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Breakout!

HelenP. I Gold may drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few days ago price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow inside the upward channel. In this channel, the price rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this area. Then it continued to move up and rose to resistance line of channel, but soon it turned around and made small movement below, after which continued to grow near this line little below. Later, Gold made a correction movement to support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time later it reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone and also broke this level too. Price some time traded near this level and later made impulse up, exiting from channel pattern and then it at once turned around and made correction movement to support 1. Gold even declined a little below this level, but a not long time ago, it backed up. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will start to decline to the trend line, thereby breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2965 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
5
Bitcoin will continue to fall inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price entered to downward channel, where it once declined to the channel's support line, which coincided with the resistance level and seller zone. Next, the price some time traded inside this area and even little declined below, but then it turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel and made a fake breakout, after which it made a correction. Bitcoin long time traded inside seller zone and then broke 82000 level and declined to support level, which coincided with buyer zone. Then it made upward movement, after which it turned around and declined back to 75000 level. Recently, BTC bounced and started to grow, but in my mind, Bitcoin can rise a little more and then continue to decline inside a downward channel. Bitcoin will break the support level and fall to the 71800 support line of the channel, where my TP is located. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
7
Will 3 Times Be The Charm For GBPUSD??We can see FX:GBPUSD retrace a tad further up to the Volume Imbalance that was created over the weekend of April 4th - 7th. After Price made its High @ 1.3207, it was immediately rejected back down below the Past Level of Support that is now showing signs of Resistance! - Following that Higher High not only resulted in a Lower Low but also sent the RSI under 50 into Bearish Territory! Now in the ICT Methodology of Volume Imbalances, Price is likely to Test or Fill the Imbalance, then once satisfied, has a high potential to turn the opposite direction. Now a Pullback to Fill the Imbalance would land Price right at the 38.2% Fibonacci Level @ 1.28984 where if Bulls are unable to push Price back above, would be an excellent Shorting Opportunity for Bears to overcome. - RSI is now below the 50 suggesting Bulls have lost steam and strengthens the potential for more downside to occur but that would call for a Break and Retest Scenario on the Rising Support. Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve will be releasing the CPI y/y and m/m results where analysts believe there to be a .3% decrease in inflation forecasting a 2.5% CPI for March from the previous 2.8% for February. Given this, the FOMC " do not plan to come to rescue Trump with rate cuts" and insist that all the Tariff pressure will actually be a reasoning for Inflation to Rise! So if CPI ends up printing Hotter than Expected (Higher), we could see a renewed strength in the USD.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
RSR/USDT: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT! 100%+ PROFIT POTENTIAL!!🚀 Hey Traders! RSR Breakout Alert – 100%+ Rally Incoming? 👀🔥 If you’re hyped for big moves and real alpha, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🚀 RSR has just broken out of a falling wedge structure on the daily timeframe—a powerful bullish pattern. The chart’s signaling a potential 100–150% upside move if momentum picks up from here. 📈 📍 Entry Zone: CMP – Add more on dips down to $0.0066 🎯 Target: 100%–150% upside 🛑 Stop-Loss: $0.0054 📊 Trade Plan: ✅ Buy from current levels ✅ Add on dips near breakout support ✅ Ride the breakout wave with tight risk control! 💬 What’s Your Take? Are you riding this RSR breakout or waiting on confirmation? Drop your thoughts and targets in the comments—let’s ride this wave together! 💰🔥
Long
by CoreCrypto1
HelenP. I Bitcoin may rebound from resistance zone and fall moreHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After a strong rejection from the second resistance zone between 86700 and 87900 points, Bitcoin lost its bullish momentum. The price attempted to hold within the range but failed to break above the trend line, which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance. This trend line marked the turning point once again, pushing BTC down with increased selling pressure. The price then sharply declined, breaking below the first resistance zone between 78200 and 79500, which is now acting as resistance. This level was previously tested multiple times, making it a key barrier. After breaching this zone, the price dropped even lower and reached the 77000 area, where it found temporary support and began a minor bounce. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just below the resistance zone and remains under the trend line. Sellers are still in control, and the recent bounce looks weak compared to the prior impulse down. Given the rejection from resistance, the position relative to the trend line, and continued bearish pressure, I expect BTC to resume its decline toward 70000 points, which is also my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
13
