Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaA small timeframe idea linked to these two ideas:
Possibly in the early stages of an impulsive wave 3, but possibly a dip in price before it gets going.
If price drops below $54,98 then this count is invalid and a move down below last weeks low at $54,70 may happen.
4H chart is showing bullish divergence:
Brentoil
Oil: Monthly Equilibrium, Break Coming!Hello dear energy sector fans & oil traders, hope you're doing well! ;) Welcome to this special analysis on the WTI Crude Oil.
On the monthly chart we're currently inside a nice Equilibrium/tightening range , which will see a breakout coming towards the end of this year. This Equilibrium is also perfectly visible on the Weekly chart:
=> A break of the range highs at $60 could lead to $65 and $75, giving 5-25% profit.
A break of the range lows at $52 could lead towards $45, giving around 17% profit for short sellers.
On the Daily chart we have successfully made a Morning Star reversal at $55 and are currently trying to make that zone to a higher Low compared to $52 of the Equilibrium range.
What about the fundamentals?
While we currently have the tanker issues still going on between Iran and Great Britain, it doesn't seem to have a huge impact on the price: The market is not expecting a costly war between those parties.
Moreover the market is fundamentally still dictated by weak industrial & manufacturing activity : Supply is still stronger than demand.
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BRENT crude oil triangle patternThe Brent crude oil is currently trading in a triangle pattern.
Two scenarios are likely to occur during the following trading sessions.
First, the pair could aim for a resistance level formed by the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level.
On the other hand, a resistance cluster at 63.81 could provide resistance for the commodity in the short term.
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaAn update to this idea specifically:
Thinking that A & B of of a larger Y wave are completed and C of Y could begin soon; the red dashed line on this chart is the monthly bearish trendline below:
All part of larger degree idea here that the bearish trendline is tested again near $70, back to $50, then breakout of the massive triangle towards $90 >
Brent Crude OilAfter a perfect bullish move Brent Oil has reached an area where is facing horizontal resistance, downtrend resistance and it is at the upper end of the uptrend channel.
I am foreseeing the price to come down to the lower end of the channel, at around 64.6 area where it will also be the lower end of the channel.
On the 4H chart I want to see a break of structure, marked by the black line, before going short. If the price holds above it might signal a price compression and that is a bullish signal.
Brent Crude OilBrent Oil has reacted to a support area making an engulfing candle on D timeframe and it is supported by an ascending trendline.
MACD confirms that it is gaining strength and it could easily reach the 67.5 area where both resistance and the descending trendline since April confluence.
Trade safe!
USOIL UKOIL LBLS AnalysisLBLS clearly shows the price must be following this channel and for sometime the price will continue within this channel only for both USOIL and UKOIL.
There is not much to explain why this is will move in this direction.It is very evident that this will follow the parallel price channel .
If the price closes below or above then that will be the trend reversal for both UK and US Oil.
I used LBLS for analysis ,Here is the details of the LBLS more...
with the help of LBLS indicator , i check three basic yet effective rules for Entry.
Long:
Make sure the candle color transitioned from Black to Blue / Red to Green .
The Strength-meters Here is the example of Strengthmeters with Open Pine code ,it is nothing but group of top performing indicators,Used 7 indicators to predict this.Minimum 4 or above showing in charts in the current candle or within two candles in Green Color (Red for Short).
Background Color changing from Red to Green is the added advantage.
Short:
Opposite of the Long Logic's.
USDNOK BACK AT SELL ZONEUSDNOK is back into the key daily lows where we could see sellers re-enter the market.
The USDNOK is currently trading within a weekly range and could see prices test the key lows
of the range in the demand zone labeled on the chart. With Oil prices on the rise once again the
NOK could benefit and gain strength. We will be looking for lower timeframe shorting opportunities
here of waiting for a daily bearish close to look for a short position.
WTI CRUDE OIL LongCurrently observing the geopolitical tensions about the gulf of Hormuz and the allegations about Iran's Military.
The current news and the marketclose on friday and the market opening on monday will most likely cause a gap in the OIL price.
The price of OIL will almost 90% surge the coming week. Price is currently $52. This will propably go up to $57 or higher the coming weeks.
TVC:USOIL