Breakouttrading
Bitcoin Inverted Cup & handle Bitcoin is forming an inverted Cup & handle pattern with a target of 63k-66k. I was surprised to see this when I inverted the chart. Just sharing with you what I see, and I hope the pattern changes and we continue to go up. However the highest probability at the moment is further downside, but we may still have a bounce toward 89k-91K before seeing the blood.
EUR/GBP Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveThis EUR/GBP chart on the 1-hour timeframe showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle formation, a widely recognized pattern in technical analysis that signals potential breakout opportunities. The price action has respected the converging trendlines, indicating consolidation before a decisive move. Recently, the market has broken below the support zone, confirming a bearish breakdown and providing a strong signal for potential downside movement.
This analysis will cover pattern formation, key technical levels, trading strategy, risk management, and future market outlook to provide a comprehensive professional breakdown of this setup.
1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle consists of two converging trendlines that squeeze price action into a narrowing range, reflecting market indecision. This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the price is likely to continue in the direction of the prevailing trend after the breakout.
Pattern Characteristics in This Chart:
✅ Lower Highs: Price fails to break previous peaks, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
✅ Higher Lows: Buyers step in at higher points, preventing aggressive declines.
✅ Volume Decrease: Typical of consolidation within a symmetrical triangle.
✅ Breakout Confirmation: A strong bearish candle broke below the support level, signaling further downside potential.
2. Key Technical Levels & Zones
📌 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) – 0.8421
This level represents the highest point in the pattern, where price faced repeated rejections.
It aligns with a historical resistance zone, indicating a strong supply area.
A breakout above this level would shift the market to a bullish bias.
📌 Support Level – 0.8379 (Now Acting as Resistance)
Previously a key demand zone where buyers defended the price.
Price has now broken below this level, confirming it as new resistance in a bearish scenario.
A successful retest followed by rejection increases downside confirmation.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement – 0.8421
Located above the upper trendline and recent highs to avoid false breakouts.
If price regains this level, the bearish scenario will be invalidated.
📌 Target Zone – 0.82926 (Major Support Area)
This is the next strong support level, acting as a potential take-profit zone for short positions.
It aligns with a previous price reaction area, making it a logical target for sellers.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy – Bearish Trade Plan
The breakdown from the symmetrical triangle structure presents an opportunity to short the pair with a defined risk-to-reward setup.
📌 Entry Strategy:
Enter short positions after price breaks and retests the 0.8379 support level as resistance.
Confirmation should come from bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing candles or pin bars.
📌 Stop Loss:
Placed above 0.8421, above the last swing high, to protect against potential false breakouts.
📌 Take Profit (TP) Target:
First TP: 0.8325 (Intermediate support)
Final TP: 0.82926 (Major support and key structure level)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Reversal Possibility
If price reclaims 0.8379 and closes above it consistently, the bearish breakdown might be a false move.
A move above 0.8421 would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential bullish momentum.
4. Risk Management & Trade Confirmation
✅ Volume Analysis
A significant increase in volume on the breakdown strengthens the bearish outlook.
Low volume retests may indicate a weak reversal attempt, favoring continuation downward.
✅ Bearish Price Action Confirmation
Lower highs and consistent lower lows reinforce a bearish sentiment.
Rejections from the broken support (now resistance) validate the trade setup.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
The Stop-Loss (SL) is tight, and the profit target is significantly larger, making this a high RRR trade.
Ideally, a RRR of at least 2:1 or 3:1 should be maintained for proper risk control.
5. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook
Bearish Bias Strengths:
Trendline break indicates strong downside pressure.
Failed attempts to break resistance suggest weakening bulls.
Global macroeconomic factors and fundamental catalysts may favor GBP strength over EUR in the near term.
Reversal Risks:
A strong bullish breakout above 0.8421 would shift momentum to the upside.
Fundamental news events (e.g., ECB or BoE statements) can impact market direction unexpectedly.
6. Summary & Conclusion
🔹 The EUR/GBP 1-hour chart has broken below a symmetrical triangle pattern, confirming a bearish breakout.
🔹 Key levels to watch: Resistance at 0.8421, support at 0.82926.
🔹 Trading strategy favors short positions, with a target at 0.82926 and a stop loss at 0.8421.
🔹 Confirmation comes from trendline breaks, volume analysis, and lower highs/lows structure.
📌 Final Verdict:
The setup is bearish unless price reclaims 0.8379 and invalidates the structure.
