Intel madness. Stock is VERY cheap.Hi everyone,
Today we are deep diving into NASDAQ:INTC stock situation.
What happened?
Recently stock was dumped by institutions after earnings report, leading to 11% decline in price. As a result, stock was downgraded by a bunch of analysts.
Nevertheless, earnings were not terrible. Revenue missed the mark by just 0.84% , while EPS increased by enourmous 54% .
What does this mean?
The stock is immensely undervalued.
After the dump P/E ratio went to merely 9.6 , which is insanely low compared to competitors P/E ( good for Intel stock).
The plan:
Scaling into long position here.
Based on previous box tendency, I expect the stock to move inside the projected box and breakout upward.
IF we go lower to red trend line support, I expect massive buying volume there.
Best buying zone is circled on the chart, but there is a chance we don't see that level for a long time (hopefully never).
On a macro level, Intel is investing A LOT into R&D and building new plants, which should pay off in the long-run.
Please let me know what you think about NASDAQ:INTC stock.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Boxes
Ford. Boomer stock. Will it fly?Hi everyone,
Today we are analyzing ancient automotive company manufacturer NYSE:F Ford Motors .
Can this stock still outperform young tech companies?
Let's find out.
Tools used:
Long-term trend lines
Boxes
10 year Fib retracement
1 year Fib retracement
Trend:
NYSE:F is in a strong uptrend channel since Covid crash. It has gained 4x from the bottom. Very imressive for a boomer.
Recent developments:
Price broke long-term resistance line this week. This resistance level goes back 10 years to 2011.
Massive breakout occured on positive news. However, price did not dip back below the resistance. The level was tested and price consolidated.
NYSE:F stock seems very strong here.
Levels :
18.89 - long-term Fib resistance level
17.58 - last rejection
16.46-16.89 - strong demand zone at support
15.72 - long-term Fib support level
13.67 - short-term Fib support level
Interesting to see NYSE:F stock showing strenght and going to 7 year highs.
If the company will be successfull with their EV program, I expect stock price to grow in the future.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Square stock is trading inside the box. SQ analysisHi everyone,
Today we are taking a look at NYSE:SQ perfomance.
As always, I've put the stock inside my boxes.
NYSE:SQ has been trading with high volatility inside 190-280 range for almost a year now.
Key demand areas:
191-197
222-230
Key supply area:
281-288
My outlook:
To go for ATH we have to break 290 and consolidate above.
To start a position look for the entry inside the demand zones.
I think the company has a great long-term potential in fintech space with crypto adoption, so I am long .
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Sea Ltd stock analysis w/ boxes and Volume ProfileHi everyone,
This time I am analyzing NYSE:SE stock movement using volume profile besides my usual boxes setup.
NYSE:SE stock price has shown very persistent up-trend strenght for the past year.
When we have the equity soaring up like NYSE:SE does, it is helpful to use Volume Profile to see a bigger picture.
I added three volume profiles for different timeframes: 9 months, 5 months and 2 months.
What does it show us?
As we can see in the past 9 months the biggest trading volume occured around 273 level. That is where our long-term POC is.
However, a decent volume profile started developing from 308 level and above.
For the last 4 months the highest volume has been seen at 323 level. Both 2 and 4 month profiles have universal volume distribution with same POC level.
That means that higher price level has been accepted and stock is consolidated on a higher time-frame.
What now?
As volume profile is dynamic, I expect long-term POC to migrate to 320 level.
However, for that to happen we will need to see a lot of volume at 320, which is 7% lower than the current price.
AND that would be happening at the uptrend support line, which is dangerous.
IF that is broken, we could see a return to 273 POC to repair long-term profile structure.
IF we continue higher from here, we would get unevenely distributed profile, which could be bad in the long-run.
Let me know what you think of NYSE:SE movement and if it is sustainable.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
COIN stock movement. Does it follow BTC?Hi everyone,
This time we are taking a look at recently IPOed NASDAQ:COIN stock.
It may seem obvious that NASDAQ:COIN price is following crypto market movement.
If that's so, do technical indicators matter for this stock analysis?
Let's find out.
Taking BTC as a benchmark for the whole crypto economy, we clearly see that NASDAQ:COIN follows BTC movement almost exactly.
However, standard technical indicators, such as support and resistence, seem to hold up for NASDAQ:COIN stock.
Thus, if we can use TA for BTC or any other crypto, we can definitely use it for NASDAQ:COIN .
SO
Implementing my boxes as per usual.
What do we see?
