CRUDE OIL (WTI) Your Trading Plan For Next Week🛢
Hey traders,
WTI Crude Oil is approaching a solid demand area.
To catch a bullish move from that, watch the reaction of the price to the resistance line of a falling parallel channel.
If the price breaks and closes above that, we will expect a bullish movement at least to 104.5 level.
Alternatively, bearish violation of the yellow zone will trigger a further decline.
Good luck next week, traders!
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Brent
📉GOLD 07/25/2022: reverse attempt❗️📉 Priority direction: Down.
📝 Description: Friday's growth last week allowed the metal to strengthen, but buyers stopped at $1725. The price is currently trying to stop the local downtrend. Within 1-2 days, it will most likely be clear whether this will be done or not. At the moment, the focus is on the $1710 and $1700 levels. In the medium and long term, the instrument will most likely turn up, but before that there is a high probability that there will be another approach to $1700 and even lower.
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📈BRENT 21/07/2022: potential longs❗️📈 Priority direction: Up.
📝 Description: The downward channel for oil since mid-June indicated the priority of shorts, but at the moment, most likely, buyers will attempt to reverse the price and send it towards the latest highs. In the near future, the price will try to break through the resistance line of this channel. An alternative scenario assumes that the price will stand at current prices and then go up. Potential longs can be considered from the level of $101.
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UKOIL headed downGood day friends... spotting reluctance has really helped my understanding. From avoiding being caught in the wrong direction to forecasting, to setting targets....spotting reluctance just puts probability on our side... isn't that what we want as traders? to put probability on our side? So you may ask, how do we spot reluctance... going back to this UKOIL chart, I am not personally on this sell because it didn't meet my entry criteria, I was actually looking to go long but what did price do? It retraced into the demand zone , just wicked it slightly and proceeded very close to my target and then headed back to the demand zone.... what you just read is what I call reluctance …. its shows slowing of price and a possible reversal in place... once spotted my bias changed to bearish immediately... I was bearish on USOIL anyway (just didn't get an entry because it moved too impulsively)… with all these said.. we might just see UKOIL heading down as depicted on the chart.
$UKOIL - Multi-timeframe reviewHi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Saudi Arabia refused to increase oil production requested by President Biden. However the strong US Dollar and uncertainties in Chinese economy hold Crude oil prices from a stronger hike. Market will be watching the relaunch of Nord Stream 1 this Thursday which will have a massive impact on DXY, energy sector commodities.
🔔 As for the technical analysis, implementing the Elliott Wave theory, we might consider that oil is on its way to display newer highs.
🔔 See charts below
🔔 Fibonacci 0.618 level of last weeks correction
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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CRUDE Bounce and rehash IILast week's assessment was way off, admittedly. No follow through and just a turn and dive. It went further down to 92, and bounced strongly to end the day, and the week with a candlestick and long lower tail.
Expecting bullish week ahead... later in the week.
104 resistance, then 108 next resistance.
TRADE OF THE WEEK | Patience Pays & Winners Win💰
Hey traders,
As you know, I made 4 accurate predictions in a row on WTI Crude Oil.
This week the price was retesting a key level.
I spotted a very nice confirmation on that with a double top formation and a bearish breakout of a rising wedge pattern.
The market dropped sharply then and I spotted one my confirmation:
neckline breakout of a head and shoulders pattern.
Great winner and nice trade.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Important Decision Ahead! Your Plan: 🛢
Hey traders,
WTI Crude Oil is approaching a major daily demand area.
Depending on the reaction to the underlined structure, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If you want to buy WTI, I would suggest watching a falling wedge pattern on a daily.
Its bullish breakout will trigger a bullish continuation at least to 104.6.
(we need at least a daily candle close above that to confirm the breakout)
If you want to short, I would suggest waiting for a bearish breakout of 93.0 - 95.0 area.
Daily candle close below that will trigger a bearish continuation to 87.5 - 90.0 area.
Wait for a breakout and only then follow the market.
What do you expect?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Brent: You Can Do It!On its way down, Brent got stuck at the support line at $97.56. However, we expect it to struggle through and to make it into the blue zone between $94.50 and $89.73, where it should finish wave 5 in blue and wave a in turquoise. Then, Brent should move upwards, crossing even the resistance at $107.64, above which it should complete wave b in turquoise. Afterwards, Brent should resume the downwards movement and drop back below $107.64 as well as below $97.56.
Possible Movements on Crude Oil + Short Setup Explained. The price of crude oil has been moving sideways between 95 and 125.
As a general rule, 90% of the time, I only trade once the price reaches key levels. In this case, the price is in the support zone. Therefore, I have looked for all the scenarios where the price was behaving similar to what it is now (we can define it as a triple bottom). Of course, in some of them, the price bounces, and in the other half, the price breaks it starting a new bearish trend.
The idea of today's post is to explain the scenario I'm considering trading . (Short scenario).
Let's start with the general context . In February 2022, the price reached the weekly resistance zone after Ukraine's invasion, and we observed clear reactions there.
