Breakout
Amd - Break, Retest And New All Time Highs!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to start another +100% rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amd just retested and rejected a major previous horizontal structure and is starting the next major bullish wave towards the upside. Looking at previous cycles and the rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that Amd will follow Nvidia and create new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $130, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
STX pivot point structure looking for a breakoutNASDAQ:STX is working on a nice pivot point structure with divergence on the trend oscillator. Stacks is part of the Bitcoin narrative and should be moving up alongside Bitcoin. It seems to be lagging and could be undervalued at the moment. The price looks like it wants to break out of the structure confirming a chofch.
ENA/USDT: Bull Flag Breakout! Strong Bullish Setup in Play!!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
ENA is looking strong right now! It is breaking out from the bull flag pattern and a successful retest is also done. Long some at CMP and add more in the dip.
Entry range: CMP and add more up to $0.36
Targets:- $0.44/$0.50/$0.57/$0.64
SL: $0.345
Lev: Use low leverage (Max 5x)
What do you think of ENA’s price action? I’m seeing a strong bullish setup here! Share your insights and analysis in the comments below!
GOLD - Price can exit from pennant and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it at once reached $2645 level and broke it.
Then price rose to resistance line of channel, after which bounced and continued to decline in channel.
Later it reached $2645 level, broke it, and fell to support line, but soon made upward impulse and broke $2645 level again.
Also, price made gap exited from falling channel and continued to grow inside pennant, where it reached $2720 level.
Gold broke this level and rose to resistance line of pennant pattern, but recently fell to support line and made a gap.
I think that price can rise a little, exiting from pennant, and then fall to $2700, breaking support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
FLOKIUSDTFLOKISDT.
Will ARUSDT get bids from buyers ?
As the price is at strong support level and bullish divergence indicating the buyers may attack this zone. If this happens and buyers start buying from here then the next target could be 0.000211 followed by 0.000400.
What you guys think of this idea?
Let's be optimistic about BTC if it is closed above 59.5 KBTC testing the down side of lateral range that have formulated since March 2024. (Testing the Ice)
It will be positive if it is closed above 59500 on the daily time frame and the first target will be 62K
IN 4 HOUR Time Frame , it has broken down trend
SOL/USDT: Bull Flag Breakout: Potential 10x Opportunity Ahead!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
SOL is looking very promising on the higher time frame. It’s breaking out of a bull flag structure on the 2-day chart. We’re just waiting for one more candle for confirmation, but once confirmed, SOL could be set for a potential 10x move. Consider accumulating on dips!
Entry Range: $145 - $175
Target: $800 - $1000
What do you think of SOL’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
Silver - Just Starting The Parabolic Rally!Trading update on Silver ( TVC:SILVER ):
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver just perfectly completed the bullish break and retest and is about to reject the next horizontal resistance level. However everything is still significantly bullish and I honestly do expect a breakout soon. Following the previous cycle, Silver might rally another +35% from here.
Levels to watch: $34, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: H&S amid Surging Wheat Supply1. Introduction: Bearish Opportunity in Wheat amid Rising Supply
With the U.S. Grain Stocks Wheat (USGSW) report showing a notable rise in wheat stock levels, a bearish scenario is unfolding for wheat futures. This increase in supply, which could drive prices downward, aligns with a technical setup showing potential for a bearish breakout.
From a technical perspective, Wheat futures exhibit a Complex Head and Shoulders formation, signaling a possible breakdown as prices approach a critical support level. By combining the supply dynamics and technical formation, this article outlines a Bear Put Spread strategy, ideal for capitalizing on this bearish outlook with limited risk.
2. Fundamental Analysis: Rising Wheat Stock Levels
The most recent USGSW report has recorded wheat stock levels breaking upward to 1.98 billion bushels, up from the previous level of 1.779 billion bushels. This shift indicates a higher supply of wheat available in the market, which, in the absence of proportional demand, typically should result in price pressure to the downside.
Higher wheat stock levels often dampen demand sentiment, as markets anticipate reduced scarcity and increased availability. Such fundamentals offer a conducive backdrop for a bearish approach, supporting the downside breakout anticipated in the technical setup.
3. Technical Analysis: Complex Head and Shoulders Formation
The technical landscape for Wheat futures supports the bearish case, with a Complex Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the chart. This pattern is characterized by multiple peaks (heads) flanked by smaller peaks (shoulders), indicating a potential reversal from recent highs.
The critical neckline for this formation sits at 585'6. A break below this level would signal the likelihood of further downside movement. The target for this setup aligns with a UFO support zone at 552'4, which serves as an optimal price point to close the trade if the breakout confirms.