Gold Rebounds Off Key Support — Next Leg to $4,200 = 124,000 PIP View our previous 120,000 PIPs (target hit) Gold trades at the bottom of this page. Following our previously fulfilled short trade from the top of the ascending channel (TP2 hit at $2,960), gold has now landed precisely at confluence support — aligning with the psychological $3,000 level, ascending channel support, the quarterly dynamic support, and the prior swing high zone. We are now flipping bias long, with a macro continuation in mind, while still respecting the shorter-term range structure. Structure & Setup: Another clean reaction from the ascending channel’s lower boundary reaffirms the structure’s technical validity. Price has now tapped the $3,000 round number support, intersecting with the channel base and our prior short target zone — offering strong risk-defined long opportunities. Macro Context Holds: Our long-term thesis targeting $4,270 remains intact, backed by structural breakout on the quarterly chart and fundamental gold demand. This move is potentially the start of the next impulsive leg in a broader macro expansion, though we expect the asset to oscillate within the channel boundaries until at least July. Entry Logic: This long setup is based on:  – Channel base bounce  – $3,000 psychological round number - $2,960 quarterly dynamic support  – Reversal at former Take Profit 2 (TP2) short target  – Tight invalidation just below $2,960  – Favourable 1:11+ R:R targeting macro highs Invalidation: A clean break and close below $2,960 would invalidate the long thesis and suggest breakdown risk. Until then, structure holds. Pip Potential: From $2,960 to $4,200 = 124,000 pips upside potential — aligning with macro projections and Fib extensions from previous cycles (-1.414 & -1.618 zones). Outlook: While $4,200 remains our long-term target, we anticipate ranging between $2,960–$3,200 for the next several months. This accumulation phase may precede a breakout leg that targets historical Fibonacci confluence zones. Summary: Short trade complete — bias flipped long. We’ve now transitioned from a completed 1:4 R:R short into a 1:11+ macro long off textbook technical levels. Price action is behaving cleanly within the multi-month channel, and this latest support reaction adds further credibility to the bullish continuation thesis. Let price consolidate — buy positions accordingly. The macro expansion to $4,200 is likely underway. Previous Short: 75,000 PIP idea (Target hit): 45,000 PIP idea (Target hit):
IGSB:USCGCLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level. Technical Outlook: Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity. 1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence. Targets:  – TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level  – TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support $3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation. Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025): Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:  – Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization  – Real yields remain negative across key regions  – Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility  – Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing  – Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)  – Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential  – BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution  – Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving  – Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold Conclusion: Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback. $3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside. Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg. Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200: Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100): Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
IGSB:USCGCShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
2
GBPNZD - TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS📊 Technical Analysis – GBPNZD 🔻 Market Context: Current Price: ~2.2838 The pair has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price recently revisited a previous support zone, indicated by the horizontal line and purple box, showing potential for either a reversal or a continuation. 🔍 Key Zones: Support Zone: Around 2.2830 – 2.2800 Price is testing this area and has shown a few wicks indicating buyers are present. Demand Reaction Needed: A bullish candle formation is crucial at this level to signal potential upside. 🔼 Bullish Scenario (Reversal Play): If a strong bullish candle forms around current levels, it could lead to a push higher toward 2.3000 and potentially 2.3100. Watch for a break of short-term lower highs with volume confirmation. 🔽 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play): Failure to hold above the current support level (2.2830–2.2800) may result in a deeper drop, targeting the 2.2700–2.2650 area. The Bear Bias zone (marked on the chart) suggests sellers are active and may continue to push lower if structure breaks. 🧠 Fundamental Probabilities – April 8, 2025 🇬🇧 UK Outlook (GBP): No major economic data is scheduled today for the UK, but markets remain cautious due to: Ongoing uncertainty around the BoE’s interest rate stance. Sticky inflation and mixed signals from recent PMI data. Pound strength has been mostly reactive to broader risk sentiment and interest rate expectations. 🇳🇿 NZ Outlook (NZD): Key driver today: NZ Business Confidence & Dairy Auction If business sentiment remains weak and dairy prices disappoint, NZD could come under pressure. RBNZ's dovish bias is also lingering in the background; the central bank is expected to maintain or potentially cut rates if economic softness continues. ✅ Summary: Bias Condition Target 🔼 Bullish Bullish candle at support 2.3000 / 2.3100 🔽 Bearish Break below 2.2800 2.2700 / 2.2650
by xxChartWhizxx
