British
HelenP. I British Pound can start to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you British Pound analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a not long time ago declined to the support level, which is located inside the support zone, and in a short time later broke this level. After this, GBP continued to decline to the trend line, and when the price reached this line it turned around and started to rise inside the upward channel. Inside the channel, GBP broke the 1.2400 level again and later reached the channel's resistance line, after which rebounded and made a little correction. Then the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even entered to this area, but soon turned around and fell to the trend line, which is the support line of the channel also. Recently price rebounded from this line and rose to the 1.2545 level, but at once rebounded and started to decline. For my mind, British Pound will fall to the support line of the channel and then start to grow to a resistance level. When GBP reaches this level, the price can break it, make retest, and continue to move up, therefore I set my target at 1.2615 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
British Pound can turn around and try to break resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago started to decline inside the downward channel, where it first rebounded from the support line and rose to the channel's resistance line. But after this, EURGBP bounced from this line too and continued to decline in the channel to the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level and then price some time traded in this area. Later the price rebounded up, exiting from the downward channel, but after this it made a downward movement, breaking the 0.8540 level again. Soon, GBP turned around and started to rise inside from an upward pennant, where it broke the support level one more time, making a fake breakout. After this, the price made a correction to the support line of the pennant and then made an impulse up to the resistance line, thereby breaking the 0.8615 level, which coincided with the seller zone. But a not long time ago British Pound turned around and in a short time declined below the resistance level and now it continues to decline. In my mind, EURGBP can fall to the support line, after which the price will turn around and rebound up to the resistance line of the pennant, breaking the resistance level. So, that's why I set my target at the 0.8635 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURGBP - Price can rise to resistance level, exiting of triangleHi guys, this is my overview for EURGBP, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price broke resistance level and started to trades in flat, where it declined to support level.
Then price some time traded between $0.8570 - $0.8530 levels in flat and later declined to support line, breaking $0.8530 level.
After this, GBP started to rise near this line, and in a short time it rose to $0.8570 level, breaking $0.8530 level one more time.
But soon, price made downward impulse and fell back, breaking support line and entering to triangle.
In triangle, GBP broke $0.8530 level again, rose to resistance line but recently fell to support line.
In my mind, British Pound can bounce from support line and rise to $0.8570 level, exiting from triangle.
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Buy @GBPCHF (long position) UK Pound Sterling/Swiss Franc FX Cross Rate
British Pound Sterling Swiss Franc traded at 1.10185 this Thursday November 16th, decreasing 0.00070 or 0.07 percent since the previous trading session. Looking back, over the last four weeks, GBPCHF lost 0.52 percent. Over the last 12 months, its price fell by 2.38 percent. Looking ahead, we forecast British Pound Sterling Swiss Franc to be priced at 1.10484 by the end of this quarter and at 1.10054 in one year, according to Trading Economics global macro models projections and analysts expectations.
HelenP. I British Pound can continue to decline to $0.8600Hi folks today I'm prepared for you British Pound analytics. A few time ago price bounced from the trend line and made a strong upward impulse to 0.8630 points, thereby breaking the 0.8575 support level. After this movement price made a correction to this level, which coincided with the support zone, and then repeated impulse to the 0.8675 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone too. Also, the British Pound entered to wedge, where it broke the 0.8675 resistance level and rose higher, but soon it rebounded below. The price tried to back up but failed and made an impulse down to trend lime, which coincided with the support line of the wedge. As well soon price made a fake breakout from this line, but failed and rose higher. But recently finally broke this line and now British Pound trades near. For my mind, the price can make a movement up, higher of the trend line, and then continue to decline. That's why I set my target at the 0.8600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
British Pound can rebound down of resistance level to 0.8635Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago price rebounded from the 0.8635 support level, which coincides with the buyer zone and started to fall. But later it entered to upward channel, where the price first made a fake breakout of the support line and then continued to grow to the 0.8635 level. After the price reached this level, the British Pound broke it and then made the correction, after which the price continued to rise. Price reached 0.8690 resistance level, which coincide with the seller zone, and even entered to this zone, but soon rebounded below to support line of the channel. Later, the British Pound rose higher of 0.8690 level again, entered to triangle, and started to decline to the support level, thereby exiting from the upward channel. In the triangle, the price rebounded from the support line, reached the resistance line, and a not long time ago broke this line, made a retest, and continued to rise. At the moment price British Pound trades very close to the resistance level, that's why I think that the price can rebound down from the resistance level to the 0.8635 support level, which is located my target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
British Pound can continue to decline in downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. By observing the chart, we can see that the price not long time ago entered to range, in which it declined to the 1.2675 resistance level, which coincides with the seller zone. But at once, the price rebounded up to the top part of the range and then started to decline, and in a short time, the British Pound declined to a lower 1.2675 level, thereby breaking it and also exiting from the range. After this movement, the price tried to back up, but when it rose higher of the 1.2675 resistance level, it entered to downward channel, where the British Pound went back below and even continued to fall to the next level. When the price fell to the current resistance level, which coincides with the resistance zone and support line of the channel, it at once rebounded and rose to the resistance line, but recently British Pound bounced from this line and declined below 1.2445 level, thereby breaking it and also price made retest. Now I think that the British Pound can make a little movement up and then continue to fall to support line of a downward channel. That's why I set my target at the 1.2265 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPUSD - Price can break resistance line and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for British Pound, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After price bounced down from $1.2700 resistance level, which coincided with resistance area, it at once tried to back up.
When price reached $1.2700 level again, it bounced again and continued to decline until to $1.2550 level.
This level coincided with support line of wedge and resistance area, also then British Pound bounced and started to rise.
Price rose higher of $1.2700 level, but at once made downward impulse below this and $1.2550 levels, thereby breaking theirs.
At the moment price trades very close to resistance line of wedge and I think that British Pound can make small movement down.
Also then, price can bounce up to $1.2550 resistance level, exiting from wedge.
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GBP/USD -Flirting Resistance *W
- Great British Pound seen on a more broader picture of
Weekly Time-frame *W (tf) .
Flirting with Trendline Resistance that rejected price action
on 4 times of interactions previously.
Fakeout occurance would be put to stop by 200EMA coming down as
Resistance Ceiling for GBP/USD
Breakout of Trendline + 200EMA re-testing them as Supports would give
much more room for growth regarding GBP
Below Supports
- Daily Order-Block *D OB
- Last Higher Low at 1.18$
- Weekly Order-Block *W OB
TRADE SAFE !
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and Consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity based soly upon this Idea.
British pound is ready for a new fall!In last post, I drew your attention to the problem of the UK public debt.
The situation there is critical...
It is logical to expect that the problem with public debt will lead to a weakening of the pound.
High inflation, high key rate, high budget deficit relative to GDP are fundamental factors that will put pressure on the GBP.
According to technical analysis, the situation is also negative.
We saw a false exit of the GBP/USD pair beyond 1.24, and now we should expect a fall to the level of 1.18 - which is support.
If such a scenario is realized, a bearish “head and shoulders” pattern will form on the chart, which implies a further medium-term drop to 1.11.
You can find even more useful analytics in the header of my profile 🎩
If you are interested in parsing for other assets - write in the comments which asset you need to parse 🔍
GBP is BossBullish Setup
The next HH HL is the sinal of the Bullish Trend start
Here’s the 4hr Elliott wave Chart from the 4/14/2022 New York update. In which, the rally to 1.6866 high ended 5 waves from the 2/10/2023 low in wave (1) & made a pullback in wave (2). The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave double three correction where wave W ended at 1.6579 low. Then a bounce to 1.6835 high-ended wave X & started the next leg lower in wave Y towards 1.6547-1.6369 blue box area. From there, buyers were expected to appear looking for new highs ideally or for a 3-wave bounce minimum.
GBP Funamentals
The GBP has experienced a notable rally in recent weeks, positioning it as the top-performing currency among the G10 nations this year. The unexpected success story of the GBP, now dubbed the "King of G10 FX," can be attributed to several factors.
Firstly, the rebound can be attributed to a series of positive UK data releases in recent months, which were influenced by the significant decline in European energy prices and subsequent improvements in commodity terms of trade. Additionally, the persistent UK inflation, combined with reduced post-Brexit tensions between the UK and the EU, as well as diminished risks of another independence referendum, have enhanced the attractiveness of GBP-denominated assets.
Asia overnight
The sentiment was mixed during Asian trading as investors grappled with concerns surrounding the US debt ceiling. However, their optimism was boosted by China's better-than-expected exports data.
Fig1: China headline news from 09/05/2023
There were also reports from newswires suggesting that Chinese authorities might announce additional measures to bolster the economy.
