Navigating the Waves: Piramal Enterprises Technical StudyTechnical Analysis of Piramal Enterprises (NSE: PEL)
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Overview
Piramal Enterprises has shown a promising breakout with significant volume, indicating strong bullish momentum. The Elliott Wave analysis also suggests a positive structure, pointing towards potential further gains.
Elliott Wave Analysis
Wave 1: The stock completed its first impulse wave (1) near 1,140 INR.
Wave 2: The corrective wave (2) concluded around 735.85 INR.
Wave 3: The ongoing wave is expected to be an impulse wave 3, targeting higher levels.
Current Structure
- The stock has completed the corrective wave C of (2) and is now in the early stages of wave 3.
- The recent breakout above the black trendline suggests the start of wave (i) of 3, supported by increasing volume, adding to the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels
- Current Price: 977.85 INR
- Nearest Invalidation Level: 905.00 INR
- Major Invalidation Level: 630.45 INR
Targets
- Elliott wave suggests ahead wave 3 first levels (1.0 Fibonacci Extension of Wave 1): 1,246.00
- Elliott wave suggests ahead wave 3 ideal level (1.618 Fibonacci Extension of Wave 1): 1,561.25
Conclusion
Piramal Enterprises has provided a strong breakout backed by volume, aligning well with the Elliott Wave theory. The structure indicates a continuation of the uptrend with potential targets at 1,246 INR and 1,561.25 INR. The nearest invalidation level is at 905 INR, with a major invalidation level at 630.45 INR.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Breakout!
DXY: Deep Dive Analysis And Its Impact on Other Assets✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs.
📅 Today's Analysis : Today, we'll be diving into the Forex market and analyzing the DXY index.
🔄 Previous Analysis Recap : In our last analysis, we reviewed this index in the weekly and monthly timeframes, incorporating fundamental analysis based on US interest rates and economic conditions. We noted that if support at 100.883 is broken, the price might start a downward movement. Today, we'll delve into the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes to examine the smaller cycles and waves of this index.
📰 News Overview : Let's start with significant US news. The most noteworthy event is the incident involving Donald Trump, the Republican representative, who luckily survived. This incident has swayed many votes towards Trump, and positive discussions about him are trending on social media. This happened on a Sunday, so its impact on the Forex market was limited, but it immediately influenced the crypto market. Given Trump's support for crypto, Bitcoin saw a 2% upward candle and continued a short-term upward trend.
On the other hand, the situation for Democrats isn't looking good. Joe Biden, their representative, seems unlikely to win based on his debate performances. The general sentiment on social media favors Trump, and with the power of media, it seems likely that Trump will be the next US president. If Trump wins, we might see growth in the crypto market due to his supportive stance.
📅 Weekly Timeframe [/b
In this timeframe, after a significant price rise, the correction began, and the price dropped from the 113.305 peak to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 100.883. It has since formed a long-term range between 100.883 and 106.630 since late 2022. Within this range, there's a symmetrical triangle pattern, and we are in the last third of the triangle with reduced price fluctuations between 104.039 and 106.121.
🎯 If the price gains downward momentum, our target can be 100.883. If it breaks the 106.121 resistance, the price will enter a strong supply zone between 106.121 and 106.630. For more details on this zone, we should move to the daily timeframe.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, I've adjusted the support and resistance levels for more precision. The supply zone between 106.338 and 107.017 is crucial because the price faked out below the trendline once and bounced back up from the 100.883 static support, indicating a strong upward trend. However, it failed to penetrate this supply zone and was rejected at 106.338 without reaching the main resistance at 107.017.
📉 Last week's candle closed below the trendline, but I don't consider this breakout valid yet as it could be another fake-out, with the price bouncing from the nearest support and resuming its upward movement. I'll wait to see if the 104.039 support holds before confirming the trendline break. If this support breaks and the price stabilizes below it, a downward wave may begin, targeting 102.668 and then 100.883.
📈 If the price bounces back up from 104.039, the nearest resistance is at 106.338, a very strong supply zone.
