How to Find a High Probability Trade in an Uptrend Hey Traders,
We'll show you how you can find an easy trade with a high risk-to-reward ratio using some basic concepts.
- Step One: Spot an uptrend where you have higher highs and higher lows.
- Step two: Spot the last break of structure.
- Step three: Use the Fibonacci tool and connect it from the recent lows to the recent highs.
- Step Four: Watch prices coming back to the broken structure that lines up with any Fibonacci level. ( Focus on the 50% - 61.8% - 78.6% Levels )
- Step Five: Wait for a clear bullish candle and then enter with stoploss structure
- Step Six: Take partial profits at the recent highs and the Fibonacci extensions ( - 0.27 & -0.618 )
Breakofstructure
EURUSD SELL SETUPFX:EURUSD
A break below 1.08940 Daily support has simultaneously broken bullish structure on the 1h, 4h and daily timeframes changing my bias to a bearish bias. a retest back to the 1.08940 area as daily resistance and a 4h bearish engulfing candlestick is enough confluence/confirmation to short EURUSD.
GBPCAD sell setupFX:GBPCAD
The weekly, 4h and 1h timeframes are bearish giving me a bearish bias. Price broke below 1.70666 4h/1h support area simultaneously breaking bullish structure of the 1h and 4h. I am waiting on a pullback to the 1.70666 area which will now be the resistance area to look for sells on gbpcad
GOLD - Change of Character 📉Hi Traders !
The Gold Reached A Resistance Level (2095.436 - 2086.223), and Formed an Ascending Channel.
Currently,
The Channel is Broken.
The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher Low is Broken (ChoCh).
So, I Predict a Bearish Move📉.
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TARGET: 2021.000🎯
GBPUSD SELL ANALYSISFX:GBPUSD
Price broke below 1.26229 daily support breaking bullish structure. Price made a pullback and retested as resistance around the resistance area of interest with a bearish engulfing candlestick being my entry confirmation. Take note, today is a fundamental day thus low risk should be used to avoid big losses in case price goes against my bearish bias because of fundamentals today
A guide to Profitable Scalping (why waste a price action)In the world of trading, many participants find themselves constantly waiting for the perfect confirmation for swing positions or entries, often missing out on the rapid movements that characterize financial markets. This is where the art of scalping comes into play, a strategy vastly different from swing trading, yet equally, if not more, compelling for those who master it because it offers way more opportunities to make money. In this blog post, I'll guide you through the essentials of becoming an effective scalper, focusing on market structure theory, the significance of Break of Structure (BOS), and the nuances that set scalping apart from swing trading.
Understanding Market Structure Theory
To excel in scalping, one must first be well-versed in market structure theory. This theory is the backbone of understanding how markets move and why they behave in certain patterns. It involves analyzing price highs and lows, trends, and ranges to predict future price movements. For a comprehensive understanding of market structure theory, this resource offers an in-depth explanation, it's not complete, but the best one freely available so I suggest you understand the content properly.
www.youtube.com
The Role of Break of Structure (BOS)
A critical concept in scalping is the Break of Structure (BOS). When we observe a confirmed BOS to the upside or downside, it indicates a significant shift in market sentiment. The order block that caused this break becomes a focal point of interest. This is because, in the realm of scalping, these points often act as magnets for price, offering high-probability entry points.
Capitalizing on Order Blocks
Once a BOS is identified, scalpers must pay close attention to the order block that instigated this shift. When the price returns to this order block, a reaction is typically expected. This reaction is the bread and butter of scalping. Unlike swing traders who seek to capture larger market moves over extended periods, scalpers thrive in these quick, precise moments.
Scalping vs. Swing Trading: A Different Focus
The primary difference between scalping and swing trading lies in their respective focuses and timeframes. Swing trading involves holding positions for several days to weeks, aiming to profit from substantial price moves. Traders in this domain often focus on potential targets for a trade, analyzing broader market trends and economic factors.
