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Brent-wti

Crude Oil Stuck In A Range, Forming Contracting Triangle!Crude oil price has been moving between 70 & 83 since Nov. 2022. In the process forming contracting (or symmetrical) triangle. A strong bullish close above the upper descending line will make crude oil price to be bullish while a close below the lower descending line will invite more bears for oil. With price hovering currently on strong support level, oil most likely will break above the symmetrical upper line... N.B! - USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #usoil #crudeoil #wti #brentoil
TVC:USOIL
by BullBearMkt
A close Above 76.71 Likely To Drive CrudeOil Price To Test 80!Oil price now in corrective mode on H4 and price is attempting to break out of this descending trendline. A close above 76.71 will confirm the breakout with crude oil price targeting 80. Also last week's indecision in the market may likely cause bullish run for oil IF this week candle ends in a strong bull above last week's high, else price continue its downward movement... N.B! - USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #usoil #crudeoil #wti #brentoil
TVC:USOIL
by BullBearMkt
2
USOIL H2: BUY/HOLD XABCD setup 15% gains (SL/TP)(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview? -TOP author on TradingView -2000+ ideas published -15+ years experience in markets -Professional chart break downs -Supply/Demand Zones -TD9 counts / combo review -Key S/R levels -No junk on my charts -Frequent updates -Covering FX/crypto/US stocks -before/after analysis -24/7 uptime so constant updates 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! USOIL H2: BUY/HOLD XABCD setup 15% gains (SL/TP)(NEW) IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage. Tagged as LONG as I expect more gains. READ ENTIRE IDEA BEFORE EXECUTION!!!! 🔸 Summary and potential trade setup ::: USOIL 2hours candle chart review ::: speculative XABCD setup in progress ::: expecting correction/pullback after G20 ::: G20 meeting likely result in pullback MODE ::: higher risk setup: short from point C ::: near 92/94 USD TP BEARS 80 USD ::: this is higher risk setup use tight SL ::: BULLS remain on sidelines and wait ::: for correction to complete (point D) ::: recommended strategy: BUY/HOLD 80 USD / D ::: 80 USD is also a strong liquidity gap zone ::: BULLS should wait for a better price ::: TP1 BULLS 90 USD TP2 BULLS 93 USD ::: WAIT for price to pullback before buying ::: near 80 USD / liquidity zone /point D ::: shorting is a higher risk setup now ::: SWING trade setup do not expect ::: fast/miracle overnights gains here ::: good luck traders 🔸 Supply/Demand Zones ::: 80USD fresh demand zone ::: 92/94USD fresh supply zone 🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies ::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A ::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS ::: Sentiment mid-term: BEARS/pullback RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:USOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
6
📈BRENT 08/26/2022: medium-term growth❗️📈 Priority direction: Up . 📝 Description: Oil is in the resistance area near the $100 level, trying to break up. The medium-term view is directed upwards, however, there is a possibility that the instrument will not break through the indicated resistance immediately and before that it will roll back to $98.55. The target for growth is the level of $104 and $106 can be considered a little higher. -------------------------- Thank you for your support, subscribe and share your ideas here 👇 --------------------------
TVC:UKOILLong
by Market-Mentor
3
📉BRENT 08/18/2022: push to $91.70❗️📉 Priority direction: Down . 📝 Description: Oil sellers are trying to push the price to $91.70 in order to push it even lower. Most likely, the approach to this level will take place and even the price will fall under it, however, the general mood is still in favor of buyers (longer-term view). An alternative scenario involves buying approximately from the current ones with a target of $95. -------------------------- Thank you for your support, subscribe and share your ideas here 👇 --------------------------
TVC:UKOILShort
by Market-Mentor
1
TRADE OF THE WEEK | Patience Pays & Winners Win💰 Hey traders, As you know, I made 4 accurate predictions in a row on WTI Crude Oil. This week the price was retesting a key level. I spotted a very nice confirmation on that with a double top formation and a bearish breakout of a rising wedge pattern. The market dropped sharply then and I spotted one my confirmation: neckline breakout of a head and shoulders pattern. Great winner and nice trade. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by VasilyTrader
8
Brent Crude Oil - Elliott wave theoryHave we just completed Elliott wave 1 of a crude oil bull market which I would argue started in November 2021 with Pfizer vaccine news?? Others may say it started from June 2020 after the May 2020 crash low touching zero or below briefly. I have a question for viewers if Elliott waves up to 5 does indeed play out again for oil (and commodities in general) how can one have any clue how much time this will take? Please refer to March 1999 (just before dot com crash) through to June 2008 (onset of GFC) Brent crude oil price chart to see how Elliott waves 1, 3 & 5 up-moves happened with waves 2 & 4 corrections.
