XP. Brazilian brokerage leader.XP Inc. is a Brazilian brokerage and dealer company. It is one of the seven largest companies in the country with a capitalization of $16.8B. It is the leading low-cost financial services company in Brazil. XP Inc. gives clients access to a wide range of financial products, including fixed income securities, mutual funds and hedge funds, pension plans and life insurance, generates a large amount of media content and develops technology solutions to support its cloud and mobile applications.
The Brazilian financial market is not very developed, most of it is made up of conservative banks with inefficient financial instruments. In such circumstances, the activities of XP Inc. can be called revolutionary on a national scale. At first glance, XP Inc. is at the peak of the current investment promotion trend.
➡️ The entire movement since March 2020 visually looks like an impulse and a correction to it. The structure of the initial growth is ambiguous, and the corrective movement in wave 2 (or B) is technically decomposed into a plane. In December 2021, the decline in wave {c} reached the level of $27.5 , stopping at it with a slight flat. At the start of 2022, we saw a false breakout of this level and a return to the top with the update of the last peak (iv)of{c} and the potential for the end of the downtrend.
It is worth noting that in the area of the indicated level of $27.5 there are:
1️⃣ Corrective Fibo level 0.5 of wave 1.
2️⃣ Projection Fibo level 1.618 for wave {c}of2.
3️⃣ Strong volume zone $22-28 within the ascending wave 1.
4️⃣ The lower border of the descending pitchfork.
📌 Growth in January is like a expanding diagonal. I see a good opportunity to buy on a rollback to the area of $27-$29 .
📈 If this movement is an ABC zigzag, as a minimum target for further growth, I note the maximum level of the stock at $52 - $53 , which the price has already touched three times over the past years. If this is a start of a new impulse and we have leading waves 1-2 in front of us, then the adequate growth potential in wave 3 is at $90 , but it may turn out to be noticeably higher - the following projection levels: $120 , $142 and $190 .
➖ In theory, wave {c} may become more complicated or my initial counting may not be confirmed, then the fall will continue. Cancellation of the current scenario when the price goes below $25.5 .
Brazilianmarket
The Economist - Brazil Edition - Market TOPS and BOTTOMSThe Economist - Brazil takes off
(Nov 14th 2009 edition)
The Economist - The betrayal of Brazil
(Apr 23rd 2016 edition)
The Economist - Brazil’s dismal decade
(Jun 5th 2021 edition)
If this isn't an indication to get long Brazilian equities, I don't know what is.
Never confuse education with intelligence. You can have a Ph.D. and still be an idiot!
UNCERTAIN SO TRADE WITH VOLUMES - BRFS - 240MN - MY IDEAThank you for your Likes! Very Appreciated! Please give the chance to the community to see what you like by Sharing!
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After a nice long fall, the price has stabilized and is following a very weak support line going in the upside.
There is a support, illustrated by the blue line, that has been tested few times with a major failure lately.
This opens the door to a short entry on that time. Now we are looking at the price which has broken the very weak support line.
The signal of a short direction is not significant.
The probability is higher to see the price testing again the resistance line, then different scenarios:
- The market fails again goes in a declining trend. Perfect entry for a short trade, profits in the Sort direction.
- The market supported with volumes forms a nice larger candlestick to break the resistance, top blue line. At that moment the doted support line will become a serious support line. Good entry for a long entry.
To resume:
Beware next week at the volumes and the reaction of the market towards the blue resistance line.