🧩 Given the fundamental conditions and the break of 38.71 support in the RSI oscillator, a price decline seems more likely, but nothing is certain. If I see bullish signs and confirmations according to my trading strategy, I will adjust my view. The market is always changing, and one should not be biased towards a previous analysis.
📅 4-Hour Timeframe: This timeframe is too noisy for detailed analysis, so I'll focus on triggers and key points.
📈 If the price stabilizes above 104.524 and forms a higher high and low, we might see a Failure Swing pattern, indicating a trend change per Dow Theory. If this pattern completes, we can consider the market bullish in the 4-hour timeframe. Breaking the 50 level in RSI could provide additional confirmation.
⚡️ Next resistances are 105.162 and 106.121.
📉 For a bearish scenario, the 4-hour trigger aligns with the daily, and a break below 104.039 would suggest a downward move.
🔍 Let's look at the DXY's impact on Gold and Bitcoin.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
If the USD strengthens, Bitcoin might see another correction wave to the 56k and 47k levels. If the USD weakens, new ATHs for Bitcoin could be on the horizon.
🧲 Given Bitcoin's strong upward momentum and the visible curved trendline, we can target 130k for Bitcoin if the USD's value drops.
🥇 Gold Analysis
Gold has significant upward momentum and is currently recording new ATHs. If the DXY declines further, gold could target $2800.
🔑If the DXY strengthens, gold might correct to around $2000, but this seems unlikely as gold typically has minor corrections and maintains a long-term upward trend.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
TESLA PULLBACK Then Moon Mission!After a rejection from the weekly and daily levels, a pull back to $235 (Daily Level) or $202 (Demand Zone) is likely before higher prices.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
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HOW-TO: Cyato Bands
█ Overview
Welcome to the getting started page dedicated to my automated trading strategy Cyatophilum Bands, which is in continuous development.
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Set the Bands time frame higher than the current chart to perform MTF analysis.
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NOT/USDT: POTENTIAL BULL PENNANT!!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
NOT/USDT looks good here. Forming a bull pennant-like stricture here. It breaks out and a retest is also done. Buy some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- $0.0155-$0.0165
Target:- 80-90%
SL:- $0.014
Lev:- 2x-4x
In-Depth Arbitrum Analysis: Current Trends & Insights✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs.
📅Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the crypto market and the Arbitrum project.
🗂 About the Project : Arbitrum is a blockchain project in the crypto space, known for being one of the popular Layer 2 Ethereum solutions. It helps reduce transaction fees and increases speed and security. Arbitrum launched as a Layer 2 blockchain in August 2021 and also conducted a major airdrop, which significantly boosted its popularity over its competitors.
📦 Arbitrum Airdrop : In March 2023, Arbitrum introduced the ARB token and simultaneously airdropped 12.75% of the tokens to its users. This large distribution excited many in the crypto community.
🏅 Airdrop Impact : The airdrop significantly increased trust in the blockchain. Currently, Arbitrum has around $3 billion in TVL (Total Value Locked) and ranks fifth in the market. Its token has a market cap of $2.3 billion and holds the 41st position on CoinMarketCap.
🌱 Project Ecosystem : Given the high TVL, Arbitrum's ecosystem is very active. Major platforms like AAVE, GMX, UNISWAP, PENDLE, and RENZO support this blockchain. There are also specialized platforms that operate solely on Arbitrum, such as Camelot, a DEX that has greatly contributed to the project's growth.
🗡 Camelot Project : As mentioned, Camelot is one of the exclusive projects in the Arbitrum ecosystem. It is a DEX where you can swap tokens in a decentralized manner and become a Liquidity Provider to earn rewards.
📈Here is the chart for the GRAIL token, Camelot's official token. Camelot rewards you with this token for providing liquidity. As you can see, after hitting the resistance at 2675 and breaking the upward trendline, the price entered a downtrend, dropping to 709 and forming key levels at 1008, 1252, and 1418, which could act as strong barriers to price growth.
⚡️Now that we have reviewed the project and its ecosystem, let's analyze the ARB token chart from a technical perspective.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, after the token launch and airdrop, the price pumped initially and corrected to the 0.7654 level. Alongside Bitcoin, it started an uptrend reaching 2.1782. The price tested this resistance several times but failed to establish above it. Following the entry of selling volume, the chart exited the Distribution Zone and started to drop, now even losing the 0.7654 support and reaching 0.6482.
🛒If you had already bought this token, I hope your stop-loss was triggered. If not, I hope you managed your investment well to avoid significant losses. For spot purchases, I would wait for the RSI to break above 34.79 to confirm that the downward momentum is out of the market. Afterward, we can buy based on our personal strategy once the price stabilizes above key levels.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, after reaching the 0.6216 support, the price is correcting upwards with decreasing volume, indicating the strength of the downtrend. Despite the RSI losing the 40.13 resistance, upward momentum has not entered the market. This is because the SMA25 is directly above the price, serving as a major resistance.
📉If the SMA25, which coincides with the 0.7654 resistance, pushes the price down, it could reach the S1 pivot monthly level. Should the price continue to make lower highs and drop further, the 0.4826 level (S2 pivot) would be a logical target.
📈If the price stabilizes above the SMA25 and breaks through the 0.7654 level, with increased buying volume and upward momentum, we can confirm an uptrend in this timeframe.
🔑 Key levels in the daily timeframe for ARB are:
Supports at 0.6216 and 0.4826
Resistances at 0.7654, 0.9264, 1.2669, and 2.1782
⌛️For short-term analysis of this token, let's move to the 4-hour timeframe for more detailed insights.
🔍In the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe a Low Wave Cycle. After hitting the 0.6263 support, the price has made higher highs and lows twice. According to Dow Theory's definition of an uptrend, we can say this timeframe is in an uptrend. However, we must also consider another crucial point. According to Dow Theory, volume should confirm the trend and align with the price. As seen in the chart, volume diverges from the price, so we cannot declare an uptrend in the 4-hour timeframe as it lacks the primary Dow Theory confirmation.
📈For an uptrend, I suggest waiting for the price to stabilize above 0.7654, a significant level observable in the daily timeframe. Additionally, buying volume should increase to gain Dow Theory confirmation, allowing us to trust the price rise. If the trend becomes bullish, the resistances ahead are 0.8449 and 0.9264.
📉For a market downturn, since higher timeframes are bearish, we can use riskier triggers to confirm the entry of downward momentum, as these risky triggers align with the trend and are more reliable. The risky trigger level is 0.6822, and the main support is 0.6263. Note that the 0.6822 trigger, being risky, is not entirely reliable, and there's a higher probability of fake moves and traps. If the market turns bearish, the target, as seen in the daily timeframe, would be 0.4826.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
DOGE ANALYSIS🔮 #DOGE Analysis - Breakout 🚀🚀
💲💲 In 12hr Timeframe,Falling Wedge Breakout is Done✅
But right now we can see that #DOGE is trading around its crucial resistance zone and if #DOGE breaks this resistance zone then we would see a bullish move 💯🚀
💸Current Price -- $0.11880
📈Target Price -- $0.22075
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#DOGE #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
TM on the Rise or Fall? In-Depth Crypto Analysis Revealed✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the FTM coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project : FTM is a blockchain-based project with its own ecosystem and blockchain. It is one of the popular networks for DeFi enthusiasts, and if you're interested in this space, you're probably familiar with this blockchain.
⌛️ Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, FTM experienced a significant upward movement with high volume, pushing the price up to 1.0993, reaching a critical supply zone. After hitting this resistance, the price started a low-volume correction, indicating the strength of the upward trend and volume-price convergence. However, in the last wave of decline, as you can see, the volume is increasing while the price has corrected a significant portion of its upward movement, currently sitting at the 0.4138 support.
📈 If the price is supported and candles stabilize above the 0.5720 area, we can confirm that the price trend has regained bullish momentum with the potential for further price increases. The main resistance for confirming an upward High Wave Cycle (HWC) is at 1.0993. For FTM to have a significant pump, the price must stabilize above this area, allowing you to enter a buying position according to your trading strategy after confirmation.