Traders should monitor price action, volume, and news events for further confirmations.
🔥 Potential Profit Target: 80-90 Pips 📉
⚠️ Risk Management is Crucial – Always Use Stop Loss & Proper Position Sizing
JPY/USD Trading Setup – Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish MoveThe JPY/USD 1-hour chart is displaying a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. This pattern forms as price action moves within converging trendlines, indicating that selling pressure is gradually weakening. The breakout from this pattern signals a potential trend reversal, and the price may be heading toward key resistance zones and an eventual bullish target.
This analysis will break down the chart structure, market psychology, key levels, and a trading setup to help traders make an informed decision.
1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern
The falling wedge is a common price action pattern characterized by:
🔹 Lower highs and lower lows forming within two downward-sloping trendlines.
🔹 Decreasing volume, indicating that sellers are losing momentum.
🔹 A breakout above the upper trendline, confirming a shift in trend and signaling the start of bullish momentum.
Market Psychology Behind the Wedge Pattern:
📉 During the wedge formation, the market is in a downtrend, and sellers are in control. However, with each new lower low, the price finds strong support, and buyers start stepping in.
📊 As the wedge narrows, the downward momentum weakens, and sellers struggle to push the price lower. Eventually, demand exceeds supply, leading to a breakout to the upside, which is exactly what we see on this chart.
2. Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Support Zone & Reversal Area:
The support zone between 0.006660 - 0.006680 acted as a strong demand area, preventing further downside.
This is also labeled as a reversal area, meaning buyers were aggressive in this zone.
The final touch at this support led to a strong bounce, initiating the breakout.
🔹 Resistance Level:
The price is now approaching a key resistance area at 0.006780 - 0.006800, which previously acted as a supply zone.
A break and retest of this level would further confirm bullish momentum.
🔹 All-Time High (ATH) & Target Level:
The ATH region is marked on the chart as a historical resistance level where price faced strong selling pressure before.
If the current breakout holds, price action could aim for the 0.006851 target level, completing the measured move from the wedge pattern.
3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
📈 Entry Strategy:
There are two main ways to enter this trade:
1️⃣ Aggressive Entry: Enter immediately after the breakout above the falling wedge.
2️⃣ Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout AND retest of the previous resistance turned support (0.006780 zone) before entering long.
🔻 Stop-Loss Placement:
To manage risk, traders should consider placing stop-loss orders:
Below the previous support zone (0.006660) to minimize downside risk.
Alternatively, below the wedge breakout point if using a tight stop-loss.
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: 0.006780 (near-term resistance level).
2️⃣ Final Target: 0.006851 (based on wedge breakout projection).
4. Confirmation & Risk Management
🔎 Key Confirmation Factors for a Strong Breakout:
✅ Price breaks above the falling wedge with strong bullish candles.
✅ Volume increases, showing strong buying interest.
✅ RSI or other momentum indicators confirm bullish divergence.
⚠️ Potential Risks to Consider:
False Breakout: If price falls back inside the wedge, this could invalidate the bullish setup.
Rejection at Resistance: If buyers fail to push price above the 0.006780 resistance, it could lead to another consolidation.
5. Final Thoughts & Trading Outlook
📌 This JPY/USD chart presents a high-probability bullish setup due to the breakout from a falling wedge pattern.
📌 The breakout, strong support zone, and bullish price action indicate further upside potential.
📌 Risk management is key—waiting for confirmation can increase the probability of success.
💡 Final Verdict: Bullish Bias – Watching for Retest & Continuation to Target! 🚀
EUR/GBP Analysis – Bearish Momentum Gaining StrengthThe EUR/GBP pair has shown a significant shift in market structure, breaking below a critical support level and signaling further downside potential. After facing strong resistance near the 0.84400 region, the price struggled to maintain bullish momentum and started forming lower highs, indicating selling pressure.
Technical Breakdown:
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary near 0.84400 acted as a supply area where sellers gained control. Multiple rejection candles at this level confirmed that buyers were losing strength.
Support Breakdown: The price recently broke below a key support zone, which had previously acted as a demand area. This breakdown suggests a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Continuation Pattern: The chart displays a clear lower high and lower low formation, reinforcing the bearish trend. The price is now retesting the breakdown zone, which could serve as a new resistance level before further declines.
Target Projection: The next major support lies at 0.82508, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. If the bearish momentum persists, we may see a test of this level in the coming sessions.
