BCOUSD @ 1h @ recovery is imminent (this 51th week)Between 54.015 & 53.800 and between 53.800 & 50.800 the big picture is still bullish ...
Start of last week we got a good news from the OPEC - as the price rocked Up (from 53.130 until 55.501). Suitable
in this context is maybe the technical fact, that while the 2nd half of the week, traders traded BCOUSD in a trend-reversal-formation (something like a w wave). And that the price also breaked out of the downside trend (since mondays weekly high & tuesday intraday high). All in all, this fits the great overall picture, in my opinion! In principle, even between 54.015 & 53.800 and between 53.800 & 50.800 a pretty slightly bullish chart ...
56.027 (a) horizontal line - yearly high 2016
55.270 (b) horizontal line - tuesday intraday high
54.684 (c) horizontal line - wednesday intraday high
53.663 horizontal line - (high, start) wave formation
53.458 horizontal line - (high, middle - 1st of 2) wave formation
53.430 horizontal line - (high, middle - 2nd of 2) wave formation
53.423 horizontal line - (high, end) wave formation
53.032 horizontal line - temporarly high of last week before
52.695 horizontal line - (low, start) wave formation
52.511 horizontal line - (low, middle) wave formation
52.113 horizontal line - (low, end) wave formation
51.585 horizontal line - end of startline (last upside trend of last weeks before
The highs of the w wave (even horizontal lines) are usefully to get long again or even if you`re not long (more or lesse around 53.663, 53.458, 53.430 & 53.423). The temporarly high of last week before is so much important, at least in my opinion, `cause prices above are confirming even a trend-reversal-formation. On daily candlestick charts you can see and realize better what i mean :)
How ever, also the lows of the w wave are usefully to get long, but this would be much more interesting for scalper or even intraday trader. `Cause if the prices around 52.695, 52.511 & 52.113 not holds, 51.585 ios still in play. But all in all as i said at the start BCOUSD prices between 54.015 & 53.800 and between 53.800 & 50.800 are making the big picture is still bullish ...
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a analysis (for swing traders) - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
Brentcrude
Brent Crude entering area of supportWith Brent having started a new bullish trend I am looking for chance to get long. Price is approaching an interesting area of support, and I will be watching for signs of strength. An ideal price is $46 as there is almost pip-perfect confluence with the 61.8% Fibonacci level.
Potential Upside in Brent Crude Oil (Cont'd)Continuation from previous post, and adopting @pipizer feedback in the comments:
1. The past few days has saw a drop in the price mainly due to reports on OPEC output in October reached an all-time high. This lead to a further decrease which finally complete the Cypher Pattern.
2. A reversal candle (hammer) was formed the following day (14 Nov) with a long tail signalling bulls overcoming the bears at EOD. Mainly driven by renewed hopes of OPEC output deal.
3. Breakout of previous day hammer lead an opportunity to long and my entry was around the area stated, with a Stop Loss placed around the support region indicated.
4. I have identified 3 potential resistance zone and they fall nicely into the fib retracement 0.236, 0.382 and 0.618 area.
5. The first resistance zone break will cause more conservative traders to go on a long due to a 2nd breakout and short position traders will start covering their shorts which becomes the driving force to push further up.
6. Still, upcoming OPEC deal will be the crucial driving force for it to either trumps or fall. It will still be volatile during this period.
7. My exit strategy will be on a trailing stop in this case.
Potential Upside in Brent Crude OilMy first trading idea, here to learn from the experts, please give feedback on this idea.
Several Signals I have identified:
1. Cypher Pattern has confirmed potential reversal zone
2. A support level at 45.48 area is forming
3. Still in an long term upward trend
4. Catalyst moving it up would rely on upcoming OPEC deal on production cut
What to do now?
Wait for a reversal candle to affirm confirmation of entry. Trade on breakout of resistance 47 area.
Brent Oil Longterm Trend ReverseOil has been in a downtrend for the last 2 years and it looks like it has bottomed out. I see a reversal in form of a Head&Shoulders pattern.
In expect the price to break the neckline in upcoming weeks. Will be looking for longs after the break and the test of the broken neckline.
The target price is at about 70$
Setup will be invalidated in the case price breaks the support trendline.
Brent Crude Forecast for Monday 3/10/2016This is my first attempt at forecasting Brent Crude. So, whatever you do, please don't follow me as I may be lost too!
Any comments are welcome as I am trying to broaden my experience from just trading DAX.
Considering a short at 50.01 with SL at 50.30. What do you think?
Thank you for viewing and I wish you successful trading!
Brent Crude Oil - Daily (Neutral)Triangle pattern in Brent. Will be looking to trade a breakout by entering on a retest of support or resistance (role reversal), depending upon the direction of the move. Not much else to say here really - just a visual aid by which to look at price action in the coming few weeks.
Brent Crude : Long for 70 After touching a low of 42 in the start of this month crude has bounced back !!
This is the final C wave of wave 4 which most probably might continue till november !!
Expecting Brent Crude to touch 70 in coming 2 months !!
Anybody who got early around 42 recent low can add more at every dip !!
Bearish Gartley/Butterfly FormationWith increasing # of US oil rigs and subdued global oil demand, I am expecting the retracement strated from 40.00 to lose strength between 46.00 - 45.00 area and eventually another leg down towards 40.00. This formation supports my idea on technical side with a caveat; the price could go little bit higher and turn gartley into butterfly thus manage your position/risk accordingly.
Recommended to go short at @ 44.70
SL 47.50
1st TP 43.00
2nd TP 41.00
Crude Oil (Brent) - King Kong's Fist take twoDear Community,
it has been a few days since our last trade on oil, which by the way banked some really nice profit. As mentioned back then, we wer expecting a small correction before the price continues to drop.
It might be a very aggressive approach at this stage but really the only realistic chance to get one more trade out of it before the oil price reaches it theoretical correction level at around $39.00/barrel. Brave traders can aim for the 61% Retracement at $36.87.
Come on King Kong, give it some!
Good luck
USDWTICrude is in a critical junction. It will take some time for oil to develop a good support line before it can go up. Think it is a very good time ti buy and hold it for several months to gain some good profit. Once it comes out from the triangle pattern and the RED COTTED lines and BLUE SOLID line RESISTANCEs it will be a gold for BULL Chasers.
2 Scenarios for Oil, the only question is "How High?"At the risk of sounding like a broken record player, another bounce is on the cards. I say bounce because it's due to be "corrective", which means there will still be a new low to follow.
Currently we can see that the divergence on the MACD is even greater than when we were looking for the red wave iv, a MACD "buy" signal could provide a great entry for the short term bounce.
I should also note that we can see that wave (ii) blue lasted about 7-8 days, it wouldn't surprise me to see the expected wave (iv) in blue last about the same duration... the arrows in the chart had to be fitted for illustrative purposes of direction and price, not so much time. So please consider that I suspect this correction would last a similar duration to what we say with the sideways drifting wave (ii) in blue.
There are 2 main scenarios I'm envisioning with this correction, illustrated with RED and BLUE arrows. I'm expecting the structure to be the same, namely 3 wave advance, followed by a decline to new lows which has the potential to buy for a multi-year bull market.
The only difference between these two scenarios, is how high the correction is expected to go.
Red - Target 41.85-42.00
Blue - Target 43.35 - 43.70
I've linked 2 previous charts on oil I've posted. The most recent which captured the wave iv (red) rally, but overestimated it. And a previous chart which puts the BLUE labels into context.
Ultimately I think Oil will get to around 38 before the "mega" buy and smart money moves in. Let's wait and see.