Brentcrudeoil
Brent Crude Oil - Shorting opportunityBrent Crude Oil does not seem to have the support it needs to make the push higher up from the 4H chart. MACD 8H is making lower lows as well.
As long as the 4H 50 EMA holds strong as resistance, the move further down is active.
First TP is at Fib Extension 1 which is 64. If prices still aren't able to find support at that price, then sell further till 1.618 (62)
Crude Oil 63?Decembers ascending trendline from the end of 2018 as you can see price has closed below it, I can see consolidation within the 4hr range and support. (green)
With price below this trend, along with the strong 65 area, the bottom of our macro range previously a support, now becoming resistance, i can't see this rallying further.
I feel there is too much compression of resistance above the price.
Ending the last 4hr bar with a hammer/pin is a decent sign also of confirmation
15minute has retest the trendline previously mentioned and already rejected off during the last few hours of trading last week.
BCO Swing Trade Analysis A very long uptrend from a continuation is may/june 2017 has been broken. We saw a massive slide where we are now recovering. Is this recovery a continuation of the broken may/june uptrend or is this a minor retracement from the new downtrend formed. Likely buy and sell levels indicated. If anyone care to shed some light on the fundamentals behind oils recent moments your thoughts are welcomed
Will this Doji put an end to the #oil rally?We decided to analyze the daily graph of oil as we found an interesting technical model called-Doji, What Does a Doji Tell You? analysts interpret this as a sign of reversal. So our recommendation is Sell position
We also added the Fibonacci Retracement to know where we were going
Sell Brent (oil)
Entry Price: 66.30
Stop loss: 67.30
Take Profit: 65
WTI oil. Turning Up now. Be mindful of CAD pairsTrading Criteria:
Regardless which way you want to trade, look for minimum five 4hr. candles in consolidation zones (yellow border boxes), or five daily candles for solid yellow boxes. If you're a pattern trader or pinbar trader, this might be useful here.
Wait for the breakout of the 4hr. consolidation or daily consolidation from red border boxes to take the trade. Red border boxes are the High/Low of a consolidation period inside the consolidation zone. I usually aim for 80% of the weekly ATR (or monthly ATR for yellow solid boxes) taking profit but not always at the next yellow box. I place my stop loss above/below red border box.
*These zones, with the inclusion of price action described above, have remarkable accuracy.
Yellow border box: weekly consolidation zone
Yellow solid box: monthly consolidation zone
Red border box: High/Low breakout box (5 minimum candles)
Grey solid box: monthly grid block
Break above neckline may see 'Oil Rise as high as $74'Trade set up
‘Buy long’ on daily open with caution as current price closes above the 10day EMA with stops below the recent daily close or those with higher risk appetite, a close below the 10day EMA.
Target levels of 64.30 followed by the 50% retracement of the previous major move around $68.30 and looking to add to our position as price make a new higher-high above $63.00.
Why we like it
With recent US government sanctions imposed on Venezuelan state-owned oil firm PDVSA, we saw a strong rise in oil prices which continues the pressure from the bulls looking to send oil higher.
Technically speaking, recent MACD crossover and oversold RSI may be an early indication of a change in trend as price looks to have found support with a potential ‘Head & Shoulder pattern’ also in play. One could argue a break above the neckline could see oil rise as high as $70-$74 with the shorter-term outlook ranging between $64.30 and $68.60.
That said, a close below the 10Day EMA and furthermore, a break below the recent support level could see the end of this short term rally.
Disclaimer.
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
BRENT.CMD/USD 4H Chart: Breakout occursBullish sentiment has been dominating the BRENT.CMD/USD since the end of December. The commodity reversed from the lower boundary of a dominant descending channel pattern at 50.31 on December 26 and followed by an upside wave.
The Brent crude oil breached the upper boundary of the dominant ascending channel at 58.49 during yesterday’s session.
Given that a breakout had occurred, it is likely that the crude oil prices will continue moving north and potentially targeting a resistance cluster formed by the combination of the weekly and the monthly PPs at 61.90.