Box breakout to the upside on increased volume.
What's the plan?
See if the price consolidates in the circled area.
Preferred entry at 295 level defence.
Keep it simple and be patent.
Let me know what you think of NASDAQ:COIN .
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
SOFI boxes strategy in action! feat. volume profileHi everyone!
Today we are analyzing NASDAQ:SOFI price movement.
As always, I am using my boxes strategy based on supply and demand.
BUT
In addition, I used volume profile for detailed context here.
A few words on volume profile:
It puts trade volume on vertical axes. So instead of volume per point in time metric, we observe volume per point in price . This way we can see at which price point the highest amount of volume had occured.
Let's implement it on our NASDAQ:SOFI chart.
Since February 2021 the highest volume has occured in 15.1 - 15.8 price range.
Red horizontal line at 15.45 is called Point of Control (POC). It is a highest volume node that has seen the most volume. Thus, that is a significant level of support/resistence.
Believe it or not, but I drew trendlines, boxes and indicated levels first. Only then I added Volume Profile starting from February, and its POC at 15.5 matched one of my box levels.
What does it tell us?
Two indicators confirm that 15.5 is a significant level.
We are at 19.3 now in a downward long-term trend near its top.
Plan:
Look for a return to 15.5 zone in order to start a position.
Probably better to open a position earlier at 16 to front-run algos.
If decent volume at 18 level occurs and it holds, start a position there.
Please let me know if this was helpful and if you want to see more analysis with volume profile.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
What's happening with NVIDIA stock? Boxes analysis.Hi everyone!
Today we take a look at spaceship of a stock NASDAQ:NVDA .
Nvidia stock has been booming since crypto market skyrocketed in 2016.
The company is overvalued from fundamental indicators viewpoint, but these kind of stocks seem to totally ignore the fundamentals.
Let us analyse the price movement using my favourite tools.
The orange trend channel is way too steep in my opinion and is unlikely to hold.
However, the stock seems to respect some key levels whcih are indicated on the chart.
My plan :
Check volume at the key levels.
Will consider starting a position at 178 if it holds with a decent bounce.
If we break 178, I expect the stock to meet the longer term grey trend line at 161. Then it is definitely a buy.
No FOMO.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
DKNG trading plan with my boxes strategyHi everyone!
I've been following NASDAQ:DKNG price movement for a long time.
Today I will share my analysis with you.
This is a typical growth tech stock with a higher risk profile.
If you are ok to see your asset go up 5% and then lose 7% the next day, then you might consider trading this stock.
Quick intro:
Price is in the long-term rising channel.
Stock has been trading sideways for quite some time.
Wide price volatility range (40-74).
These stock characteristics are suitable for my boxes strategy.
Key current levels:
Strong demand level at 42, which would be now reachable only with a breach of a trend.
Same with 44,6 level.
Magnet level at 47,5.
Recent bounce at the 50,7 level.
Notable magnet zone at 56.
In summary, NASDAQ:DKNG is a hugely volatile stock, which creates massive opportunity for shorter-term swing trading.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
A stock worthy to be boxed. $SNAP analysis.Hi everyone!
Today I am taking a look at the one and only NYSE:SNAP .
This stock was born to be put into my boxes .
Just look at it
The most perfect boxes setup I've seen in a long time!
Key points are indicated on the chart.
The closest levels:
Strong supply on the upside at 79 .
Magnet level at 73,6 .
Strong demand level at 69,9 down below.
Key takeaways:
If we break the box with high volume we see 83 .
BUT I do not expect the price to take over the long-term trend line yet.
Last days volume was not outstanding, so I expect retest of 69,9 first before making ATH.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
AMD position update. Boxes holding upHi everyone!
Today I am posting an update of my NASDAQ:AMD stock analysis and position.
I first provided my analysis on the stock mid August together with my boxes strategy tutorial. It is linked below.
Now let us see how it holds up.
Demand level of the higher box at 104 has proven to be a decend support.
We broke out of the box to the downside during a market-wide correction on Sep 20.
AND not surprisingly the price bounced off of 99 level, which is a bigger box supply zone turned into a support.
My outlook has not changed .
Still consider NASDAQ:AMD a great long-term investment.
I have added to my long position at 100.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Putting $CRWD stock into the box. My analysis Hi everyone!
Today we are taking a look at NASDAQ:CRWD stock price movement using my boxes as always.
Stock is holding itself in a solid uptrend channel.
Key levels:
Upside - 269, 289 .
Downside - 248, 239, 227 .
Remember !
