Breakandretest
ASIA: GBPUSD BREAK & RETEST - DEPLETIONWe can see sellers have been depleted over the past hour and price has qualified for playbook setup B&R using our depletion entry. Good probability of reaching 1:2 RR. Lets see what happens over the rest of ASIA and check back in during London. Safe trading everyone, see y'all soon!
ASIA EJ B&R ON MOMENTUMEJ is in a consolidation phase so we must watch our step, but thats usually when algorithmic patterns come out to play, so lets see if they will follow thru on this harmonic reaction, price also formed one of our reversal setups, followed by what could be a continuation with this break and retest
GBPUSD - ShortGU is following the flow, being a bit more resilient thant euro, but still, it's beeing hit pretty hard by dollar strenght.
But, this trade could be taken just looking at TA, I entered it last thursday night after the wick that came to retest the 50% Fib level and the trendline, but, I still believe an entry could be made on the last daily candle. For those working on smaller TF, just look for retracement, break and retest, make sure you gat a 2:1 RR at least and go!
Like every trade, it might not make it but hey, if you're being consistent on your entries rules then, probabilities will fall in your favor with time. I think this trade is falling into my requirements.
Why am I shorting GU :
1) Strong selling pressure on GBP/strong buying pressure on USD
2) GBP made a strong downward movement,
3) it retraced to 50% FIB
4) it broke and retested the trendline it was in since last october.
5) my TP is above next support @ 1800ish + level
Let's keep on riding this one!
Cheers and safe trading!
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EURUSD - ShortLike I've mentionned in the DXY weekly analysis earlier, I'm gonna to be looking for short on XXXUSD this week, and, what about this nice little daily candle?!
EU has been ranging last week, debating on if yes or no it should keep on going south. Looking at the chart it seems like it has made its decision as it rejected the 1.750 - 1.800 level last tuesday, wednesday and thursday, to push further down on friday.
Why am I shorting EURUSD :
1) DXY is on the way up
2) Fundamentals are in favor of a strong dollar
3) Euro has been hit by a strong selling pressure in the last two weeks, and broke the recent 1.80 level
4) It retested the 1.80 level
5) The last daily candle shows more selling pressure
So as usual, I'm entering this trade at market open, with SL above previous candle, TP = 2SL, right above the 1.05 level
We'll see how this goes, same setups can be found on GBPUSD, AUDUSD, or reversed with USDJPY, I'm already in GU and AU, gonna had EU with a half position size
Cheers everyone and safe trading!!!
Don' hesitate to leave your comments!
EURAUD Short Opportunity - FEBRUARY RECAPWas late on this setup and entry was off by 10 pips. Nevertheless great setup - a lot of downward momentum !
Price broke support, RT and found exhaustion - bearish momentum engulfing candle showing sellers strengths.
Had to adjust my TP zone but will monitor P.A - already BE on trade.
AUDUSD possible long moveAN offers a really good long setup. The confluences are:
1.ascending channel
2.break and retest of S/R zone
3.daily AND weekly 50EMA laying on this level
4.61.8% fibs
So we just need to see rejection candles at POI for entries.
The only thing I don't like is the bearish momentum. The last daily candle is Marubozu candle, a very dominant candle sooo I'll be looking for STRONG 4H rejection candles or daily candle before jumping in longs!
It could easily penetrate the zone, so be careful with entries.
EURNZD 4h, B&R LongEURNZD 4h has the best B&R structure of all NZD pair on the daily it has close above the resistance level same is happening on the weekly which everything is in sync together. I will probably take this trade if it's showing me a great entry level and a great place to set my stop at.
AUDUSD LONGFX:AUDUSD
Bullish movement on AUDUSD. Price broke above the Daily resistance and made a pullback to retest at the previous resistance now turned into support. Price even retraced to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. An engulfing candle on the lower timeframes (30min,15min) is confirmation to go long on AUDUSD