OLong
by CryptoJoe128
1
OIL H4 Potential drop | 7th July 2022On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud , we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support at 94.96 where the horizontal swing low support is from our 1st resistance at 101.18 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement . Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance and head for 2nd resistance at 102.89 where the horizontal pullback resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement is. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by FXCM
Oil and gas producers have come to a dead endLast Friday WTI crude NYMEX:CL1! dropped together with the broader equity markets and closed almost 7% lower at $107.99, slightly below the 50 days moving average. Earlier in the month the oil was still trying to break and stay above $120 however the hype cooled down quickly, partly due to the sharp 75 basis points rate hike by the Fed on Wednesday. This recent round of oil rally actually started in late Dec-2021 when the oil price tested the 250 days moving average, failed then reversed back to the upside. In late Jan-2022, the global inflation concern pushed the commodity across the major resistance at $86. And by late Feb-2022, fueled by the “special military operation” initiated by Russia against Ukraine, WTI crude went through the $100 handle and never looked back again. With the recent more affirmative backdrop of global recession, as well as the increasing political cost for the current government allowing inflation to worsen, last week's drop might officially mark the end of the 6 months long oil rally. There are 2 ways you can capitalize the idea. One is to short the commodity directly. Two is to short those who produce the commodity . In the following scenario analysis, we believe the second seems to be a more profitable way, even if oil price continue to rally. 1. Oil Price Up Although it’s unlikely, there are still factors on both the demand and supply side that might drive up oil price, such as extreme weather and military conflict. Another wild card is OPEC. But in any case, one thing for sure for the US government is that the oil companies are making a lot of money. The US president Joe Biden even directly pointed out “Exxon made more money than God last year” in a recent event in Los Angeles. With Britain recently announcing a 25% windfall tax on oil and gas producers, the white house is even more motivated to join “Robin Hood” to rob the rich (whether to give to the poor is another matter, lol). The windfall tax essentially is setting a profitability ceiling for oil companies. Even if the oil price goes higher, they will not be able to pocket more money. 2. Oil Price Down (Supply Side) This is likely to be a continuation of the windfall tax narrative. One option the producers can choose instead of paying more tax is to increase capex, i.e. increase oil production by drilling more crude, and expand refinery facilities. In fact, raising capex is the last thing the producers want to do given the global carbon zero commitment and the shift in consumer behavior such as shifting from traditional fossil fuel vehicles to EV. Hence if the oil companies at the end really compromised, their profit and distributable cash would definitely be harmed. 3. Oil Price Down (Demand Side) In the market economy we trust, even without government intervention, the market itself has an in-built feedback mechanism to neutralize any imbalance. When oil price is too high, demand will naturally be depressed (e.g. drive less, work from home more, take more public transport). Less demand in turn will pull down the price until demand-supply equilibrium is restored. If we look at the latest release of companies Q1 result, the economic slowdown is no longer a slogan but has already materialized. The demand downward spiral has actually taken place in the US, and it is only one trigger away to set this into motion for the oil market as well. For the oil producers, it means selling less oil at lower price, double whammy for their profitability. Now it should be clearer why no matter how the oil price moves from this point onward, oil companies have all reached a dead end. Trading Plan Instead of hand picking which producers to short, one can directly short oil & gas theme ETF, effectively shorting the whole bucket of companies in the sector to avoid tail risk from individual companies. I would recommend AMEX:XLE and AMEX:XOP for this operation, for their larger market cap and better liquidity. The best time to short was actually 2 weeks ago when oil price was still above $120 and there was a divergence between oil price and the major equity indexes. I placed my first short position in AMEX:XOP on Jun-10 at $161. Last week the drop was