Watch volume numbers at key levels and compare them with previous zone breakout numbers.
Overall very impressive performance for this growth stock over the last year.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
UPDATE. Unity stock trading plan $UHi everyone!
Today I decided to post an update on my initial NYSE:U prediction made a month ago.
Here is what happened:
Price broke out of the long-term downward trend sooner than I expected.
Trend line got softly backtested and held.
Supply level at 139 level was reached.
Return to strong 128 demand level.
As much as I love this stock I do not believe it will keep the pace on the way up.
I expect it to hard backtest the red trendline.
If that holds, Scenario #1 will still be intact.
It is also clear now that Scenario #2 did not play out, which is obviously good.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
$PLTR stock analysis. Boxes trading strategyHi everyone!
Today I analyze NYSE:PLTR stock price movement.
For a preface, I consider Palantir a great company with interesting business strategy, so it's a buy for a long-term hold in my book.
But
We are here to analyze it's recent movements and decide where to buy/sell.
What's going on?
Price has been moving sideways in 16-27 range since February 2021.
Long-term trend channel established after bouncing from 16,38 level.
Strong supply level at 27,5.
Strong demand level at 20,88.
There are two notable shorter-term levels that developed in the last couple of months:
23,7 and 26,8.
Watch the price action around them closely.
What's next?
IF
27,5 is taken, we see melt up to 30,45 level.
ELSE
We test 23,7 again.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
$SKLZ stock analysis and prediction. Boxes strategy + patternsHello everyone!
Today I take a look at mysterious NYSE:SKLZ price movement.
Why misterious?
I personally think the company has a great business plan, innovative product and tons of growth potential. Fundamentally, if stock price alligns with the business indicators, it should skyrocket.
However , stock price does not reflect that view and just keeps plummeting for the last half a year.
So let's talk charts.
Red trend lines combined with stock movement since February 2021 represent a typical falling wedge.
I drew the predictive blue arrow path in August when price bounced from $10 level.
I was expecting the price to break the wedge and soar up.
Even though we went up on a breakout, that was not for long.
So now I turn to my boxes strategy to help me figure out what is going on.
Key levels are indicated on the chart.
A couple of scenarious here:
If long-term support breaks, I suggest selling the stock.
If 12.44 is taken, we see a move higher with 13.93 level retest. If all goes well, I want to see 18 by the end of this year.
Otherwise, we move sideways in a tight range of the smaller box.
Remember!
Look for unusual volume on breakout from the key levels.
Overall, I expect this stock to move much higher in the long run.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Boxes strategy analysis. $PENN stock price action.Here is my recent analysis of NASDAQ:PENN stock price movement.
As always I used my boxes strategy.
Here is a recap of recent price action:
Price dropped below 86 level in May 2021, which had acted as a support before. Then price tried to reclaim that level multiple times, but with no success.
We can mark this level as a strong supply point.
Significant demand level was reached in August where price bounced from 61 level with huge volume. Long-term trend line can be marked at that level, as it acted as a strong support.
Hence, the box is formed between 61 and 86 levels.
Another point of interes is 74.4 acting as a magnet, with plenty of action around it.
What happens next?
We need to see decent volume at breakout of 86 for the stock to move higher.
Target is 95 which had acted as a demand level of the previous box.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Netflix stock analysis. What to expect.Today I analyze NASDAQ:NFLX stock price movements.
Here I use my box strategy combined with Fib retracement.
NASDAQ:NFLX stock price is in a long-term rising trend channel.
However, it has been kept in a 465-575 range since June last year, hence the box formation.
There was an unseccessfull box breakout attempt in January 2021 where the price reversed to a long-term support level.
Shorter-term Fib retracement was drawn from the low on May 2021 bounce and up to this day.
Pivot points:
0.786 level acted as a solid support.
0.382 showed a proper resistence level.
0.236 level which matches supply level of the box at 575 was viciously broken.
Now I believe the price is overextended.
I expect it to return to the 0.236 level at the very least.
If overall market situation is stable when that happens, I believe the stock will continue to grow higher.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
NIO stock analysis using my boxes strategyToday I am taking a look at a Chinese EV manufacturer NYSE:NIO stock price movement.
NYSE:NIO stock price has been moving mostly sideways since the end of last year.
Price was trapped in between two major supply and demand areas: 30.5 and 54.5. This area is outlined by a big box.
The only exception was the breakout on January 2021, but price quickly reversed after rejection from the trend-line at 66.7 level.
Key points of analysis:
Boxes capture consolidation of a price range or simpler a sideways movement.
