Breakouts
USD/JPY Premium Trade Setup | High-Probability Short OpportunityKey Elements in the Chart:
Uptrend Channel: The price was moving inside an ascending channel but recently broke downward.
Resistance Zone: Marked near the 150.000 level, indicating a key rejection area where sellers are strong.
Sell Zone: A potential short-selling opportunity is identified around 149.300 after a breakdown from the channel.
Support Zone: Located around 148.500, where the price may find temporary buying interest.
Target: The final target for the bearish move is near 147.000, suggesting a further downside potential.
Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish (selling opportunity after a trendline break)
Entry: Near 149.300 (confirmed rejection)
Target: 147.000
Risk Management: Stop-loss can be placed above the resistance area.
This setup suggests that USD/JPY may continue its downward move after failing to sustain the uptrend. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering.
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line).
Should go (up) Down Upppp!
For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
AAVE Retests Key Support – Bullish Reversal Ahead?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE is currently retesting a rising support line after breaking through a key resistance zone, which has now turned into support.
This structure suggests that the uptrend remains intact, and the recent dip could be a healthy pullback before a continuation to the upside.
DYOR, NFA
Crude Oil / WTI short cheap and good time to bounceVolatility on WTI has been very strong on past years but is narrowing. Especially in past months we can see a seemingly tightening volatility in prices. And we all know what that means right ?!
Correct, a breakout will follow. The questions is only in which direction. A good risk ration is achievable since we are very close to a bounce level / support (green line) and far away from the next resistance (red line). Commodity markets tend to be mean reverting and whenever commodities are cheap it makes sense to but them. Boom and bust cycles. But this is rather a long term strategy.
In any case, breakdown as below:
Entry:
Ideally we would average down the long position down to 67.28 and potentially below, in case price tests areas below.
Exit:
Ideally we would exit at TP slightly before 80 USD to avoid the resistance and the magical strength of full numbers. Something like 79.4 USD should work.
If price moves against us close at SL or once daily candle break below the support and closes.
In such case we could even consider a short position but with tight TP as fundamental dont point towards much lower prices.
Conclusion:
An easy trade can be entered with good risk reward ratio if executed correctly.
Disclaimer: This is non financial advice
let me know if any question.
Did Bitcoin Just Trick the Bears? RSI Says Yes!Bitcoin's recent price action suggests a potential bear trap, as the price sharply dipped below a key support zone before rebounding. The sudden breakdown may have triggered panic selling, but the rapid recovery and bullish divergence on RSI indicate that this could have been a false breakdown designed to shake out weak hands before a stronger upward move.
The price is now reclaiming levels above the previous demand zone, signaling a possible reversal. If Bitcoin sustains momentum and reclaims the $90,000 region, it could invalidate the bearish breakdown and push toward new highs.
$NASDAQ:APPS Breaking Out on Massive Volume 73%++ upsideNASDAQ:APPS is breaking out, having closed above the double bottom pattern resistance (at $4.64).
Entry: Any point now. If you want to get it at a more affordable price point, this may retest $4.64.
Price Targets:
$8.06 to complete the Double Bottom pattern 73% upside
$9.91 to complete the Falling Wedge pattern 113% upside
PLUG power consolidation completed! Buy setupBuying now at discount levels near structural support. Expecting bullish thesis to be solidified once we recover above 1.9-2.2 levels.
Expecting fairly rapid progression to gap fill targets by 2026.
Strongly likely we see 6$ before summer 2025 & 10-12$ levels by end of yr
Planning to scale out of buy positions primarily at 10-12$ range. Will leave remainder for long term speculation for possible 14-20$ levels.
LAZR consolidation complete! Strong buy setup!Solid base built over last several weeks.
Consolidation now complete. Ready to run to 12.8$ target likely into March timeframe given today’s breakout above 6.20
Will likely consolidate a bit more after 12.8 is reached, before continuation to 20-22$ buy-side targets later in 2025.
Great longer term swing trade from here!
