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Breakandretest

Bitcoin - Please Look At This Timeframe!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Please just make sure, that you don't trust Bitcoin with its daily swings of more than -5%. Looking at the overall picture, Bitcoin is still incredibly bullish and almost trading at its all time high. Bulls are 100% in control of everything and some profit taking along the way is just normal. Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
15
Amazon - This Could Be The Breakout Rally!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is creating a major breakout: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 With this monthly candle, Amazon is finally breaking above the previous all time highs and could therefore start the next major bullish cycle. After a 5 year consolidation, a confirmed breakout will lead to an unbelievable short squeeze, which could bring us all the way up to the top of the channel. Levels to watch: $200, $500 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
19
Cardano - Starting The 10x Parabolic Rally!Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) is perfectly following the break and retest: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 With an incredible +200% pump in November, Cardano is finally coming back to life after creating the bullish double bottom break and retest just a couple of months ago. Looking at previous cycles, this seems to be just the beginning of another +3.000 rally. Levels to watch: $3.0, $10.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by basictradingtv
17
Micron Technology - This Stock Will Double Soon!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is retesting massive support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we saw a test of the resistance trendline on Micron Technology a couple of months ago, it was quite likely that we will eventually retest the previous all time high. This structure is now acting as massive support and together with the rising trendline, we will see a bullish rejection. Levels to watch: $90, $180 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MULong
by basictradingtv
15
Bitcoin - Preparing For Another +200% Rally!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is just starting a major bullrun: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Bitcoin rallied more than +40% in November and despite the recent bullrun and the all time high breakout, Bitcoin is just starting its next major bullish cycle. Looking at previous price and trend behaviour, it is quite likely that Bitcoin will eventually retest the top of the channel. Levels to watch: $100.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
15
How Can You Use a Break and Retest Strategy in Trading?How Can You Use a Break and Retest Strategy in Trading? Trading strategies help traders navigate the financial markets with greater confidence. One such approach is the break and retest strategy, which focuses on key support and resistance levels. This article explores the break and retest strategy in detail, providing insights and practical examples to help traders apply it in their trading activities. Understanding the Break and Retest Strategy The break and retest strategy is popular among traders who aim to capitalise on clear market movements. At its core, this strategy revolves around identifying key support and resistance levels on a price chart. Here’s how it works: When the price breaks through a support or resistance level, it signals a potential shift in market sentiment. For example, if a stock breaks above a resistance level, it suggests increasing buying interest. Traders then watch for the price to return to this newly broken level—known as a retest in trading. During the retest, the former resistance now acts as support, providing a potentially more attractive entry point for traders looking to join the trend. This strategy aligns well with trending markets, where prices move consistently in one direction. It allows traders to take advantage of momentum while managing their entries potentially more effectively. The Mechanics of Break and Retest Trading Implementing the break and retest strategy involves a clear sequence of steps that traders follow to identify and act on potential market moves. Here’s a breakdown of how this strategy typically operates: 1. Identifying Key Levels Traders begin by pinpointing significant support and resistance levels on their charts. Accurate identification is crucial, as these levels form the foundation of the strategy. 2. Monitoring for a Breakout Once the key levels are established, traders watch for the price to break through one of these barriers, in line with a broader trend. A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively above resistance or below support, often accompanied by increased trading volume. This surge in volume indicates stronger market interest and can validate the breakout’s legitimacy. 3. Waiting for the Retest After the breakout, the price typically retraces to test the broken level. For instance, if the price breaks above a resistance level, it may pull back to that same level, which now acts as support. This retest phase is critical as it offers a second confirmation of the breakout’s strength. 4. Confirming the Retest During the retest, traders look for confirmation signals to ensure the breakout is genuine. These signals can include specific candlestick patterns, such as pin bars or engulfing candles, and continued high trading volume. Successful confirmation suggests that the new support or resistance level will hold, increasing the likelihood of a sustained trend. 5. Entering the Trade With confirmation in place, traders often enter the market, aiming to ride the new trend. They may set stop-loss orders slightly below the new support (in the case of a breakout to the upside) or the new resistance (in case of a breakout to the downside) to manage potential risks. 