Bounce
NDX Approaches Critical Support LevelsPrimary Chart: NDX's Critical Support Levels Include a Two-Month Upward Trendline, Fibonacci Levels, and a Key Price Zone (Teal Box)
The Nasdaq NASDAQ:NDX approaches critical support this week as indices give back gains from the recent rally. The most immediate support has already been reached—see the teal-blue rectangle showing a major zone of price support formed by February and March 2022 lows and early June 2022 peaks.
This zone of price support also coincides with key Fibonacci retracement levels. Two key Fibonacci retracement levels lie just below where NDX trades.
12,947.55 is the .382 retracement of the entire rally from Covid 2020 lows to all-time highs in November 2022
12,695.74 is the .382 retracement of the recent two-month rally ending on August 16, 2022;
12,379.06 is the .50 retracement of the same two-month rally;
12,062.38 is the .618 retracement of the same two month rally
This area of support ranges from 12,000 to 13,054. It likely will lead to a bounce somewhere in the range of 12,350 to 12,750.
To determine where price will reverse, one could just pick the strongest support level near the .618 retracement with a tight stop in place. Or one could watch price carefully at each level to see how price responds. If price lingers at the support level, and slides into it without bouncing (or if it bounces and then falls right back into it and holds there), it likely may fail leading to the next level. If a support level quickly repels price, then the support may be worth considering for a short-term (several days) bounce off the support.
Key moving averages shown on the supplementary chart below suggest that the momentum, at least this week, has shifted to negative. To continue the rally, price must, at a minimum, recover the 21 EMA (Daily) and the 8 EMA (Daily) with closes above both. Then both need to shift upward. Because this has not happened, the path of least resistance remains down. But the risk-reward for a short position on the NDX is not idea given that major price support has approached and will likely lead to a bounce, at least in the short term.
Supplementary Chart A: Key EMAs Broken and Sloping Downward
If price bounces, the gap fill area around 13,200 appears to be a spot where price could reach in the short term. This gap may also serve as modest resistance depending on the bounce.
NOTE: This article is intended to present an objective, technical viewpoint of NDX's current price action and key levels using technical analysis. The author has no open position at the time of publication (August 23, 2022) on NDX, NQ, or QQQ, or related leveraged ETFs / leveraged inverse ETFs or options on the same.
DISCLAIMER: This post is published solely for educational / entertainment purposes and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation and cannot account for any person's particular financial circumstances. The author would not want other investors / traders to lose money by relying *solely* on this idea rather than doing their own due diligence. Before entering any trade, please evaluate the risks of (i) the instrument / security being traded, (ii) the type of trade and its timeframe, (iii) risks inherent in that type of trade and its time frame, (iv) the inherent risks of shorting securities (presenting unlimited risk without hard stops in place), (v) the inherent risks of trading options, leveraged ETFs, and cryptocurrencies, and (vi) all financial risks arising each person's personal financial circumstances.
NASDAQ:NDX
TVC:NDQ
SKILLING:NASDAQ
OANDA:NAS100USD
CME_MINI:NQ1!
AUCTION formed a bullish Gartley for upto 130% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Bounce Finance Governance Token (AUCTION) with US Dollar pair.
Previously we had a nice trade of Auction:
Now on a daily time frame, Auction has formed a bullish Gartley pattern. There is also a hidden bullish divergence as priceline is forming a higher low but RSI is setting a lower low.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
QQQ Selloff or Rally? Learn how to Read Charts, Remove Bias.I discuss five indications that traders need caution on QQQ (and market generally) instead of expecting an immediate directional move.
This video demonstrates how to use chart analysis to form context for placing trades. By understanding the daily chart, traders can then look for good trade entries on smaller timeframes. I also created this video to counter all the directional predictions on Twitter. When developing a trade idea, consider how long it may take for the price move to happen.
While channel lines and RSI may seem basic, these are some essential indicators that tell a story of what is happening. Successful traders may find this dry or unhelpful. I have recorded this for newer traders, and really for anyone who still needs to master chart analysis. If you are still copying trades without seeing your own confident setups, then watch this video.
First bounce with valid RSI support First, this is not entirely my idea. Someone posted it in chat, and then deleted it immediately and then I couldn't find them or their chart. But I saw it long enough to get the picture. The 3 bounces prior to this one since $17.8, have all crossed over above 30 on the RSI, on the 4 hour. Generally those aren't oversold enough conditions to make significant impact.
