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GBPCAD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The GBPCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for more than 1 year (since September 28 2023) and since September 30 2024 has been on Lower Highs. The last time we saw such a trend-line as on the April 16 2024 Lower High, after which a strong short-term rejection took place. We expect a similar selling sequence to take place that should be contained however above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target is 1.77000 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPJPY Pull back signalGBPJPY is trading on a Channel Up but has turne sideways recently, indicating a potential top. The last major formation has been a Death Cross (1d) and last time we had one was on January 17 2023. The similarities between the two patterns are strong. The MA200 (1d) is holding for now, if it breaks it will be the sell trigger for the trade. Trading Plan: 1. Sell if the MA200 (1d) breaks. Targets: 1. 188.600 (above the 0.786 Fib). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is also trading inside a Channel Up and also portrays similar attributes as the 2023 fractal. Please like, follow and comment!!
Short
by TradingBrokersView
GBPUSD has flattened the decline. Potential rebound ahead.GBPUSD is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone since the April 22nd low. Typically it bottoms after the price crosses under the MA50 (1d), which it did last week. Even though the bottom of the Megaphone is a bit lower, R/R suggests that those are solid buy entry levels. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.3670 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, where all 3 previous Highs were priced). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has flattened and its MA trend line is approaching. A crossing will confirm the bullish signal. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
GBPJPY Heading to the Channel's Top. Sell alert.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 bottom. The price is above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and has already made a Higher High on September 27, which was immediately sold by the market. Based on the previous peak formation of the Channel Up though, we could see a Double Top Higher High rejection in the coming days like the one on September 02. The 1D RSI made a Higher High also before the start of the September Bearish Leg, and right now it hasn't done so. As a result, we will wait for a short opportunity a little higher and then target the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (like the September 11 Low) at 188.800. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPUSD Will it hold the 1D MA50??The GBPUSD pair has been trading exactly on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past two days and so far it held. Today though it appears to be making its first legitimate attempt to break it and if the 1D candle closes below it, we will have a confirmed bearish break-out. This is similar to the August 03 2023 bearish break-out, which was the ultimate medium-term sell confirmation after a long Bullish Megaphone that dictated the trend. As you can see the two fractals are identical, initially declining by around -5% and then rising towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension through their Megaphones. The 2023 sell signal reached the 0.786 Fib after the break-out and that will be our Target again (1.2550) if the 1D candle confirms that closing below the 1D MA50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURGBP: Significant upside potential on the short term.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D techhnical outlook (RSI = 48.804, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 22.675) as it consolidates having failed to cross over the 1D MA50. Given the 1 year Channel Down pattern, the 1D MA50 shouldn't stand as a Resistance for long, since the price is having this rebound after a clear LL on its bottom. We expect the 1D MA200 to be tested (TP = 0.8500) with the upside potentially extending as high as +2.80%. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY: Bull Flag to start a great rally.GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.480, MACD = 0.880, ADX = 34.811) as it's been basically consolidating since last Friday with the price ranging around the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. This consolidation is being done while the 1D RSI shows a Bullish Divergence in a Channel Up. Last time this happened was in March 2023, a Bullish Flag that pushed the price later aggressively to the top of the 2 year Channel Up. We turn heavily bullish on GBPJPY (TP = 220.000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPUSD reached the 1day MA50. Double netry buy opportunity.GBPUSD is about to test the 1day MA50, which is intact since August 13th. The pattern is a Channel Up and even though its bottom is a little lower, the 1day MA50 should technically be a first buy entry on this pattern. If the price drops more, you can use the bottom of the Channel for a 2nd entry. A rebound of the 1day RSI on its Support Zone, confirms the buy signal. Target on both occassions 1.3500. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Long
by TheCryptagon
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBP/USD hit its highest level against the US dollar in over two and a half years, and traders are closely watching for what's next. In this video, we break down the fundamental and technical factors driving the pair’s performance. With the Bank of England expected to move more slowly than the Federal Reserve on rate cuts, the pound is gaining an edge, though momentum has stalled at the $1.34350 resistance zone. Meanwhile, US inflation data shows signs of slowing, but this hasn't solidified expectations for a big rate cut from the Fed in November. In this video, I walk you through the key technical structure that could guide trading decisions for the week ahead. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will buyers maintain momentum above $1.33700 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD: Cycle peaked. Expect brutal bearish reversal.GBPUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.143, MACD = 0.08, ADX = 33.338) but still bullish on 1W (RSI = 64.701). After rising nonstop since April and basically not having a long term correction since October 2023, we expect this bullish cycle of GBPUSD to be coming to an end. The Sine Waves structure is further proof of that, as it is past its top where in June 2021 and April 2018 it peaked. We turn long term bearish on this pair, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 1.2100). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