HelenP. I Gold may continue to fall and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After failing to hold above the resistance zone between 3140 and 3155 points, Gold made a sharp reversal. The strong bearish reaction from this area marked the end of the previous bullish momentum and triggered an aggressive sell-off. That move broke several minor support levels and pushed the price all the way down to the current support zone between 3010 and 2990 points. Previously, Gold had shown a stable uptrend, consistently bouncing from the trend line and using it as a dynamic support. Each pullback was met with buying pressure, allowing the price to climb higher. However, this time, after reaching the 3140 resistance level, buyers were overwhelmed by strong selling activity. Currently, Gold is trading just above the key support zone and close to the trend line. This area has acted as a pivot level multiple times, but the latest price action shows hesitation from buyers and growing control from sellers. Given the recent sharp decline, the break from the resistance zone, and the pressure near the current support, I expect Gold to continue falling toward 2960 points — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
7
BTC/USD Forming Bullish Falling Wedge – Potential Target📐 2. Technical Pattern – Falling Wedge A falling wedge forms when the price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines. It suggests diminishing selling pressure and a likely reversal. Key Characteristics in This Chart: Upper Resistance Trendline: Formed by connecting the series of lower highs. Lower Support Trendline: Formed by connecting the lower lows. The price respects both boundaries, confirming wedge structure. Volume generally decreases during the wedge (implied but not shown). ✅ Bullish Implication: Once price breaks above the upper resistance, it often triggers a sharp upward move due to the squeeze of supply and the build-up of demand. 🧱 3. Support and Resistance Zones 🔻 Resistance Zone: Area: ~100,000 to ~108,000 USD Marked as a wide horizontal band (beige-shaded area). Previous price peaks and consolidations suggest this zone is strong supply. Breakout above this zone could trigger momentum towards the higher target. 🔹 Support Zone: Area: ~72,000 to ~75,000 USD Historical reaction level where buyers previously stepped in. Coincides with the lower wedge boundary and recent bounce points. Repeated tests strengthen this as a reliable accumulation zone. 🎯 4. Trade Setup Strategy 💼 Entry Strategy: Trigger: A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline (black diagonal line). Confirmation: A strong bullish daily close above the trendline, ideally with volume spike. The current price (~77,130) is near the lower boundary—offering a potential early entry or low-risk setup with a tight stop. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Level: 70,916 USD Below the wedge’s lower support and beneath the broader support zone. Ensures exit if the pattern fails or bears regain control. 🧭 Target Projection: Target Price: 114,562 USD Based on the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point, a standard wedge breakout measurement. Aligns with historical highs and psychological resistance. 🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio: Assuming entry around 77,130: Risk (Stop-Loss): ~6,200 points Reward (Target): ~37,432 points R:R Ratio ≈ 1:6 – Highly favorable ⚙️ 5. Market Psychology & Price Action Insight The falling wedge pattern suggests exhaustion of sellers. Buyers are defending the support zone aggressively—creating higher lows within the wedge. Each bounce is slightly more aggressive, indicating growing bullish sentiment. A breakout from the wedge could act as a catalyst for rapid price acceleration as sidelined bulls enter and shorts cover. 📊 6. Summary of the Setup Component Detail Pattern Falling Wedge (Bullish) Timeframe 1-Day Chart Entry Point Breakout above upper trendline Stop Loss 70,916 USD Target 114,562 USD Support Zone 72,000–75,000 USD Resistance Zone 100,000–108,000 USD Risk/Reward Approx. 1:6 Bias Bullish 📌 Final Thoughts This setup provides a technically sound opportunity with clear invalidation (stop loss) and a well-defined profit target. The risk-to-reward ratio is attractive, and the price structure suggests a bullish reversal is likely, pending a confirmed breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY Potential Pennant Triple ThreatFirst, In the Higher Timeframes (4Hr - Weekly), we can see that USDJPY is traveling down a Descending Channel since Jan 10th. Price tried pushing higher in March but ultimately fell back within the Channel beginning of this month (April) resulting only in a False Breakout but also creating a Fair Value Gap from 148.698 - 147.429. Now down on the Lower Timeframes (15min - 1Hr) we can see that Price has created a Fair Value Gap from 146.546 - 146.226 with current Price Action forming a Pennant Pattern just above this FVG which lines up with Previous Highs (Past Resistance Level) and with Volume Decreasing, suggests we could see a Breakout soon! Now Based on the Pennant Pattern being Neutral meaning can break either way, creates the first 2 Bullish Scenarios being either a Breakout and Retest of the Pennant pattern going Bullish OR Bearish. *Breakout will be Validated if followed by an Increase in Volume! Scenario 1 -If BULLISH BREAKOUT - The Retest will come at the Falling Resistance of the Pattern. Scenario 2 -If BEARISH BREAKOUT - This could suggest Price is looking to "Fill The Gap" being the FVG ** If Scenario 2 happens, this Price Movement could be looking to fulfill a Fibonacci Retracement of the Swing Low @ 145.041 to the Swing High @ 146.904, where the 38.2% Level lays at the Upper Limit of the FVG and the 50% Level lays at the Lower Limit of the FVG with the Consequent Encroachment right in the middle @ 146.385. —Both of this ideas suggest USD will need to gain strength which could mean fundamentally: FOMC Meeting Minutes on Wednesday, April 9th & CPI (Consumer Price Index), the instrument used to measure Inflation, on Thursday, April 10th released results will be heavily relied on to see if there's anymore input on potential effects of Tariffs. Scenario 3 - Fair Value Gap Inversion could suggest bad news fundamentally is released for USD and gives JPY Bears (Sellers) the ability to pull price down, keeping Price Consolidated further within the HTF Descending Channel.
by Novi_Fibonacci
1