This one is different however, as you can see it crossed below the 30, and that's a bullish signal. Couple that with the double bottom and it makes for a compelling case for a strong rally to the upside. In any case, I'm staying cautious, leaning a bit bullish. Will place some longs if we can get clean above $21,500. But they will be tightly controlled as things are tricky to read right now. There are other indicators working against BTC too of course.
Zoomed in, the chart actually shows a triple bottom forming on the 15m, which is like a double bottom, but more specifically a reversal signal. Regardless of all of this, the chart zoomed out, at a glance, looks quite sketchy, IMO, but I still think we go to low $22k.
Textbook Double Bottom If we're going to reverse this trend in the short term, I'd wager that this double bottom is a good potential spot for it to happen, and it might take us to the heavy resistance zone in the low 23k range. This is just a short term idea for the next 12-24 hours or so, not a prediction of an overall trend reversal to the upside, I think a revisit ~$18k is easily possible... But it's a tricky market to read right now, it's very split. I like simple ideas in times like these.
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 22.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 22.08 - #IDEA 🤖
Snapshot:
I honestly feel we are now in the last phase of this bear movement, with "Fixed HODL'd BTC" increasing again I don't think there are much big pots left or wanting to be sold.
General outlook we will descend and consolidate slowly down from retail traders completely giving up hope now and smart money is in 100% bull mode looking to buy at any opportunity below $20k. This is starting to sync nicely with the DXY coming to a natural point of rejection (That itself narrowly dodged an incredibly bearish breakdown. I believe we are looking at about $18.5k as the possible floor now.
daily trend change back to bear likely bounce seems imminenti think its obvious that the daily trend has changed back to bearish, and the levels ive marked out, upper if we atay over pivot and lower if we remain beneath, are key support and reaistance that remain. i think we ahould revisit TRAMA and SSS levels but not outgain the QQE short entry. fibo time zone 5 is over, and the correction b wave should play outover to 8. rising and falling trendlines are long term resistance and support.
SHIB - Woof-Woof! Bounce from trendlineReasons to take long:
⭐️ BTC 70 ATR
⭐️ Big volume at bottom
⭐️ Trendline is clearly seen on daily timeframe
⭐️ Impulsive movement
⭐️ 105 ATR
Fix profit by parts:
1% - 1/3
2% - 1/3, stoploss to breakeven
What's left, hold to the maximum
What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌
If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself
Nice spot for a bounce on crypto marketThe crypto market has been in consolidation mode for a month since the big break down of mid june. Price perfectly held the retest of 2017's ATH.
Now the whole crypto market broke up this consolidation and is currently retesting it.
If you think the bottom is in and you would like to be long on this market, it's currently a nice area to enter position.
Keep it simple, use horizontals.
Thanks !
SOL bounce from strong zone🥊Reasons to take long:
⭐️ BTC has fallen too sharply
⭐️ Retesting strong zone
⭐️ Impulse is too sharp
⭐️ Pinbars are present
⭐️ Only 1st approach
Idea will be invalidated if we see further range in this zone for a couple hours
Fix profit by parts:
1% - 1/3
2% - 1/3, stoploss to breakeven
What's left, hold to the maximum
What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌
If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself and your loved ones
AUDCHF I Swing Downwards 70+ pips Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**AUDCHF - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
AUDJPY Potential Buy from Support Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**AUDJPY - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
VITAL AUDUSD LEVELPair: AUDUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, pennant pattern, resistance
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Key Takeaway: Need to see break or bounce of this key level
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Level needed: Need to see price hit 0.0.69500
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Trade: neutral
RISK:REWARD : —
SL: —
TP: —
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
BTC: LAST HOPE FOR BULLS!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Welcome to this BTC update.
BTC is continuously dropping after the rejection from the $22.5k resistance level. It is forming a bear flag in a 12hr time frame and currently hovering near the lower trendline of the flag. As long as BTC stays above this lower trendline ($19k) we can expect a bounce from here.
If in any case, it breaks down from this bear flag (Break below $19k) then be ready for another low.
Support:- $19k
Resistance:- $22.5k
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Thank You!
FB potential bounce playHey all,
I've gone back on FB's chart and highlighted a point similar to where I believe we currently are. I think and hope we pull back into the end of the week; from that point, I am looking to likely buy dips in anticipation of a bounce. I think the bounce conservatively takes us up to the high 180's. Best of luck all