OIL-BRENTCharts show us movement, goals, support and resistance, direction and possible correction
We just have to learn the language of the chart
This is my personal opinion. Please do not trade based on my analysis and data.
Brent
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move Initiates 🛢
On our morning's live stream we discussed Oil.
It looks like the market is finally preparing for a bearish move.
On hourly time frame, the price formed a descending triangle formation - a classic reversal pattern.
Its neckline breakout is our trigger to sell.
I expect a bearish move at least to 89.5 level.
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DeGRAM| USDCAD inside the range The Canadian dollar is moving in the range of 1.26660 - 1.27798 and is currently trading at its lower border. This setup allows considering long trades up to the level of 1.27440.
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Brent Oil - Long Term Bearish OutlookBrent oil shows a clear pattern of developing bearish divergence on MACD vs. price when the dollar rallies.
These have preceded oil routs 3 times historically.
And yes, we have one now.
I should point out that Brent oil is also at the top of an important historical trend which consists of lower highs and lower lows over the long run.
The resistance trend has never been broken.
WTI - CL - Above Probable Range
Consensus is $100 WTI - everyone is talking about it, maybe it happens.
From a technical standpoint - its overdone. Note the green arrows.
This week comments Nancy Pelosi sent crude screaming higher.
Obviously geopolitical issues will supersede technicals when it comes to oil prices.
That said I expect these comments to fizzle away - now that all shorts have been obliterated. WTI up over $3 on Friday alone at its peak.
US Dollar was down this week which also pushed oil higher - personally looking for DXY to move up as well, which will also support lower oil prices in USD.
Only the Euro rallied, both the Canadian Dollar and British Pound were lower.
Daily chart shows oil was divergent on this latest rally - and looked like $88 was likely the top, and it looked weak, with all the shorts in place, they thrust oil higher.
Looking for oil to pullback to about $83
DeGRAM| USDCAD in the spotlightQuite a relevant pair for today, so news on the labor market is expected for both currencies. At the moment, it is expected to rise to 1.27440, with the potential for growth to 1.28370. However, in connection with today's news, you need to be careful when placing orders.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Resistance Ahead! 🛢
Hey traders,
Oil is unstoppable.
From the beginning of December, the market gained more than 35%.
Ahead is a strong supply cluster.
It is based on a major rising trend line that the price respected 3 times in a row in the past.
Let the price test that structure and then look for a confirmation to short catching a pullback from there.
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The correction I want to see before trading on USOIL This is an update on the post I made last week regarding the correction I want to see before trading (you can see the full post on the "link to related ideas")
The concept of the setup is pretty simple. The price has already behaved in similar ways in the current area in the past, and the last thing I need to observe to say "This is ready" is the correction I have defined on this chart. Of course, if this doesn't happen, then I will not be able to trade, and that's the end of the story. However, if the filter happens, I know ill be in front of a high-quality setup.
PAST SITUATIONS:
The setup is like this . If the expected correction happens, I will set pending orders on a new local high, stop loss below the correction and target on the next weekly resistance level. This setup can take around 150 to 200 days. The risk I will be taking in this situation is 3% of my trading capital.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view and charts in the comments.
Brent oil price to remain elevated in range 84 - 90Hello traders,
As predicted earlier, with OPEC+ increasing supply from the beginning of 2022, the price for oil rose up and above 85. Upside trend has taken a pause or in technical terms "retracement" or "consolidation" after a strong up momentum.
As we can see in 4hrs charts upward momentum from 77 levels till 91. Now we will see prices move in range 84.5 - 89.5 for some time before it hikes to 100 levels.
Brent oil outlook for now and for next two months is not good for oil importing countries.
Reasons:
1. Increase in supply by OPEC+ and Shale gas producers cannot keep up with the demand.
2. Geo-political issue with Ukraine, Russia and NATO group of countries.
3. Frequent extreme weather is undermining the global supply chain making commodities expensive.
Happy trading,
TS ❕ BRENT: to 94$The price of oil is strengthening its bullish potential more and more. As before, the price approach to 94 is expected.
BUY scenario: Mainly growth is expected from the same level of 88.65. Longs are relevant from the current ones. But it must be remembered that closing the price under 88.65 cancels all purchases.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
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BRENT CRUDE OIL BULISH PATTERNBRENT Crude Oil opened with a bullish gap yesterday after the weekend, but it managed to cover it during the trading day and to revert back in long direction, although not managing to reach the levels of yesterday's open.
The Upper and the Lower Band of the Bollinger Bands are moving closer together, which is an indicator that the BRENT had lost some of it's initial volatility, which may present a good point of entry due to shrinking spread. The 9 day Moving Average has crossed the 20 day Moving average, and the histogram of the MACD is increasing, which is an indicator for bullish traders to enter.
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