BRENT - Interesting buy zone!Hello everyone!
we're turning bullish on BRENT!
- Here's my view on BRENT :
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.ù
stay cautious.
That's why I see GOLD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
Brentoilanalysis
Crude Oil - Buy Zone!Hey there!
I'm selling on WTI: (Second trade)
-RMID (Range Manipulation Initiation Distribution)
-We have liquidity uptake.
-We have an interesting zone.
-We have the optimal Fibonacci.
-We have accumulation before/on the zone.
-We are with the trend.
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
Questions? Leave a comment!
BRENT - Interesting sell zone!Hello everyone!
The plan is still in effect; I've taken a second entry!
- Here's my view on BRENT:
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.
Fundamentally, we'll continue to monitor the evolution of conflicts in the Middle East because they can significantly impact the price of oil in case of escalating tensions! Given that we have the largest oil producers there, having conflicts nearby is concerning! So, stay cautious.
That's why I see BRENT drop in the zone and bumping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
BRENT - Interesting sell zone!Hello everyone!
The plan is still in effect; I've taken a second entry!
- Here's my view on BRENT:
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.
Fundamentally, we'll continue to monitor the evolution of conflicts in the Middle East because they can significantly impact the price of oil in case of escalating tensions! Given that we have the largest oil producers there, having conflicts nearby is concerning! So, stay cautious.
That's why I see BRENT drop in the zone and bumping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
BRENT - Interesting sell zone!Hello everyone!
The plan is still in effect; I've taken a second entry!
- Here's my view on BRENT:
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.
Fundamentally, we'll continue to monitor the evolution of conflicts in the Middle East because they can significantly impact the price of oil in case of escalating tensions! Given that we have the largest oil producers there, having conflicts nearby is concerning! So, stay cautious.
That's why I see BRENT drop in the zone and bumping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
BRENT UKOil Trade IdeaA recent bullish trend is evident in BRENT UKOil on the 4-hour time frame, marked by the development of higher highs and higher lows. My approach involves anticipating a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone, creating a favorable discounted entry point. It is essential to emphasize that this analysis is merely an educational idea and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
Brent - W1\D1Brent
W1 - The price may form a potential 3-wave structure, which, if wave 1 is broken, will mean continued upward movement to the values of 95.90
D1 - You can observe the formation of a triangular structure with a breakout of the upper trend line. Globally, the levels that the price can reach are 92.04
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the current levels of ~79.21 or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 75.34, if you are considering the entry from W1 and the formation of a 3-wave structure, the stop can be set at the minimum of the 1st wave at 72.00
Long
Target 81.41 - 82.78 - 85.51 - 87.98 - 92.04
Weekly Price Prediction: $78.00 (Min) and $87.50 (Max)Projected Price Range
The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $75.62 (Min) and $81.93 (Max).
Contended Price Levels
$81.00 - $78.00 High Volume Node - potential support
$81.73 Resistance Line - potential resistance
$75.62 Support Line - potential support
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci Retracement Breakout:
The price has gone below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. This level is currently just a dollar above the blue resistance line.
Volume Profile Analysis:
High Volume Nodes (HVM):
Bottom HVM: Signifying an area of good liquidity and a potential support region. The price has stalled in this area over the last few weeks. If the price breaks downwards it could carry on.
MACD and Stochastic RSI:
Stoch RSI (Bottom Indicator): It has crossed over at the bottom and now has just about crossed over at the top. Showing overbought pressure and a potential downturn.
MACD (Top Indicator): This indicator has maintained just below the negative region and has refused to move out over the last few weeks. I don't see it going anywhere this week. I believe it will stay and we won't see a bullish signal this week from this indicator.
Additional Factors
Prior Resistance ( Top Blue Line):
Just above the Bottom HVM, a blue line represents a prior resistance level.
The blue line just crosses over the current price bar. Could be a potential resistance area as well.
Prior Support (Bottom Blue Line):
This represents a support level for the price. This may be crucial if broken as the HVM is just above it.
The blue line just crosses over the current price bar. Could be a potential support area as well.
