Brent OIL; Hard Way But will Grow!Corona vaccination.
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Brentoil
More upside potential for USOIL 1) Let's start the explanation of our view with the Weekly chart. There are two items to pay attention to. First: We have a broken ABC pattern, also known as Flag Pattern, which is considered continuation structures that tell us about a new impulse coming after the breakout of it. Second: The target is the next resistance zone that worked as a strong supply area in the past. We will wait for a clear reaction there
2) Now we will pay attention to the 4hs chart. There we can see that the price broke the Higher zone of the weekly corrective Structure, and currently, we can see two corrective structures.
3) Based on all the previous items, we think USOIL has a bullish potential towards 50 / 51.5. There we will close all our long positions, and we will wait for a new structure or a reversal movement.
4) If the price breaks below 43.5, we will assume that the long view is wrong, and we will start thinking in terms of short opportunities
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaBullish EW idea for oil with a 5th wave coming up to $50+, bullish divergence on the MACD
It looks like a good opportunity to sell Brent (UKOIL) nowIt can be seen from the chart above, that the price of Brent (UKOIL) at 48.40 has touched the Fibonacci retracement at the 61.8% level (Fib 2 left) and there is a big possibility of a downward movement with the first target at 46.66 at the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level (Fib 2 right), and continued with the second target at the price of 45.57 at the level of 261.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fib 2 right). If it turns out that the movement is the opposite towards the upside by passing the price at 48.42 (Border line), then the price is likely to go up.
Oil at fresh highs as demand-side brightensThe oil markets have been seeing the light as of late. Oil prices have reached an eight-month high, with WTI and Brent Crude trading around $45 and $48. This is from the recent positive vaccine news, alongside better than expected EIA data and geopolitical supply-side tensions.
Oil supply and demand fundamentals are getting brighter
Peter McNally, global head of industrials, materials, and energy at Third Bridge, stated that “it has been a really good run. We haven’t seen a run like this since the spring after we went to negative prices.” He also stated that “Sentiment has changed pretty quickly… lately it feels like supply and demand fundamentals are heading in the right direction.”
Many markets have been revolving around optimism on a vaccine, and Oil is no exception. The Price of Oil has come a long way, from the price war between Saudi and Russia earlier this year, alongside Oil going negative in late April. With the vaccine in sight, the Oil markets are banking on increasing demand in the following months. Bloomberg also reported that Chinese and Indian refiners had issued a large number of tenders seeking crude Oil for loading in Jan, highlighting the strong demand from parts in Asia.
The supply side is also providing pressure for Oil upwards, with the geopolitical tensions rising with recent attacks on a fuel depot in Saudi and an oil tanker in the Red Sea.
Oil rally also causing problems for OPEC
However, the main governing body for the oil markets, OPEC, is having some troubles with their members. Iraq, which requires an oil fiscal break-even price of $64, is voicing their frustrations at OPEC’s “one size fits all” policy. Iraq’s Finance and Deputy Prime Minister, Ali Alawi, stated that “We have reached the limit of our ability and willingness to accept a policy of one size fits all.”
Although they have breached OPEC’s quotas many times this year, Iraq is quite influential within OPEC, as they are the largest producer after Saudi Arabia. OPEC is set to renew its policies regarding supply cuts on December 1st.
OPEC is placed in an awkward position, as rising oil prices means it’s harder to come to a consensus for the 13 countries on whether they should continue to cut supply to the market, in turn, giving up the opportunity to lock in revenue for years to come.
USOIL Sell Setup!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
on DAILY: USOIL is sitting around a strong resistance in blue so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H1: USOIL formed a valid trendline in red
Trigger: Waiting for a momentum candle close below the gray area to sell.
NB: If a new blue dot is formed around our lower red trendline, then we will update our gray area.
Good luck!
BRENT OIL video top-down AnalysisHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Here is the top-down analysis for BRENT OIL, feel free to request any pair/instrument or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Best of luck!
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaUpdate to previous idea >
Possibility of still being in a correction that could lead to $30 area before a bigger move up
CRUDE OIL video top-down AnalysisHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Here is the top-down analysis for CRUDE OIL, feel free to request any pair/instrument or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Best of luck!