I can define two zones that may work as potential bullish and bearish targets.
Bearish Target: 80.00
Bullish Target: 120.00
Now, let's look at the current situation. It's important to say that no one knows the direction the price may take; the following description is about a setup that I will only take if the price moves as expected.
I'm working on a short setup that looks as follows. Why? Because I have tested this situation in the past, and it's consistent in its resolution. The distance between the current support level and the weekly bearish target provides great bearish potential.
The main concept of this entry is waiting for the price to go below the support zone and then observing a pullback. IF that happens, I will set pending orders on a new low and stop loss at the end of the pullback. The target is defined in the next weekly support zone.
I will not be developing bullish setups yet because the filters I should be waiting for do not provide an acceptable Risk to reward ratio towards the next resistance zone.
Of course, this situation requires patience, and it's important to have clear filters to say, "Now I will set my orders." The risk I will be using on this setup is 3% of my capital on my stop loss; if everything goes as expected, this position should take between 20 to 45 days.
I hope this content was helpful; let me know your view in the comments!
Brent Crude Oil - Elliott wave theoryHave we just completed Elliott wave 1 of a crude oil bull market which I would argue started in November 2021 with Pfizer vaccine news?? Others may say it started from June 2020 after the May 2020 crash low touching zero or below briefly.
I have a question for viewers if Elliott waves up to 5 does indeed play out again for oil (and commodities in general) how can one have any clue how much time this will take?
Please refer to March 1999 (just before dot com crash) through to June 2008 (onset of GFC) Brent crude oil price chart to see how Elliott waves 1, 3 & 5 up-moves happened with waves 2 & 4 corrections.
India tricks the West, Strong dollar & China imports russian oilOil top might be in for this year.
Reasons:
1. Market adjustment mechanisms are underway on the commodity markets, ensuring that Russian oil, which is spurned by the West, once again finds its buyers (india, china). This in turn causes these countries to demand less Brent or WTI oil, which again depresses prices. India and China are buying significantly more crude oil from Russia, Europe less, which means there is a balancing out taking place on the world markets with the new tanker routes and transportation routes.
2. India recently bought more oil from Russia than ever before, according to a recent report by the Finnish Energy and Clean Air Research Center. "A significant portion of the crude is re-exported as refined oil products, including to the U.S. and Europe, an important loophole to close," the Finnish analysts warned. Since new sanctions measures are very unlikely, the alignment process between Russian oil and Brent and WTI crudes is likely to continue.
3. Dollar price, interest hikes & recession fears by FED. The strong dollar is also acting as an additional burden on the oil market. This is because commodities such as oil are traded in dollars. If you read between the lines of the FED, they're doing their best to crush commodity and oil prices to crush long-speculators on comm and oil.
4. Fear of new lockdowns in China. Chinese head of state Xi Jinping nevertheless only recently announced that he would stick to the strict zero-covid strategy. This is fueling fears of new lockdowns in China = downside risk for oil demand in China, probably a small impact, since the gov in China is trying its best to avoid a greater corona outbreak in large cities to stabilise eco. situation.
5. bitcoin/tradional markets are sometimes seen as counterparts to oil. Bitcoin, despite very bad news (CPI increased) and being a risk asset, has not moved much further down in price, showing that risky assets have more or less found their bottom while oil bulls have an empty tank.
Opinion: I see the price cooling down slowly rather than continuing to climb, probably going towards 70-60$ in the next 6-10 months.
! This is not an investment advise! Do your own research! This is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell oil shares and this is NOT a recommendation to short or to long oil!
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Important Update 🛢
As I predicted, WTI Oil dropped nicely yesterday.
The price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
To catch a bearish continuation, watch 100.3 - 102.0 horizontal neckline.
We need a 4H candle close below that to confirm the breakout.
Then, shorting on a retest, a bearish continuation will be expected to 97.2 level.
If the price sets a new high, the setup will be invalid, though.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
High chances of a WTI bullish reversalAfter a major 7%+ drop yesterday WTI is starting to show signs of a possible reversal.
To be a successful day trader, or any kind of trader/investor for that matter, you need to have an arsenal of patters which have worked for you in the past and have a high probability rate of success. To us this is one of those patterns, and below is the criteria:
- Price at strong lows
- Price action starts forming higher lows
- Straight line resistance
Thats all there is to it, this pattern is NOT completed yet, but it is starting to show signs of it hence why I added "high chances" in the subject of this post.
I am watching it like a hawk and will be ready to execute long positions if the pattern is completed.
This pattern has worked for me more times that it has not hence why I am super focused on taking advantage of it if it works up and start buying WTI, while if it fails I'll be ready to sell, but only if there is strong enough momentum.
What patterns work best for you?
*See the related post for higher time frame analysis
West Texas Oil to remain underpressure?WTI - Intraday - We look to Sell at 96.74 (stop at 100.41)
The medium term bias remains bearish. A sequence of daily lower lows and highs has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 97.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 88.17 and 86.00
Resistance: 97.00 / 112.73 / 126.60
Support: 88.00 / 76.50 / 60.00
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