Geopolitical Events:
Given the volatile nature of the commodities market, traders are advised to stay vigilant regarding any geopolitical events in the upcoming week, as these events can significantly impact oil prices.
Conclusion
To conclude we see the price range being between $75.62 (Min) and $81.93 (Max). This is due to the price staying within the HVM and seeing support with also a support line just below the HVM. However, there is a resistance line just above the HVM as well. These two support and resistance lines make our price range for this week. The Stoch RSI is showing a bearish sentiment so this will be crucial to watch out for. Also, something else which is crucial to watch out for is the blue line that has already crossed the current price bar. This will form new support/resistance. The MACD is effectively null this week.
Brent - D1\H4Oil Brent
D1 - The price has formed a triangular formation, which may mean that if it fixes beyond the lower line of the triangle border, the price may continue to fall further along the trend and further reduce the price to the levels of 70.19
When fixing behind the upper trend line, the price may reverse and begin to rise, since a 3-wave structure may already be formed for the targets; in this case, we will see the price of 89.21.
H4 - For purchases, it is better to wait for fixation behind the trend line; you can also try to open at the current price with minimal risk per transaction from the lower border of the triangle. If there is a fixation, turn into sales.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the level of 82.07 to be broken/fixed and an upward movement towards the nearest targets of 89.21.
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 78.93 - 78.23, if this scenario does not materialize.
When fixing behind the lower line 78.95 - 78.15, the idea is canceled when a 3-wave structure is formed in the opposite direction 89.95 - 82.87.
Long
Targets 83.01 - 84.31 - 86.68 - 89.21
Short
Targets 76.47 - 75.24 - 72.63 - 70.19
Brent Crude Oil🛢️Outlook: Navigating The Next Huge Move (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL
Just like we called it earlier, the price dropped from 82.00 to 79, hitting our Take Profit sweet spot.
Now, even though the price popped above 81, it couldn't make higher high, and it's chilling below the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart.
Looks like we might see it slide back from 81.50 - 82.00 to 80. If 80 can't hold its ground, we might be looking at a dip to the 77 zone. On the flip side, if it manages to break above 83, we could be in for a bullish ride.
Quick heads up: Keep your eyes peeled for any surprise moves, especially with the OPEC meeting on November 30, 2023, and the ongoing tension between Palestine and Israel.
Key Levels:
Support lines: 79.00 & 76.00
Resistance lines: 83.00 & 84.64
Drop your thoughts in the comments below. Appreciate your take on this! Thanks! 🚀
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
W1 - The formation of a 3-wave structure continues
D1 - The price has reached 161 lvl. 3rd wave, which may mean further movement down to level 200 - 261
H4 - The price is in the correctional 4th wave, you can see the formation of an ascending channel. If the lower trend line is broken or fixed behind it, further sales to the levels of 75.4 can be considered
You can also consider entering from the formation of a double top and further movement to the lower boundary and beyond.
What to expect now?
Expectation of breaking through the level of 82.20 and fixing the lower border from the level of 81.15.
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 83.60; if this scenario does not materialize and the price may return to the local range, wait for the lower border of the channel to be broken.
Short
Targets 80.00 - 79.16 - 78.43 - 76.87 - 75.41
UKOil Brent Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we embark on a comprehensive analysis of UKOil, with a specific focus on the prevalent bearish sentiment observed in the 1-month (1M) and 1-week (1W) timeframes. Notably, our charts reveal that Brent has approached a critical support level, a pivotal juncture. Throughout this presentation, we delve into the fundamental tenets of technical analysis, encompassing essential components such as evaluating the current market trend, price dynamics, market structure, and other indispensable aspects of technical analysis. As we progress through the video, we meticulously scrutinize a potential trading opportunity in Brent Oil.
It is imperative to stress that the insights shared in this content are exclusively intended for educational purposes and should not be misconstrued as financial advice. Participating in the foreign exchange market trading carries a significant level of risk. Therefore, it is vital to prudently incorporate robust risk management strategies into your trading plan to navigate these challenges effectively.
