CVNA possible price action on 7/21Shorted CVNA when it broke support at $50 after a huge leg up on Wednesday. Looking ahead to Friday, VWMA and MACD on 15m chart could flip positive during early trading - pushing price up along the edge of the cloud - before hitting heavy resistance around $48.30. If the price follows the dotted arrow pattern, it may drop significantly before close or after hours.
Price went down slightly during after hours trading on Thursday and could crash to <$40 at open. The catalyst Friday will be whether dilution news is released, and if so, when. Going to watch closely in the morning before buying more puts, but overall I'm pretty confident that CVNA will continue to decline through the next week.
Expecting price to stay in the $38-$48 range 7/21.
Breadth Indicators
Indicators that can identify trends: MS-Signal indicatorHello?
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(LINKUSDT chart)
The composition of the chart consists of price and volume.
Therefore, chart analysis can be interpreted differently depending on how you interpret price and volume.
First of all, if you look at the price part, you can see that the trend and various indicators were created based on price candles and moving averages.
Therefore, it will be difficult to interpret the chart as the concept of the arrangement of the candles and the price moving average is not established.
The array of price candles, that is, the high and low points formed by connecting the candles, draws each trend line to check which direction the current price movement is moving.
However, it is necessary to be careful because it is difficult to find the highs and lows of a low time frame chart, so it is possible to draw an incorrect trend line.
A false trend line means that you drew a trend line, but did nothing with it.
The more false trend lines you have, the less information you can get from chart analysis, and the trading strategy created with such reduced information loses its usefulness, so you need a solid basis even when drawing a trend line.
With a firm basis on how to draw a trend line, we will have time to explain in detail later on how to draw it.
The MS-Signal indicator shown in this chart is an indicator that can confirm the trend by using the formula of the MACD indicator.
Therefore, it is necessary to become familiar with the interpretation method using MS-Signal indicators before practicing drawing trend lines.
The MS-Signal indicator utilizes the formula of the MACD indicator. If you look at the formula of the MACD indicator, you can see that it was created using a moving average.
Therefore, if you understand the concept of moving averages, I think you will have no difficulty in using the MACD indicator.
MS-Signal indicator consists of M-Signal indicator and S-Signal indicator.
Therefore, an arrangement of M-Signal indicator > S-Signal indicator means that it is in an uptrend.
During this uptrend, if the price candle holds the price above the MS-Signal indicator, it means that the uptrend is likely.
We have also explained indicators that use volume to mark support and resistance points.
That index is the OBV index included in the HA-MS index.
The OBV indicator is an indicator that shows the change in trading volume due to price fluctuations, and the key point of the OBV indicator is 0.
Interpretation of trading volume can be difficult to understand, so we will take time to explain in detail when the explanation of the price chart part is being finalized.
In this chart, the 'Vol & Trend' sub-indicator includes indicators that utilize trading volume.
What I want to explain this time is about the MS-Signal indicator explained above.
Since the MS-Signal indicator is published in the trading view formula, you can look it up if you want to know the formula. (HA-MS indicator)
MS-Signal indicators are composed of M-Signal indicators and S-Signal indicators.
Among these two indicators, the key indicator is the M-Signal indicator.
Therefore, it is designed to display M-Signal indicators of 1M, 1W, and 1D charts separately.
Utilizing these indicators, it plays a role in showing the overall trend of the price chart immediately even if it is below the 1D chart.
(4h chart)
The 4h chart above is a chart set to display only the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
If the M-Signal indicators form a regular arrangement (1D > 1W > 1M), you can see that there is an upward trend from a long-term perspective, just by looking at the 4h chart.
These marks can reduce the time it takes to analyze a chart because it can shorten the viewing time when viewing multiple charts.
It also reduces the chance of getting caught in a whipsaw by price fluctuations.
Chart analysis is just analysis, you need a trading strategy to trade.
Chart analysis should focus on finding support and resistance, as it is possible to find support and resistance points by analyzing the shape of the chart in order to create a trading strategy.
As mentioned above, all you need for chart analysis is the shape of the candlestick and the concept of the moving average line.
Therefore, if this concept is in place, all the indicators shown in this chart are unnecessary.
However, chart analysis can take a long time, and it is recommended to use indicators that are basically reliable even in order to reduce psychological agitation caused by whipsaw-like volatility.
