Brentcrude
USDBRO reversed from resistance, potential drop!
USDBRO reversed off its resistance at 59.71 where it could potentially drop further to 58.50.
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USDBRO bounced from support, potential for a further rise!
USDBRO bounced off 58.95 where it could potentially rise further to 61.40.
*Disclaimer.*
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
Brent Crude Oil Breakout. Stock Market Signal?We had a break out on UK Oil here on the 4 hour chart. US Oil is at the breakout point:
Oil has been in a prolonged downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. We began basing at the 57.50 zone on Brent.
From here, we began to show exhaustion of the trend and it appears we have made our first higher low here with the higher high. For those that are more conservative, perhaps see how price reacts at 60.
For our target, it would be the 62.75 zone although be sure to see how price reacts at the 61.30 zone.
A lot of talk about the Turkey Syria situation, however as I discuss in my post regarding Aramco, Oil is bearish due to recession fears however any geopolitical events will prop Oil.
In fact, it seems Oil must be propped. When Oil fell below 25 in the last down move, Oil companies were about to go under. Governments basically forced the banks to loan money to these Oil companies...the banks knew these Oil companies would never be able to pay back. They are essentially "zombie" companies.
So is Oil does fall a large percentage, not only will these Oil companies be in trouble, but also the banks which loaned to them.
For the US markets, Energy and Finance are the two largest components. If those two sectors are up, the overall markets are likely to be up. If we see a move higher in Oil as expected from these set ups, expect equities to follow.
No more free markets folks. everything really needs to be managed due to financial engineering our central banks used to generate growth...rather than growth from underlying fundamentals.
USDBRO bounced from support, potential for a further rise!
USDBRO bounced off 58.95 where it could potentially rise further to 61.40.
*Disclaimer.*
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
BRENT CRUDE POWERFUL BULLISH REVERSAL PATTERNBrent crude is formed a double bottom pattern with a strong pinbar pattern and a bullish reversal pattern.
Brent has previously made a fresh higher high and failed to form a new lower low, signaling a possible trend reversal to the upside. Also, notice the (slight) bullish divergence in the RSI.
Could we see a retest of the recent high near the $70 mark?
Short Opportunities Brewing...Oil has fallen to pre-crisis (Houthi rebels/Iran attack) and filled in the original gap.
Price has closed just above the start of a large support zone (~400 pips)
The RSI2 is approaching oversold conditions
Whilst the dominant trend is certainly to the downside, this support zone has been defended by bulls in the past. This should give many opportunities to get short with a maximum tp level of $56.
BCOUSD OVERSOLD! Trade for pullbackOANDA:BCOUSD
CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES REPORT OUT LATER
Current outlook: LONG
Oversold under:
RSI : 30 Mins
RSI : 60 Mins
RSI : 4 Hours.
Price range now is also near support level.
Market looks dangerous to go long but will be entering it to try and get pullback profit.
TP: 63.30
Position duration: ~14 days
GLOBALISTS AT IT AGAIN, OIL PRIMED TO RUN (BCOUSD)Hello traders.
This weekend, YEMENI REBELS have taken credit for a MAJOR DRONE STRIKE on Saudi Oil production, affecting their total output by HALF and therefore decreasing global supply by 2.5%.
Shortly thereafter, American officials turned to IRAN to place blame. The American government has been pining for this conflict for a very long time. With any luck, whatever your political leaning might be, President Trump will see through this facade and keep the brave American military OUT of such a conflict. There is no excuse for the exchange of human life for profit!!!!
All this to say, BAD FOR EARTH, GOOD FOR OIL SPECULATION.
The technicals on Brent Crude, though somewhat 50/50 in my eyes, show CLEARLY that oil indeed has room to run here. This Black Swan event could be the perfect catalyst to cause a major spike in price.
There isn't much more to say. I will be taking a market trade here with a relatively tight stop. This will be a low Risk high Reward trade.
Good luck everyone.
Most importantly, stay safe my friends.
BRENT CRUDE OIL BREAKOUT?Brent Crude Oil looks likely to break out of the trendline resistance as the risk-on sentiment remains.
Technically price is working within a channel and if price closes above confirming the breakout the sentiment
on oil will likely change. The USD weakness will help oil find higher prices so keep an eye on the USD Index.
Brent Crude Breakout?Awaiting for the close to confirm this breakout. Of course this would be a trade. I am still of the opinion that a recession is coming (or we are already in one) and oil will struggle. Really only geopolitics can change that.
However, on Brent crude, we had a downtrend and failed to make more lower lows. Indicating that the buyers were stepping in and the trend was changing.
We appear to be getting a confirmed break above this resistance level. Just awaiting the close.
There is a flip zone at the 64.10 zone so watch how price reacts there.Otherwise 65 may be in the cards.
BRENT - Important levels before US Oil Stocks announcementGlobal markets started this week following new tarriffs and statements between US and China. President Trump wants to decrease import of goods from China and also mentioned that US should undertake necessary steps to replace Chinese products. At G7 summit Trump pointed out that new economic and trading partnership with EU will be put on place. Also President Trump made a giant statement that he is ready to negotiate and meet with Iran's President Mr. Hasan Ruhani.
These news, although sounds speculative but resulted markets inpredictable movements and uncertanity in Asian markets.
UKOIL prices following a downtrend recently tested the psychologic resistance of 60USD. Tomorrow at the US Crude Oil Stocls announcements we are expecting a dropdown of crude oil stocks to 2.133M. This could support the trend reversal of the UKOIL prices and pump the price upwards. For short-term we can surely say that the price will test 60.27 and 61.00 resistnaces. Following resistances are 63.00 and 64.15. Brent in general is in a downtrend since the beginning of the year, we do not expect the price to be above 65.00 which is a very strong resistance, and sellers will do anything to bring the price down from there. Let's follow the price to test 58.35 and 57.60 supports and move towards 61.00.
Support 1 :58.35
Support 2 : 57.60
Support 3 : 56.20
Resistance 1: 64.15
Resistance 2: 63.00
Resistance 3: 60.27
For other analyses (fundamental or analyses based on news and global reports) follow trend analysis rules
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Is Brent Oil Heading towards 36 in a couple of MonthsIf respite do not come for Brent Oil in terms of buyers to increase demand between 50 and 55.25, the black gold is likely to make a higher low at around 36 in a couple of months. Looking at the chart, it took Brent Oil about two and half years to rally from its low at 27.08 in January 2016 to its high at 86.72 during October 2018. Since after that, it has being on a decline. Using this assumption one can expect Brent Oil to make another low around 36 (if demand is not drastically increased around 50 mark), in the next 2 years - 2021.
OPEC, Non-OPEC countries and unconventional oil & gas producing countries actions and inactions have a big role to play in determining the future of the price of oil within this period...
This analysis is based on my technical analysis opinion and not to be construed as a trading advise.
PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
BRENT CRUDE OIL TO CONTINUE LOWERBRENT CRUDE is likely to continue lower as the price continues to form lower lows and lower highs.
The daily timeframe is currently showing price retracing back towards the key resistance of 60.30.
If price forms bearish price action we can look for a swing trading opportunity from these lows.