GBPNZD Strong buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.The GBPNZD pair has been trading within an 11-month Channel Up and since its break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on August 28, it has been forming the new bottom. Monday saw it approaching the Higher Lows trend-line and with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) just below it as a Support, we believe that we've seen the new Low. In fact, as the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom, it resembles the Channel's last bottom formation on June 06. The final confirmation of the bullish break-out will be when a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50. We expect at least a +4.45% rise, thus targeting 2.19000 on the medium-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
The British Pound Is Stronger than the US DollarThe British Pound Is Stronger than the US Dollar: Understanding the Reasons GBP/USD is the third most actively traded currency pair on the foreign exchange market, after EUR/USD and USD/JPY. It is also one of the oldest pairs traded on forex. The British pound continues to cost more than the US dollar, despite the dollar overtaking it as the global reserve currency. Why is the British pound stronger than the US dollar? In this FXOpen article, we look at the GBP/USD pair and the factors that keep the British pound strong to help you understand how to trade it. What Is the GBP/USD Pair? Currencies are always traded in pairs on foreign exchange markets. GBP/USD refers to the value of the British pound sterling against the US dollar – specifically, how many US dollars traders need to buy one pound. For example, if the GBP/USD exchange rate is 1.28, a trader would need $1.28 to buy £1. How come the British pound is always stronger than the US dollar? The answer is rooted in history. A Brief History of the GBP/USD Pair Until World War I, the British pound was the global reserve currency, accounting for over 60% of the world’s debt holdings. It was valued at just under $5. After the war, the US dollar began to strengthen, and by 1944, when the Bretton Woods system was introduced, the pound was pegged at $4.03. The Bretton Woods system fixed the US dollar to the gold price and established it as the unofficial global reserve currency. After World War II, the value of the USD began to rise, and it overtook GBP as the primary currency used in international trade. The Bretton Woods system began to slowly collapse after 1971, and both the GBP and USD became free-floating, with the US dropping the gold standard. This has resulted in the value of the GBP gradually sliding over the following decades. The free-float rate made the GBP/USD pair highly volatile. The pound sterling reached a high of 2.08 against the dollar in 2007 during the global financial crisis, as higher UK inflation raised expectations that the Bank of England would raise interest rates. In June 2016, the UK’s vote to leave the European Union drove the value of the pound down to the 1.20–1.25 area overnight. That was its lowest level since the collapse of the exchange rate mechanism in 1985 and the largest one-day decline since the end of Bretton Woods. The GBP/USD pair has since largely traded between 1.20-1.40. A notable exception was the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, when investors flocked to the safe haven US dollar amid uncertainty about the economic impact, and the pound fell to 1.16 against the USD. COVID-19 shutdowns and the loss of European trade following Brexit have weighed on the prospects for the UK economy. At the same time, geopolitical tensions such as the US-China trade war and the Russia-Ukraine conflict have lifted the value of the dollar, as have rising interest rates. In 2022, the Bank of England was forced to intervene as the value of sterling fell close to a record low of 1.035 against the dollar in response to a crisis of confidence in the UK government, high inflation and unemployment rates, and concerns regarding the domestic economy. However, by April 2023, the pound had recovered and became the best-performing G-10 currency of the year. According to Forbes, the British pound is the world’s fifth strongest currency, while the US dollar is the 10th strongest. The GBP/USD pair has primarily been trading around 1.20-1.30 so far in 2023. Why is the pound still stronger than the dollar? Is GBP Stronger than USD? Why is the pound more expensive than the dollar? The value of the GBP against the USD in forex doesn’t solely determine the strength of the US and UK economies. Analysts consider other factors that can question the strength of the pound. Nominal Value A currency’s nominal value refers to its value against another currency in forex. As was mentioned above, the nominal value of both currencies changed significantly over time. Although GBP was always more expensive than the US dollar, this conclusion is relatively arbitrary. Also, it’s worth considering the lower number of British pounds in circulation, which is worth £81 billion, compared to $2.33 trillion US dollars, which contributes to the higher value of GBP as of May 2023. Relative Strength The strength of a particular currency against another at any point in time is also relative, as it could actually be weaker against other currencies. For example, GBP could rise in value against USD but fall against EUR, AUD and JPY, which would suggest that the relative value of the pound is weaker – just not as weak as the USD. This is because the relative strength is determined not only by the value of one currency against another but by economic data, including inflation, economic growth, and the trade balance, which determine the strength of the overall economy. To gauge a currency’s real strength, analysts track its value in relation to multiple currencies over time. For instance, the Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the USD against a basket of currencies from its key trading partners and competitors, as this is a more accurate measure of its value than a single pair. Quoting Conventions The use of GBP/USD as the quoting convention reflects the pound’s strength. For instance, a GBP/USD quote of 1.25 signifies that $1.25 is needed to buy £1. This quoting convention originated in the late 1900s during the British Empire when the UK had a larger economy than the US. Despite the subsequent shift in economic power, this convention has endured. Since World War I, the US economy has surpassed the UK economy in terms of size. Modifying quoting conventions is challenging, given how entrenched they are in the financial industry. However, the tradition of quoting GBP/USD in itself does not determine the value of the pound and the dollar. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) While the GBP/USD trading value suggests the pound is stronger, the purchasing power parity (PPP) fluctuates. PPP indicates how much a currency is worth based on the value of a basket of goods. In these terms, the dollar can be stronger than the pound. The concept underlying PPP is that the exchange rate should equalise the purchasing power of each currency within its respective country. For instance, if a basket of items costs £100 in the UK with a GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.15, the PPP would suggest that the equivalent cost of the same basket in US dollars should be $115. In practice, exchange rates frequently diverge from their PPP levels. The degree to which a currency such as GBP or USD deviates from its PPP indicates its relative strength or weakness against another currency. Global Economy Although the US economy is stronger than that of Great Britain, sterling’s history as the former global reserve currency and political and economic power have contributed to its strength. The pound is one of the world’s oldest currencies, having been introduced in the 1400s. The UK remains a major global financial centre, and the Bank of England continues to participate in international economic developments. What Factors Affect GBP/USD There are several factors that affect the value of the British pound and US dollar: - US Federal Reserve monetary policy - Bank of England monetary policy - Inflation rate, which has a strong impact on the interest rates - Employment data, which influences government fiscal policy - Geopolitical events - Other economic indicators, including retail sales and industrial production Does It Matter If GBP/USD Falls Below Parity? A weaker sterling could support UK exports, but it would also increase the cost of imported goods and drive up inflation. The Bank of England would be forced to intervene to contain inflation. As seen in 2022, there is also a risk that a sharp drop in the pound’s value could become disorderly, which could create political and economic turmoil. However, if the value of the pound fell below the dollar, it would be a psychological milestone for the UK, but it would not have a major impact on the forex market. Conclusion The British pound sterling has traditionally maintained a higher value against the US dollar because of historical convention. However, the US dollar is stronger overall as it is the world's reserve currency and has larger trading volumes. The GBP/USD exchange rate has been in a long downtrend. Therefore, there are risks that GBP will soon lose its nominal premium. Understanding how the British pound is stronger than the US dollar can help you to form strategies to trade the GBP/USD forex pair. By observing economic indicators, you can take a view on how you expect the market to move. If you are looking to trade forex markets, you can open an FXOpen account. The TickTrader platform allows you to analyse live price charts and trade a range of currency pairs. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
11
GBPAUD Sell signal short-term.The GBPAUD pair is trading within a Channel Up since the start of the year, currently expanding its 2nd Bearish Leg of the pattern. The 1st pulled back marginally below the 0.618, before starting the new Bullish Leg. We are expecting the same level to be targeted at 1.92600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPJPY Best long-term buy signal you can get.The GBPJPY pair closed last week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and this week opened above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). The long-term pattern has been a Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom and since the July-August Bearish Leg, the pair has been pricing its new bottom (Higher Low). The break-out above the 1D MA50, while at the same time the 1W RSI breaks above its MA, has been the ultimate long-term buy confirmation during the last bottom formation in February 2023. Since the Bullish Leg that followed rose by +20.15% and a little below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect a similar rally, thus settling for a 220.000 Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
$GBIRYY CPI (August/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY CPI Data (August/2024) 'UK Inflation Rate Steady at 2.2%' source: Office for National Statistics - Annual inflation rate ( ECONOMICS:GBIRYY ) in the UK steadied at 2.2% in August 2024, the same as in July, and in line with expectations. The largest upward contribution came from air fares while the biggest downward contributions came from prices for motor fuels, and restaurants and hotels. Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.3%, following a 0.2% fall in July and also matching expectations.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
GBPUSD - Short Trade IdeaHello hello, We have a short trade idea on GU for the coming week, anticipating the next 12h candle. I am expecting a move into at least one of the iFVGs on 12h timeframe before a move lower with multiple targets graded by my probability hierarchy. Last week we had NFP which took price to a relatively high level. As is said, "The bodies tell the story and the wicks do the damage". And as usual, during these super high impact news drivers, the wicks can go above and beyond what is normally expected of them. As the bodies are being respectful, I am keen to anticipate the aforementioned trade. There is more imbalances below that I anticipate price will be drawn to, creating more structure on the sub-weekly timeframes in order to move higher, which is still my current overall bias for XXXUSD pairs until price shows me otherwise on the DXY. For now, I will still follow what the PD Arrays are printing. In terms of stoploss, the swing high would be a bit far, but as usual I would be waiting on the lower timeframe for a higher RR trade at least to Target 1. From there I would have to see what PD Arrays are being formed on the lower hourly timeframes. Let's see what happens! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded