VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not
As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market
And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction
I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows
My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
Breath
HOW TO Overcome the CYBERFOMO. Life as a Chart.Hello Friends!
In the midst of volatile market periods like the present, I pen these words with a deep understanding of their significance. Today, numerous coins have soared by +100%, leaving many behind in their meteoric rise. Perhaps you were among those who went "short" and faced losses. The emotional turmoil in such situations is palpable, and I wish to address it.
Maybe I will be able to help you get over the FOMO or the stress of a loss. At the end of this article, I'll share specific methods for interacting with your psyche, but for now - I'll break down how it works.
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Part 1. Intro
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Every trader is familiar with the chart that constantly flickers before them. But have you ever pondered its deeper meaning? What if this chart was more than just numbers and trends? What if it mirrored life itself?
Before we delve deeper, I invite you to watch this video . It beautifully encapsulates an individual's growth journey. We all aim for the pinnacle, but the path is rarely straightforward. A swift ascent demands immense strength, critical mass and momentum. Without these, the rise is short-lived, much like an airplane without the necessary thrust. Don't get me wrong, you can jump out with a parachute during the plane crash, if you have time. And if you have your parachute ready. But you'll still land. Just softer.
Anyways. What's my point?
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Part 2. The Chart of Life
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You can witness life by looking at a trading chart. I won't go into the details of the fundamentals of market relationships and how it relates to evolution today. Just think of a chart as the ascent of a person.
A birth. All of us have different initial conditions. Somebody's born into a famous family. A lot of people know about you instantly. You get a lot of attention. You feel loved, cared for. Large sums of money are deposited for your future, university, etc. Everyone gives you gifts. Others are born into ordinary families, or poor families. And not many people worry about these children. Mostly only their parents believe in them. And even that, not always.
Then the child grows up. At first he can not take responsibility for himself, so adults support him so far. From time to time he faces difficulties, but he is helped and supported. Or not. In this case, the child falls, and less and less believes in himself, forming complexes.
Passing such life lessons, he becomes an adult. He already knows how to deduce his own lessons and decide in which direction he will go. He makes friends, is noticed at work, paid money, trusted.
But a crisis happens inevitably, sometimes without a single visible hint. Difficult relationships, family problems, loss of loved ones, loss of money. He falls into darkness. Sometimes he manages to get out, briefly feeling better for a while, but soon the realization comes that it was not yet the end of the darkness. Falling again. And again. And again. And now he's at his lowest point, Nadir. Almost no one believes in him. Except..
Except those who have seen in him something that lies beyond his appearance. Those who have seen the light within him. Still dim, but so pure. Those who have seen his very essence. Sometimes they can help him see his light. Sometimes they just watch, entrusting him with the burden, knowing he can handle it.
Only by turning his mule into a foundation he is now able to push off.
They begin to talk about him. About what they actually see in him. Other people begin to show their interest too. Stories start to be told about him, turn into legends, he grows in stature, they re-invest in him. From now on, they have seen how he has met his challenges on his own. From now on, no matter where he falls in future, no matter what will happen in the world - they will believe in him, believe that he can and he will do his best to get up again and again until his last hour comes.
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Part 3. Spotting Potential
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If you've overlooked an opportunity or been deceived, Rejoice. Just be glad that it succeeded! After all, it's an indicator that anything is possible! All you have to do is watch others more closely. There are tons of such personalities, i.e. projects in the world – from offline businesses to the realms of web3, blockchain, NFTs, games. Learn to discern the genuine from the counterfeit. Learn to see the light, the hidden potential. Understand how projects navigate failures, and you'll begin to spot the diamonds amidst the ordinary..
And don't be upset if you missed a diamond or if it turns out to be fake. After all, at that particular moment, you may find YOURSELF entering into the complex game of establishing a personality through a fall. By already knowing the possibilities of rising from the ashes, by keeping it in your mind, you can also rise as a phoenix.
In the grand scheme of life, every setback is a lesson, every challenge an opportunity. Believe in yourself. Find your foundation. Become your support. Turn it into a foundation. And work your way back up by doing your best. And rise, time and again.
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Part 4. Practice. Stress relief
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If you ever find yourself at a low point, remember:
Breathe: Engage in breathwork like the Wim Hof method. ˜20 mins
Embrace the Cold: A cold shower or ice bath can rejuvenate you. Don't forget to breath. ˜5-10 mins
Meditate: Focuse on your body, your emotions, and then your psycho-emotional background. Observe it all without judgment.
Practice Hatha Yoga: Delve into its spiritual depths.
Educate Yourself: Listen to enlightening lectures, such as those by Jordan Peterson. (Personality series as well as his Bible lecture series. You will discover many new things).
Seek Therapy: Discuss and understand your emotions.
