A complete review of Brent oil with Elliott styleConsidering that oil left its long-term correction process on April 20, 2022; It started an increasing and powerful process and increasing tensions and war made this process more powerful.
By carefully examining this trend, it can be said that this trend ended in 5 waves; And now, with the situation balancing a little, the stagnation, the increase in oil production, and at the same time the permission of Venezuela to enter the oil market; The price has entered price correction. It should be expected that this price correction will be in the form of a wave (ABC).
Considering the price movement in the lower time frame, it can be expected that wave A will be formed in the form of 5 waves.
I believe; Currently, wave 1 is being completed, so we have to wait for wave 2 to be created.
If the end of wave 2 is 115; This analysis is complete and you can make the most of the other waves shown.
It should be considered that with the price reaching the range of 36-39.5 in the consolidation of the higher time frame, this whole movement can be considered as wave 1 and 2.
Tip: We have to see how the trend will be formed along the downward path; It is possible that this entire decline in price can be shown in the higher consolidation of an A wave.
In any case, upon reaching the price range of 36 to 39.5, the trend should be re-examined and a new analysis should be presented.
This analysis is prepared with an economic perspective; But from a human point of view, I am very sorry for the war and I sincerely sympathize with Ukraine.
what is your opinion ?
(be profitable)
Brentshort
UKOIL - SHORTFalse Breakout of Major Resistance Level. A Bearish Harmonic Pattern has been formed. Selling opportunity!
UKOIL - SHORT
ENTRY PRICE - 88.77
SL - 91.50
TP - 79.20
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BRENT to reach $70 soonI've been expecting this for a while now, since brent hit $75 for the first time in teh recent weeks. but it seems to resilient and doesnt seem to fall back to support around $70.
But i think im clocked it... brent has almost reached $73 as calculated. I think we will see a pull up to around $75 again as teh selling pressure has already weakened.
But from $75, there is a high probability that brent will continue its downward move towards $70.
When it does reach $70... im buying Brent, as i dont think it will fall significantly below this anytime soon.
Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $82.58
🟢 Take Profit: $79.39
⛔ Stop Loss: $84.29
Reasons:
- So far the price is respecting the ascending channel;
- I expect an overbought level on the PVS Indicator by the time the price reaches the upper trendline;
- Volume is not supporting the up movement;
Oil is on a daily downtrendThe general trend in daily time seems to be declining.
But now it seems to be a good place to enter the hourly time.
The new support level seems to be broken and the return to the new resistance level is complete and it is time to fall.
💌 BRENT - Inflation and Geopolitics 🕊️🌎''One way to control inflation is to have cheap Oil around'' the Fxprofessor
News:
Brent crude oil price down below $67 per barrel on London’s ICE first since May 24
The price of WTI oil also went down by 2.52%
MOSCOW, August 19. /TASS/. The price of futures contracts of Brent crude oil for October 2021 delivery went down by 2.18% on London's ICE on Thursday to $66.99 per barrel, diving below $67 per barrel for the first time since May 24, according to the trading data as of 10:00 am Moscow time.
As of 10:25 am, the price of Brent oil was down by 2.11% compared with the previous closing at $66.79 per barrel. Meanwhile, the price of WTI oil was down by 2.52% at $63.53 per barrel.
The MOEX Index was down by 1.35% at 3,872.18 points, while the RTS was down by 1.74% at 1,645.99. The dollar’s exchange rate was up by 0.45% at 74.14 rubles, while the euro’s exchange rate was up by 0.09% at 86.55 rubles.
Geopolitics:
If prices of Oil and Natural Gas are TOO high, Russia is becoming TOO dangerous (in the eyes of Americans, not in my eyes. In my eyes Russia and America should be best friends and fix this planet💌☮️🕊️🌎).
-Russia is the world's largest producer of crude oil (including lease condensate) and the second-largest producer of dry natural gas. Russia also produces significant amounts of coal.
- In early June, when Brent climbed above $70 per barrel, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said the oil price reflected the balance of supply and demand and was “good enough” for Russia.
Tell me what you think.
the FXPROFESSOR
Brent - BullRunPotential correction at fibb 61.8%
After correction price can still follow the trend
Trend: UP
Ichimoku: UP
Stoch: After overbought
for more: www.invesery.com
Last news:
vesting.com -- Crude oil prices weakened Thursday amid concerns about fuel demand as the pandemic continues after U.S. inventories posted an unexpected rise last week.
By 9:45 AM ET (1445 GMT), U.S. Crude futures were down 0.6% at $52.97 a barrel, while Brent futures were down 0.5% at $55.79 a barrel.
U.S. Gasoline RBOB Futures were down 0.8% at $1.5315 a gallon.
Data released late Wednesdy by the industry group, the American Petroleum Institute showed that {{8849|U.S. crcrude oil inventories rose 2.6 million barrels in the week to Jan. 15, against expectations for a 300,000-barrel draw in forecasts prepared by Investing.com.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration is due to release its official weekly inventory report on Friday, later than usual due to Monday’s holiday. If these numbers show a similar crude oil build, it would be the first since early December.
Weighing on the market is the fear that the surge of Covid-19 cases is having a direct impact on the demand for crude oil, not only in the U.S. but also around the globe.
Earlier this week the International Energy Agency, a Paris-based autonomous intergovernmental organization, revised lower its global demand estimates for the year by 300,000 barrels a day as a result of a fresh wave of lockdowns, particularly in China, the largest importer of crude in the world.
“The most recent has been in Beijing, specifically the Daxing district, which has affected around 1.6m people,” said analysts at ING, in a research note. “The government will be keen to get any outbreaks under control, particularly with the Chinese New Year fast approaching.”
On the supply side, newly inaugurated President Joe Biden has announced his decision to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline project, which would have carried more than 800,000 barrels a day of crude from Alberta’s oil sands in Canada as far south as the U.S. Gulf Coast.
Additionally, ING noted that Shell (LON:RDSa) has lifted force majeure on exports of Forcados crude from Nigeria, a measure which had been in place since Jan. 14, after the pipeline to the Forcados oil terminal was shut due to a leak.
UKOIL Brent Crude TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Recently, there has been a lot of news about the fact that oil futures have recently doubled after the last fall, that JP Morgan has earned a couple of billions, and so on and so forth.
It is a rumor that oil will fall again to $ 20 per barrel, I honestly do not really believe in this scenario, since oil is not only a trading product but has a certain influence factor from different countries, so most of the OPEC and OPEC + participants will try to speculate prices and other traders will help them in this.
Now I am exiting LONGS for oil because traders are trying to close the GAP, so we have a certain level where we can observe further price developments.
If we discard the speculative market and look from a technical point of view, we have two variations.
1. In which I very much believe this is breaking through the support level, a small correction, and going up to the golden ratio.
2. This is the exit from the channel and the fall, where we will wait for the bear rally to expire. and buy it again.
I would like to note that this analysis carries with it the subjective opinion of the author and does not force trading and is not a signal for buying or selling instruments.
Take care of yourself, like, and subscribe to my channel, leave comments, and write your own about the current situation.
BRENT OIL | Bearlish scenario | UpdatingPossible BRENT oil movement based on Elliott theory and Fibonacci proportions
Updating last idea
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