Tesla - New All Time Highs With Trump!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) just broke above the last resistance level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Trump winning the election and Elon Musk being a supporter of Trump, Tesla is rallying significantly. But looking at market structure, this rally was also expected, considering that Tesla just broke out of a triangle pattern. Now Tesla will soon create new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $275, $410
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Breakout
Google - It Is Bullish Either Way!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) will follow one of two scenarios:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Google just perfectly followed the anticipated bullish break above the previous all time high, the retest and the bullish continuation towards the upside. Even if we see another retest of the breakout level, Google remains in an overall uptrend and the path of least resistance is higher.
Levels to watch: $200, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Central Depository Services (I) Long positionCentral Depository Services (I) Ltd Daily Chart Analysis
This daily chart of Central Depository Services (I) Ltd (CDSL) reveals key market movements and a clear ascending trendline support that has provided a strong base for the stock’s recent upward movement.
Key Observations:
1.Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, characterized by higher lows connecting through a rising trendline and a relatively horizontal resistance zone near ₹1,660.20 - ₹1,664.40. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the existing uptrend with a potential breakout.
2.EMA Levels: The stock price is above the 13, 48, and 200 EMA levels, which supports the bullish sentiment. The moving averages act as a dynamic support zone, indicating strong buying momentum.
3.Volume Trends: The volume shows periodic spikes, suggesting accumulation. A volume surge during an upward breakout above ₹1,660 - ₹1,664 could confirm the strength of the breakout.
4.Resistance and Support Zones:
• Resistance: The key resistance levels to watch are around ₹1,660.20 and ₹1,664.40. If the price breaks out above these levels with strong volume, it could lead to a significant upward move.
• Support: The immediate support level lies at ₹1,560.55, aligned with the ascending triangle’s support trendline. A break below this level may result in a corrective phase or consolidation around ₹1,486.65.
5.RSI Indicator: The RSI is around 58.93, indicating bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. A move above 60 would further strengthen the bullish sentiment.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above ₹1,664 with strong volume may push the stock toward higher resistance zones, potentially targeting ₹1,750 and beyond.
• Bearish Scenario: A failure to break above the resistance levels and a drop below ₹1,560 could lead to a pullback toward the support levels around ₹1,486.
Impact of US Elections:
The outcome of the US elections can influence global market sentiments, including Indian equities. A favorable or market-friendly outcome (e.g., policies encouraging global trade, fiscal stimulus, or economic stability) could trigger bullish momentum in international markets, including CDSL, especially if investor sentiment turns risk-on. Conversely, market uncertainties or potential negative impacts on global trade and investments could weigh down sentiment, causing increased volatility and possibly stalling upward momentum for stocks like CDSL.
Summary: CDSL is currently showing a bullish pattern with an ascending triangle. The upcoming breakout or rejection from the resistance levels will likely set the direction for the stock. Traders should monitor volume, price action, and global macroeconomic influences, including the US election outcomes, to gauge market sentiment accurately.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SHIB/USDT: BREAKOUT ALERT! LONG TRADE SETUP!!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
SHIB is looking strong! It’s broken out of the symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour time frame, with a successful retest. Consider a long at the current price, adding more on dips.
Entry range: Current Price (CMP) and up to $0.0183
Targets: $0.0209 / $0.0224 / $0.0245 / $0.0262
Stop Loss: $0.0174
Leverage: Low leverage (Max 5x)
What’s your take on SHIB’s price action? I’m seeing a solid bullish setup here! Share your insights and analysis in the comments below!
Xrp - This Triangle Wil Double Your Money!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is retesting a major confluence of support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For a couple of years now, Xrp has been trading in a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern. As we are speaking, Xrp is retesting the lower support trendline and also a horizontal support level. It is quite likely, that we will eventually see a breakout above both triangle patterns on Xrp.
Levels to watch: $0.5, $0.6, $1.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$MBLY YOU AREN'T READY FOR WHAT COMES NEXT! NASDAQ:MBLY
YOU AREN'T READY FOR WHAT COMES NEXT!🚀
1⃣ #HIGHFIVESETUP
2⃣ BREAKOUT👏 RETEST 👏HIGHER 👏
3⃣ PRICE/VOLUME GAP TO FILL
🎯 $17.21
🎯 $20.01
Original videos and write-ups linked below.
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#tradingstrategy #HIGHFIVESETUP
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once tried to grow. But soon it turned around and dropped below the 63000 level, breaking it, and then some time traded below this level. Price tried to rise higher than the support level, but failed and declined to the trend line, after which it rebounded and grew back. Soon, BTC broke the 63000 support level and rose in a short time to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After this, the price rebounded and made little correction, after which continued to move up inside pennant. BTC reached a resistance level, broke it, and rose to the resistance line of pennant pattern, but soon turned around and started to decline. It quickly fell to the trend line, breaking the resistance level, but recently started to grow. Now, I expect that BTCUSDT will exit from the pennant, break the resistance level, and then make a retest. Then I think the price can continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 73000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Ready to Strangle a BreakoutIntroduction: Why Natural Gas is Poised for Volatility
Natural Gas markets are showing signs of a potential volatility surge as recent data from the United States Natural Gas Stocks Change (USNGSC) displays a rare narrowing of the 21-day Bollinger Bands®. This technical setup often precedes sharp market moves, suggesting an upcoming breakout.
Given the importance of fundamental shifts in natural gas inventory data, any unexpected change in USNGSC could significantly impact Natural Gas Futures (NG1!), leading to price movements in either direction. This Options Blueprint Series explores a strategy to capitalize on this anticipated volatility: the Long Strangle Strategy. By setting up positions that profit from sharp directional moves, traders may capture gains regardless of the direction in which the price moves.
