Brent
📈BRENT 08/19/2022: positive attitude❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: The price of oil still broke through the resistance line, which was indicated yesterday, and yesterday's alternative buy scenario automatically worked. Today and in the near future, growth is expected to continue towards $98.55. There is resistance at the levels of $96-$97, and as a result of passing the indicated value, the instrument is more likely to acquire an upward character again.
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📉BRENT 08/18/2022: push to $91.70❗️📉 Priority direction: Down .
📝 Description: Oil sellers are trying to push the price to $91.70 in order to push it even lower. Most likely, the approach to this level will take place and even the price will fall under it, however, the general mood is still in favor of buyers (longer-term view). An alternative scenario involves buying approximately from the current ones with a target of $95.
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Brent: Territory 🐻The bears have their territory under control and plan to extend it further, more precisely, till the blue lake between $76.67 and $70.61, where they should fish for the end of wave 3 in blue. However, there is a 38% chance that the bulls could make an appearance and challenge our furry friends. This challenge, though, should only be successful if they can make it above the resistance at $107.64. And even if they can assert themselves, their influence should merely last through the turquoise zone between $109.81 and $118.58. Then, the bears should regain power.
📈EURUSD 08/17/2022: slight increase❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: At the moment, the currency pair is in the support area, that is likely to contribute to a slight recovery. Targets for growth today are 1.02000 and 1.02300. When the level of 1.01215 is broken down, buying ideas are cancelled.
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Crude Oil (WTI): Technical Outlook For Next Week 🛢️
Hey traders,
WTI OIL is currently trading within a falling expanding wedge pattern.
While the market stays within its boundaries we remain bearish biased.
The price started to fall from a minor horizontal resistance in the middle of the wedge on Friday.
I guess that the price may drop even lower after the market opening.
Two underlined resistances are on focus for breakout/pullback trading.
I will post an update once I see a decent confirmation.
Good luck!
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USDWTI H4 - Short SetupUSDWTI H4
Bearish trend on this setup has really started to take off, good end to the week, but the start of the week has really picked up where we had left off. Ideally want to see a close below $87/b today or tomorrow, this would really turn the tables on the LTF and help us seek the next lower low leg. With short term targets of $84/b.
USDWTI D1 - Short Signal SetupUSDWTI D1
Pretty much everything we are scouting out is on this higher timeframe, really trying to understand market bias and direction (USD bull continuations expected) before diving into the LTF entries (H4/H1).
Nice area of D1 supply and S/R here on WTI. Targets of $85/b with a little over $2/b stops gives us over 4R potential.
📈BRENT 08/12/2022: strive upward❗️📈 Priority direction : Up .
📝 Description: Brent crude is currently trading near the POC (point of control) of the previous week and it is not surprising that buyers did not pass this barrier on the first attempt. It may take several such attempts, but most likely the situation will develop in favor of buyers and the instrument will rush to $101.50 (another barrier to growth). If the above levels are overcome (this is already a more medium-term idea), then oil will not keep you waiting and will reach $104.23.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Very Bearish Outlook 🛢
This morning with my students, we discussed WTI Oil.
The price is trading within a wide horizontal trading range on an hourly time frame.
Approaching its resistance, the price formed a double top formation.
Its neckline breakout confirms a highly probable bearish continuation.
Goals:
88.7 / 87.8
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USD BRO- Downtrend tendentionThe Brent moves is high manipulatives but this trend shows a major huge tendentions to downtrend and many indicators confirm it.
I show a simple canle analisys and confirmations from several indiacators
Just watch and wait a several days to confirmation of this trend.
I think it will be around from 70 to 45 $ for Barrel
📈BRENT 09/08/2022: recovery attempt❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: After the downward movement since the end of July, the range of which is $16, there is a possibility of recovery and a possible local reversal. The price is at interesting support levels, and the volumes confirm the potential for a likely upward reversal. Buying from the current ones is not a good idea. Longs can be looked at at the level of $97, based on the results of fixing the price at the specified value. The target is located at the level of $98-$100. After such a development of events (as close as possible to this one), we can say that oil locally turned up.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) The Market of Bears🛢
Hey traders,
A very important thing happened on WTI Crude Oil this week.
The price broke and closed below a key daily demand area.
The broken structure turned into a resistance now.
I will expect a further decline to 85 level from that.
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Gasoline almost back to pre-war levelsGasoline in the US has been trending lower and lower, now down 30% from its ATH. It hasn't filled the breakaway gap yet, but I think it will do so in the next few weeks, and that could be an excellent opportunity to go long in the short term.
Oil has filled the gaps and chopped at support for a while but is looking weak. What is strange is how supply is limited, the spot market is strong... yet the paper market (futures, etc.) is invalid. Maybe the weakness is due to broadly slowing growth and economic activity, though I am not sure the REAL recession is here yet. The energy crisis isn't over, especially not in Europe... and this could get worse before they get better.
Most issues remain the same, and there is very little progress. There are no new refineries; few nuclear plants are active again, Russia is still limiting gas flows to Europe, sanctions make oil flows harder, and OPEC+ cannot increase capacity fast. Our energy needs constantly grow, yet our production has plateaued. Very little can be done now to ease our problems, and our problems will become even worse if the SPR is drained and the US stops supplying the world with oil from its reserves. Most solutions require time, and politically many of these are not welcome by the green movement. Essentially, we have energy producers and green activists colluding to increase energy prices so that the first make more money and the second to make themselves feel good while simultaneously destroying people's lives and the environment.
I believe crude oil could get down to 75$ and even 55$ in the short term but ultimately will go much higher once the Fed and other central banks are forced to cut rates and print money. It's all about managing your positions until we get to that point, as a big recession could cause oil and gas prices to tank. Oil and gasoline prices rose so fast that it is almost impossible for such a move not to cause a recession and consequently demand destruction.
If we look at Gasoline prices in terms of other fiat currencies, we can see that they went 70% higher than their 2008 peak, which is a lot. I multiplied the RBOB with DXY to get a better picture of the actual cost of gas for everyone outside the US, as the US is less than 25% of the global economy. That means that for almost 90% of the population and 75% of the worldwide economy, gasoline costs 70% more than in 2008. This will have tremendous consequences, especially given the rate at which prices increase.
In conclusion, although I don't think prices have bottomed, and we could see a sharp decline in the next few months, I believe gasoline and oil prices will go much higher, and dips are for buying.