6. Managing the Trade Effective trade management involves setting target levels based on previous price action and adjusting stop-loss orders as the trade progresses. This helps to lock in potential returns and potentially protect against unexpected market reversals. Break and Retest Example Strategy Consider this EURUSD 15-minute chart, which displays a clear bearish trend. This trend is highlighted by the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sloping downward, with the price generally staying below it. Recently, the price broke below a key support level on higher-than-average volume, signalling a potential opportunity for traders to apply the break and retest strategy. In this scenario, there are two support levels to monitor. The first is a more significant support level. Trading at this level can allow traders to enter the market quickly, though it comes with a less favourable risk-reward ratio. The second support level is found within the recent brief retracement. This level offers a better risk-reward ratio, but there's a chance the price may not retrace deeply enough, potentially causing traders to miss the trade. The entry point is identified by a candle with a wick longer than its body (a pin-bar on the 30m chart), indicating rejection of higher prices as the market retests the second broken support level. Once this candle closes, traders can enter a market order. Stop losses would typically be placed either above the last major swing high or above the 50-period EMA, depending on individual risk tolerance. Take-profit targets could be set at a 1:3 risk-reward ratio or at the next significant support level, where a price reversal may be anticipated. Improving the Break and Retest Strategy Enhancing the break and retest strategy involves integrating additional tools and techniques to refine trade decisions. Here are several methods to consider: 1. Incorporating Additional Indicators Using break and retest indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide valuable insights. For instance, an RSI crossing below 70 during a bearish breakout may indicate weakening momentum, supporting the retest. Similarly, the MACD crossing above its signal line or the MACD histogram rising above 0 can confirm the uptrend’s strength, aiding in more precise entry points. Explore these indicators and more than 1,200+ trading tools in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. 2. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Examining charts across different timeframes helps in gaining a broader market perspective. A breakout observed on a 4-hour chart gains additional confirmation when a strong trend is also visible on a daily chart. This alignment across timeframes increases the reliability of the trade setup. 3. Utilising Fibonacci Retracements After a breakout, prices often retrace deeper into the previous high-low range—not always to the most extreme point. Applying Fibonacci retracements to the high/low of the breakout (high in a bearish breakout and low in a bullish scenario) and the new low or high can help identify optimal retest points, particularly at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels. These levels typically offer better risk-reward ratios compared to the extreme points. 4. Incorporating Fundamental Analysis Supporting technical breakouts with fundamental factors, such as economic reports or news events, strengthens the strategy. For example, a breakout aligned with positive economic data may have a higher probability of sustaining the new trend, providing traders with greater confidence in their decisions. Advantages of the Break and Retest Strategy The break and retest strategy offers several advantages that can enhance a trader’s approach to the markets: - Increased Confidence through Confirmation: The retest serves as an additional validation of the breakout, boosting trader confidence in their entry decision and reducing hesitation. - Better Risk Management: Setting stop-loss orders based on the retest level provides a clear risk boundary. This structured approach aids in potentially managing losses. - Alignment with Market Trends: This strategy naturally aligns trades with the prevailing market trend. By trading in the direction of the breakout, traders can take advantage of sustained movements. - Versatility Across Markets: The breakout and retest strategy can be applied to various financial instruments, including forex, stocks, and commodities. Its adaptability makes it a valuable tool in diverse trading environments. - Scalability and Flexibility: This strategy can be adapted to different timeframes and trading styles, making it suitable for both short-term and long-term traders seeking to implement a consistent approach. Potential Challenges and Considerations While the break and retest strategy can be a powerful tool, traders may face several challenges when implementing it: - False Breakouts: Not every breakout leads to a sustained trend. Sometimes, the price moves beyond a support or resistance level only to reverse shortly after. Recognising these false signals is crucial to avoid entering trades that may quickly turn against expectations. - Market Conditions: According to theory, this strategy performs best in trending markets. In sideways or highly volatile environments, breakouts can be less reliable, making it harder to distinguish genuine opportunities from random price movements. - Timing the Retest: Accurately determining when the price will retest the broken level can be challenging. Entering too early may expose traders to unnecessary risk, while waiting too long might result in missed opportunities if the retest doesn't occur as anticipated. - Reliance on Confirmation Signals: While additional indicators like RSI or MACD can enhance the strategy, over-reliance on these tools can complicate decision-making. Traders need to balance multiple signals without becoming overwhelmed or confused. - Emotional Discipline: Maintaining discipline during retests is essential. Traders might feel pressured to act quickly if the market moves unexpectedly, leading to impulsive decisions that deviate from their trading plan. The Bottom Line The break and retest strategy offers a structured approach to navigating market movements, combining precise entry points with effective risk management. By understanding and applying this method, traders can potentially enhance their trading decisions and align with prevailing trends. To put this strategy into practice across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and gain access to four advanced trading platforms, low trading costs, and rapid execution speeds. FAQ What Is a Retest in Trading? A