Understanding the Long Strangle Strategy
A Long Strangle involves purchasing a call option at a higher strike price and a put option at a lower strike price. This setup allows traders to profit from significant price movements in either direction.
The chosen strategy for this analysis includes:
Expiration: February 25, 2025
Strikes: 2.5 put at 0.28 and 2.7 call at 0.29
This setup is ideal for capturing potential breakouts, with limited risk equal to the total premium paid. Unlike directional trades, a Long Strangle does not require forecasting the direction of the move, only that a substantial price change occurs before expiration.
Technical Analysis with Bollinger Bands®
The 21-day Bollinger Bands® applied to USNGSC have narrowed significantly, often an indicator that the market is building up pressure for a breakout. Historically, this type of setup in fundamental data can drive volatility in Natural Gas Futures.
When the Bollinger Bands® width narrows, it indicates reduced variability and increased potential for data changes, awaiting release. Once volatility resumes, a dramatic shift can occur. This technical insight provides a solid foundation for the Long Strangle Strategy, aligning the timing of options with the potential for amplified price movement in Natural Gas.
Contract Specifications for Natural Gas Futures
To effectively plan and manage risk in this trade, it’s crucial to understand the contract details and margin requirements for Natural Gas Futures (NG).
o Standard Natural Gas Futures Contract (NG):
Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.001 per MMBtu or $10 per tick.
o Micro Natural Gas Futures Contract (optional alternative for smaller exposure):
Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.001 per MMBtu or $1.00 per tick.
Margin Requirements
The current margin requirement for a single NG futures contract generally falls around $2,500 but may vary with market conditions. $250 per contract for Micro Natural Gas Futures.
Trade Plan for the Long Strangle
The Long Strangle strategy on Natural Gas involves buying both a put and a call option to capture significant price movements in either direction. Here’s how the trade is set up:
o Expiration: February 25, 2025
o Strikes:
Long 2.5 Put at 0.28 ($2,800)
Long 2.7 Call at 0.29 ($2,900)
o Cost Basis: The total premium paid for the strangle is 0.57 (0.28 + 0.29) = $5,700 per strangle position.
Profit Potential
Profits increase as Natural Gas moves sharply above the 2.7 call strike or below the 2.5 put strike, accounting for the 0.57 premium paid.
With substantial price movement, gains on one option can offset the total premium and yield significant returns.
Risk
Maximum risk is confined to the total premium paid ($5,700), making this a capped-risk trade.
Reward-to-Risk Analysis
Reward potential is substantial to the upside and downside, limited only by the extent of the price move, while risk is capped at the initial premium cost.
Risk Management and Trade Monitoring
Effective risk management is key to successfully executing a Long Strangle strategy, particularly when anticipating heightened volatility in Natural Gas. Here are the critical aspects of managing this trade:
Defined Risk with Prepaid Premiums: The maximum risk is predetermined and limited to the initial premium paid, which helps manage potential losses in volatile markets.
Importance of Position Sizing: Sizing positions appropriately can help balance exposure across a portfolio and reduce excessive risk concentration in a single asset. Using Micro Natural Futures would help to reduce size and risk by a factor of 10 (from $5,700 down to $570 per strangle).
Optional Stop-Loss: As the risk is confined to the premium, no stop-loss orders are required.
Exit Strategies
For a Long Strangle to yield substantial returns, timing the exit is crucial. Here are potential exit scenarios for this strategy:
Profit-Taking Before Expiration: If Natural Gas experiences a significant price swing before the February expiration, consider taking profits which would further reduce the exposure to premium decay.
Holding to Expiration: Alternatively, traders can hold both options to expiration if they anticipate further volatility or an extended price trend.
Continuous Monitoring: The effectiveness of this strategy is closely tied to the persistence of volatility in Natural Gas. Keep an eye on Fundamental Updates in USNGSC as any unexpected changes in natural gas stocks data can lead to sharp price adjustments, increasing the potential for profitability.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
GBP/CAD D1: Potential Breakout from Rising Wedge with Double TopOn the daily chart of GBP/CAD, I’ve identified a Rising Wedge pattern with a Double Top formation within it, signaling a strong potential for a significant bearish movement. A similar pattern previously occurred on September 9, 2023, when a bearish breakout from the Rising Wedge was confirmed by a double top, followed by a sharp downtrend.
Currently, the same pattern has reappeared, with the price forming the second peak of the double top, but a breakout confirmation is still pending. The next price movement is illustrated by blue arrows, indicating the expected downward direction if a breakout occurs. Additionally, the breakout area is marked with a red rectangle to clarify the critical support level that needs to be breached, while the double top’s peak is highlighted with an orange circle to emphasize this key pattern level.
The strategy plan here is to wait for a breakout below the Rising Wedge support line to open a sell position. The profit target is set at the 1.7310 level, with a stop loss placed above the double top level, around 1.8200. If a breakout confirmation occurs, the bearish movement is expected to drive the price closer to the set profit target.
DOGE ANALYSIS🔮 #DOGE Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀In 4hr chart we can see a formation "Descending Wedge Pattern in #DOGE. Also there is a breakout of the pattern. We would see a small retest towards it's crucial support zone and then we could expect a reversal
🔖 Current Price: $0.15800
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #DOGE. 🚀💸
#DOGE #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
Potential setup today for CHWY at close?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
BTC: ATH Imminent? U.S. Election Could Be the Catalyst!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
Welcome to this BTC Update!
BTC has broken out of the parallel channel on the daily time frame and is currently hovering near the retest area. The market has been unusually quiet lately—this feels like the calm before the storm, and I’m anticipating a major pump from here.
It seems the whole market is waiting on the outcome of the U.S. elections. After the election, I expect BTC to break its ATH, aiming for $90k-$100k by year-end.
Invalidation: Daily close below the $64.8k level.
What’s your take on BTC’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!