faster than I expected. In fact all the nearby resistances were taken down one by one without much consolidations: 20 days moving average: Jun-15 50 days moving average: Jun-16 Lower bound of bollinger bands from 20-days moving average: Jun-17 For those who are looking to raise their short exposure, I would recommend to wait until it rebounds back to one of the above resistance levels, place the short when the buying momentum dries and the selling force becomes dominant again . That translates to price levels around 140-155. For those who are looking to buy (Note: profit taking only, not buying in anticipation of new highs), the following levels are the major supports of this round of rally: May support: $123.5 Feb pre-war peak turned support: $115.2 250 days moving average: ~$110 Last note I want to share this week is, never rush into a trade. Any last minute rush means your preparation is inadequate. If you missed a trade it's not because you were not decisive enough to rush in, but because you did not do your homework. So stop overthinking about what you have missed, focus on the next, and make sure you win when you are right. I wish you all a happy and prosperous trading week ahead!
AMEX:XOPShort
by geoffreyip523
The situation with oil is getting worse and worse...Up until a few days ago I believed oil had a chance of getting back down to 75-95$. It can still get all the way down there, but for the price to get there it would need traditional markets to crash badly. The current production is too low, the underinvestment in production is massive and the oil industry isn't incentivized to drill for new wells. At the same time the problem is getting larger and larger as there aren't enough refineries that can use oil to create other products like gasoline, and many of these refineries can't just take any type of oil and use it to produce stuff. OPEC+ has been consistently missing its targets and is unable to increase production, oil released from the SPR isn't able to alleviate these issues, while a significant supply is lost from Russia, Syria, Libya, Iran and Venezuela due to sanctions, wars or other issues. The recent announcement from the EU that there will an oil embargo just makes the situation worse, while at the same time tensions are getting worse and worse as 1 Iranian oil tanker was 'seized' by the US in Greece, and 2 Greek oil tankers were 'seized' by Iran. The more oil output that is lost, the worse the situation is getting, despite the fact that we already have significant demand destruction. If oil stayed around 110 while China had big parts of its population under strict lockdown, what is going to happen as it slowly re-opens? At some point things are going to get very ugly and the high oil prices are going to damage the global economy beyond repair, something that will force oil prices to come down. In some of my previous analysis I did mention some of the potential targets for oil, which could be at 200-300$, but for now the key target remains the 2008 ATH at 140-150$. In my opinion the market will take some time to break that level, but the financial melt down won't come until it gets around 250$. If we take inflation into account, the price of the dollar, as well as the growth of money supply and that of the global stock market capitalization, the 150$ peak in 2008 is now close to 200-250$, however the 150$ peak has psychological significance. As oil is now cheaper than back in 2008-2011, as the market has closed above the 2011 highs and as the structure is very bullish across all contracts is very bullish, the price of oil could go much much higher from here. Gasoline making new ATHs and has turned the 2008 ATHs into support. December contract formed an SFP but not that bearish. The average price of the next five months had a very strong close and there is nothing really bearish to see. Hence my first target for now is 145$, the second target after some consolidation below 145$ is 195$, and the final one where I'd start exiting and potentially shorting oil would be 245$.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by BitcoinMacro