Conversely, scalping is a short-term strategy where trades last from a few minutes to hours. The focus here is not on the potential extent of a price move but, on the risk, -to-reward ratio. Scalpers typically aim for a 1 to 3 risk-reward ratio, meaning they risk one unit to gain three. This approach requires quick decision-making so it's much more involved than swing trading.
Before we go on to see some examples following are the key things to remember to be effective in scalping
To be an effective scalper, you need to:
1. Develop a proper Understanding of Market Structure
2. Identify High-Probability Order Blocks
3. Master Risk Management: Given the high-speed nature of scalping, managing risk is paramount. This involves setting strict stop-loss orders and having a clear risk-to-reward ratio for each trade.
4. Stay Disciplined and Agile: Scalping requires discipline to follow your trading plan and agility to adapt quickly to changing market conditions.
Examples: Scalable OBs with results.
This happened today: on SPX and NAS100
NAS100:
SPX:
How to pick an order block to trade for scalping:
Entry for Scalping should be between 0.25 to 0.5 level inside the Order Block, you can use FIB tool to get these levels, this is highlighted in the Images above.
1. Do not go above 4h TF for this strategy.
2. Make sure Order block is caused a BOS
3. Notice the time frame of BOS, Pick the Order block in relation to the BOS timeframe.
4. Makes sure Prior to BOS the Order block resulted in FVG
5. Make sure the Order Block is not too big as it will result in greater risk, which I do not prefer.
6. If price does not hit your entry do not chase price, move on to next one.
I want to emphasize here again , the goal of scalping is to capture the small move , not the whole move , so your focus should be one getting 2X or max 3X of your trade once , you do you get out and move on to next one , the good thing about this strategy is you can always find multiple assets where BOS is happening on anywhere from 1h to 4H TF.
Finally, nothing in the world of trading is 100% so it's possible this may not work sometimes, which you should be okay with as long as it works more than 50% of the time. I
n my experience it works more than 80% of the time.
Conclusion
Scalping is a dynamic and potentially lucrative trading strategy that requires a unique skill set, distinct from swing trading. By understanding market structure theory, focusing on order blocks following a BOS, and maintaining a disciplined approach to risk management, traders can exploit the rapid movements of the market for steady income. Remember, the key to successful scalping lies in quick, informed decisions and an unwavering commitment to your strategy.
Like and Leave comment to this post to seek further clarifications if needed.
Happy trading!
EURUSD - Change of Character 📉Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The EURUSD Price Reached A Strong Resistance Level (1.10356 - 1.10045).
Currently, The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher Low is Broken (ChoCh).
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 1.06750🎯
GBPJPY ANALYSISFX:GBPJPY
Overall structure based on the weekly, daily, 4h and 1h, hence i have a bullish bias on GBPJPY. Price was countertrending and eventually broke and closed above 187.275 1H key support area and also broke countertrend structure and made a retest what is now 187.275 1h key support area. a bullish engulfing candlestick on the 30min and also a double bottom pattern on the 15 min are my confirmations to continue bullish bias on GBPJPY
GBPUSD - 2 SCENARIOS 📉📈Hello Traders !
Today, The GBPUSD Price Reached A Resistance Level (1.24980 - 1.25484)
Currently We Have 2 Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario📈
If The Price Breaks and Closes Above The Resistance Level !
We Will See a Bullish Move📈
TARGET: 1.27000🎯
Bearish Scenario📉
If The Market Breaks Higher Low and Closes Below That
I Will Sell On Retest...
TARGET: 1.22260🎯
Gold Run Big Time Bullishretraced into a FVG recently broke structure on the 5 min so either it swept its liquidity down there in the FVG and continues breaking the old high that i marked out as black (5 min, 15 min, 1h, 4h) and just rallies or it´ll go down again sweep liquidity once again and then will continue to break the last highs. tp under the FVG that i marked out that could bring sells. also the other higher time frames are bullish. so lets look for thos longs and start makin bread!!