Descriptions of the MS-Signal indicator have been published several times.
Therefore, after candlesticks and moving averages, the indicator that must be familiar to the eye is the MS-Signal indicator.
This is because I think there is no better indicator than the MS-Signal indicator to find out the trend of the chart.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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OPEN breaks out. Can it continue?OPEN a disruptive company in the residential real estate sector as shown on the 1H chart has
continued out of a pullback. Is the continuation sustainable? I believe that inflation has
become imbedded into the economy. Banks have survived the crisis with federal support and
action. The Z score and relative trend index are impressive with the present indications.
In an abundance of caution, the mass index is approaching the reversal zone above and could
be somewhat predictive of a potential reversal. Moreover, the anchored VWAP lines with an
origination ten trading days back shows price at three standard deviations above the mean
VWAP. Overall, I believe that I should not enter a long uptrend this far into its extension
when there are signs based on technical indicators. Instead, I will watch for another
pullback or actual retracement.
Rounded Top for Hess MidstreamNYSE:HESM Hess Midstream LP may be forming a rounded top targeting ~$11, near where it pivoted bullish around April of 2020 after correcting from its March 2020 lows.
Confluence - OBV has been dropping into the rounded top, and recently dropped sharply while bearish volume has risen as it starts to round off.
Hess has been known for dividend payouts north of 6%. A scenario like this could create a future buying opportunity.
SPY: FLUSH OR RALLY / MARKET BREADTH / MARKET MAKERS TIMINGDescription: In the chart above I have provided a semi-macro analysis of SPY that compares ongoing market rally and past rallies within the range of 420 & 360 Points.
Points:
1. Price Action is fast approaching 420 Resistance that has been indicative of a turn around for past 4 rallies that failed to break the 420 LEVEL.
2. First 2 rallies under the 420 Level showed signs of congruence when it came to market breadth and price action.
3. Last 3 rallies including current one has shown divergence with market breadth along with a distinct pattern of consolidation that is followed by a sudden drop in price action.
4. It is important for price action to have another leg even if current uptrend is continued.
First Price Target: 404.64 Bouncing Support
Second Price Target: 400 Critical Support
Market Breadth:
1. Showing strong signs of divergence with average price action continuing to rise. The Tech Sector is mainly responsible for the upholding of this rally with giants like AAPLE, NVIDIA, AMD, AMAZON, META, & GOOGLE fighting against bearish momentum.
2. For the majority of US INDICES Tech companies like AAPLE, NVIDIA, AMD, AMAZON, META, & GOOGLE represent a large majority of the holdings within many US INDICES. So it is no coincidence for why market breadth may appear weak when only a couple holdings are contributing to rallies meanwhile a large majority of the holdings are in the red.
3. Market Breadth Levels of 4200 have been indicative of volatile declines in price action in the past with an average incoming 10 POINT DECLINE over a day or two.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
AMEX:SPY
BNB Bias for the dayHow i started this market (Overall Trend is on a Rising Wedge D TF)
Checked my 4H tf and its on my Support TL and on top my 20EMA (Symmentrical Triangle)
On my 1tf it formed a H&S. but due to volume i am not confident on the pump but if it goes
my entry is set on a retest to the neckline
All Ema above the Candle
if it Breaks down i will wait for a retest on my Support trend line for a ride to hell
INDICATORS
Hull Suite : 1H hull ind. breakout to the Green
Fair Value Gap: Two FVG to cover up liquidity
On Balance Volume: OBv on a side ways movement(No volume)
BUY USDCHFUSDCHF ranging inside the channel (blue trendline). And recently bounce on the support level (yellow line). I take that opportunity to buy USDCHF, the stoploss is below the blue trendline and the take profit is at green line key level. Always use the good money management, good risk reward ratio and good lot sizing, don't ever mind about win-rate, just put the amount of money you can afford to lose.
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Keep positive.
SELL EURJPYSell opportunity on EURJPY. The price had been channeling up and then break the support multiple times. Eventually the price break the nearest channel's support indicating there will probability to continue to the next key level. I set the stop loss on the previous candle wick's high and the TP point on the key level below (Yellow line).
