2008 Fundamentally Changed Everything.Where to begin? I guess we can start with what this chart is showing. This chart shows that since 2008, oil has been in a deflationary spiral. Just look, since 1984, crude markets were in a healthy stable sideways movement. The ones who were buying and selling oil, were the ones who were in the field.
Today? You have a bunch of no good investment firms who got their fingers in Wall Street gambling with futures contracts. These firms and investors have NO intention on receiving the oil or care anything about oil. It's all about sneaky, immoral gambles to gain money. Does this ring a bell, in 2008 with CDOs and real estate gambling?
It seems that people didn't learn from 2008. It seems when there is a cross, staked in the ground saying RIP US Dollar 1930-2020, will they realize their greed has hurt everyone. Like the Good Book says "for the love of money is the root of all sorts of evil". I would love proof of the contrary. Rich people are never satisfied and always find illegal, immoral ways to gain more of it. Not convinced? Watch a few episodes of American Greed.
Anyhow, back to the topic. What caused oil to collapse to $-40.00 a barrel? Simple. It was the collapse in demand, on a global scale. The largest oil consumers all saw a drop of at LEAST 50% in demand just in the first two weeks of March. Imagine where its at now, in April. Demand won't come back, not for at least another 2-months. Even if states open up, the people won't open with it. Fear has set in, and people's fear drives them. Remember, fear is the greatest emotion.
I see oil remaining below $30.00 for at least a few months. They have already cut production, it failed to increase the price. The only thing left at this point that guaranteed will boost prices is unfortunately, war. I believe we will see some sort of conflict soon, obviously in the Middle East. This will send gold, silver, and oil prices through the roof. Stock markets, bitcoin, will collapse as they have been doing together for the last 2 months. It's official, we're in a deflationary spiral.. and what I fear the Fed will do is put the economy into a hyper inflation. They've already used bazooka money, helicopter money, they are considering buying junk bonds, MGS.. this is total insanity.
I end this by a quote "When all else fails, they take you to war" Gerald Celente.
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Brent-wti
Strong SELL SHELLThis could be a Shoulder-Head-Shoulder formation, which means 11-12$ could be coming again soon. Oilprices have a difficult time too and put a lot of pressure on the oil industry.
Weekly and 4HS analysis + Trade idea on Crude Oil ThinkingAntsOkUse this as a guide to develop your view of the chart:
FIRST, let's start with the Weekly Chart:
a)The price is on the lower trendline of a massive corrective Structure + Support zone
b)We expect a Bullish movement on the long term towards the next Dynamic Resistance zone
c)ABCDE Patter is finished. We should deduce a bullish movement
SECOND, let's go to the 4hs chart:
a) The price is on the massive Support zone of the Weekly chart on its 3rd attempt to break it.
b) If the price failed. We should expect a bullish movement towards the secondary trendline of the bearish movement (4HS Target)
c) We will wait for an impulse and a small correction
d) We will set our orders above the structure and our stop below it.
e) Our Expected Risk Reward Ratio will be 1.8 more or less.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Potential Harmonic Trade
hey guys,
potential harmonic bat pattern is forming on WTI.
what I like about this pattern is that its D point is lying perfectly on the current structure low = strong support.
our buy zone is between 19.2 - 20.3
from this area, we will expect a pullback to at least 23.0 / 25.3 levels
safest stop: 18.15
p.s harmonic bat formations have a 55% accuracy.
risk no more than 1% for these trades.
Brent Oil Futures (BR1!) Short Signal
brent is on the key 4H structure.
due to a long term bearish trend and breakout of a minor support on 1H,
I have shorted the retest as the market opened!
my targets
30.2
27.5
stop
34.7
this is the example of the execution of h&s trade,
apply the same rules on gbpusd in previously mentioned setup
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) LET'S GO SHORT!
good morning guys,
confirmed structure breakout on wti: 4H candle closed below the level and the price is surely trading below that for quite a while.
I want to short oil from 21.9 level expecting the retest of the current low and continuation to 17.5 level.
I have a limit order placed:
my stop - 23.7
stop to breakeven after 20.0 level!
good luck!