British
Will BP be able to regain its former glory or fall is inevitableToday we will look at the chart of the price movement stocks of British Petroleum , BP, British Petroleum Corp. - a corporation that for many years has been among the leaders of the oil and gas, petrochemical and coal industries on all continents.
They had an interesting history of BP stock pricing in accordance with the events in the world at that time. Therefore, we will share our observations.
1) When the world was affected by the "First Oil Crisis" in 1973, the share price dropped threefold from $3.50 to $1.13 , where the historical minimum was set.
2) However, already during the "Second Energy Crisis" — the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979-1980, the value of BP shares increased threefold from $4 to $12. Then the corporation was actively exploring new deposits on different continents of the world, which allowed it to diversify such risks as the revolution in Iran or the nationalization of their assets in Nigeria in 1979.
3) Although in 2000-2010 the value of British Petroleum shares reached its maximum of $80 , nevertheless, a number of man-made disasters took place in the corporation, the maximum in power among which was the explosion of a tower in the Mexican Gulf in April 2010. Then the value of shares and capitalization collapsed by 56%
4) It would seem that it could not be worse, but 2020 proved that there can be, and a 63% drop in the value of shares of there proof.
First, the CoviD crisis (late 2019 — early 2020), then the negative value of WTI oil futures and a general decrease in demand for oil and oil refining materials from cars and aircraft, forced the corporation to fix a loss in 2020 at $5.7 billion , however, they predicted -$4.8 billion
British Petroleum's annual reports are considered almost inside information. They predict that by 2050 the demand for "clean" energy from renewable resources will increase from the current 5% to 55-60%. Accordingly, companies that do not have time to implement a high-quality and smooth energy transition from oil, gas and coal to the production of "clean" energy from renewable resources are doomed to fall.
Finally, our thoughts on the possible future price of BP's stock.
For ourselves, we single out the level of $20, as critical.
Fixing the price above this level will suggest that the corporation is making an energy transition according to the schedule, and, accordingly, the price of shares may rise to $36 , to begin with.
If the BP stock price starts trading below $20 , it means that something is wrong in the company and soon this news will be available to everyone and in general, and the value of the shares themselves may fall to $10-12
GBP/CAD Fibonacci Span Tool - Speculation The first three are set to the best of my knowledge of how you use the tool. The last one is speculative because the high in the market is only assumed at this point, in my analysis. It appears the previous lower ranging area broke to the upside. If there is only one previous example & it eventually broke to the north, the probability in the current consolidation is that it will do the same.
Begbies Traynor LSE - Classic Cup and Handle on daily chart Hi everyone,
Just giving a quick analysis on one of the AIM-listed stocks on the LSE (London/UK). As you can see, there is a clear cup and handle forming on the daily chart, and it is an incredibly clean example in reference to what you would technically find in a text book. The resistance is at 115p, and this week it has seen a breach above next to the 120p level.
The company itself is also fairly good on the fundamental side - its latest fundraising (secondary offering to help finance another acquisition) was recently oversubscribed and the placing price was above market price, which the share price higher from 105p to 115p. As it is seemingly breaking resistance now, the question is about whether there will be a retest of the 115p level, or whether it will continue above 120p and onwards. Canaccord currently has a 170p price target on the stock, as issued earlier in March. The cup and handle may signify a strong climb as the UK eases lockdown. Another buying opportunity would be in the case where the price will fall to the lower red upwards trendline, which seems to be a good support for the price.
Disclaimer: I hold BEG at 105p average. Please do not take as professional financial advice. Always do your DD. Thanks!
What's next for GBPJPY ?As long as price has not reached the resistance 142.700, (It may even go a bit higher now and just touch the line 142.700 but not pass it.) I predict a downward move for GBPJPY afterwards.
So if a downtrend starts, then we can set two targets:
133.050
126.600
Share your thoughts please. I'd love to read your comments.
Happy New Year everyone
Love you
What is the next move for British Pound / Australian Dollar?GBPAUD was bullish last week. I assume it will be bullish during the next week too.
FX:GBPAUD
The uptrend perhaps continues to the resistance 1.84500 (first target)
and if it can pass it, it may reach the line 1.92750 (second target)
Merry Christmas everyone.
GBPUSD likely continuing to move up in the mid-termFollowing the high timeframe analysis on GBPUSD in the last video, this time we looked at the mid-timeframe to see what would likely happen in the short to mid-term. I personally believe the price will eventually break through the range of resistance at around 1.3500 that has confined the price for the last 24 months. Indicator showing us formations consistent with those usually observed in an area where continuous growth in value is likely. Walkthrough of the details laid out in the video.
I am marking this analysis as a "long" in view of the likelihood of GBPUSD going up above 1.35 in the coming weeks, some possibilities for short term corrections notwithstanding.
GBPUSD emerging from years long bear trend and going back upBritish Pound/USD is giving us signs that we might begin to see a reversal to the bear trend that has lasted for 13-14 years. 1Y TF white energy is just starting to move up and about to cross the 50 mid-line. Unlike in 2014, where the white energy failed to move above 50 and dropped back down along with green line as the price stair-stepped down, this time the red RSI is at a much lower position where the green line and the white energy may not bounce off of it again, and I think there is a decent chance we may see the white energy go above 50 mid-line in the next 1Y candle. In the meantime, in the lower TFs such as 6M and 4M, we are seeing signs of a budding upward momentum brewing as the price started going back up and above weekly 200 EMA that we have been trading under for almost 7 years now. It is likely to see GBP continue to appreciate for several more months before any mid-long term, months-long correction phase is to take place.
In the long term I personally believe that we are going to continue to see the price go up. For a long term investor, it may be a good time to started moving your assets into GBP seeing it has the potential to continue to rise in value. Alternatively, one could wait until the 1Y white energy crosses above 50 for confirmation of upward momentum before getting in. FOREX markets aren't necessarily a playground for scalpers; one could very well do swing trades with GBP. At this point, for the foreseeable few months, I do believe we are at a spot where a mid-long term swing long would be profitable.