a consolidation, bounce or rebound and there would not be so many wicks and tails in the candlestick patterns. AAPL's technical patterns convey that swing-style selling short the stock is likely to be rather difficult.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
COST: Sell Short Potential but Strong Support at 200The Daily Chart of COSTCO Stock shows that there is some sell short potential on the short-term trend IF the stock breaks to the downside below the low of around 216. At this time, it appears that is more likely given the lack of large lot buyers in the chart patterns. Support levels show the point gain potential moving down from the current range-bound pattern. However, COST is less likely to collapse all the way down to 50% from its all-time high. Why? Because it was never speculated to extreme highs, far from a strong support level. The furthest it can go before reaching strong support is around 200 for a bounce and 190 for serious support and risk of rebound price action.
NASDAQ:COST
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1