BrentCrude Oil. Turning up now. Note: If you like trends, you'll like oil. When oil trends, there is no limit. It can trend for a VERY long time.
Trading Criteria:
Regardless which way you want to trade, look for minimum five 4hr. candles in consolidation zones (yellow border boxes), or five daily candles for solid yellow boxes. If you're a pattern trader or pinbar trader, this might be useful here.
Wait for a significant breakout of the 4hr. consolidation or daily consolidation from red border boxes to take the trade. Red border boxes are the High/Low of a consolidation period inside the consolidation zone. I usually aim for 80% of the weekly ATR (or monthly ATR for yellow solid boxes) taking profit but not always at the next yellow box. I place my stop loss above/below red border box.
*These zones, with the inclusion of price action described above, have remarkable accuracy.
Yellow border box: weekly consolidation zone
Yellow solid box: monthly consolidation zone
Red border box: High/Low breakout box (5 minimum candles)
Brentoil
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaUpdate on this idea >
Oil hit 1:1 extension (measured move) and strong resistance, possibly completing a correction to the fall from $76,88 to $42,40. Could now start the post correction impulse waves.
Weekly candle looks like a bearish pin bar and possible bearish divergence on MACD:
brent oilwrong past decisions including lack of supply and trade agreements on a line walk i would consider this setup to apply based on market conditions with bad politics to fuel brent more towards an uptrend. global demand will always rise but supply has lowered because the cost of production grows as its harder to get the deeper they try to get it from. this is not financial advice just a mad mans imagination.
SHORT BRENT OILOIL HAS RECOVERED ABOUT THE HALF OF THE DESCENT STARTED IN OCTOBER AND FINISHED IN JANUARY. WE ARE ON A VERY IMPORTANT STRUCTURE AS YOU SEE THE GRAPHIC. PERSONALLY I ARE LOOKING FOR ENTRIES TO SELL WITH STOP LOSS WITH CLOSING OVER 71 DOLLARS,
I THINK THE BRENT CAN MISS A 4-5 DOLLARS IN THE NEXT MONTH.
GOOD TRADING AT ALL
Either Stocks Crash, or Oil RalliesWe are basically exactly where we were at in October 2018. About the same things for US equities. But why the divergence with US equities outperforming oil? Look what happened last time stocks become too zealous in January 2018. Correction downward to a near parity in percentage gains. Either stocks are going to readjust or oil is just going to go crazy in the next few weeks. My question is, where is the conviction, where is the demand (weak EU, weak China, weak EMs) and what are the fundamentals driving markets forward? I'm really opened, but color me skeptical.
Oil Moves with Economic GrowthOil edged up earlier in the week on the news that Saudi Arabia is focused on cutting output and petroleum-rated assets rose across the board in spite of the fact that a report came out asserting the Russian's weren't cutting as much as they previously suggested. Breaking the upward risking wedge is a really bullish sign as rising wedges tent to be reversal patterns. However, we could just as quickly get back down into the wedge or start to ignore it all together.
We can also see industrial production, typically used a proxy for GDP growth, and its correlation with oil. Since we can use industrial production as a proxy for GDP, we can then surmise based on the data and based on economic theory (also simple logic) that the strong economic growth is, the higher oil prices will be given that demand for energy consumption increases when economic growth increases. As can be seen, oil prices fell off a cliff when industrial production flat lined back in November 2018. If GDP growth cannot pick up, oil prices will follow suit.
Keep in mind stochastic and RSI are both flashing sell. However, the primary reason for oil to increase is demand in the international market. If oil increases then its clear global demand is probably increasing too as supply side attacks from the major oil powers have mostly failed over the past few years to maintain high oil prices. If this is the case then, we could see a surge from a whole host of risk on asset classes like US stocks for example.
OIL Short Pullback because Stochastic, But Will Try to Edge UpTechnicals show that we are due for a bit of a pullback with oil. However, US growth is still strong and may be able to keep demand up while OPEC tries to cut down on supply. For more financial analysis and charts, check out www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com