NVDAPossible head and shoulders set up. I think we bounce here off the neckline back to around 460. This is just from a technical view news could possibly alter this but I was right on the recent drop to 420 so I think a move back to 465 should be appropriate and NVDA makes large 20pt moves like nothing so its really not that big of a move in reality.
CADCHF - Break of Structure 📉Hello Traders!
On The Daily Time Frame, The CADCHF Price Reached A Strong Resistance Level (0.68135 - 0.68320).
Currently, The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher High is Broken (Break of Structure).
The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 0.66300🎯
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if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
AMZN to $157.00 in less than a monthToday 9/13/2023 AMZN broke resistance at $144. The 8 hour time frame is showing a golden cross and all exponential moving averages above the 200 (orange line) & 50 day ema (pink line). To step it up for even more confirmation the 10 day ema (baby blue line) and 20 day ema (yellow line) shown by the blue and yellow lines also reflect a bullish break of structure. Our target prices to look for are: $147.27 the upside before we potentially break $150, and if we fall expect the ticker to hold at $138.16 to the downside for solid support in the supply zone.
Before 9/15/2023 we want to see AMZN above $145.19.
The question is why is AMZN so bullish?
Theoretically it could be based on the momentum of ADBE reporting earnings on the evening of 9/14/2023.
The next thought is the demand of AMZN web services and increase of it's AI innovation for the ecommerce aspect of the company.
Many are calling for $160 before the end of November. What are your thoughts?
$JPM Weekly Long Swing
NYSE:JPM is showing the following bullish signals in the Leave A Legacy Indicator:
Break & Retest of highs ($144) from Feb-Mar. The break of these highs created a break of structure.
Test of an uptrend created from the low of 2022 and March 2023'
Break and retest of a downtrend created from the high of 2022 and Jan. 2023
Swept buy side liquidity from the week of Aug. 21' (Untested Low $145.46)
CONTACT ME FOR ACCESS TO THE INDICATOR/SCREENER
so what now ?this week's been a bearish week so far , BUT ;
we are still making HH & HL in HTF , and every break had the characteristics of a BOS .
second leg into an order-block means trend reversals to me and its not a professional idea its only based on my own experience .
not gonna lie ,i didn't see prices bellow 25K as a possibility .so im not perfect . (guess u already knew this 😂)
for me there is only two possible ways ; we either go for 42K liquidity , or come back for what was once a market bottom bellow 20K , which is BAD !!
me personally am now bullish , but with more protective stop considerations !
i presented my roadmap in the chart i uploaded , i will comment later ideas down here , so ... make ur own researches and please feel free to comment if u have any questions or ideas to help each other out ! 😉
a trader, Hamid
Crypto Comeback 🌟🌟🌟Ever noticed how after a market correction, there's often a rebound that seems to defy gravity? Well, hold onto your digital hats, because we're diving into a cool phenomenon – the "twice as nice" rule of post-correction surges.
🔍 The Dip and the Rise: So, picture this – the market takes a little dip, a breather, if you will. Then, out of the blue, it bounces back, but not just any bounce – one that's at least twice as big as the initial dip. That's the rule we're talking about!
🚀 Power of Momentum: This phenomenon is like a spring being compressed before it's released – the further it was pushed down, the higher it soars up. It's the market's way of saying, "I'm back, and I'm stronger than ever!"
💡The Bigger Picture: Think of it as a growth spurt. The post-correction surge isn't just about recovering losses; it's about surpassing previous highs and reaching new peaks. It's a sign of a resilient market.
📈Traders' Playbook: Traders love playing this game. They strategically buy during the dip and ride the wave of the rebound. It's like catching a double-decker bus to profit town!
So, what's the takeaway from this dynamic duo rule? 📊 When the market dips, don't lose heart – it might just be gearing up for an even more impressive comeback. Remember, each dip can potentially set the stage for an exhilarating ascent.