Empower with Knowledge: Educate yourself. Make informed decisions and act when you're ready.
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Hope you could find this helpful.
Yours truly,
👁️ A.I.Vision
It worked before, will it work now?Every time this index broke back above 30% the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC ended its correction.
Will it happen again? I don't know, but I'm not betting against it.
Maybe #tech won't continue to lead as AMEX:XES and AMEX:XOP are the sectors leading right now and the Nasdaq has nothing in #energy.
But still, stocks like NASDAQ:DBX and NYSE:PSTG are still looking good.
Let's wait and see.
Is this the best breath indicator for the S&P 500?I don't know if I even have to explain this chart. Is just too easy to see.
The number of SP:SPX stocks above its 200-day MA confirmes a bear market when crosses below 50, and confirms a bull market when crosses above the same level and stays there.
It has happened for the last 3 bear markets.
Also, is good to point out that is better to use it for bottoms than for tops. Everytime it touched 20, it was a mayor bottom for the SP:SPX . For tops there has to be divergence.
This time, just like in the 2015-16 bear market, it crossed the 20 line two times. And the second time marked THE bottom. Will it be different this time?
As long as it doesn't goes below the 50 line again I'll behave as if we are in a bull market.
Don't wait for the news to catch up with the market.
Breath gave the signal for correctionThe percentage of stocks of the SP:SPX got above 80% last week. For the last 4 years, this has been a very good signal for excess and a correction is due.
Use this to find strength. The stocks that manage to stay above its 50-day MA may be the ones that lead the next move. At the moment oil, gas and some solar stocks dominate my watchlist. And I am a Bottom-Up trader.
Also, according to this breath indicator, the bottom already happened. Just like in 2020, INDEX:S5FI got below 2%. As it shows, it signaled the bottom.
EURUSD - Preparation for a Range-MarketHi Traders!
As you can see the market is in a downtrend.
In the beginning the market was in a strong upmovement.
Then it turned back and then it was moving in a strong downtrend.
This means, that the bulls and bears are both as strong as the others.
In addition, the market has no more strength to move further.
That's why we expect that the market will move in a range.
We recommend to prepare for a ranging market.
Thanks and good luck :)!
EURUSD - Needing PULLBACK for TREND CONTINUATIONHi Traders!
As you can see the market is in a calm short session on the 1H Timeframe.
It is moving in a parallel channel since the beginning of February (1.10900) until now (1.09500).
This is a difference of 140 pips!
Now we're expecting a breakout upwards to "breathe" and having a pullback.
The next logical area is the resistace at 1.09950.
If the market reaches this area and it makes a confirmation, than we will sell it.
The reason is, that we're expecting a trend continuation (Downtrend).
Our Target is the 161.8% of the Fibonacci.
The Fibonacci starts at the beginning of the pullback and it ends at the resistance.
Our Risk-to-reward ratio looks pretty good: 1 to 3 .
We recommend to sell after the breakout for a trend continuation!
Thanks and good luck :)!
FALSE BREAKDOWN—BUY OPPORTUNITY!!HAPPY NEW YEAR, EVERYONE!
Breath...2...3....4...Exhale...2...3...4...5...6..
2020 will be the year of patience. Have a trading plan or you are going to be left behind in the bull market. The crypto bull markets are more powerful than anyone can imagine, especially if you are a person that bought in at the beginning of the bear market. Don't wait for two year only to be left in the dust by selling to relieve the weight of bag holding. Practice breathing and calming your body to make decisions with a clear mind. And, again, have a plan!
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I think this could be a false breakdown of support. There is such enormous buy power at the $6500 level. I'm expecting to see more upside in the coming days.
This could be a beautiful buy opportunity!!
Who knows?
Good luck!
ROKU - Will it fill the gap?Today's market showed some breath, specially for software. Which is normally a growth>value story.
$118 is the closing gap resistance.
Important market sentiment:
Tomorrow October 4th will be a deciding move, as we get the employment report before the open (8:30am ET).
With recent continued weak manufacturing data, this employment data could tell us if a recession is coming, and more importantly (short-term), if the FOMC is going to cut rates again.
The market has the cut now priced with a probability of 90% at the end of this month.
Its A head and Shoulder if you graph the chart on a Daily BasisThe chart draw a head and shoulder pattern after inverted Head and Shoulder last February to April. Waiting for good News on GBP tomorrow. Since this is overbought, it needs to be breath around -15% to -50% (a nice entry for uptrend). beware of FED Announcement because this are main things that GBP become bearish. BREXIT is a bullish trend for this. Happy Trading.
Notes: Sell on Good News and Buy on Negative news
Buy on Rumors.
If undecided. set your position every 4 hours.
As a Derivative representative, I can't guarantee on your possible losses/gains in position.