📉 If the price returns to the range box between 0.1756 and 0.5720, we can confirm this after the price stabilizes below the 0.3276 area, as this is the last low before the range box breakout and move towards 1.0993. It could be the final defense against further price drops.
📊 In both scenarios, candle volume must confirm the price movement, and there should be no volume divergence; otherwise, the trend will not be healthy.
⌛️ Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, you can see more details of the price movement. As indicated, the price ranged for a long period on the 0.6147 support and, after a breakout and pullback, initiated another downward wave to the 0.4163 area with the 0.5334 trigger. Currently, there is significant bearish momentum in this timeframe, and the volume aligns perfectly with the downward trend.
Given the strong support at 0.4163, we can expect another bearish wave if candles stabilize below this area.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe: In this timeframe, the price has pulled back to the SMA99 and simultaneously reached the critical 0.4889 resistance, which was the main market low in the previous cycle. The volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that the long-term downward trend impacts the 4-hour timeframe. In my opinion, this upward movement offers a better entry point for a short position.
🔑 Key Levels : For a long position, the key levels are 0.4889, 0.5350, and 0.6147. For a short position, 0.4150 and 0.45 are critical areas where the price may react in the future.
💥 RSI Oscillator : The RSI is ranging between 45.01 and 60.97, and breaking either of these levels can provide confirmation for opening positions. However, be sure to use these levels only for confirmation and rely on candles to find the trigger.
🎲 My Strategy : Given the bearish market in the 4-hour and daily timeframes and the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I prefer to open a short position on this coin as I always trade in the direction of the momentum. However, there's no necessity for you to do the same; everyone should trade based on their strategy and plan. This is a personal decision, and each trader must find their strategy.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
PONNIERODEAll Time High Breakout.
Accumulation Done.
Huge Volumes.
Good for Short Term.
Do Like ,Comment , Follow for regular Updates...
Keep Learning ,Keep Earning...
Disclaimer : This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation. I am not SEBI Registered. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investments . This is for Educational purpose only.
ADA ANALYSIS🔮 #ADA Analysis - Breakout 🚀🚀
💲💲 In daily Timeframe,Falling Wedge Breakout is Done✅
But right now we can see that #ADA is trading around its crucial resistance zone and if #ADA breaks this resistance zone then we would see a bullish move 💯🚀
💸Current Price -- $0.4393
📈Target Price -- $0.7489
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#ADA #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Deep Dive into ENS: Full Review of the Project and ENS V2📅 Let's move on to today's analysis. Today, I want to analyze the ENS coin, which is part of the Ethereum ecosystem. With this project, you can buy a domain for your wallet.
🗂 ENS v2 Update : Recently, ENS published an article and introduced the v2 update of the project, announcing that they have added a series of new features to their platform. By collaborating with L2 projects, they aim to reduce fees, increase flexibility, utilize multi-chain capabilities, and make their service more accessible, user-friendly, and cost-effective for everyone, playing a more significant role in the web3 space.
⚙️ How the Project Works : Let's dive deeper into the project and visit its website. The first image you see on the site is a very beautiful landing page. By clicking on "Launch App," you can enter the main space of the platform.
🧩 After launching the app, you need to connect your wallet to the site and search for your desired ID in the search bar. If the domain is available, you can purchase it. If it is registered, it means someone else has already bought it before you. As you can see in the example I searched for, "parham96.eth" has already been registered, but "parham96.box" is still available and hasn't been purchased yet.
🛍 After finding your desired domain, you need to confirm the transaction sent to your wallet. Currently, the cost of this operation, considering the Ethereum network fee, is about $6 for a one-year subscription. According to the project, after the v2 update, these costs will be lower.
🎈 After purchasing, to access the details of your purchased domain, click on the "My Names" section (I prefer not to show you an image of this section due to the privacy of my wallet). You can:
👤 Add a profile picture for your wallet, write a bio, and connect your social media accounts from the profile section.
⚡️ Add another address to your domain from the record section.
🎲 Change the owner of the domain or renew it from the ownership section.
🌐 Create a subdomain for yourself just like websites from the Subname section.
⚓️ Use the permission and more sections to apply other desired settings to your purchased domain.