Nas 100 Outlook - Full BreakdownHi all this is my breakdown for Nas 100.
Currently Overall price has been consolidating now for about 3 months. We have experienced some choppy P.A but I believe things are about to clear up
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS:
Daily- Not much to point out other than a few CHoCH and alot of fractals all over the place in a big box
4H- Things clear up slightly: First thing to notice is some very clear EQ Highs telling me I see a lot of stop losses to hunt. We can see in better details Buyers pressure are still suggested due to the higher volume in candles. We can also identify a Liquidity Trend that price is "seemly" respecting so far.
1H- Again with the EQ Highs with no hourly candles taking Liquidity. We are seeing alot better details with how price is alot slower here but we are still filling all the imbalance possibly which takes me to my Trading Plan breakdown.
Were price is currently sitting we have taken a small portion of Buy side Liquidity and Sell side Liquidity has already been swept from the previous 4H Swing low. Id like to see price move and take the Imbalance left. Trading inside this Mitigation block will give us smaller TF choppy P.A but I will be waiting for things to clear up a bit out side of this block before looking to take the next impulse move.
30M/ENTRY- Fractal price is suggesting Bullish price action after breaking previous structure. Id like for price to fall into the Discount zone and possibly come all the way down into my extreme zone to all Imbalance and to have as much buying pressure to take out the Weekly Swing High which is a breakout of this 3M consolidation.
Reflect to the chart for added confluences.
Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
$NASDAQ:RGTI Pennant Pattern with 72% upsideNASDAQ:RGTI I'm revising an earlier post to clarify that this is actually a Pennant pattern that has formed for RGTI.
Entry Point:
Conservative - wait until the stock closes above $13.98, which should indicate a breakout.
Riskier - Anything above $12.03
Price Target:
The upside is 72% - $24.00
Breakout! The start of a major downside breakout? CADNOK has been consolidating since mid-2023. Price action has formed a clear symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart. The breakout is imminent.
With the CAD's future looking gloomy, the price may finally have the momentum it needs to break the consolidation. From a technical perspective, the price is coming off daily and 4-hourly moving averages.
Double Bottom on USD/CHF @ W1This double bottom pattern has formed on the weekly chart of the USD/CHF currency pair following a downtrend that had been active since October 2022. It can be used as an upside breakout setup. The two bottoms are marked with the lower yellow line; the neckline is marked with the upper yellow line. My potential entry level is at the cyan line (10% of the pattern's height above the neckline). My potential take-profit level is at the green line (100% of the pattern's height above the neckline). My potential stop-loss is not shown on the chart and will be set to the low of the breakout candle or to the low of the preceding candle if the breakout one trades mostly outside the pattern's borders. I won't be trading a bearish breakout from this trend-reversal pattern.
Descending Channel on EUR/NZD @ D1A descending channel pattern formed on the daily chart of the EUR/NZD currency pair following a month-long uptrend. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The stop-loss can be set to the low of the candle preceding the breakout candle. It's not shown on the chart. I will ignore bearish breakouts from this descending channel formation.
BAJAJ FINANCE LTD: Bullish Momentum and Key Trading InsightsBAJAJ FINANCE LTD is demonstrating robust bullish momentum with potential breakout opportunities. Traders and investors should consider key indicators and trend direction to inform their trading strategies.
Current Stock Price: ₹7,606.60
Key Levels:
• Swing High: ₹7,824
• Swing Low: ₹6,451
Trend Direction: UPTREND
Indicators in Focus
Bullish Momentum and Possible Breakout: The stock is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum, indicating positive market sentiment. This is further supported by a possible breakout scenario, suggesting that the stock might surpass significant resistance levels and experience substantial upward price movement.
Swing Trade and Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow (BTST): Swing trading aims to capture gains from short-term price swings. This strategy is suitable for traders looking to capitalize on brief market movements. The BTST approach involves buying the stock today with the intention of selling it the next day for a profit, especially in a bullish market scenario.