Stay curious, keep an eye on those charts, and get ready for the market's next thrilling act! 🚀🎢
❗See related ideas below❗
Follow + Like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
Ethereum -> Buy Low And Sell High!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Ethereum 💪
If we are looking at the macro view on the monthly timeframe you can see that Ethereum perfectly retested the 0.768 fibonacci level in confluence with the previous cycle high so everything looks like we are starting the next major bullish crypto cycle.
With Ethereum once again retesting the weekly bullish trendline and also forming a continuation symmetrical triangle pattern I am just waiting for a bullish breakout before I then do expect more upside potential.
The daily timeframe on Ethereum is currently bearish though so I am waiting for a breakout of the decending channel formation and a break above previous resistance and then the daily is also ready for a bullish rally.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Continental CON Long term bullish cycleOur probability indicator has observed Long Term BOS (Break-of-Structure) on Daily TF.
Essentially what that means is that we closing in on bearish cycle for XETR:CON and new bullish leg is forming for longterm continuation of new bullish cycle.
We expect further bearish correction to 68.30 - 64.80 zone ( Current Inverse H&S pattern support zone ) where conditions for perfect LONG entry occur.
Take-Profit should be set within High resistance zone 114.50 - 139.30
Frying Golden NuggetsProgramming the mind to follow my plan every day is challenging. In order to secure a future as a trader, I must follow my own rules. Today I was able to capitalize on my principles, and I like to share it today. I was able to secure profits, by planning a day ahead. Price already rejected to this area yesterday. This is also the lowest low OANDA:NAS100USD formed. I am managing to stick to my trading plan little by little. A major lesson I have learned is to allow the price target to mature. This trade was triggered in my sleep. My main lesson is to go with my gut when determining when to get out. As you can see, in USA session, the price started to retrace shortly after ten thirty am. My most profitable trades come from going with the trend. But in this particular trade, I went against the trend and entered a break of structure. It was a good 1:6 risk-reward ratio. For The First Time This Week, I am witnessing a potential exhaustion of a bullish trend. If the price stays below the white line, we are looking for short positions in the future. If the price breaks above the white line, we are looking for long positions!
In conclusion, I'd like to share my trading journal entry..
DID I FOLLOW MY PLAN?
Yes. I exercised Break Of Support
ALLOWED the price to hit your entry poiint
CLOSED THE TRADE IN SESSION.
WHAT DID I DO WELL?
1. Identified Trend Exhaustion in Previous Session.
2. Stuck To My Trading Plan by entering at break of support..
3. Exercised good risk management, by setting a stop loss.
WHAT CAN I DO BETTER?
1. Set a Higher Lot Size. Double Down
2. Allow the trade to cook until I see potential trend exhaustion..
WHAT DID I LEARN?
1. Following My Plan Is Profitable
2. Using One Simple Strategy Is Okay To Increase My Success
3. How To Enter The Market At A Break Of Support
DID I PREPARE PROPERLY?
YES, I entered a trade in my session with confidence with several of my confluences in my technical analysis.
This time I set my price at support, and wait for a confirmation.
The Small Wins Count. Your subconscious mind will be simply impressed
EAZE STRATEGY UP 20% ON ARBITRIUM My Eaze Strategies is a Strategy thats stress free base on it has just 1 or 2 entry per week and i have used it on Arbitrium(ARB) since they launched and we are Up 20%. In 9 and Half weeks since ARB launched i have heard 4 trades, three wins , 1 lost and 2 did not hit my entry and some did not play my Strategy criterial. if you want me to share this strategy like and follow.
EURJPY IDEA FOR SHORT AND LONGHere is 1hr timeframe on a EURJPY pair,my personal bias is bullish andbearish depends how will price react,if it breakes 146.650 i will wait for retest and that would be a BOS for me,that is Break of Structure,and if bulls manage to break above 147.700 i will wait for a retest and a buy to 149.600