Breakdown
DDOG move into EarningsDDOG is pretty much a stock that runs independent to the overall market. At times it can be manipulated, and vast amount of insider selling happens often.
One thing I have noticed with the stock when it comes to insider selling, it is constant but can be somewhat deciphered when looking into the SEC form 4 filings.
Most of the insiders use an algorithm based selling strategy. They decide how many shares they want to sell that day and the algorithm triggers trades throughout the trading day.
If you look at the filed form 4's, when the algorithm does not trigger enough trades to sell all of the requested shares, it has traditionally meant that the algorithm isn't triggering many strongly sold areas of resistance. Indicating that the stock is showing strength and is likely but not guaranteed to continue to increase in price in the following days.
Another thing to look for is amount and timing of the insider selling.
-for instance the CFO Agarwal Amit usually sells his shares on Wednesday's, usually second Wednesday of the month in the amount of 22,500 shares. In the past, when he reports selling shares on a day other than Wednesday it usually indicates an upcoming volatility of share price. If he sells more than his 22,500, it may show that insiders are looking to take some additional profit while the stock price is nearing anticipated highs.
-additionally the CEO and CTO normally sell their shares the first week of each month, in the same manner.
All time highs have also had the tendency to be hit on a Tuesday leading into a Wednesday sell-off.
I would be surprised if DDOG doesn't make a run to challenge upper $90's in the near future. A rejection of a bounce back leaves the stock with room to trail down into the low 70's and potentially further into the mid 60's
BA Breakout Price Targets with potential breakdown levelsIf Boeing can stay away from bad news and regain the ascending channel , it should continue to test the top-side of the above channel as resistance .
My thoughts are that potential breakdowns may occur after a failure to test the top-side resistance of the ascending channel . Or after its 3rd test of the top-side resistance of the channel .
With good news and Japan continuing to buy equities rather than debt , I don't see it being out of the question for BA to break that top-side trendline resistance and reach the previous all-time-high trend demand zone into the mid $290s
Will the support at 0.786 Hold or will ADA CARDANO Break down?What do you think?
Let me know in a comment, would love to see this shared or just push that like button if you agree.
- Try to open your entry if the price will show it according to your OWN strategy.
*Remember: This is just an Idea, no financial advise!
CCIV is lucid dreamingI recently told some friends to take profit and "sell the news" They didn't take my advice... Was riding on the upper end of the top channel and filled out an ascending triangle that signaled a reversal.
I would wait a bit before re-entry on a nice discount here. Get ready for calls soon. Cheers!
Please like/share, thank you!
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWe saw the price decline and move over 1,000pips in our direction since my last publication before the rally began during last week trading session (see link below for reference purposes). Despite the general perception that the USD is on the verge of a rally due to the sudden & rapid rise that appears to be running ahead of itself during last week trading session, I am of the opinion that we are at a juncture in the market where the structure/pattern is "screaming" risk of further decline for the Greenback in the coming week(s). Even though there is room for a possible rally into the major Supply area @ Y6.5100 area, my bias still remains Bearish!
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Harmonic Pattern (AB = CD) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Since the beginning of the year (2021), Buyers have found it difficult to break the Y6.51000 barrier thereby leaving clues of strong selling pressure at this zone.
ii. Continuous rejection of the Y6.51000 area followed by a complete Breakdown of Key level (Y6.4600/6.4400) at the beginning of the month (Feb 2021) is a sign emphasizing the strength of sellers.
iii. I am of the opinion that the rally that began on the 15th Feb 2021 is a Correction of the Impulse leg AB (expressed on the chart).
iv. Last week trading session saw price close at Y6.4600 area - exactly 61.8% retracement of AB with the possibility of extending into the Major Supply zone @ 78.6% retracement (appearing to be a rejection of key level) before the decline begins.
v. The setup evolving at this juncture might transpose into ABCD pattern parameters explained below;
a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
vi. It is hereby required that we become patient and wait for a strong Reversal pattern on lower time frames for confirmations... Best of luck and Trade consciously! :)
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,000 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 7 to 14 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NOWWhen the markets start slipping it's important to be able to play both sides. Sometimes, you find setups like this one where every technical looks overbought, and theres nothing stopping it from falling. At the same time, we're in a bull market, and although all the signs point down, stocks will go up. I'm taking puts on $NOW due to MACD and RSI curling downwards, an overall shift out of tech, and the imminent correction needed in this stock due to how overvalued it's been! There's also a gap to fill from 546 to 543, with an overall PT of 508 in the coming weeks. Good luck!