4. Trade Setup: Bear Put Spread on Wheat Futures (Ticker: ZWH2025)
To capitalize on the bearish setup, a Bear Put Spread is employed. This strategy allows for limited downside risk while still offering attractive profit potential. Here are the specifics:
o Contract Details for ZWH2025 (Wheat Futures):
Contract Size: 5,000 bushels
Tick Size: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel (equivalent to $12.50 per tick)
Point value of 1 future unit: $50
Point value of 1 option unit: $50
Expiration: December 27, 2024
Margin Requirement: While the exact margin depends on the broker, the requirement typically ranges between $1,500 and $2,000 per futures contract. The margin for a Bear Put Spread in Wheat futures options is limited to the debit paid (15.2 points *$50 = $760).
o Options Strategy: Bear Put Spread
Buy the 585 put option at 25.84 and Sell the 550 put option at 10.64, both expiring on December 27, 2024.
The net debit paid is 25.84 – 10.64 = 15.2 points = $760
This spread provides a capped-risk opportunity for profiting from a downside move in Wheat futures.
o Risk Management:
While stop loss orders can be used, no stop loss is required given the limited-risk nature of the Bear Put Spread. The maximum potential loss is predefined by the cost of the spread.
5. Options Risk Profile Analysis
The Bear Put Spread strategy involves buying a put option at a higher strike price (585) and selling a put option at a lower strike price (550). This configuration:
Maximizes potential profit if Wheat futures drop to or below the 550 level by expiration.
Caps maximum loss at the initial cost of the spread, regardless of how the underlying Wheat futures move.
For this setup, the maximum potential profit is the difference between the strikes (585 - 550) minus the premium paid = 19.80 ($990). The maximum potential loss is the cost of the spread, making it a controlled-risk strategy suited to volatile or downward-trending markets.
6. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Initiate the Bear Put Spread as Wheat futures break below the 585'6 neckline, confirming the downside breakout.
Target: Close the trade at 552'4, which aligns with a nearby UFO support zone, marking a logical exit point.
7. Risk Management Considerations
Effective risk management is essential in any options strategy, and the Bear Put Spread inherently offers several risk control advantages:
Limited Risk: By buying a put and selling a lower-strike put, the Bear Put Spread creates a defined risk position, capping potential losses at the initial premium paid for the spread.
No Stop Loss Required: With maximum risk predetermined by the cost of the spread, there's no need for a stop loss, which could otherwise be triggered prematurely in a volatile market.
Predefined Entry and Exit: This strategy's effectiveness hinges on precise entry (below the 585'6 neckline) and a clear target at 552'4. By maintaining these predefined parameters, the trade maximizes its alignment with both technical and fundamental setups.
This trade setup offers a balanced approach, allowing for downside exposure with risk under control, making it well-suited for periods of volatility or substantial downward moves.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
BTC: Imminent Breakout with Final Swing Trade OpportunityA breakout for BTC is on the horizon. We’ve seen a small breach of the upward trendline, and with momentum building, we’re now watching closely for a decisive break of the upper trendline. If this happens, Wave 4 will be complete, leaving only Wave 5 of 5 of 5 remaining.
Once a full open and close above the trendline is confirmed, I’ll be going long, planning to ride it until Wave 5 completes. This could be the final swing trade of the season before a lengthy corrective phase sets in—a potential year-long winter of correction. If you’re looking for a last big trade before the market cools, now’s the time to prepare.
Gold Triangle Breakout! Targeting the Key Pink ZoneGold is forming a triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart, and I’m watching closely for a breakout! 📈 If the price breaks out of the triangle with confirmation, I'll be looking to go long, aiming for the next pink zone as the target 🎯.
Strategy: Enter on confirmed breakout, hold until we approach the pink zone, then reduce my position as it may attract sellers. I’ll update here if anything changes! What’s your take on this trade? Let me know below! 👇
Gold Rebounds as Bulls Seek New Highs Amid Market ShiftsAt the start of the week, gold has quickly regained its upward momentum, aiming for new highs. Currently, the precious metal is trading around $2,731, with the bulls firmly in control of the market.
On Friday, gold saw an influx of buying interest, which slightly eroded the previous day’s gains as the USD weakened. This shift was supported by expectations of a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve.
Additionally, a generally positive tone in the stock market has somewhat dampened demand for this safe-haven asset. However, ongoing political uncertainty in the U.S. ahead of the November 5 presidential election, persistent geopolitical risks from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, and further declines in U.S. Treasury yields are providing solid support for gold prices.