Currently, Asian markets were trading with a mixed performance, while S&P500 futures showed a slight decline.
In the G10 foreign exchange market, trading remained within narrow ranges, with the Norwegian krone (NOK) and Euro (EUR) underperforming, while the US dollar (USD) and Japanese yen (JPY) outperformed.
Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), stated that the central bank would discontinue its Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy once inflation consistently reaches 2%. However, this statement didn't come as a surprise and maintained investors' view of the new BoJ Governor as dovish. In March, Japan's wage growth continued to be lacklustre, with real wages experiencing a YoY decline of -2.9%. This data is unlikely to prompt any policy changes by the BoJ.
USD: Debt ceiling, regional banks, and the Fed
The short-term outlook for the USD is heavily influenced by the ongoing drama surrounding the US debt ceiling in Congress and the outlook for regional banks in the United States. Market concerns regarding the prospects of regional lenders are unlikely to ease following the recent release of the Senior Loan Officers Survey. Additionally, the political deadlock over the US debt ceiling is expected to continue negatively impacting the USD.
During the day, foreign exchange (FX) investors will closely monitor the high-level meeting between President Joe Biden and US congressional leaders, which aims to resolve the impasse over the debt ceiling. In terms of its impact on the FX market, any signs of progress between Democrats and Republicans towards a potential bipartisan solution, such as a short-term extension of the debt ceiling, could help the USD regain strength across the board. Conversely, indications that the political impasse has worsened may dampen the appeal of USD-denominated assets.
GBPUSD forecast for this weekThe British pound edged above $1.12 recouping some losses from the previous session The Bank of England’s emergency bond-buying scheme, which was used to cover pension funds caught up in the market chaos sparked by the tax cuts announced last month, I think by Wed or Thursdays we will see price starting to fallin we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.14500 and 1.16500 zone, once we will receive any bearish confirmation the trade will be executed!
free to ask any question in comments
Weekly gold, another short opportunityTraders will keep eyes on global bond markets for next week because if the Bank of England's strange policies continue, it could help gold to rise
while the Bank of Japan, which is concerned about high prices in USDJPY, should intervene in the forex market. In addition to buying yen, they can sell US bonds in the markets and witness fluctuations in bond yields.
The risk of the economic recession is the driver of the rise of gold. But in the short term, the attention of all traders is on contractionary policies and decisions of central banks, which can put pressure on gold.
As we told you in last week's analysis, any upside movement in gold will be short-term and provide a selling opportunity.
Because the US dollar is in the overbought zone and also the bonds are at their highest points, the take profits have the possibility of raising the price of the gold.
On the other hand, due to the hawkish policies of the central banks as well as the US central bank, this pressure on gold will not be removed
and as long as we observe the rotation of the monetary policies of the central banks, we cannot expect a stable rise for gold.
The world's largest bond market has fluctuated strongly in the last week due to the fear of the British debt crisis.
But, with the intervention of the BOE and the introduction of the government bond purchase program, the treasury bonds' price fall was compensated.
The trend changed as the Bank of England intervened in the bond market and it lowered the yield of American bonds.
Now, in addition to the policies of the Federal Reserve, other central banks also affect bonds and we have to care about them.
As we said in the analysis, gold is bearish in the medium and long term until we see a turn in the contractionary policies of the central banks
But this week due to the upcoming economic data and the possibility of correction of the US dollar index and US bond yields, there is a possibility of gold increase.
However, we predict a turbulent week and our suggestion to traders is to wait this week and sell gold from the high points.
$1700 to $1724 is our sightly range to looking short opportunity to the$1620 area
💵British Pound/Australian Dollar💵 Analyze(Short term)!!!British Pound/Australian Dollar was able to make a Falling wedge & Inverse Head and Shoulder near the Heavy Support zone!!!
British Pound/Australian Dollar can touch at least the upper line of the falling wedge in the next few days.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between Price and MACD Indicator.
🔅British Pound/Australian Dollar Analyze (GBPAUD) Timeframe 4H⏰
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30 Million Shares of BP Post Russian Withdrawal BP is still a macro energy play despite the weeks long sell off. For all you options traders out there looking out for a bottom in commodities markets this might be it. DISCLAIMER No bags, everything was sold two weeks ago, please look at macro & geo-political events before making ANY decisions.