$DNA Possible Accumulation. Fib levels very reactive.A pretty compelling argument for a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. We know some people like Woods are investing heavily into this market, so it's not a long shot to assume there are others. Whether we see a spring or LPS our way up to SOS is TBD, we could shoot in either direction as it stands. PTs are at $7-$15 according to analysts. This seems to line up with extensions. OBV shows each consecutive low on the PA is higher on the OBV. This is a great indication of an increase of strong hands ownership. Overall, I think I am mostly bullish at the current level. Should we happen to dip lower for a spring, I will significantly add to my position.
Hunting Breakouts with Bollinger Bands and OBVThanks to zAngus for the idea, here is a simple trading strategy that uses two tools: Bollinger Bands and OBV to find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease.
First and foremost, please note that this explanation is simplified and only covers the basics. Each individual can develop their own settings and adjustments according to their own preferences.
Imagine that you are looking at a price chart of an asset. This chart shows how prices have changed over time. Sometimes prices go up and sometimes they go down.
The trading strategy we are going to show you can help you find moments when prices are about to change direction.
- Bollinger Bands are lines that show a zone where prices of an asset are likely to stay.
These lines have two parts: a middle line that shows an average of prices and two other lines that show the zone where prices should be.
The lines widen and narrow based on the volatility of prices.
- OBV (On-Balance Volume) is another tool that measures whether more people are buying or selling an asset.
If more people are buying an asset, OBV increases, and if more people are selling an asset, OBV decreases.
Now, here is how we use these two tools to find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease:
1. First, we wait for prices to stabilize for a certain amount of time. This means that prices don't go up or down much during a given period.
2. Next, we look at the Bollinger Bands to see if prices have reached the upper or lower limit. If prices exceed the upper limit, it may mean that prices will increase.
If prices fall below the lower limit, it may mean that prices will decrease.
3. To confirm what we have seen in the Bollinger Bands, we look at the OBV.
If OBV increases or decreases at the same time as prices exceed the upper or lower limit of the Bollinger Bands, it means that more people are buying or selling the asset, and this reinforces our idea that prices will increase or decrease.
4. We enter the market by buying or selling the asset based on whether we think prices will increase or decrease.
5. We exit the market when prices reach the opposite upper or lower limit of the Bollinger Bands or an important resistance zone.
This is a simple strategy, but it can help find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease.
Remember that you must always use good risk management to avoid losing too much money if the market doesn't follow your forecast.
Please note that this Bollinger Bands and OBV breakout trading strategy involves risk and is intended for educational purposes only. Any investments made using this strategy are done at your own risk, and you should always do your own research and seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.
SPX head and shoulders with bad newsS&P formed a head and shoulders while bulls are overextended. So stocks had some downward momentum and then I mentioned if any bad news say the fed was Hawkish... which he was...stocks would drop.... which they have... I think this can go much lower now... If it drops below 392 I think the bull case is over.
Note:
I had posted this yesterday before the drop today but got hidden by mod as I think they thought I was using private/custom script/indicators which I clearly show this time I am not. Everything is public that I use and available in the public indicators. No private scripts have been used nor any public scrips have been modified. I just combined multiple indicators on same line using the object viewer which I believe is allowed.
Downward ChannelA little outbreak has been sold and the sale is retracing now. As we have fallen back into the downward channel and the ADX shows no momentum I suppose that the attempt to rise will come to a halt. This idea finds support as we could not rise above the resistance line that has been tested since 2020.
Spot vs Ampl
Will be interesting to see how these two will attract towards same price over time.
Current target price is CPI $1.14 for both $ampl and $spot
$SPY AKA Humpty DumptyI'm struggling to understand any of the long ideas out there for $SPY. Not saying I'm right, but there doesn't seem to be much upside left here. Market breadth is very overbought and there's a lot of resistance up top.
I expect the debt ceiling shit show to give us a shorting catalyst. AMEX:SPY
SPY Swing Long on ReversalSPY dropped to a mid Fib level from the recent pivot high and bounced.
Price is now rising in a channel predictive for a 1% rise tomorrow.
The ADX indicator shows the negative direction reversed and now positive
and rising out of the chop zone confirms the reversal as a solid one not
a fake out as does the MACD with a crossover under the histogram
I will trade this with strike 392 calls for expiration this Friday expectant
for 25+% return in two days