Trading Considerations:
📌 Bearish Bias: Traders may look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels.
📌 Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level with rejection signals could provide a strong entry point.
📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss placements above 0.83800 could help manage risk in case of an unexpected bullish reversal.
💡 Final Thoughts:
With the prevailing bearish momentum, EUR/GBP is likely to continue downward unless buyers regain control at key levels. Traders should watch for price action signals near support and resistance zones to confirm trade setups.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bullish Breakout in Progress📈 Chart Pattern:
Bitcoin has been trading inside a descending channel for several weeks. Recently, BTC has broken out of the channel’s upper boundary, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: $80,043.75 (Critical stop-loss level)
Resistance: $87,500 (Short-term)
Target: $92,944.17 (Upside projection)
📊 Trading Plan:
BTC might retest the breakout zone before continuing the upward move.
A confirmed higher low formation could signal strong bullish momentum.
If BTC remains above $85,500, further upside toward $92,944.17 is possible.
⚠️ Risk Management:
If BTC drops below $80,043.75, the bullish setup could become invalid.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering long positions.
💡 Conclusion:
This breakout could lead to a strong uptrend, but traders should watch for a successful retest before making a move. 🚀🔍
BIKAJI : Breakout Candidate#bikaji #vcppattern #vcpsetup #trendline #breakout
BIKAJI : Swing Trade
>> Good Strength in stock
>> Volumes Dried up
>> Trendline Breakout
>> VCP Structure - Ready to Blast
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing
Disc : Charts shared are for Study Purpose, Do your own Analysis and consult your Financial Advisor before taking Position in it. Take Position as per Proper Risk Management.
Pls Boost, Comment & Follow us for More Learnings.
AUCTION Breakout Loading – $30+ Target?$AUCTION/USDT 1D chart shows a strong bounce from the key support zone, pushing towards the major resistance zone near the descending trendline. The price is currently at $16.39, indicating bullish momentum.
If AUCTION breaks above the major resistance and the resistance trendline, it could trigger a strong rally toward $30-$35+. However, rejection from this level may lead to another retest of support.
The Stoch RSI is mid-level, suggesting more upside potential. Watch for a breakout confirmation or a possible pullback before the next move.
DYOR, NFA
EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setup 🔹 Overview:
EUR/USD remains in an ascending channel and is currently near the support zone. A bullish move is anticipated toward the 1.12150 - 1.12382 resistance zone, aligning with the overall trend.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
✅ Support Zone: Holding at 1.07916, acting as a key demand area.
✅ Ascending Channel: Price structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Target: Resistance around 1.12382 aligns with a possible breakout.
🔹 Trade Idea:
📌 Long Entry: Around the support zone if bullish confirmation appears.
📌 Target: 1.12150 - 1.12382 resistance zone.
📌 Invalidation: Break below 1.07916 could shift momentum bearish.
📊 Sentiment: Bullish bias, waiting for confirmation.
📢 Will EUR/USD hit the target? Let’s discuss! 👇
#1000XUSDT is setting up for a breakout📉 Long BYBIT:1000XUSDT.P from $0,05470
🛡 Stop loss $0,05297
1h Timeframe
⚡ Plan:
➡️ POC is 0,04229
➡️ Waiting for consolidation near resistance and increased buying activity before the breakout.
➡️ Expecting an impulsive upward move as buy orders accumulate.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,05640
💎 TP 2: $0,05775
🚀 BYBIT:1000XUSDT.P is setting up for a breakout—preparing for an upward move!
#OIKUSDT continues its downtrend📉 Short BITGET:OIKUSDT.P from $0,0870
🛡 Stop loss $0,0909
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is N
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,0833
💎 TP 2: $0,0795
💎 TP 3: $0,0769
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
BITGET:OIKUSDT.P continues its downtrend — watching for further movement!
DEBRIDGE Breaks Trendline – Is a Major Move Coming?BYBIT:DBRUSDT 12H chart shows a breakout above the descending trendline, indicating a potential shift in market structure. The price is currently facing the nearest resistance zone, which has acted as a key level in previous price actions.
A short-term correction from this level is likely before another major move upward. The major resistance zone above could act as the next target if the price successfully holds above this breakout level
DYOR, NFA
Dogecoin - The Final Break And Retest!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) is confirming the final retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the textbook retest of the previous all time high about three months ago on Dogecoin, so far we also saw the expected correction of about -50%. However Dogecoin is about to confirm the bullish break and retest, which eventually leads to a parabolic rally and new highs.