⭐️BRENT: forecast for May 2-May 6➡️ The volatility of the oil market remains high, which is due to the aggravation of the energy crisis in Europe against the backdrop of the first precedents for stopping the supply of Russian hydrocarbons to some EU countries. The Wall Street Journal news agency reported yesterday that German officials withdrew their objections to a total embargo on Russian energy supplies, asking only for time to find alternative suppliers. Recall that the position of Germany was the main obstacle to the introduction of such an embargo in the EU. The United States and Great Britain have already refused to buy Russian oil. The change in the rhetoric of German representatives was a reaction to the suspension of natural gas exports to Poland and Bulgaria, since these countries refused to pay for deliveries in rubles. This raised concerns that the Russian Federation could stop deliveries to other European countries. Meanwhile, Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Wednesday that Russia's oil production could fall by 17% this year due to sanctions. Market participants seriously admit that a very likely decision on a complete embargo on the supply of Russian energy resources may provoke a shock scenario, as a result of which the shortage of oil and petroleum products on the world market will increase to 3 million barrels per day. This news background completely offset the prevailing effect on prices, which was previously caused by concerns about the prospects for global economic growth due to anti-COVID restrictions in China. Investors are concerned about the spread of COVID-19 in Beijing, which could force the Chinese government to impose a general lockdown on the city. The prolonged lockdown in Shanghai, China's largest city and commercial hub, has already weighed on the oil market, undermining demand expectations. Considering all of the above, it is most likely more profitable to hold oil longs. Technical analysis just supports this rhetoric. The chart shows two long entry points. The conservative target for this week is the 110$ level, it makes sense to also consider the 115$ level. 🔥 BRENT Forecast Results 🔥 ☑️BRENT: small update 👉 +590 points ✅: ⭐️BRENT: forecast for Apr 25-Apr 29 👉 +531 points ✅: ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍 👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
TVC:UKOILLong
by TradePlus-Fx
2
BRENT CRUDE OIL BULLISH PREDICTIONSBoth WTI and BRENT Crude Oil benchmarks rose in price on Tuesday (26th of April) after China announced that it will support its economy in case of a lockdown and the fears of diminishing demand have been eased. If the rally continues it will most likely test its previous high at 109.5, in the opposite scenario, the price might test its support at 99.3 MACD and RSI are showing a slow down of the bullish trend from the last few hours, but with eased lack of demand fears the price might return its momentum. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by legacyFXofficial
☑️BRENT: on a rollback down➡️ "Black gold" rose to 111$ ahead of the long weekend. At the moment, oil is in the green zone, which seems to make sense amid expectations of tough conditions in the global market amid supply disruptions to Russia. Trading was rather thin in global oil markets on Thursday amid a slowdown in related news flow and as traders wind down ahead of the long weekend in major markets in North America and Europe. At the moment, however, there is a possibility that the instrument will fall to ~105$ early next week. The idea of ​​a short is simple, it will be associated with a pullback after such an increase and in the near future the price will again go up, as expected. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍 👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
TVC:UKOILShort
by TradePlus-Fx
21
This is my plan for Crude Oil.Crude Oil is one of my favorite assets to trade . My trading strategy on the commodity is about waiting for the price to reach key levels, then waiting for clear corrections in those areas, and finally developing setups on the breakouts of those structures towards the next relevant support/resistance level. The timeframes I use on Crude Oil most of the time are Weekly, Daily, and 4hs. What is my view from the current levels? After a huge bullish movement, caused mainly by the Russia-Ukraine crisis. We have observed a consolidation in the current zone for the last 40 days. From here, it's clear to me to define the long-term bullish target(140.00) and the long-term bearish target (80.00). At the moment, I'm not interested in developing setups on the bearish side. However, I see a trading opportunity on the bullish side that I will definitely take if all the conditions go as expected. You can see my setup in the following picture: The strategy here is to wait for a breakout, wait for a retest, and trade the retest on a new local high. Those retests I'm speaking about tend to take between 4 to 10 days. It's really important that you can define the setups you are interested in in advance, so you can study all the different variations or situations you may go through and get ready for them. This will improve your trading results. Also when you define the scenarios you want to trade, you are indirectly saying that you will avoid trading in all the other places. Thanks for reading! I will keep updating this idea. Feel free to share your view in the comments.
NYMEX:CL1!
by ThinkingAntsOk
2