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Brent

UKOIL potential for a bounce! | 8th April 2022Prices are approaching a pivot . We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 100.83 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 109.49 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci Projection . RSI is at levels where bounces previously occurred. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:UKOILSPOTLong
by FXCM
☑️USDCAD: medium-term long➡️ At the moment, in the medium term, the USDCAD currency pair is considered long. Globally, the price is in the range of 1.20000 - 1.45000 and has already rebounded from its lower border. Locally (on the chart) the price is clearly in the balance of 1.24697 - 1.25929 and the sellers are getting ready for another drop to the level of 1.24697 today. After that, the expected medium-term long will become a reality. Considering the fundamental aspect, the market is increasingly betting that the Bank of Canada ( BoC ) will raise its key rate by 50 bp . at the next meeting. Expectations of a rate hike were likely caused by the publication on Monday of a survey of business prospects of the Bank of Canada. Also today, data on the labor market is expected to be released, which will also clarify fundamentally. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍 👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
Long
by TradePlus-Fx
18
UKOIL potential for bounce! | 6th April 2022Prices are on bullish momentum and abiding by an ascending trendline. We see the potential for bullish continuation from our Buy Entry at 105.19 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 111.61 which is an area of Fibonacci confluences. RSI is portraying bullish momentum. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:UKOILSPOTLong
by FXCM
Brent Crude May Form a Big Bullish TriangleA few days ago, America announced the uncapping of strategic oil reserves, which are now at the lowest level in the last 20 years - about 570 million barrels. Regular sales of 1 million barrels per day of oil will lead to their reduction by another third. But today oil quotes are getting more expensive again, as the sale of oil from the US strategic reserve will not compensate for the Russian oil that has fallen out if the calls of French President Emmanuel Macron are heard and EU countries impose an embargo on imports from Russia. These new sanctions should target coal and oil, Macron said. Some European governments insist on imposing additional sanctions against Russia. I will not claim that Europe is hearing Ukraine to provocations and has already chosen Russia in advance as the culprit. The problem is that governments do not want to admit to themselves that the rejection of Russia's hydrocarbons is a big damage to the EU. Russian gas accounts for about 40% of natural gas imports to the EU, and oil accounts for about 25%, Sky News writes. The Germans have revised their views on "green energy" (abandoning nuclear power plants, switching to wind power). According to many economists, the ban on Russian energy supplies will lead to a reduction in German GDP by more than 5%. This decline will be the second largest since the Second World War. The German Economic Institute stated that the imposition of an embargo on oil and gas would lead to incalculable risks. In my opinion, the chances of introducing new sanctions are quite high, which means that oil prices will not only not fall, but may also continue to grow in the medium term. I assume the formation of a large bullish triangle on the daily chart with the stability of the growing trend, which started from the beginning of December 2021. A breakthrough for the maximum on March 24 will be an unambiguous signal for further price growth. Although the first signal to increase will be received if the triangle resistance line is overcome, which falls in the area of $ 117-118 per barrel. PS Does America really want to suppress the rise in gasoline prices? or is she confused about her plans?