RSI Breakout: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) levels indicate momentum shifts. Current levels show that the stock is in a healthy trading range without extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Technical Indicators Analysis
Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M):
• Stochastic: High Stochastic values on the daily and weekly timeframes suggest that the stock is trading near its highest point in the trading range, indicating strong upward momentum and a bullish trend. On a monthly scale, the Stochastic value shows potential for a new upward swing, indicating room for further price appreciation.
• CCI (Commodity Channel Index): High CCI values indicate that the stock's price is significantly higher than its average price, suggesting strong buying pressure and market interest. On a monthly scale, the mixed CCI values indicate a combination of bullish momentum and potential consolidation, hinting at a balanced market sentiment.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): On the daily and weekly timeframes, a "Bull" indication aligns with the current uptrend, suggesting continued positive momentum. This reinforces the bullish sentiment and encourages investors to hold or buy the stock. However, mixed signals (Bull, Bear) on a monthly scale indicate potential long-term volatility, prompting investors to be cautious and consider risk management strategies.
Swing Points:
• Swing High: ₹7,824
• Possible Next Swing Point: ₹8,451
Volume Analysis
Volume Data:
• Current Volume: 2.48M
• SMA Volume: 1.12M
Current Volume vs. SMA Volume:
When the current volume of 2.48M is compared to the SMA volume of 1.12M, we see that the current trading activity is significantly higher than the average. This indicates a surge in trading interest and strong investor participation.
Impact on BAJAJ FINANCE LTD:
1. Increased Trading Activity: The high current volume suggests robust buying interest, potentially driving the stock price higher.
2. Confirmation of Bullish Momentum: The increased volume, along with bullish technical indicators, confirms the uptrend and signals further price appreciation.
3. Potential for Breakout: The significantly higher volume may lead to a breakout, with the stock breaking through key resistance levels and achieving substantial gains.
Conclusion and Strategy
Short-term (Swing Trade/BTST): With strong bullish momentum and potential breakout, the short-term strategy could focus on buying the stock at the current levels and targeting the next possible resistance levels (Swing High: ₹7,824 and ₹8,451).
Long-term: Given the bullish sentiment in daily and weekly indicators, investors might consider holding the stock for longer periods, monitoring the monthly MACD and CCI for trend shifts.
Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders to manage risk, particularly if the stock price nears key support levels or if bearish signals emerge in short-term indicators.
Caution : Please note that the company’s financial results are due to be announced tomorrow, 29 January 2025. This can lead to increased volatility in the stock price. Traders should exercise caution and consider the potential impact of the results on their trading strategies.
AAVE/USDT at the Brink Will the Wedge Breakout Spark ?This is a daily chart of AAVE/USDT, showing a symmetrical wedge or descending triangle pattern formi
Pattern Structure
The chart shows a series of lower highs and higher lows, confined within two converging trendlines.
The price is approaching the apex of the structure, suggesting a potential breakout soon.
Current Price Action
The price is near the upper trendline at $360.06, indicating a test of resistance.
There is a recent rejection at the upper boundary, suggesting sellers are defending this level.
Trend
This is occurring within a larger bearish context (from the visible left part of the chart), as indicated by the lower highs in the pattern.
Key Levels
Resistance Around $405, corresponding to the upper boundary of the pattern.
Support Around $265, the lower boundary of the pattern.
Breakout Levels
A breakout above $405 could signify bullish momentum, targeting levels such as $465 or beyond.
A breakdown below $265 would open up the potential for a bearish move, possibly targeting $205 or lower.
Trading Considerations
Breakout Potential
A breakout above the resistance trendline would need to be accompanied by strong volume to confirm bullish sentiment.
Similarly, a breakdown below the support trendline should be confirmed with high volume for bearish continuation.
Risk Management
If entering a position near these boundaries, stop-loss levels should be placed slightly beyond the opposite trendline to minimize risk.
False breakouts are common in wedge patterns, so monitoring retests of breakout levels is crucial.
Market Sentiment
The sentiment in the cryptocurrency market and any fundamental news related to AAVE may influence the next move.