Brazilianreal
Brazilian currency lost the battle against the US Dollar.This is my first analysis of the USDBRL pair. The Real has lost value in a parabolic fashion agains the American Dollar. The Dollar appear to have reached the top of the channel however the whole global scenario does not look in favor of the Brazilian currency strengthening agains the dollar, the case seems to be of maybe a top but i can't see it going really low into the channel. Unless some real extraordinary policies change in Brazil and the economy does really well, the Brazilian currency will be in a really bad shape for purchasing power into USA.
USD.BRL - small correction before new highsBrazilian real reached R$5.35 on April 9, as predicted in a previous post. It is now tracing a minor wave 4 that when completed will turn turn to another last move up in minor wave 5 that should elevate the currency to around R$5.45 to R$5.50. The most probable time frame for this target is around 3 to 4 months form now. This last move should complete primary wave 5 and after this the major trend should turn down. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
USDBRL - final stages of cycle wave 5 upBrazilian Real is tracing minor wave 5 of intermediate, primary and cycle wave 5. The pattern shows a complete five wave that would complete the pattern, however minor wave 5 could extend, therefore the target to confirm the trend down would be if prices crosses down 5.20. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES
USDBRL - wave 5 finished, downward trend aheadUSDBRL crossed the upper line of the primary impulse waves' channel. Primary wave 5 finished with a throw-over crossing up the channel, a typical behaviour. Price should continue down in a corrective pattern. The odds for this scenario increases after prices crosses down 5.38. This analysis should be void if prices crosses up 5.72. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
USDBRL - correction down before new highsAs predicted, prices reached 5.392 and it seems to have completed or very near to completing minor b up. When complete, prices should correct in the range of 5.20 to 5.05 before moving up a final minor wave 5 of intermediate 5 of primary 5 of cycle 5 up that should reach the range of 5.50 to 5.60. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
US Dollar x Brazilian Real - Gravity will have its say?The USD has reached a strong resistance once again. Besides, the USD price has gone too far from the EMA200, there we can say the USD has become 'expensive'.
To enforce my short-term bearish view, comes the divergence between the price direction and both MACD and RSI. That's a strong indication that this bullish move has exhausted its strenght during its climbing.
Let us see if gravity will have its say in this situation.
Resistance areas: R$4.30 ~ R$4.60
Support areas: R$4.00 ~ R$3.80
US Dollar x Brazilian RealAfter the US Dollar has reached the last resistance around R$4.25, it has gone through a strong correction, slowing down exactly at EMA200. It is clear for us Brazilians that we have now a very good opportunity to buy more US Dollars to add to our greater Portfolio allocation.
[USDBRL 6% LONG] Reversal + Price Prediction w/ Spectro™ MThis trading strategy is using Spectro™ M
The blue background means a strong reversal zone. That's our first confirmation.
Now we see the Specter Clouds appearing no only telling us that this is too oversold but also it predicts the organic price, so it predicts possible future prices.
I like simple trading, it's a clear uptrend, Brazil is a damn mess right now, trust me I know, I was raised there before moving to the USA.
Plus it's an ascending triangle and the price is close to a support!
There are no Spectro™ M signals or alerts, but hey life isn't all about automation, right?
Entries anywhere near 3.72 and stop-losses anywhere close to the ascending triangle support line.
Profits go from 0.8% all the way up to 6% based on your strategies risk tolerance and exit rules.
Specter Cloud targets are: 3.752, 3.779 and 3.824
Ascending Triangle Target at ATH: 3.93
ATH close to 3.9666(good omen there)
Liked it? Give it a shot at, it's really affordable - you wouldn't believe if I told you: hypester.org
Brazilian REAL to accelerate devaluation against the USDWe suggest that the Brazilian Real is in a long cup&handle trend formation here showed on the monthly frame.
We expect an acceleration on the REAL devaluation once the 4 reais level is crossed.
Other fundamental aspects in favor of this view are the Brazilian Government several recent failed attempts to revert the current negative patter, the decaying Brazilian economy and the country's political turmoil. We can't see any fundamental that could revert the course of the REAL devaluation, on the opposite the odds are stacking against it.
Technically speaking the only positive aspect of the chart for the REAL is the overbought RSI/Scholastic for the USD. That signals a possible incoming reset of these indicators, and we would expect some sideways action for couple of months until the 4 Reais level is broken.
We favor a long USD for the next 24 months trend.
BRLINR @ daily @ 7 weeks closed higher (friday by friday)This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close(1482 Cross-Rates)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron