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Brent-wti

Strifor || USDCAD-10/09/2023Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The Canadian is also prone to fall against the dollar. At the moment, the price is trading at the level of 1.36545, and given this fact, in the near future the price may fall a little further below the level, in the form of a breakout. A deep potential false move down is not expected. The purpose of the purchase here will be the same as on other major currency pairs, namely updating extremes. Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Viktor_strifor_analyst
1
Odd things in the oil market, reminiscent of 2022 market topRecently, more and more financial institutions have been upgrading their price targets for oil. Mostly, these forecasts were upward of $100 per barrel, with JP Morgan and some other financial entities forecasting prices as high as $150 in the coming months. About three weeks ago, we tweeted that these statements are very reminiscent of those made in the second quarter of 2022 when many of the same corporations upgraded their forecasts right at the market top (to $150, $200, etc., depending on the entity). While $100 per barrel could be in play if OPEC and OPEC+ (mainly referring to Saudi Arabia and Russia in this regard) manage to maintain production cuts and the U.S. stops releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves, we are very skeptical about the ultra bullish calls out there. The first reason for our view is that if the global economy continues slowing down and heads into recession, we will likely see oil demand falling. The second one, which surprises us, is that the Biden administration has not started filling up Strategic Petroleum Reserves despite planning to do so earlier this year (plus, despite oil falling below $70), which makes us wonder why the administration is not buying. Could it be that they completely miscalculated their game and missed the chance, or are they expecting a better opportunity to come (supposedly better than $64 per barrel)? We honestly do not know, but it is very odd, to say the least. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the monthly chart of U.S. crude oil production. From the start of 2023 through June 2023, U.S. crude oil production has grown by more than 500,000 barrels per day (by more than 4%). Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
14
TradePlus-Fx|USDCAD: mid-term view💬Description: As a result of yesterday's trading day, the currency pair closed above the level of 1.35019 , which is a very significant event, especially for buyers. The dollar continues to exert pressure across the board, and with the daily close above this level, this trend for USDCAD will continue. However, most likely, growth is limited and setting targets above 1.36447 would even be naive. The medium-term prospects for this instrument are more interesting. Here, you should most likely expect sell-priority. The accumulation volume is distributed in such a way that a big player is likely to change the direction of the market, since the “market crowd” will satisfy his request and close all his longs. For the “crowd”, this is a loss. Here we highlight two scenarios for the development of events, respectively, and two options for entering a sell on the USDCAD currency pair. Both options are shown on the chart. Of course, the entry point in the second scenario will be stronger for the seller, but one can gain a medium-term position according to the first scenario. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 🚀 Thank for your BOOSTS 🚀 👇 Share your views and FOLLOW US 👇
Short
by TradePlus-Fx
7
Strifor || UKOIL-09/15/2023Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Oil continues its steady strengthening, and the medium-term outlook for instruments is positive. However, now, most likely, the price will go for a correction, and it is expected that the instrument will reach level 92, where the balance for pushing is located. In addition, there is a small probability that the price will reach the level of 90.72, from where the price recently recorded the maximum of the current year on impulse. Thank you for like and share your views!
TVC:UKOILLong
by Viktor_strifor_analyst
10
Strifor || USDCAD-08/23/2023Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The buy scenario remains relevant. Additional pressure on the Canadian dollar has a downward trend in oil. Several important economic data are expected to be released today, both for Canada and the US. Undoubtedly, their results will affect the course. However, from the point of view of technical and volume analysis, most likely the instrument will tend to touch the resistance level 1.36545 in the very near future. Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Viktor_strifor_analyst
7
Strifor || USDCAD-07/13/2023Preferred direction: SELL Comment: When approaching the support level of 1.31385, the currency pair immediately received a signal from buyers and rebounded. However, most likely this is a partial fixation of sellers whose ambitions locate below this support. By the end of this week, it is expected that the instrument will drop below this level. Before the weekend, the currency pair is likely to begin to recover slightly. Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Viktor_strifor_analyst
3
UKOIL(BRENT)-07/05/2023Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The long idea for oil has been working out very well and after completing the planned path earlier, the level of 77.39 opens for the buyer. A rather difficult obstacle for the buyer, because if not for it, then the price could rise above 78 from the current ones on the impulse. Therefore, in the near future, an approach to 77.39 is expected, then consolidation (most likely) and after a rise above 78. Thank you for like and share your views!
TVC:UKOILLong
by Viktor_strifor_analyst
3
#Oil #OOTT UpdateWow oil has been very tough lately. Many times I jumped the gun with long calls. I am actually bearish into the end of 2023. The reason I am so stubborn to pick the local bottom is that my charts just do not make sense without this last big jump to 90-100 range that I expect any time soon. The chart is a complete meat grinder. The price is actually trading under moving averages on many timeframes and sending me bearish technical signals. There are bearish candles and engulfings all over the chart. It is only the Elliott Wave count that keeps me bullish since I cannot see an alternative that could continue the downtrend. However, I am running out of bullish counts as well. The leading diagonal is very risky bet without having it fully formed. However, besides Elliott Wave count there are emerging signs in support of bullish case. See the falling trendline that the price broke through and now retesting from above in a good bye kiss? Gasoil chart looks more pointed upwards trading above moving averages. And gasoil crack has made a bottom and is recovering (will post as an update to this chart).
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
1