Stock price trends after a box breakout to test support/resistence.
When you see this kind of movement in price the best strategy for a shorter-term trading is buying at the support levels and selling at the next resistence.
My outlook for the stock:
I believe it will go higher in the shorter term to test 47-49 levels.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Boeing stock analysis. $BA box inception Today I am going to show you implementation of my boxes trading strategy on NYSE:BA stock price movement.
Boeing stock price has been extremely volatile since the COVID crash.
Let's take a look at it's last 6 month price movement.
1. Price bounced from long-term support and found a new demand at 205.
2. Price reached 278 and got rejected from a strong resistance. Thus, big box was formed at respective supply and demand levels.
3. Price dropped and could not get past 258 level during the span of the next 4 months. At the same time demand was found at 220 level, forming anoter box.
4. Breakout of the box downward led to return to the original 205 demand level in the bigger box, which happened to be at the long-term support line as well. That's a strong level.
5. Price soared all the way to 240 and rejected to form another smaller box.
September action will be crucial for determining further stock direction.
Watch for trend line breakouts as they are coming closer.
If the long-term support does not hold - we move lower to the box demand. If that does not hold either, we move lower to another long-term trend line.
If the price breaks through the smaller box supply and resistance trend line, we move higher to the big box supply of 278.
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Boxes strategy. $U stock analysis. My plan.Here is my technical analysis of NYSE:U stock using my boxes strategy.
NYSE:U price has broken out of the box recently on great earnings news.
In 2 days it hit a long-term resistance and reversed down.
Price has bounced off of the box ceiling that has become support now.
I see two scenarious for further stock movement.
Scenario #1.
1. Price breaks the long-term resistence level.
2. It comes back to a strong demand zone (preferrably where box level meets the trend line).
3. Then we move higher.
Scenario #2.
1. Price does not break the long-term resistence level.
2. Stock price goes down and misses the demand zone.
3. We continue to move inside the box.
Remember, action at the demand zone of 115.50 is a crucial point to watch.
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Boxes trading strategy example. $ABNB stock.Continuing my tutorials on boxes trading strategy.
This time let's analyze NASDAQ:ABNB stock price movement.
Taking all appropriate steps as described in my first lesson:
1. Identifying long-term trend channel.
2. Finding supply and demand zones.
3. Drawing a box inside which price is moving sideways.
4. Buying demand zone bounces.
5. Watching for breakouts.
There are some curious details in this stock's price movements.
We can see there was an attempt for a breakout from the box on the session opening of July 1st. However, there was not enough volume for the move higher, so the breakout failed.
As expected, the stock reversed to go lower in the followind days.
Even though this stock is in a falling trend channel, it's very news sensitive stock.
For instance, if there are positive news regarding COVID mitigation, we could see a major breakout from the falling trend.
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Airbnb has been on my radar for a long time now. Personally, I think it's a great long-term investment and I've been buying the stock on it's way down. I believe it will be a great post-COVID play.
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
My investment strategy. Example of my own $AMD position.I've been investing in NASDAQ:AMD since the last year.
AMD is one of my biggest positions.
For my long-term investgment portoflio I use fundamental analysis to evaluate stock buying opportunities.
If I like the company I then use technical analysis to determine entries, exits and targets.
Here is my technical setup on NASDAQ:AMD
I use a combination of technical indicators. Here is my process:
1. Determine current long-term trend channel.
2. Find supply and demand zones to form a box inside which a stock is currently moving.
3. Watch for the box breakouts using volume as an indicator of move's worthyness.
4. Find new boxes after the breakouts using the same process.
5. Rince and repeat.
This investment strategy is pretty flexible.
You can day trade/swing trade inside the boxes.
You can buy the breakouts when you identify them and sell in the next box.
You can accumulate large positions at demand zones of multiple boxes for a long-term.
Personally, for my long-term investments I add to positions after the bounce off of the demand zone and trim after breakouts when the move reverses to form a new box.
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Please let me know if you want to see a deeper dive into fundamentals in the future.
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
BTC - 6-2-21 Todays DirectionVideo is clear.
Above the three most recent balance areas.
Potential INTRA DAY SHORT.
ALTHOUGH.
Larger time frame. We are still in buy zone from the largest most recent consolidation box
for DCA. as good and promising place as any.
For a trade. I'd look for a small correction for a tighter entry.
Happy trading
keep stacking it.
Not Financial Advice. Just painting the story of the chart as it unfolds to me.
-Harmonic Puma