Oil Brent - W1Oil Brent
W1 - The price has formed a 3-wave structure, which may indicate a trend reversal, and if this scenario is implemented, it will be possible to potentially see the price at the level of 66.30. Judging by geopolitical data, due to the rise in oil prices and the growth of the asset, there was a local movement. To confidently enter sales, it is better to wait for the level of breaking through the 1st wave of 83.30 to be fixed.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the breakout and fixation at the level of 83.30. When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 88.13, if this scenario does not materialize and the price may return locally to the range of 85 - 95
Complete cancellation of the script mark 93.83
Short
Targets 81.18 - 76.73 - 72.80 - 66.30
Oil Brent - H4\D1Oil Brent
The nearest target is at 96.00 in continuation of the 5th wave on D1
H4 - there was a fixation behind the correctional channel and a 3-wave structure may form, which may indicate continued movement up the trend.
What to expect now?
Expectation of breaking through the level - 89.25, locally the target is 91.40 - 94.88
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 86.47 - 85.66, if this scenario does not materialize.
Long
Targets 89.98 - 91.40 - 92.75 - 94.88 - 96.00
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
*Updating the idea and how to act*
Long - ABC correction structure has come to an end - You can observe an impulse rebound after the fall, which can lead to further growth and the 5th wave on W1
The nearest target is at 95.90
This scenario is best used to exit the triangular formation on H4 when the level of 87.85 is broken - with the cancellation of this movement and without increasing risks if the breakout turns out to be false at the level of 85.09
Short - If the price does not continue to move upward, and this was a full-fledged reversal, in the continuation of the 5th wave on D1, the nearest targets will be at the level of 74.30
In this scenario, you can consider selling from the level of 85.09 - with the cancellation of this movement and without increasing risks if the breakout turns out to be false at the level of 87.85.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the breakout of the level for Long - 87.85, local target 95.90 - 98.10
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 85.09, if this scenario does not materialize.
Waiting for the breakout of the level for Short - 85.09, local target 77.77 - 74.30
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 87.85, if this scenario does not materialize.
Long
Targets 90.17 - 92.49 - 94.63 - 98.10
Short
Targets 82.28 - 79.30 - 77.77 - 74.30
The increase in Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ prices due to the WAR🚀➕15%😔Unfortunately, in recent days, there has been a war between Israel and Palestine, and I hope that this war will end as soon as possible.🙏🙏🙏
🧐Now, how can the effect of this war show itself in the oil chart❗️❓
💡At the same time, as geopolitical tensions increase throughout the Middle East , oil prices are likely to rise even more. Meanwhile, US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) are down to just 17 days , the lowest in history. This is almost half the historical average of 33 days dating back to 1990 .
💡In addition, OPEC this week reaffirmed its commitment to voluntarily cut production to a ceiling of more than 1.5 million barrels per day.
💡In the days when Russian crude oil exports are limited, and the world's largest oil producers are also at war.
😱There's never been a worse time to have an unloaded SPR than today.
📈In terms of technical analysis, Brent Crude Oil is moving near the bottom of the ascending channel , 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and SMA(100) .
🔔I expect that starting next week, the trend of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ will rise and at least reach the 🔴 Resistance zone($100.48_$95.80) 🔴 again( ➕15%) .
⛽️Brent Crude Oil⛽️Analyze (USDBRO), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
The ABC correction structure has come to an end - You can observe an impulse rebound after the fall, which could lead to further growth and the 5th wave on W1
The nearest target is at 95.90
What can you expect now?
You can consider entering from current price levels, but reduce the risks. Or wait for the breakdown of the level of 88.90
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 83.30, if this scenario does not materialize. You should be careful, since the first wave is impulsive and the correction to this wave may be stronger than it is now.