OLong
by scavoanastasiia
☑️BRENT: intra-balance sheet movement➡️ The release of 180 million barrels of US strategic reserves to the market will help the oil market balance in 2022, increasing supply by 1 million barrels per day within six months, analysts at Goldman Sachs write. According to analysts, the additional supply "will not solve the problem of a structural supply deficit that has been building up over the years." “In fact, lower prices in 2022 will support oil demand while slowing down the acceleration in shale oil production and keeping the current deficit in 2023, as well as the likely need to replenish strategic reserves.” Thus, the release of reserves will reduce incentives for shale oil producers in the face of declining asset prices. This is microeconomics, so this shouldn't be news. We could raise our 2023 Brent forecast by $5/bbl above our current 110 estimate to reflect higher demand and lower supply of shale oil after 2022 ends. At the moment, technically, the instrument is in the balance of 105.85 - 114.83 . The market setup for today speaks in favor of purchases, however, there is resistance at 108.25 ahead, which is expected to be broken by buyers. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍 👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
TVC:UKOILLong
by TradePlus-Fx
15
CRUDE OIL BEARISH PREDICTIONSThis Thursday (31.03.2022) the president of the USA declared that the country will release from its strategic oil reserves, in coordinated effort with other countries. USA is planning to release 1 million barrels per day, while other countries might contribute 30-50 million barrels. This will erase the shortage of energy supply for the second quarter and might even lead to oversupply for the 3rd quarter. The price of Brent reflected on this, when Brent tested its previous support level of 104 USD. If the bearish move continues, it will probably tests its next support level at 102 USD. If instead the price reverse, it most likely will test its resistance at 108 USD. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:BRENTShort
by legacyFXofficial
1
WTI REMAINS INDECISIVEWTI prices remain highly volatile and highly responsive to the news following the russian invasion in Ukraine. After some progress in the peace talk between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, the price of WTI fell with 2% in Tuesday, but the situation there is far from over, so writing off some future rally due to new developments is out of the question. OPEC+ countries are expected to stick to their plan of gradually increasing oil production despite the high prices and will not give up to the pressure from Western countries to increase the supply. On the other hand, the lockdown in Shanghai and the new COVID measures in China might decrease its demands for oil. China currently ranks as the second largest consumer of oil in the world. On a technical note, a descending triangle pattern is formed by the price movement with support at 93 USD. If the price keeps falling, it will test that support level. If it continues to rise, it will test its previous high of 115 USD and after that its high of 126 USD. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carry a high-risk level. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, needs, and trading signals. Therefore, it cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by legacyFXofficial
Short term bearishness in Brent CrudeFX_IDC:USDBRO is retracing in what seem to be wave C of ABC decline after completing a 5 wave impulse. There are 2 primary levels to watch out for - first is $87 based on A and C equality, but price could take support at the trendline and wave C could truncate or result in complex correction. That level would be between $98-$100. Having said that, once this correction is over, we are looking at next impulse which could be equal to the previous impulse (1-2-3-4-5). Keep an eye!
FX_IDC:USDBROShort
by YetAnotherTA
Brent Crude - Interesting Areas of SupportOil prices have been rising once again over the last week as the EU has considered banning Russian imports and an outage on a pipeline that runs through the country reduced output by around one million barrels per day. Sanctions imposed by the West have already caused significant disruption to Russian oil exports which could total around three million barrels per day, on top of the one million coming through the country from Kazakhstan. In an already very tight market, that could continue to support crude prices in the coming months, and should further disruptions occur, much higher prices could follow. In times of such volatility and headline-driven markets, technical analysis can be less useful as we see massive price swings throughout the day. But it can still be useful to be aware of key levels, as we saw earlier this month when the price rotated around $100. If the price continues to correct lower, one notable level that could be interesting is $111. This marks the 50% retracement of the recent lows to highs and the bottom of the 55/89-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. Prior to this, $114 could also be interesting, being the 38.2% retracement and the top of the same SMA band. Of course, as already mentioned, news is breaking all the time and the market will continue to be very sensitive to it.
OANDA:BCOUSD
by OANDA
Famine and food shortages. How do we invest? RJA and RJIFamine and Food Shortages are the talk over the last month as Russia invades Ukraine. How are we playing this? Where can people look to hedge inflation and war? Here are two simple methods we take a look at to play commodities and agricultural commodities. RJA and RJI by Jim Rogers we believe will continue to rise due to inflation and war. A little fast recently due to war but we expect more corn, wheat, oil, and safflower oil shortages in the next year or two simply based on this war. These commodities will and some are, being used as weapons at this point. I would ask myself, what's more important? Access to a world financial system that I can work around or food for my citizens? I would go with the latter as those with real "stuff" usually have the upper hand. I am not allowed to advertise other social media on TradingView but I can say there is a longer version and more detail out there. Watch, like, share, comment.
RLong
by DefyingFinance
1