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Breakoutstrategy

SMC / ICT MODULEIn this analysis we are focusing on (4H) time frame for XAUUSD. Here we are using SMC / ICT concept strategy with combination of price action as we know bearish momentum is strong and also price break the breaker OB. Now we are looking at the support zone for buying opportunity. In this analyze we have two conditions if price come to the support are and reject it then after confirmation we will open buy position but if price break our support area then we will wait and after retracement we will open sell trade and the target is set at 2330. According to the SMC/ICT strategy when price sweep all the sell side liquidity then price will further move in the direction of the trend , but here price moves downside without taking any pullback or inducement. I'm looking for buy today let's see what happens and how price will act after entering into the support area. let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. This is just my analysis or prediction. # GOLD (4H) Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
1
Learn THE BEST Breakout Trading Strategy Hey traders, Breakout trading is one of the most popular trading strategies. Being quite simple in theory, it remains quite complex and complicated in practice. In this post, we will discuss 7 steps every breakout trader must follow. 💬And just in brief about a breakout trading itself: this method aims to spot a key level (it might be horizontal support/resistance or a trend line) and then to trade its occasional breakout, assuming that it will trigger an impulsive move. 1️⃣No surprise, the first task of a breakout trader is the identification of key levels. Preferably, these levels should be spotted on weekly/daily time frames. Here on US100, I executed structure analysis and identified key levels. 2️⃣Once key levels are spotted, a breakout trader should patiently wait for the test of one of those. His goal is to wait for a breakout. In that step, many traders fail. The problem is that in order to confirm the breakout, one should have strict & reliable rules to follow. The rules that describe a confirmed breakout. *I apply the following rule: the breakout of a level will be considered to be confirmed once the candle closes above/below the structure on the highest time frame where the structure is recognizable. In the picture above, we see a confirmed key level breakout. 3️⃣Once the breakout is confirmed, the next step is to wait for a retest of a broken level. Why retest? Simply because a retest gives a better risk to reward ratio for the trade. And even though there is no guarantee that the price will retest the broken level and because of that some trading opportunities will be missed, in the long run, retest trading produces higher gains. Following our example, the price has retested the broken level. 4️⃣Opening a trade on a retest, one should know the exact target levels. The levels where the profits will be taken. Again, newbies traders make a lot of mistakes on that step. Remember that your targets must be realistic, they must be based on closest strong structure levels, not on your desired returns. 5️⃣Also, a breakout trader should set a stop loss. And again, a stop-loss level must be safe, it must be set at least below/above a previous minor structure to protect you from stop-hunting. Stop-loss reflects the point where the trader becomes wrong in his predictions and where the trading setup becomes invalid. In our example, the safest stop loss will be below a local low. Take profit - next key resistance. 6️⃣Once the trading position is opened and stop-loss & take-profit are set, one should patiently wait. There is no guarantee that the price will start falling/growing sharply after the breakout. The market may start coiling for quite a long period of time before it starts acting. Breakout trader must be patient, not allowing his emotions to intervene. Returning to our example, after some time, the market easily reached the TP level and went much higher. 7️⃣Lastly, one should remember that his exit points are stop-loss/take-profit levels. Stop-loss adjustment in case of a position drawdown, preliminary profit-taking, and target extension are your worst enemies. Be disciplined, don't be greedy, and keep your emotions in check. Here is the example of a breakout trade that I took following the strategy: I spotted a confirmed breakout of a key resistance. The price formed a high momentum bullish candle and closed above the structure. Long position was opened on a retest. Target was based on the closest horizontal resistance. Stop loss was placed below the closest horizontal support. The market quickly reached the target. Of course, this 7-steps trading plan is not sufficient enough for profitable breakout trading. There are so many nuances on each step of the plan to consider. However, let this plan be your initial guideline: learn & follow that and with time, keep elaborating its rules until you become a consistently profitable trader. Are you a breakout trader? Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Education
by VasilyTrader
12
KOPRAN - A SWING AS WELL AS POSITIONAL TRADEHELLO FRIENDS, Here I am sharing my view on KOPRAN LTD (NSE) which is showing bullish bias on the chart. The stock was in downtrend since December 2021 following the downtrend as Lower Highs and Lower Lows pattern but now the stock has broken this pattern and started doing Higher Highs and Higher Lows which depicts the change or trend to uptrend from downtrend. It has given breakout of downward sloping Trendline in Weekly time frame. All the supporting indicators as showing bullish bias on the chart of which snapshots are given below. Weekly trendline breakout with good intensity of volume In Daily Time Frame, Stock has given the breakout of FLAG and POLE Chart Pattern in which we calculate first target as same as the size of pole. Price at the time of breakout is Challenging Upper Bollinger Band Directional Movement Index is also showing strong Bullish Bias Price is Trading above 50DEMA, 100DEMA and 200DEMA MACD in Daily Time Frame - Positive Crossover MACD in Weekly Time Frame - Positive Uptick RSI in Daily Time Frame - Positive uptick and above 60 - a bullish sign Conclusion- overall stock is bullish on chart, one can enter this stock as swing or positional trade following strict Stop Loss. Disclaimer- I am not SEBI registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and losses. please consult your financial advisor before investing your money.