Levels to watch: $0.2, $0.5, $5.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Some Positivity Seen...0.5% Fib level retracement &
Also, Confirmed HL around 29 - 30.
Important Support lies around 32.50 - 34.70
Should not Break 29, otherwise, we may witness
further Selling Pressure.
If 36.30 is Sustained, we may witness 38 - 38.50
which is again a Strong Resistance.
Stock will be in uptrend again if is Sustains 38.50
& it may hit 49 - 50 again. Also because , it seems
as now it is Re-testing the Breakout level around 34.50 - 35.
What to do after you missed a big price move (Example: EUR/USD)There was a big fast move in EUR/USD last week.
The ‘European currencies’ did especially well versus the US dollar, including GBP/USD and USD/CHF as well as the ‘Skandies’ SEK/USD and NOK/USD.
If you rode the move, then job done. If you did ride the move up, you might have taken full profits already - or maybe you are leaving a little bit of the position open to ride any continuation of the move.
But, what to do if you missed it completely?
Explosive moves in the market usually mean traders who were on the ‘losing’ side step out for a while, having lost confidence in their view. For example if you were bearish and the market makes a significant move higher - you’re probably going to be a lot less confident in your bearish view - but perhaps also not ready to take an opposite bullish view. The loss of sellers in the market can see the up-move continue with minimal pullback.
This might suggest buying any small dips to ride the next leg higher, and emotionally it would offer some salvation to capture the second leg of the move even if you missed the first leg. However, what you are doing here is ‘chasing the market’.
One trouble is that after a big move in the market, there is no definitive place to put your stop loss, except at the beginning of the move - which is now far away. That's a bad risk: reward.
It is tempting to place a closer (more manageable) stop loss under lower timeframe levels of support - but then you find yourself trading an unknown strategy that requires different rules to follow because it is based on a lower timeframe.
And indeed, after a sharp move in the market - there is still a chance for a sharp pullback to match. Why? Because buyers quickly take profits on their unexpected quick gains, which will create selling pressure into minimal support - because the next support level is far away.
A sharp pullback would mean an opportunity to buy into the uptrend at a lower level, closer to the previous support. But then the flipside of the sharp pullback is that it raises questions over the sustainability of the initial move.
Probably the biggest takeaway here is not to think about this ‘explosive’ move in isolation.
Instead of forcing a trade, consider:
1. Waiting for the right setup in the same market. If your strategy is based on structured breakouts, wait for the next clean consolidation or pattern before re-engaging. A big move often leads to a new setup—but forcing a trade in the middle of a volatile move isn’t a strategy, it’s FOMO.
2. Looking at uncorrelated markets. Just because EUR/USD already made a big move doesn’t mean you have to trade it now. If you want to be in at the start of a move, shift focus to another market that hasn’t yet made its move.
3. Sticking to your edge. If your strategy works over hundreds of trades, don’t abandon it just because one market moved without you. The next opportunity will come—if not in this market, then in another.
Again, the best trades don’t come from reacting to what already happened, but from positioning for what’s about to happen. If you missed the move, accept it, reset, and wait for the next high-quality setup—whether in the same market or somewhere else.
Live Trade Unfiltered: Real-Time Breakout, Strategy & Market PsyWatch me execute a live trade in COINBASE:B3USD breaking down price action, trend lines, and market psychology in real time. I also guide a fellow trader through the trade via text. Whether you're new to day trading or a seasoned pro, this is a raw look at how I navigate fast-moving markets. No financial advice—just live insights!
Key Takeaways
Trade Type: Bull flag breakout, intraday scalping, ahead of huge multi day rally.
Indicators Used: Trend lines, Bollinger Bands, price action.
Exit Strategy: Momentum signals, clearly defined criteria for price behavior.
Psychological Tip: Don’t chase trades—wait for price to come to you.
Live Trading Lesson: Limit vs. market orders for optimal exits.
I'll update this post with the trade outcome and lessons learned. Let me know in the comments if you’d like to see more live trading breakdowns!
CRYPTO:B3USD CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTO:XRPUSD
As always this is not investment advice, I would never place myself in such a liable situation, and you shouldn't take advice from a stranger on the Internet, do your own research and CY your own A and trade at your own risk.