Weak volumes suggest further dumpWeak volumes off the sudden crash indicates low buyer interest.
We should see another break of the red trendline to do a second test of Fib 0.382 @ 4.7 cents, then a slight drawback and another dump down to break through 4.7 and hit a new low at fib 0.28 (3.7 cents)
I expect to see a price channel between 3.7 and just above four cents as a possible accumulation zone.
The end of accumulation should be characterized by the second hard dump down to high 3, low 4 cents before being bought up and making all sorts of ascending triangles and teacup formations.
BTC BOOMI feel like BTC is ahead of the other moves in forex and futures.
Looks to be in a month long ascending wedge on daily chart and ascending on hourly as well.
Found support on the blue lower trend line from a couple days ago and already bounced off 3x, though could be consolidating for further downside.
Just slid out of the overbought condition on daily RSI and MACD looking to be lightening up as well.
Could retest the the 40000 range again or it could be a beast and not.
That's all folks
NZDCAD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThis is a follow up on my previous publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair as the price action continues to flow according to expectations! Unlike my previous publication, Excited to let you know that I have captured a distinct and tradable pattern on this pair.
The appearance of a Double Top pattern - a strong Reversal structure appears to fine-tune a Bearish setup as Buyers gradually lose momentum and price continues to show tendencies of risking a further decline in the nearest future.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Reversal pattern | Supply & Demand | Double Top | Channel
Observation: i. Since late January 2021, the price has been caught within a Channel and since the Breakdown of CA$0.91850 followed by a significant rejection of this level... my Bearish bias becomes a little stronger.
ii. This been said, I am anticipating a significant Breakdown/Retest of CA$0.91400 in the coming week(s) to join the decline as CA$0.91900/0.91500 remains a level to watch out for in this regard.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Longer Term Targets for EURUSDEURUSD has barreled through my previous targets tagged to this post. It has continued to consolidate and after a busy news week and despite volatility there was no true movement in the exchange rate it seems to have found some acceptance. However, with another busy news week that holds lots of weight in both pairs, I expect to see some nice movement in the price and have set swing targets for the rate from early November 2020 when the expeditious end of year run ultimately began. Though buyers now will have time to get out of positions with ease, I expect for it to have some crazy swings through these levels.
Bitcoin Breakdown: Psychology and VolumeBTCUSD has put on a show finding new highs over the course of two days. What sparked this large move? Well, part of it can be accredited to Tesla announcing that they were buying $1.5 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin. Crypto is no stranger to the wonders of Elon Musk and this was likely a huge pull for a lot of investors. There is a lot that can be taken away from this rally and there are some observations I made and would like to focus on, volume and psychology to be exact.
1st Observation: Volume on the break of 40k. Last time bitcoin had a large run up, 40k was hit and blown through very rapidly and prices quickly made their way to 42k within the same night. We see similar volume in both of these situations where the prevailing demand creates these long green candles and the volume to match it.
2nd Observation: Pullbacks at Psychological Price Points. While 40k had no problem being broken as price has experienced buying there prior to this run, it is interesting that at 42k, the former highs, Bitcoin began to experience some turbulence (see 2. on chart). Buying took prices more than $1,000 over former highs, but there is brief moment where the rally looked as though it might have been coming to an end. A huge pullback occurs and the price of Bitcoin briefly breaks under 41k. Shortly after, there is some absorption from buyers to take the 15 minute candle back up where it closes above the former highs. Going back to January 8 when these highs were made, there was a similar psychology surrounding 40k, price broke above 40k briefly only to then have what appears to be a rally ending downturn, followed by a quick buyback.
Conclusion: The prevailing bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin continues to astonish me, and as I watch this rally in awe, I only hope to guess what is to come next. However, what can be observed can be the edge needed to make wise decisions while investing and trading. In the wise words of Warren Buffett, "Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing."