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$BTC Broke Structure-Weekly Bearish Order Block Rejection *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Bitcoin has made a mad dash this week crawling on top of a Daily Fair Value Gap. But if you look at the weekly chart, it has just touched the Weekly Bearish Order Block which should reject it eventually. However, with the new u [rising this past week Bitcoin did break structure and I have marked that in the main chart. There is also a Breaker just below it. So this could take a few days to unravel but I think It will start to fall getting a lot of retail traders to chase it as a Short. When price stops just at the Bullish Breaker Area of 38767.57 on the coin base Chart. Here is the weekly where you can see the smart money Bearish order block weekly rejection. So Again, watch for that rejection and expect retail traders to bit short on it and the chart should turn around at the breaker area. That low point would probably happen by Tuesday/Wednesday this week as it starts to create a new weekly profile. Let me know what you think or if you think it will drop and not come back up? Happy Trading! = Bodies X Wix BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD FTX:BTCUSD GEMINI:BTCUSD OANDA:BTCUSD TRADESTATION:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT PHEMEX:BTCUSDT OKEX:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSDT POLONIEX:BTCUSDT FTX:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
CHFJPY - Multitimeframe AnalysisCJ is looking good for shorts. We have multiple confluences for it as explained in the video. Summary: Monthly Timeframe: - Price has just run up higher filled in a Fair Value Gap perfectly. It seems to be reversing from here. Weekly Timeframe: - We have an unmitigated Orderblock. Since this orderblock was a "Sell to Buy", means that the selling positions from Smart Money are currently in extreme minus positions, and they will want to reprice lower to mitigate out of their minus positions. Daily Timeframe: - We are creating SMT Divergence with its correlated pair - EURJPY. This means that CHFJPY went higher to run out the buy stops and made higher highs, will EJ is creating lower highs. CJ will most likely distribute to then run lower. - Price has just reacted off a Daily Bearish Breaker Block, which should push price lower. - Huge Imbalance FVG Gap. Price will come back to fill it as fast as possible. - Massive Consolidation. Below these consolidations, there are lots of sell stops that will get taken out. H2 Timeframe: - Potential Sell POI. Valid Orderblock + Breaker that also caused the last low to get broken to the downside (Break in Market Structure - BMS). - We have a Bearish Trendline that has three beautiful touches. Everyone that already is in Shorts from the trendline will get liquidated at the next mitigation of the Trendline up into the OB + Breaker and sell off further from there.
Short
by Bastianelton
2
$MATIC - To Send Under Sell Side Liquidity Before Bullish Return*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. There was too much thought that went into this chart to even try to explain. But I think I make the entry points clear, that if it does get to those entry points, to add a position to the trade. When getting to the take profits, take a % off as a profit from the trade. But this chart should be foolproof unless something catastrophic happens. TP3: 2.62499282 TP2: 2.51605485 TP1: 2.44690000 E1: 2.27610000 E2: 2.25454172 E3: 2.16770000 E4: 2.11720000 SL: 1.97495881 Good Luck and Happy Trading.
COINBASE:MATICUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
$GBPUSD - Price at Bullish Breaker - Continue Bullish Momentum?*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Currently on the daily chart the price has risen above a breaker. The Breaker would be the Low High Lower Low Formation seen here: And it has come down and touched that breaker region. The breaker would be the last up candle in the low high lower low formation. Which is in the main boxes on the main idea above. I once price touches the breaker it ususually means that there was a missed opportunity for "Smart Money" to remove a short position at that area so they bring the price back down to remove the short positions and give you a "Fake out as if they are going lower. My stop loss was to take take the highest 4 hour ATR (408) or 40.8 pips and place that below the body of the breaker. I added a few pips just in cases it tried a quick stab stop hunt. As it approaches the 1.35500, 1.36000, or even the 1.36500 mark price has a t endency to sweep those areas 10-40 pips before pulling back. Being that the next daily bearish order block ius neath e 1.36000 I would expect it to sweep at least half of the bearish order block which is approximately 40+ pips on this chart. Open: 1.34975 SL: 1.34545 Max TP: 1.36470 More than a 3:1 ratio with almost 150 pips to gain if my analysis is correct. This is a swing trade and we're hoping to find the bottom of that swing right now. FX:GBPUSD OANDA:GBPUSD FOREXCOM:GBPUSD GLOBALPRIME:GBPUSD EASYMARKETS:GBPUSD KRAKEN:GBPUSD FX_IDC:GBPUSD PEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD FTX:GBPUSD EIGHTCAP:GBPUSD CURRENCYCOM:GBPUSD
Long
by BodiesXWix
2
$ETH -Buy now or wait to see if fills Fair Value Gap ($3,885) *SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. ETH has fallen into the discount array (61.8%) of the pullback. However there is a fair value gap in this area and I'm curious to see if it wants to fill the gap and pull just below the Market Maker Buy/Sell Model consolidation area that previously took place in the red box. If that's the case it should reach down into the second fair value gap where theres a bullish order block around 3850-53 ish. I would have my entry at the beginning of the second fair value gap at 3873. just in case it entered and bounced out immediately. But it did reach into the discount array and immediately started and up track. However that doesn't mean a bearish order block can't knock it back down. I did enter with one position where it is currently shown watching to see if it will enter the second at 3873. Let me know your thoughts if you're practicing Smart Money Theory. Good Luck and Good Trading :) BINANCE:ETHUSD KUCOIN:ETHUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:ETHUSDT FTX:ETHUSDT OKCOIN:ETHUSDT OKEX:ETHUSDT POLONIEX:ETHUSDT HUOBI:ETHUSDT PHEMEX:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BYBIT:ETHUSD BITFINEX:ETHUSD FTX:ETHUSD GEMINI:ETHUSD BITTREX:ETHUSD PHEMEX:ETHUSD
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
$BTC To Have One More Fall To End The Month *Smart Money Theory**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Currently, the price is sitting atop the weekly fair value gap. A fair value gap is an imbalance that price seeks out. They act as magnets and can also act as opposite magnets when price enters a fair value gap, they can repel almost instantly. This goes for any time frame, find these fair value gaps and mark them and see how price reacts to them. (fair value gap is the gap that is left in a three candle succession where the candles do not touch. heres's the weekly fair value gap on chart:) Sitting below that we have a Daily Bullish Breaker within the weekly fair value gap. Breaskers are a number 1 attraction to price especially if the are sitting inside a larger fair value gap. This is the picture of the main chart. This has convinved me that the price will have another fall to the breaker. It may be rejected as soon as it hits the breaker. Also you have to watch for the median of the breaker or the median of the fair value gap as price could reach either of those to fulfill its seeking of imbalance. (Here's the 4 hour chart depicting each median. I use a fib and mark the 50% lin of each of the Breaker and Weekly Fair Value Gap. It could possibly reach the low of the breaker which is why my stop loss is just past the breaker to give some room as I have seen price stab through the breakers. Worst case scenario is that it fills the weekly fair value gap but that is highly unlikely. There is a probability. I just personally dont think It will do it. Although Bitcoin did hit the Monthly fair valu gaps 3 months in a row (May, June and July) (Here's the link depicting the monthly fair value gaps being filled as well as the August candle filling the void between April and June fair value gap So there's the probability but is it likely in this situation? I think not because the monthly candles have already balanced and a fair value gap will not form between September to November. Am I planning on catching a falling knife. Yes. Does that mean you should? That is up to you. If fact. I'll probably lead with small amount in that opening price, and add to it iof it does go down and hit the medians. If it leaves the breaker, I'll be out with my stop loss, but then look for another long at the bottom of the fair value gap. Why do I have my take profit where it is? Well if we hit a daily Breaker (also known as a PD Array) then on the opposite end you look for the smaller time frame to form your exit. So Daily Entrance 4 hour exit. If it was the weekly Entrance, then I'd be looking for a daily exit. Get the drift og how we look for entrances and exits? So the exit is the median of the 4 hour Fair value gap going the opposite direction. EDIT* There is a little bit of imbalance between September and November. That line is at 52944.96. Once the price falls into the breaker, that line will be crossed and the monthly candles will then be balanced. This just gives me another reason as to why it could and will fall And I believe it will happen this month. And bounce around the beginning of December so December forms a little bit of a wick. I hope this was informative as to how smart money is perceived and how it is different than the train of thought that is retail theory. We'll just have to wait and see if this happens. I think of how the weekly candles form, the monthly candles, the daily candles, and it's apparent we're ending November on a red candle in BTC. But the price has balanced on the monthly so now I'm thinking about the weekly moving into December and the month of December should be a green candle. with a little bit of a wick. So what better way to depict that than to show how this might play out over the next two weeks. These are my thoughts and my thoughts only. Mentored by Inner Circle Trader, who mentors us in Forex and Indices Futures, he hates crypto but his ideas apply to all markets so I am applying them here. I'll have to sign off with his signature sign off. Good Luck and Good Trading :) COINBASE:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
7
$GBPUSD - Repeat of yesterday - Seek and Destroy Model *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory aka Institutional Trading = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. I keep seeing Ideas to buy GBPUSD and I keep wondering why? It's giobing us no indication it want's go higher. And powell to speak again tomorrow at 10 EST, same As today. I have measured out the standard deviations of the Asian range. 2 standard deviations above is the most recent high. Overnight, we should see the price lower then raise back up. Becasue if you look at thje DXY it is going to be going undewrneath the consequential encroachment of a break possibly touching the bottom of the boxed area then rising as soon as that happens it may take a while for it to get there which is why I am anticipating GBPUSD to fo the opposite slowly swoop down into an hourly fair value gap the raise the prices to the median bearish order block up if it wants to stay below the high. But I have a feeling it will take out the liquidity resting at the highs in the form of buy stops and pull back down very quickly taking out the stop losses. After that it would be heading toward the liquidity resting under the areas marked below the 4th standard deviation of the Asian Range. Here's what I think will happen with the DXY. Raise Above the current equal highs then pull back to the Bullish Breaker. It should be at that time powell is about to speak and we'll see anothjer sharo rise in prices in the dollar. Why? Because everyone is thinking the opposite. Andf if you're thinking the opposite, Smart money is thinking opposite of you. So that's why I think the GBPUSD will do something simlar but opposite, of course. Any my mentor said to try and idea, I'm not putting money on it as my mentoring has been great and I've learned more in Smart Money theory unlike retail where all I did was set my money on fire beliving the herd mentality. Instead I've learned to use many tools such as the asian range, weekly profiles, liquidity areas to form my ideas. It is the first of the month. So there is a definite possibility that the monthly candle could be the opposite. But it will go agains this "Trendline support theory" that I see from many people. Trendlines aren't support. But they do tell you where the liquidity is lying because so many people will trade off a trend line. Smart Money likes to go against those that would trade long off a trend line and force the price short. So I'm sticking with this idea. Anyway, good luck and good trading :) The only thing I think that would be slightly different is that it reachea
Short
by BodiesXWix
8
GBPAUD - seeing a Long, then a ShortGBPAUD is a bad and choppy pair, but I do see the possibility for the market to reach UP to the breaker, (potentially into Equilibrium) and then a move DOWN from the breaker. It's hard to say how far it'll go down as we don't really have any imbalances or EQL due to the choppiness. However we do have a bullish orderblock that may be a reversal, and on the Monthly timeframe, we have an overextended M formation that we may see the market retrace to. COT report also supports my idea. Let me know what you think!
Long
by Bastianelton
OGN/USDT : Reached the trendline, Attempt to break ?BINANCE:OGNUSDT Hello everyone 😃 #OGN has reached the bearish trendline for the 2nd time. - EMA200 ( Source : 4Hours ) is supporting the movement from below. - Support/Breaker zone has been formed by recent wicks. - There's sharp bullish trendline has been formed recently. Trade setups : - Enter LONG on a retest of broken trendline ( current bearish trendline ), SL will be located below 4H's master candle ( ~$0.8094 ). - Enter SHORT on a retest of broken support/breaker zone, SL will be located above recent stop-hunt's wick on current zone ( ~$0.9230 ). Attention: this isn't financial advice we are just trying to help people on their own vision. Have a good day! @Helical_Trades
by Helical_Trades
11
GBPCHF - Retracement then LongWe are currently inside a Discount Area, above a weekly bullish Orderblock and a daily Mitigation Block. A retracement should happen and it should test the mitigation block or Deeper into the Weekly bullish Orderblock. Targeting the Bearish Breaker (Our first PD Array), or the Weekly Orderblock area into Equilibrium. We also have a Liquidity Void (imbalance) to be targeted as extra confirmation. This is just my perspective on the pair. Do your own research and good luck!
Long
by Bastianelton
$SPX - Going Long after FOMC Speaker - Two Options It depends on where the price is when I wake up tomorrow. If it's not been below 4345.8, that's at target as if you were to put a fib on top of the current breaker, that price point is just below the 63% retracement level (discount) And I would wait for the FOMC speaker to start and if it's still not below this level after opening then this is where I would look for it to bounce and go long The second option is that if I wake up and price hs made it way lower than that price point, I would expect it to be hovering around/above the breaker point 4331.2. If you place the fib at the bottom where it hits the previous bullish order block on the 1-hour chart ( I would expect it to dive past the breaker and hit the Bullish order block on the 4 hr chart at 4321.7 before moving bullish again. The patterns repeat in Smart money, it's just where Institutional order flow wants the price to go is the difference. The around 2:00 p.m. the 10 yr bond auction happens and I would expect the price to start slipping from there so I would aim for any High that I could and take profits before 1:00 p.m., to be honest. Even if Either scenario isn't perfect, as long as it stays above 4290, it'll still be bullish.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by BodiesXWix
$SPX - DILEMMA (DEPENDS ON WHERE IT PRICE REACHES FIRST)If it moves up intpo the fap around 3886, I'm likely to be temped to go short as that has been the bias of SPX within the last 24 hours. And I would short it to the mitigations/breakers that formed around March 9 and 10. I don't see it changing bullish although there are the soft highs around 3908. Howver, I see Friday to be the possible turnaround and attach those highs. So I think it will reach up into 3886 then push down to 3864 and then turning around bullish. But if it reach 3864 first I wan to wait to see if it gets to the botoom of those breakers near 3854. If I start seeing that the momentum is changing I will go long and aim for the soft highs around 3908. Let's see what happens Good luck and good trading
OANDA:SPX500USD
by BodiesXWix