retest occurs when the price returns to a broken support or resistance level after an initial breakout. It serves to confirm the strength of the breakout, helping traders decide whether the new trend will continue or if the breakout was false. What Is the Break and Retest Strategy? The break and retest strategy involves identifying a breakout of a key support or resistance level and then waiting for the price to return to that level. Traders use this retest as a confirmation to enter the market, aiming to follow the new trend with reduced risk. What Is the Win Rate of the Break and Retest Strategy? The win rate of the break and retest strategy varies depending on market conditions and how the strategy is applied. Consistent application and effective risk management are crucial for achieving better results. How Many Times Should I Backtest My Strategy? Backtesting should be done extensively across different market conditions and timeframes. According to theory, traders need to test a strategy on at least 100 trades to ensure its reliability and to understand how it performs in various scenarios. Does the Market Always Retest? No, the market does not always retest broken levels. While retests are common, they are not guaranteed. Traders should use additional confirmation signals and be prepared for both possibilities when applying the break and retest strategy. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs. Levels to watch: $80, $115 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
1
Tesla - Ending 2024 With A Parabolic Rally!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is clearly not done for 2024: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Despite (or maybe even because of) the strong rally during November of 2024, Tesla is clearly not done with its bullish plans yet. Market structure, cycles and also price action are all pointing to a stronger move higher and we will see at least a retest of the previous all time highs. Levels to watch: $420 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
25
Ethereum - Finally Starting The Parabolic Rally!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) is is starting to catch up to Bitcoin: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After Bitcoin finally managed to break above all of the previous all time highs, it is now Ethereum's turn to catch up. Market structure is still obviously bullish and with a pump of +35% over the past week, momentum is starting to pick up and bulls are stepping into the market. Levels to watch: $4.000, $15.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
23
Microsoft - Short Term Top Formation!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) could create a short term correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Almost for the entire year of 2024, Microsoft has been moving sideways and respecting the upper channel resistance trendline. It is quite likely that we will see a correction, considering that buyers are still weak, before we then see the overall trend continuation. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
5
Cardano - Repeating the +3.000% bullish cycle!CRYPTO:ADAUSD is creating price action like back in 2020 and we might see a rally soon. Looking at the higher timeframes allows you to massively capitalize on overall market swings and cycles. Especially when it comes to Cardano, these cycles are pretty rewarding but also pretty predictable. At the moment, Cardano is repeating price action; we saw the same pattern playing out in 2020 and this break and retest was followed by a rally of +3.000% Levels to watch: $0.42, $0.25 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by basictradingtv
38
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish. Levels to watch: $80, $115 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
12
Tesla - New All Time Highs With Trump!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) just broke above the last resistance level: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 With Trump winning the election and Elon Musk being a supporter of Trump, Tesla is rallying significantly. But looking at market structure, this rally was also expected, considering that Tesla just broke out of a triangle pattern. Now Tesla will soon create new all time highs. Levels to watch: $275, $410 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
15
Xrp - This Triangle Wil Double Your Money!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is retesting a major confluence of support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For a couple of years now, Xrp has been trading in a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern. As we are speaking, Xrp is retesting the lower support trendline and also a horizontal support level. It is quite likely, that we will eventually see a breakout above both triangle patterns on Xrp. Levels to watch: $0.5, $0.6, $1.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
10
Apple - A Correction Is Actually Inevitable!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is preparing for a minor cycle correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After creating five consecutive bullish breaks and retests of the previous all time high, it seems like Apple is one of these stocks which is perfectly following technical analysis. Considering that and the current rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that we will now see a short term correction. Levels to watch: $190, $240 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
10
Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow. Levels to watch: $20, $27 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
8
Coca Cola - A Clear Trading Setup!Coca Cola ( NYSE:KO ) will provide a textbook setup soon: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Coca Cola is one of these "under the radar" stocks which is just trending higher and higher but nobody is really paying attention. However currently Coca Cola is retesting a resistance trendline of the governing rising channel pattern so a short term retracement is quite likely. Levels to watch: $72, $65 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:KOLong
by basictradingtv
10
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels. Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
22