Break
USDJPY 4HWatching this pair closely this week as the dollar is looking bullish again.. NFP went great showing growth in the US economy, plus the technicals are showing the same.. Will be watching for a reversal pattern to the fib regions & a potential further pullback is possible. Weekly inside bar reversal pattern to 108.400 confirmed, so this pair will climb higher!
GBPCHF DAILYStrong bearish engulfing breakout of prices uptrend line, now retesting with what looks to be a potential shooting star rejection. Not looking to jump into this pair this week exactly since the market closes tomorrow, but will be looking for a break of support & retest for more confirmation
SPX: Flashing cautionary signals (again).My cautious call of 2 weeks ago may have been premature (see link below).
However, we are now seeing additional cautionary signals on the SPX :
1. Two consecutive down days at the beginning of this week;
2. Visible break yesterday on the index (gap down);
3. Reasonable volume on the downside;
4. Traded and closed below SMA10;
5. Tech indicators turning (MACD, RSI, Stock);
6. RSI coming from very overbought levels >85;
7. Treasury yields picking up;
8. Some divergence/topping signs from tech market leaders;
9. High-volume surge in the VIX (please see chart below);
10. VIX broke/closed above two resistance levels in a day.
Current earnings should bring further steam to this market, either for a highly-expected consolidation or for a rebound.
In this context, am warming up to buying downside exposure in one -or multiple- of the following ways:
1. Reducing portfolio risk by taking selective profits/losses;
2. Buying puts on selected stocks ahead of earnings;
3. Shorting the market outright (SPY, QQQ);
4. Buying volatility outright (VXX).
The rest of this week should be interesting and followed closely.