NSE:KOPRANLong
by KARANN_DINGRA
6
How to trade Breakout/Breakdown from consolidation pattern?1) What is a consolidation? Consolidation means when the price of a stock or security moves sideways within a range. In this pattern the price makes the same highs and/or same lows. The highs form a resistance level, and lows form a support level. The longer the consolidation is, the stronger the breakout/breakdown will be. When the price is moving within the range you can not really predict if it will go up or down, you always have to wait for the breakout/down to enter the trade. Once the channel is broken it usually leads to a stronger up/downtrend. Breakout We are talking about Breakout pattern when the price that has been moving within the range of the consolidation pattern breaks above the previous resistance line. At this momentum, when we have a confirmation candle, there is a high probability that it can be a start of a new uptrend, and we can enter the trade. Breakdown In case of a Breakdown, the price is moving downwards, and not only hit but breaks out of the support level. We need a confirmation candle to ensure that there is a high probability that bearish momentum will trigger the start of a new downtrend and it is a good time to enter short. 2) What are the valid consolidation patterns? Consolidation pattern does not mean in every case that the price must make the same highs and the same lows at the same time. For a Breakout pattern from the consolidation we want to see a strong, flat top resistance line that is tested three times or more. The price can either make the same lows or higher lows. On the other hand, when we are talking about a Breakdown from the consolidation, we are always looking for a strong support line that is tested at least three times before. In this case, the consolidation pattern can be either making same highs or lower highs. 3) How to identify a Breakout/Breakdown momentum and which indicators to use? We only want to enter the trade on a breakout/breakdown with a high probability of succeeding and for that we always want to see a confirmation candle after the price breaks above or below the range to avoid false breakouts. For a Breakout, the candle must be bullish and open and close above the resistance level and it must be near the 20EMA. In case of a Breakdown the bearish candle body must open and close below the support line and the breakout candle must be near or touching the 20EMA. Indicators (examples) Force Index (13) measures the strength of the volume. When the Force Index is above the zero line, that tells you that the market is bullish. If the price goes under the line, the price is bearish. So, when we want to go long, make sure that the Force Index is above the signal line and it’s rising. When we want to sell, then the Force Index should be under the signal line and falling. or MACD (12,26,9) When the MACD line is above the signal line, it means that the momentum is bullish (good if you want to go long) if it goes under the signal line, means the market is bearish (great time to enter short).
Education
by vf_investment
1
LSCC forming an ascending triangle!LSCC broke the decade long resistance of $41.31 in November of 2020 and has used that price as support since. After breaking its all time highs from the 2000's LSCC has been forming an ascending triangle. As we can see LSCC was recently rejected from the $57.60 to $58.38 range which were it's recent highs and it has been using the white trend line as support. Semiconductor stocks are hot right now and with earnings coming up LSCC may be making a break for it sooner rather than later. Fundamentally: * LSCCs earnings per share is expected to grow over the coming year * It has been performing really well with an 83.63% growth over the past year. Technically: * Seeing the rejection from its highs, it seems like the stock may revisit the $55 or $55.40 price before making higher moves. So look for buying opportunities in that range if you're looking for a discount. * If discounts aren't your thing, look for a buying opportunity following a daily close above $58.38 * On the contrary, a close below $55 could send the price lower to retest the support of the ascending triangle. Which would be an even better discount given how well semiconductor stocks are doing. Target: * If the pattern confirms and the breakout takes place, the target for this break would be in the $77.60 area.
NASDAQ:LSCCLong
by HaseebKhan_90
How To Trade Breakouts !!Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :) I have created this short video to explain How To Trade Breakouts , everything you need to know about this strategy is here. First we got to understand what is a breakout but before u start using this strategy take your time and understand the information well . so what is a breakout : a breakout occurs when the price breaks out and closes above a resistance level or below a support level A support line can be identified by connecting the points of low and the price bouncing back up , the support line needs 2 point to be formed but I think 3 gives a stronger signal and its safer. the resistance line is the same as the support line but it connects the highs instead of the lows and they act as the ceiling on which the market bounce down after hitting it. Both the Support & Resistance lines can be horizontal or angled . so when we combine the support and resistance together we get a trading range which keeps the market price in a certain range until the price makes a break either above or below. trading ranges are formed form the supply and demand and the market phycology so when the price breaks out of the range it signals a change in the supply and demand and the beginning of an upward or a downward trend so lets talk about the concept of a breakout For a breakout to happened you one need a support or a resistance line u don’t need both , but having both will create a trading range which will help you take advantage for breakouts in both directions up or down . There are several ways to trade breakouts : 1.At the actual breakout (this could be very risky in case it was a Fake breakout) 2.Using a pending order at a higher price then the market range 3.Waiting for the conformation on the breakout. Now lets talk about fake breakouts , it happens when the price breaks past the support or resistance level and moves back into the trading range as you see here : waiting for a confirmation is really important as u minimize the risk you are talking , this way u will lose some of the momentum of the trend but u will insure that’s the trend is going the way you want it to go. Make sure to Follow and Like for more content If you have any questions please ask Thank you for reading & watching .
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by GabiDahduh
4
GBPNZD Possible short opportunity on GBPNZD. We have seen rejection at resistance for the 4th time and so we can expect some bearish momentum. A break of the 200 day EMA and the trend line at the 1.8975 level would call for a short opportunity where we could see price return to support at the 1.8610 level. Confirmation of breakout: - Closed bearish 4Hcandles - Price breaks below 200 day EMA - Break in the trendline - Signals from MACD andRVI I find GBP pairs to be rather volatile so I would advise a smaller position size and letting the trade run to its target. Also, some important GBP news out tomorrow (1st Feb 2021)
Short
by francesgurton
1