Targets 92.40 - 94.50 - 95.90 - 97.90
BRENT OIL ( UK OIL ) LONG term Trade AnalysisHello Traders
In This Chart UK OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By Forex Planet
today UKOIL analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UKOIL market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on UKOIL Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
SasanSeifi 💁♂️Brent 👉1D🔼 90 / 94 Hey there! 😊
On the daily chart, As you can see, the trend turned quite bullish after it broke past that pesky resistance at 78 and overcame the dynamic resistance too. Right now, it's hanging out around 86. Fingers crossed, if it stays above the 82 mark, we could see it making its way up to the 90.70 resistance level and even touching the long-term supply zone. If it keeps climbing, we'll want to keep an eye on how it interacts with those resistance spots. Let's see where it goes from here! 🚀
Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.❗
Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
And if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
You can already see the formation of an ABC correction - if the price does not form a full-fledged three-wave structure and turns the trend downward.
The nearest target is at 87.50
What can you expect now?
You can consider entering from current price levels, but reduce the risks . When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 91.50, if this scenario does not materialize. You should be careful, as this is a correctional formation.
Targets 89.15 - 88.20 - 87.50
BRENT OIL ( UK OIL ) LONG term Trade AnalysisHello Traders
In This Chart UK OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By Forex Planet
today UKOIL analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UKOIL market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on UKOIL Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
Brent Crude OilBrent crude oil had quite the month in July, climbing from $74 per barrel all the way up to $85. This price jump came from Russia cutting back on exports to Saudi Arabia, trimming all their oil production. Still, I don't think the price is going to burst out of its range of $72 - $88 per barrel yet.
What's interesting is the strengthening of "crack spreads"
Now you may be wondering what "crack spread" is. It's basically the difference between the buying cost of crude oil and the selling price of the final products, such as gasoline and diesel. There has been a significant increase in the crack spread for RBOB gasoline due to a production mismatch with the total demand and exports.
Although there was a decrease in demand in July, the low inventories of gasoline at a five-year low and diesel at a multi-decade rock-bottom level have helped maintain prices for refined products. Add to this mix a hike in jet fuel demand, mostly driven by China's international travel sector.
There's more. Due to the hot summer heat reducing shipping capacity along the Rhine River, European refineries might need to cut back production. This could prompt the U.S. to ramp up the export of key industrial fuels.
The Rhine River in Europe, vital for transporting fuel & goods, is running into some trouble. Water levels in a part of the river (Kaub chokepoint) are the lowest they've been in 30 years. That's not good because if the water's too low, the big boats (barges) can't get through.
Low water levels halted the barges last summer & may happen again without adequate rainfall. This impacts the delivery of critical goods (heating oil fuel)
Barges moving heating oil fuel from Rotterdam saw their cargo loads nearly cut in half from 2000 to 1200 tons within a week. Less water and harder access mean using barges is getting more expensive.
So a river that's too dry for boats to pass through properly could cause many problems with getting goods around Europe & might even make things more expensive. The inflation battle isn't over in Europe.
Now for those keeping an eye on inflation. As gasoline prices rise in tandem with crude oil, it inevitably drives up the price of pretty much everything. Diesel demand reflects the overall economy's well-being but has fluctuated throughout this year.
If there continues to be poor economic data from the US, China, and the EU, we could very well be starring down the barrel of a recession (pun intended ).
This is why limit the current price ceiling to the high $80s for crude oil.
The strength of crude has reached the upper limit of our forecast range and is still within the range of $72 to $87.
If it breaches $88, it may reach $95 and have a greater impact on refined products. However, concerns about a recession will likely keep a limit on the price for now.
The long-term impact of refinery shutdowns over the past 3 years and the current state of inventories is worth noting. If a recession hits and refinery runs dip, rebuilding inventories will be a severe challenge unless demand drops off a cliff.
There's a catch-22; central banks are trying to cause that drop by hiking interest rates. The downside is that these higher rates can deter drilling and exploration for new oil and gas, further compounding the problem down the line.
This is a vicious cycle. Destroying your economy to tackle inflation is like cutting off your arm because a paper cut is not something I would recommend.
I expect Brent will trade between $72 and $88 per barrel until Q4. After that, don't be surprised if it creeps close to the $90 mark.
As outlined in my blog I published on August 5th 2023