🌱 Usefulness of the Domain : For example, the "parham96.eth" domain is mine. In this case, I don't need to send my wallet address to someone who wants to transfer to me for each transaction. Just replacing the destination wallet address with the "parham96.eth" phrase will direct the funds to the same wallet. If you search for this domain on Etherscan, you can see it is registered on the blockchain and that the ownership of the domain is also viewable as an NFT in your wallet.
🔄 Renewing the Domain: Click on "Extend," then click "Next," followed by "Open Wallet" to create a transaction. Confirm the transaction through your wallet to renew the domain.
✨ ENS Coin : The ENS project also has a very well-known coin named ENS, which is among the top 100 coins in the market with an $800 million market cap. It is listed on all reputable exchanges, making it a successful project that can achieve even greater success with the launch of ENS V2.
🔍 Technical Analysis : In the daily timeframe, after the price reached a peak of 27.61, the market entered a range, with the price oscillating between 16.58 and 27.61. Following Bitcoin's significant drop, this coin also dropped to the 12.24 area. However, with the announcement of ENS V2 and collaboration with L2 projects, it started an upward movement and returned to the 27.61 area, even briefly breaking this level before returning below it in a fake breakout.
💥 Current Momentum : The price currently lacks momentum. After the fake breakout, there should have been a bearish momentum, but nothing has happened, and the market is still ranging.
📊 Volume Analysis : The volume clearly supports the buyers, as the buying volumes significantly exceed the selling volumes. In the recent bullish candles, the selling volume has significantly decreased.
🧲 Indicators : Due to the ranging market and lack of momentum, I am not using SMAs. However, a break below 43.36 on the RSI would confirm bearish momentum entering the market.
🛒 Long Position : The price has tested the 27.61 resistance six times so far, with increasing buying volume. Given the positive sentiment around ENS V2, it is possible that a few days before the launch, the price will stabilize above this level with a large bullish candle, leaving many behind.
🛎 Short Position : On the other hand, buyers may lose interest in breaking this resistance after six attempts, allowing sellers to enter the market and push the price down.
⚖️ Investment Strategy : If you believe ENS is a good project and that ENS V2 can generate bullish momentum in the market, consider adding this coin to your portfolio and purchasing it according to your strategy.
🎯 Target Prices: If the project succeeds and gains more hype, the initial target prices are 38.10 and 49.27, with the next target being the ATH of 75.80.
👨💻 Futures Trading :
📈 For a long position, a candle close above 27.61 in the 4-hour timeframe can confirm an upward trend. You can look for an entry trigger in the lower timeframes like 1-hour, with a target of 32.83.
📉 For a short position, a break below 23.30 and a candle close beneath this level can confirm a downward trend, with a target of 18.94.
♟ Personally, I will try to open a long position on this coin once the price stabilizes above 27.61. For short positions, I prefer to trade a coin with negative news and lacking a strong upward trend like ENS.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
XRP ANALYSIS🔮 #XRP Analysis - Breakout 🚀🚀
💲💲 There is a breakout of Falling Wedge Pattern in #XRP. It's a daily time frame breakout and it's ready for a bullish move of around 25% in for short term and around 40% in long term
💸Current Price -- $0.5120
📈Target Price -- $0.7266
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#XRP #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
ADA: POTENTIAL FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
CARDANO(ADA) Looks good in the daily chart. It breaks from the falling wedge-like structure and looks ready for a 60-70% move to the upside. Buy some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- CMP and add more up to $0.394
Targets:- $0.454/$0.512/$0.568/$0.613/$0.684
SL:- $0.3636
What are your thoughts on ADA's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
ULTA Looking SPICY for an UP MOVE!ULTA is looking absolutely spicy for an up move! We're in a strong pivot zone (both internal and external) with increasing RVOL and high volatility. This is the recipe for a huge explosion. Just like I predicted NASDAQ:INTC 's explosive move before it happened earlier today! Now, we need to look for the continuation of increasing RVOL while the price stays in the pivot zone.
Key Points to Watch:
Strong Pivot Zone ✅
Increasing RVOL 📈
High Volatility ⚡
Get ready for a potential breakout! 💥
GBPUSD & DXY Forex Update: Key Triggers and Market Insights📅 Today, we're diving into the Forex market, specifically analyzing the GBPUSD pair. Previously, we examined this pair on the weekly time frame, and now I’ll provide an update with new entry points marked on the chart.
🔄 Weekly Time Frame Analysis
In our previous analysis, we identified 1.28019 as the first long trigger on the weekly chart. The price has since stabilized above this level and even activated the 59.01 trigger on the RSI. As mentioned before, the next target is 1.31921, and with a 230-pip distance, this level can offer a significant profit to those who entered long positions following the breakout.
🧲 Curved Trend Line
We also have a curved trend line in this area, which can inject substantial momentum into the market and push the price upwards. If this trend line breaks, we can expect a trend reversal and a potential downward move.
📊 Trend Health Check
Checking the health of the trend, we notice that each successive bullish wave has weakened while the red candles remain powerful. However, the RSI shows no signs of trend weakness or divergence, and the price has managed to create a higher high. Thus, despite the weakened upward trend, the price has managed to start a robust new trend and cover its previous weaknesses.
📈 Target and Rest Period
Upon reaching 1.31921, the price will likely take a rest before creating new market structures, allowing us to find new triggers for decisions. If this area breaks, the next target on the weekly chart is 1.36736.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If the price reverses the entire recent upward move and breaks the curved trend line, activating the 1.26262 trigger, we can expect a downward movement. The main trigger is 1.23585, with targets at 1.20909 and 1.18253.
📅 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Let's examine the daily time frame to observe price behavior in more detail. After multiple tests of the 1.28019 resistance, the price finally stabilized above it, driven significantly by the recent US CPI news which weakened the US dollar, causing pairs against the dollar to rise.
📰 US CPI Impact
The US CPI report showed a decrease in inflation, causing the DXY to drop. Lower inflation reduces investment appeal in the country, leading to a weaker currency. As the dollar weakens, pairs like GBPUSD rise.
💣 RSI and Momentum
The RSI has entered the overbought (OB) zone, indicating strong bullish momentum in the market. The price hasn't taken a break, showing only one red candle in the last 12 and forming no structures for a clear trigger.
🎈 SMA99
As previously mentioned, the SMA99 acts like a black hole, pulling prices towards it if they move too far away. Currently, the price isn't too far from the SMA99, suggesting more upward movement potential. However, if it moves too far, the SMA99's "black hole" effect could come into play.
📈 Long Position Strategy
For a long position in this time frame, we should wait for the price to form a new structure. We could also look at lower time frames like 4-hour or 1-hour charts to find suitable long triggers. In this time frame, patience is key before opening a long position.
📉 Short Position Strategy
The short position trigger remains the same as on the weekly chart. We need to wait for the curved trend line to break and activate the 1.26262 or 1.23585 triggers.
🔍 DXY Chart Analysis
The DXY chart on the daily time frame shows a large ascending triangle, with a previous false breakout and a move back up from the 100.883 support. The recent upward move failed to reach the 107.017 resistance and turned back from 106.338, a strong supply area making it difficult for the price to stabilize above this range.
🔫 Short-Term DXY View
On a smaller scale, the DXY has a ranging box between 104.039 and 106.338. The recent upward move couldn’t reach the box ceiling, and with the main ceiling at 107.017, this confirms significant upward trend weakness.
🪓 RSI Confirmation
A drop below 38.71 in the RSI confirms the entry of bearish momentum into the market. If the price breaks the ascending trend line and stabilizes below 104.039, downward momentum will drive the market.
📰 Fundamental Weakness in USD
As highlighted in the GBPUSD analysis, the USD is weakening fundamentally, adding another layer of confirmation for a potential DXY decline.
🎯 DXY Targets
The initial target for a DXY drop is 102.688, with a second target at 100.883. Upon reaching these targets, the price will likely range for an extended period, forming a new structure for either a drop or a rise.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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GOLD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the
Price made a breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 2390$ which is now a
Support and now the price
Is making a correction towards
The level and after the retest
We will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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